Best NFL Anytime Touchdown Props, Sunday September 13

3 selections from 12 NFL anytime touchdown props that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

Pick	Price	Book	Why
David Njoku Over 0.5 Anytime TD	+550	DraftKings	over in 40% of his last ten; David Njoku averages 0.55 red zone touches a game over 11 games, against 0.41 for TEs (74th percentile)
Michael Wilson Over 0.5 Anytime TD	+360	Fanatics	over in 50% of his last ten; Michael Wilson averages 0.47 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.37 for WRs (69th percentile)
Ryan Flournoy Over 0.5 Anytime TD	+420	Fanatics	over in 40% of his last ten; Ryan Flournoy averages 3.08 receptions a game over 13 games, against 2.93 for WRs (60th percentile)

The reads behind them

Form here is a player's last ten games where he has no season baseline on record, and otherwise 60% of the last ten and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.

Angle 1

David Njoku Over 0.5 Anytime TD

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · kickoff 4:25 PM ET

+550at DraftKings

David Njoku has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 40% of his last ten games.

David Njoku averages 0.55 red zone touches a game over 11 games, against 0.41 for TEs (74th percentile).
David Njoku averages 0.82 red zone targets a game over 11 games, against 0.59 for TEs (78th percentile).
David Njoku averages 3.00 receptions a game over 11 games, against 2.56 for TEs (65th percentile).

The case against

This market is quoted one way only. The +550 above is the price as it stands, vig included, and the form read has to clear it.

Full game log and every book on David Njoku

Angle 2

Michael Wilson Over 0.5 Anytime TD

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · kickoff 4:25 PM ET

+360at Fanatics

Michael Wilson has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 50% of his last ten games.

Michael Wilson averages 0.47 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.37 for WRs (69th percentile).
Michael Wilson averages 1.00 red zone targets a game over 17 games, against 0.64 for WRs (84th percentile).
Michael Wilson averages 4.59 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.93 for WRs (86th percentile).

The case against

This market is quoted one way only. The +360 above is the price as it stands, vig included, and the form read has to clear it.

Los Angeles Chargers rank 29th of 32 for TDs allowed to WRs, at 0.6 a game over 17 games.

Los Angeles Chargers rank 29th of 32 for touchdowns allowed, at 1.9 a game over 17 games.

Full game log and every book on Michael Wilson

Angle 3

Ryan Flournoy Over 0.5 Anytime TD

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants · kickoff 8:20 PM ET

+420at Fanatics

Ryan Flournoy has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 40% of his last ten games.

Ryan Flournoy averages 3.08 receptions a game over 13 games, against 2.93 for WRs (60th percentile).
New York Giants rank 10th of 32 for TDs allowed to WRs, at 1.0 a game over 17 games.
New York Giants rank 11th of 32 for red zone targets allowed to WRs, at 2.6 a game over 17 games.

The case against

This market is quoted one way only. The +420 above is the price as it stands, vig included, and the form read has to clear it.

Full game log and every book on Ryan Flournoy

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: Bears vs Panthers player props.

Open the live board The record

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, September 13. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 12, 11:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.