Best NFL Anytime Touchdown Props, Sunday September 20

3 selections from 41 NFL anytime touchdown props that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

Pick	Price	Book	Why
Trevor Lawrence Over 0.5 Anytime TD	+390	DraftKings	over in 40% of his last ten; Trevor Lawrence averages 1.41 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.72 for QBs (88th percentile)
Parker Washington Over 0.5 Anytime TD	+230	Fanatics	over in 60% of his last ten; Parker Washington averages 0.73 red zone touches a game over 15 games, against 0.37 for WRs (89th percentile)
Chris Olave Over 0.5 Anytime TD	+210	DraftKings	over in 50% of his last ten; Chris Olave averages 0.44 red zone touches a game over 16 games, against 0.37 for WRs (68th percentile)

The reads behind them

Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.

Angle 1

Trevor Lawrence Over 0.5 Anytime TD

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos · kickoff 4:05 PM ET

+390at DraftKings

Trevor Lawrence has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 33% of 18 games last season and 40% across the last ten.

Trevor Lawrence averages 1.41 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.72 for QBs (88th percentile).
Trevor Lawrence averages 4.82 carries a game over 17 games, against 3.55 for QBs (74th percentile).
Denver Broncos rank 10th of 32 for red zone carries allowed to QBs, at 0.9 a game over 17 games.

The case against

This market is quoted one way only. The +390 above is the price as it stands, vig included, and the form read has to clear it.

Denver Broncos rank 30th of 32 for touchdowns allowed, at 1.7 a game over 17 games.

Full game log and every book on Trevor Lawrence

Angle 2

Parker Washington Over 0.5 Anytime TD

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos · kickoff 4:05 PM ET

+230at Fanatics

Parker Washington has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 38% of 16 games last season and 60% across the last ten.

Parker Washington averages 0.73 red zone touches a game over 15 games, against 0.37 for WRs (89th percentile).
Parker Washington averages 1.07 red zone targets a game over 15 games, against 0.64 for WRs (89th percentile).
Parker Washington averages 3.87 receptions a game over 15 games, against 2.91 for WRs (76th percentile).

The case against

This market is quoted one way only. The +230 above is the price as it stands, vig included, and the form read has to clear it.

Denver Broncos rank 31st of 32 for TDs allowed to WRs, at 0.3 a game over 17 games.

Denver Broncos rank 30th of 32 for touchdowns allowed, at 1.7 a game over 17 games.

The last ten (60%) sits a long way from last season's rate (38%), so this leans on a streak continuing rather than on a settled level.

Full game log and every book on Parker Washington

Angle 3

Chris Olave Over 0.5 Anytime TD

New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens · kickoff 1:00 PM ET

+210at DraftKings

Chris Olave has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 44% of 16 games last season and 50% across the last ten.

Chris Olave averages 0.44 red zone touches a game over 16 games, against 0.37 for WRs (68th percentile).
Chris Olave averages 0.94 red zone targets a game over 16 games, against 0.64 for WRs (82nd percentile).
Chris Olave averages 6.25 receptions a game over 16 games, against 2.91 for WRs (96th percentile).

The case against

This market is quoted one way only. The +210 above is the price as it stands, vig included, and the form read has to clear it.

Full game log and every book on Chris Olave

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: Bengals vs Texans player props.

Open the live board The record

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, September 20. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 19, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.