Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 Points
Next best −115 at NoVigSame 9.5 line
NBA PLAYER PROPS · Wednesday, October 28
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 35 NBA points props across 12 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Wednesday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 Points | -105 | BetMGM | over in 60% of his last ten; Dallas Mavericks allow the 6th-most points to centers, 21.3 a game over 81 games last season |
| Tyrese Maxey Over 24.5 Points | +102 | FanDuel | over in 70% of his last ten; Tyrese Maxey averaged 28.29 points a game over 70 games last season, against 12.07 for the position |
| Aaron Nesmith Over 11.5 Points | +100 | BetRivers | over in 80% of his last ten; Aaron Nesmith averaged 13.80 points a game over 45 games last season, against 11.33 for the position |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best −115 at NoVigSame 9.5 line
Isaiah Hartenstein has gone over 9.5 points in 50% of 62 games last season and 60% across the last ten.
Dallas Mavericks allow the 6th-most points to centers, 21.3 a game over 81 games last season.
Dallas Mavericks' opponents produce the 8th-most points, 119.0 a game over 82 games last season.
Next best +101 at ProphetXSame 24.5 line
Tyrese Maxey has gone over 24.5 points in 67% of 82 games last season and 70% across the last ten.
Tyrese Maxey averaged 28.29 points a game over 70 games last season, against 12.07 for the position.
Indiana Pacers allow the 2nd-most points to point guards, 27.6 a game over 78 games last season.
Indiana Pacers' opponents produce the 6th-most points, 119.7 a game over 82 games last season.
Next best −104 at NoVigSame 11.5 line
Aaron Nesmith has gone over 11.5 points in 62% of 45 games last season and 80% across the last ten.
Aaron Nesmith averaged 13.80 points a game over 45 games last season, against 11.33 for the position.
Philadelphia 76ers' opponents produce the 12th-most points, 116.0 a game over 82 games last season.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: 76ers vs Pacers player props.
Built from the Lab's board for Wednesday, October 28. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 28, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.
Help us find more readers like you? If you say yes, this browser tells Meta (Facebook and Instagram) once per visit that someone read Steezanomics, so our ads can reach people like you. No name, no email, not which page, nothing you typed. How it works.
When you read a page here we tell Meta (Facebook and Instagram) so we can find readers like you. No name, not which page, nothing you typed. How it works.