NHL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, October 25
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 37 NHL points props across 5 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Spurgeon Over 0.5 Points | +143 | Bally Bet | over in 50% of his last ten; Jared Spurgeon averages 0.12 power-play points a game through 8 games this season, against 0.05 for defencemen (84th percentile of 249 defencemen), and 0.08 a game over 79 games last season |
| Kirill Kaprizov Over 1.5 Points | +140 | BetMGM | over in 50% of his last ten; Kirill Kaprizov averages 1.58 points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.47 for forwards (99th percentile of 472 forwards), and 1.14 a game over 78 games last season |
| Matthew Tkachuk Over 0.5 Points | -230 | Fanatics | over in 90% of his last ten; Matthew Tkachuk averages 1.36 points a game through 11 games this season, against 0.47 for forwards (98th percentile of 472 forwards), and 1.10 a game over 31 games last season |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best +143 at BetRiversSame 0.5 line
Jared Spurgeon has gone over 0.5 points in 63% of 8 games this season, 30% of his last twenty, 50% of his last ten and 40% of his last five.
Jared Spurgeon averages 0.12 power-play points a game through 8 games this season, against 0.05 for defencemen (84th percentile of 249 defencemen), and 0.08 a game over 79 games last season.
Vancouver Canucks have allowed 2.92 points a game to defencemen through 12 games this season, against a league average of 2.03.
Vancouver Canucks have allowed 3.50 power-play points a game through 12 games this season, against a league average of 1.99.
Next best +140 at theScore BetSame 1.5 line
Kirill Kaprizov has gone over 1.5 points in 50% of 12 games this season and 50% across the last ten.
Kirill Kaprizov averages 1.58 points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.47 for forwards (99th percentile of 472 forwards), and 1.14 a game over 78 games last season.
Kirill Kaprizov averages 0.33 power-play points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.12 for forwards (88th percentile of 472 forwards), and 0.41 a game over 78 games last season.
Kirill Kaprizov averages 21.5 minutes of ice time a game through 12 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (98th percentile of 472 forwards), and 22.1 a game over 78 games last season.
Next best −235 at DraftKingsSame 0.5 line
Matthew Tkachuk has gone over 0.5 points in 82% of 11 games this season, 70% of his last twenty, 90% of his last ten and 80% of his last five.
Matthew Tkachuk averages 1.36 points a game through 11 games this season, against 0.47 for forwards (98th percentile of 472 forwards), and 1.10 a game over 31 games last season.
Matthew Tkachuk averages 0.73 power-play points a game through 11 games this season, against 0.12 for forwards (99th percentile of 472 forwards), and 0.42 a game over 31 games last season.
Matthew Tkachuk averages 19.2 minutes of ice time a game through 11 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (88th percentile of 472 forwards), and 18.3 a game over 31 games last season.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Avalanche vs Predators player props.
Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, October 25 and published at Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET. Each price above is the best across every book quoting the line, stamped with when it was last pulled, and frozen at that number. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.
Help us find more readers like you? If you say yes, this browser tells Meta (Facebook and Instagram) once per visit that someone read Steezanomics, so our ads can reach people like you. No name, no email, not which page, nothing you typed. How it works.
When you read a page here we tell Meta (Facebook and Instagram) so we can find readers like you. No name, not which page, nothing you typed. How it works.