STEEZANOMICS.

NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, September 13

Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.

Best NFL Receiving Yards Props, Sunday September 13

3 selections from 37 NFL receiving yards props that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.

Correction, September 13, 2026: These picks were chosen with a season baseline the board had not measured. Re-scored with the corrected baseline, none of the three clears the price check: Chig Okonkwo under 25.5, Kendrick Bourne under 18.5 and Trey McBride under 55.5. The prices and picks above are left exactly as published. Added September 14: the usage line under Kendrick Bourne printed his target share as a per-game count ('averages 10.7 target share a game'); it now reads as a share ('target share is 10.7%'). The numbers are unchanged.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

PickPriceBookWhy
Chig Okonkwo Under 25.5 Receiving Yards-110theScore Betunder in 30% of his last ten; Philadelphia Eagles rank 31st of 32 for receiving yards allowed to TEs, at 29.8 a game over 17 games
Kendrick Bourne Under 18.5 Receiving Yards-111BetMGMunder in 50% of his last ten; Kendrick Bourne's target share is 10.7% over 14 games, against 15.3% for WRs (34th percentile)
Trey McBride Under 55.5 Receiving Yards-112BetOnline.agunder in 20% of his last ten; Los Angeles Chargers rank 29th of 32 for receiving yards allowed to TEs, at 42.2 a game over 17 games

The reads behind them

Form here is a player's last ten games where he has no season baseline on record, and otherwise 60% of the last ten and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.

Angle 1

Chig Okonkwo Under 25.5 Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles · kickoff 4:25 PM ET

-110at theScore Bet

Chig Okonkwo has gone under 25.5 receiving yards in 30% of his last ten games.

  • Philadelphia Eagles rank 31st of 32 for receiving yards allowed to TEs, at 29.8 a game over 17 games.
  • Philadelphia Eagles rank 31st of 32 for receptions allowed to TEs, at 3.9 a game over 17 games.
  • Philadelphia Eagles rank 27th of 32 for receiving yards allowed, at 204.5 a game over 17 games.

The case against

The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at -110.

Chig Okonkwo averages 3.29 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.56 for TEs (73rd percentile).

Chig Okonkwo averages 4.65 targets a game over 17 games, against 3.52 for TEs (73rd percentile).

Full game log and every book on Chig Okonkwo

Angle 2

Kendrick Bourne Under 18.5 Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · kickoff 4:25 PM ET

-111at BetMGM

Kendrick Bourne has gone under 18.5 receiving yards in 50% of his last ten games.

  • Kendrick Bourne's target share is 10.7% over 14 games, against 15.3% for WRs (34th percentile).
  • Los Angeles Chargers rank 23rd of 32 for receiving yards allowed to WRs, at 127.5 a game over 17 games.
  • Los Angeles Chargers rank 22nd of 32 for receptions allowed to WRs, at 10.5 a game over 17 games.

The case against

At -111 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.

Full game log and every book on Kendrick Bourne

Angle 3

Trey McBride Under 55.5 Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers · kickoff 4:25 PM ET

-112at BetOnline.ag

Trey McBride has gone under 55.5 receiving yards in 20% of his last ten games.

  • Los Angeles Chargers rank 29th of 32 for receiving yards allowed to TEs, at 42.2 a game over 17 games.
  • Los Angeles Chargers rank 28th of 32 for receptions allowed to TEs, at 4.1 a game over 17 games.
  • Los Angeles Chargers rank 29th of 32 for receiving yards allowed, at 194.9 a game over 17 games.

The case against

Nothing about -112 helps here. The form read has to be right for this one to pay.

Trey McBride averages 7.41 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.56 for TEs (99th percentile).

Trey McBride averages 9.94 targets a game over 17 games, against 3.52 for TEs (99th percentile).

Full game log and every book on Trey McBride

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: Bears vs Panthers player props.

Open the live boardThe record

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, September 13. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 12, 11:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.