NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, September 27
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 64 NFL receiving yards props across 14 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Washington Under 36.5 Receiving Yards | -112 | betPARX | under in 70% of his last ten; Kansas City Chiefs rank 21st of 32 for receiving yards allowed to WRs, at 128.6 a game over 17 games |
| Xavier Worthy Under 37.5 Receiving Yards | -110 | DraftKings | under in 60% of his last ten; Miami Dolphins rank 24th of 32 for receiving yards allowed to WRs, at 127.0 a game over 17 games |
| Sam LaPorta Over 46.5 Receiving Yards | -114 | DraftKings | over in 60% of his last ten; Sam LaPorta averages 4.44 receptions a game over 9 games, against 2.56 for TEs (86th percentile) |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Angle 1
Malik Washington has gone under 36.5 receiving yards in 88% of 17 games last season and 70% across the last ten.
The case against
The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at -112.
Angle 2
Xavier Worthy has gone under 37.5 receiving yards in 50% of 14 games last season and 60% across the last ten.
The case against
At -110 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.
Xavier Worthy averages 5.21 targets a game over 14 games, against 4.69 for WRs (62nd percentile).
Angle 3
Sam LaPorta has gone over 46.5 receiving yards in 56% of 9 games last season and 60% across the last ten.
The case against
Nothing about -114 helps here. The form read has to be right for this one to pay.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Bengals vs Steelers player props.
Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, September 27. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 26, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.