NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, October 18
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 58 NFL receptions props across 12 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen Under 2.5 Receptions | +105 | DraftKings | under in 90% of his last ten; Braelon Allen averages 0.50 receptions a game over 4 games, against 2.00 for RBs (10th percentile) |
| Tim Patrick Under 1.5 Receptions | -114 | FanDuel | under in 70% of his last ten; Tim Patrick averages 0.94 receptions a game over 16 games, against 2.75 for WRs (13th percentile) |
| Isaiah Likely Under 5.5 Receptions | -128 | BetOnline.ag | under in 70% of his last ten; New Orleans Saints rank 27th of 32 for receptions allowed, at 18.4 a game over 17 games |
Form here is a player's last ten games where he has no season baseline on record, and otherwise 60% of the last ten and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best +105 at theScore BetSame 2.5 line
Braelon Allen has gone under 2.5 receptions in 90% of his last ten games.
Braelon Allen averages 0.50 receptions a game over 4 games, against 2.00 for RBs (10th percentile).
Braelon Allen averages 0.75 targets a game over 4 games, against 2.53 for RBs (9th percentile).
Braelon Allen's target share is 2.6% over 4 games, against 8.2% for RBs (11th percentile).
Next best −115 at Hard Rock Bet (FL)Same 1.5 line
Tim Patrick has gone under 1.5 receptions in 88% of 17 games last season and 70% across the last ten.
Tim Patrick averages 0.94 receptions a game over 16 games, against 2.75 for WRs (13th percentile).
Tim Patrick averages 1.50 targets a game over 16 games, against 4.42 for WRs (9th percentile).
Tim Patrick's target share is 5.0% over 16 games, against 14.3% for WRs (12th percentile).
Next best −135 at theScore BetSame 5.5 line
Isaiah Likely has gone under 5.5 receptions in 100% of 14 games last season and 70% across the last ten.
New Orleans Saints rank 27th of 32 for receptions allowed, at 18.4 a game over 17 games.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NFL anytime touchdown props for Sunday.
Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, October 18. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 17, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.