NHL PLAYER PROPS · Friday, October 16
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 9 NHL shots on goal props across 2 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Friday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Novak Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | -120 | theScore Bet | under in 60% of his last ten; Colorado Avalanche have allowed 19.62 shots on goal a game to forwards over 82 games last season, against a league average of 20.14 |
| Devon Toews Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | +107 | BetOnline | over in 60% of his last ten; Devon Toews averages 1.29 shots on goal a game through 7 games this season, against 1.12 for defencemen (65th percentile of 241 defencemen), and 1.69 a game over 68 games last season |
| David Pastrnak Over 3.5 Shots on Goal | +115 | theScore Bet | over in 80% of his last ten; David Pastrnak averages 3.86 shots on goal a game through 7 games this season, against 1.59 for forwards (98th percentile of 443 forwards), and 3.39 a game over 77 games last season |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against the best price a reader can take, with the vig still in it, and against what the matchup says. NHL props on this site are read on form and the matchup, and the price is taken as the books post it, vig included, which is the stricter test. A prop only appears when at least two books quote it and the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best −120 at Hard RockSame 1.5 line
Tommy Novak has gone under 1.5 shots on goal in 57% of 88 games last season, 50% of his last twenty, 60% of his last ten and 60% of his last five. This season it is 57% of 7 games.
Colorado Avalanche have allowed 19.62 shots on goal a game to forwards over 82 games last season, against a league average of 20.14.
Colorado Avalanche have allowed 25.14 shots on goal a game through 7 games this season, against a league average of 26.93.
Next best +105 at FanaticsSame 1.5 line
Devon Toews has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 49% of 81 games last season, 40% of his last twenty, 60% of his last ten and 60% of his last five. This season it is 43% of 7 games.
Devon Toews averages 1.29 shots on goal a game through 7 games this season, against 1.12 for defencemen (65th percentile of 241 defencemen), and 1.69 a game over 68 games last season.
Devon Toews averages 20.9 minutes of ice time a game through 7 games this season, against 18.1 for defencemen (72nd percentile of 241 defencemen), and 22.4 a game over 68 games last season.
Next best +106 at BetOnlineSame 3.5 line
David Pastrnak has gone over 3.5 shots on goal in 47% of 83 games last season, 60% of his last twenty, 80% of his last ten and 80% of his last five. This season it is 86% of 7 games.
David Pastrnak averages 3.86 shots on goal a game through 7 games this season, against 1.59 for forwards (98th percentile of 443 forwards), and 3.39 a game over 77 games last season.
David Pastrnak averages 19.4 minutes of ice time a game through 7 games this season, against 14.7 for forwards (87th percentile of 443 forwards), and 20.7 a game over 77 games last season.
Anaheim Ducks have allowed 20.52 shots on goal a game to forwards over 82 games last season, against a league average of 20.14.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. NHL props on this site are read on form and the matchup, not on price, and none of it is called an edge. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NHL points props for Friday.
Built from the Lab's board for Friday, October 16 and published at Oct 16, 11:01 AM ET. Each price above is the best across every book quoting the line, stamped with when it was last pulled, and frozen at that number. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.