NHL PLAYER PROPS · Saturday, October 17
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 95 NHL shots on goal props across 14 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Saturday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mason McTavish Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | +133 | BetOnline | over in 80% of his last ten; Mason McTavish averages 3.86 shots on goal a game through 7 games this season, against 1.60 for forwards (98th percentile of 443 forwards), and 1.95 a game over 75 games last season |
| Ross Colton Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | -106 | Bally Bet | under in 80% of his last ten; Ross Colton averages 12.7 minutes of ice time a game through 7 games this season, against 14.7 for forwards (30th percentile of 443 forwards), and 12.5 a game over 73 games last season |
| Dylan Coghlan Under 1.5 Shots on Goal | -130 | theScore Bet | under in 70% of his last ten; Dylan Coghlan averages 14.6 minutes of ice time a game through 3 games this season, against 18.1 for defencemen (21st percentile of 241 defencemen), and 14.3 a game over 20 games last season |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best +118 at PinnacleSame 2.5 line
Mason McTavish has gone over 2.5 shots on goal in 33% of 85 games last season, 60% of his last twenty, 80% of his last ten and 80% of his last five. This season it is 86% of 7 games.
Mason McTavish averages 3.86 shots on goal a game through 7 games this season, against 1.60 for forwards (98th percentile of 443 forwards), and 1.95 a game over 75 games last season.
Nashville Predators have allowed 21.71 shots on goal a game to forwards through 7 games this season, against a league average of 19.81.
Nashville Predators have allowed 29.71 shots on goal a game through 7 games this season, against a league average of 26.94.
Next best −110 at theScore BetSame 1.5 line
Ross Colton has gone under 1.5 shots on goal in 43% of 84 games last season and 80% across the last ten.
Ross Colton averages 12.7 minutes of ice time a game through 7 games this season, against 14.7 for forwards (30th percentile of 443 forwards), and 12.5 a game over 73 games last season.
St. Louis Blues have allowed 19.00 shots on goal a game to forwards through 7 games this season, against a league average of 19.81.
Next best −130 at Hard RockSame 1.5 line
Dylan Coghlan has gone under 1.5 shots on goal in 81% of 16 games last season and 70% across the last ten.
Dylan Coghlan averages 14.6 minutes of ice time a game through 3 games this season, against 18.1 for defencemen (21st percentile of 241 defencemen), and 14.3 a game over 20 games last season.
Pittsburgh Penguins have allowed 6.38 shots on goal a game to defencemen through 8 games this season, against a league average of 7.13.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NHL points props for Saturday.
Built from the Lab's board for Saturday, October 17 and published at Oct 17, 11:00 AM ET. Each price above is the best across every book quoting the line, stamped with when it was last pulled, and frozen at that number. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.