Darnell Nurse Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Next best +110 at Hard RockSame 1.5 line
NHL PLAYER PROPS · Saturday, October 24
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 60 NHL shots on goal props across 12 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Saturday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Darnell Nurse Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | +110 | bet365 | over in 60% of his last ten; Darnell Nurse averages 2.00 shots on goal a game through 10 games this season, against 1.13 for defencemen (89th percentile of 248 defencemen), and 2.00 a game over 82 games last season |
| Fraser Minten Over 1.5 Shots on Goal | -125 | theScore Bet | over in 70% of his last ten; San Jose Sharks have allowed 21.09 shots on goal a game to forwards through 11 games this season, against a league average of 19.91 |
| Sebastian Aho Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | -105 | theScore Bet | over in 70% of his last ten; Sebastian Aho averages 3.08 shots on goal a game through 12 games this season, against 1.58 for forwards (93rd percentile of 469 forwards), and 2.47 a game over 79 games last season |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best +110 at Hard RockSame 1.5 line
Darnell Nurse has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 60% of 10 games this season and 60% across the last ten.
Darnell Nurse averages 2.00 shots on goal a game through 10 games this season, against 1.13 for defencemen (89th percentile of 248 defencemen), and 2.00 a game over 82 games last season.
Darnell Nurse averages 21.1 minutes of ice time a game through 10 games this season, against 18.1 for defencemen (75th percentile of 248 defencemen), and 21.0 a game over 82 games last season.
Boston Bruins have allowed 27.91 shots on goal a game through 11 games this season, against a league average of 27.25.
Next best −125 at Hard RockSame 1.5 line
Fraser Minten has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 73% of 11 games this season and 70% across the last ten.
San Jose Sharks have allowed 21.09 shots on goal a game to forwards through 11 games this season, against a league average of 19.91.
San Jose Sharks have allowed 29.91 shots on goal a game through 11 games this season, against a league average of 27.25.
Next best −105 at FanaticsSame 2.5 line
Sebastian Aho has gone over 2.5 shots on goal in 67% of 12 games this season and 70% across the last ten.
Sebastian Aho averages 3.08 shots on goal a game through 12 games this season, against 1.58 for forwards (93rd percentile of 469 forwards), and 2.47 a game over 79 games last season.
Sebastian Aho averages 20.1 minutes of ice time a game through 12 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (93rd percentile of 469 forwards), and 19.6 a game over 79 games last season.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NHL points props for Saturday.
Built from the Lab's board for Saturday, October 24 and published at Oct 24, 10:30 AM ET. Each price above is the best across every book quoting the line, stamped with when it was last pulled, and frozen at that number. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.
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