NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, October 18
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs, kickoff 4:25 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Chargers vs Chiefs Defense Funnels: what each defense allows by position.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kolar Under 21.5 Receiving Yards | -111 | BetOnline.ag | under in 90% of his last ten; Charlie Kolar averages 0.59 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.20 for TEs (11th percentile) |
| Keaton Mitchell Under 15.5 Receiving Yards | -113 | betPARX | under in 80% of his last ten; Keaton Mitchell averages 0.69 receptions a game over 13 games, against 2.00 for RBs (12th percentile) |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best −111 at BetMGMSame 21.5 line
Charlie Kolar has gone under 21.5 receiving yards in 82% of 17 games last season and 90% across the last ten.
Charlie Kolar averages 0.59 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.20 for TEs (11th percentile).
Charlie Kolar averages 0.88 targets a game over 17 games, against 3.03 for TEs (14th percentile).
Charlie Kolar's target share is 3.5% over 17 games, against 9.9% for TEs (18th percentile).
Next best −114 at FanDuelSame 15.5 line
Keaton Mitchell has gone under 15.5 receiving yards in 92% of 13 games last season and 80% across the last ten.
Keaton Mitchell averages 0.69 receptions a game over 13 games, against 2.00 for RBs (12th percentile).
Keaton Mitchell averages 0.92 targets a game over 13 games, against 2.53 for RBs (12th percentile).
Keaton Mitchell's target share is 4.2% over 13 games, against 8.2% for RBs (18th percentile).
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NFL anytime touchdown props for Sunday.
Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, October 18. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 17, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.