NHL PLAYER PROPS · Wednesday, October 28
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers, puck drop 8:30 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Farabee Over 0.5 Points | -105 | theScore Bet | over in 90% of his last ten; Joel Farabee averages 19.0 minutes of ice time a game through 11 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (88th percentile of 476 forwards), and 16.9 a game over 82 games last season |
| Connor McDavid Over 1.5 Assists | +175 | BetOnline | over in 60% of his last ten; Connor McDavid averages 2.17 assists a game through 12 games this season, against 0.27 for forwards (100th percentile of 476 forwards), and 1.10 a game over 82 games last season |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best −105 at Hard RockSame 0.5 line
Joel Farabee has gone over 0.5 points in 82% of 11 games this season and 90% across the last ten.
Joel Farabee averages 19.0 minutes of ice time a game through 11 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (88th percentile of 476 forwards), and 16.9 a game over 82 games last season.
Edmonton Oilers have allowed 7.17 points a game to forwards through 12 games this season, against a league average of 6.28.
Edmonton Oilers have allowed 3.50 goals a game through 12 games this season, against a league average of 3.10.
Next best +167 at NoVigSame 1.5 line
Connor McDavid has gone over 1.5 assists in 67% of 12 games this season, 55% of his last twenty, 60% of his last ten and 80% of his last five.
Connor McDavid averages 2.17 assists a game through 12 games this season, against 0.27 for forwards (100th percentile of 476 forwards), and 1.10 a game over 82 games last season.
Connor McDavid averages 2.83 points a game through 12 games this season, against 0.47 for forwards (100th percentile of 476 forwards), and 1.68 a game over 82 games last season.
Connor McDavid averages 23.9 minutes of ice time a game through 12 games this season, against 14.5 for forwards (100th percentile of 476 forwards), and 23.0 a game over 82 games last season.
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NHL points props for Wednesday.
Built from the Lab's board for Wednesday, October 28 and published at Oct 28, 10:30 AM ET. Each price above is the best across every book quoting the line, stamped with when it was last pulled, and frozen at that number. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.
Help us find more readers like you? If you say yes, this browser tells Meta (Facebook and Instagram) once per visit that someone read Steezanomics, so our ads can reach people like you. No name, no email, not which page, nothing you typed. How it works.
When you read a page here we tell Meta (Facebook and Instagram) so we can find readers like you. No name, not which page, nothing you typed. How it works.