NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, September 13

Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.

Ravens vs Colts player props, and the case against each one.

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts, kickoff 1:00 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.

Correction, September 14, 2026: The usage lines under Justice Hill and Rashod Bateman printed a rate and a share as per-game counts ('averages 3.92 yards per carry a game', 'averages 11.9 target share a game'); they now read as what they are (3.92 yards per carry, and a target share of 11.9%). The numbers, picks and prices are left exactly as published.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

PickPriceBookWhy
Justice Hill Under 8.5 Rushing Yards-109DraftKingsunder in 70% of his last ten; Justice Hill averages 2.00 carries a game over 9 games, against 11.02 for RBs (4th percentile)
Rashod Bateman Under 1.5 Receptions+152FanDuelunder in 70% of his last ten; Rashod Bateman averages 1.46 receptions a game over 13 games, against 2.93 for WRs (17th percentile)

The reads behind them

Form here is a player's last ten games where he has no season baseline on record, and otherwise 60% of the last ten and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.

Angle 1

Justice Hill Under 8.5 Rushing Yards

-109at DraftKings

Justice Hill has gone under 8.5 rushing yards in 70% of his last ten games.

  • Justice Hill averages 2.00 carries a game over 9 games, against 11.02 for RBs (4th percentile).
  • Justice Hill has 3.92 yards per carry over 8 games, against 4.24 for RBs (33rd percentile).
  • Indianapolis Colts rank 23rd of 32 for rushing yards allowed to RBs, at 86.8 a game over 17 games.

The case against

The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at -109.

Full game log and every book on Justice Hill

Angle 2

Rashod Bateman Under 1.5 Receptions

+152at FanDuel

Rashod Bateman has gone under 1.5 receptions in 70% of his last ten games.

  • Rashod Bateman averages 1.46 receptions a game over 13 games, against 2.93 for WRs (17th percentile).
  • Rashod Bateman averages 2.92 targets a game over 13 games, against 4.74 for WRs (26th percentile).
  • Rashod Bateman's target share is 11.9% over 13 games, against 15.3% for WRs (38th percentile).

The case against

At +152 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.

Indianapolis Colts rank 1st of 32 for receptions allowed to WRs, at 13.4 a game over 17 games.

Indianapolis Colts rank 2nd of 32 for targets allowed to WRs, at 21.3 a game over 17 games.

Full game log and every book on Rashod Bateman

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: Bears vs Panthers player props.

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, September 13. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 12, 11:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.