Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · NFL

CHI @ ATL

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons · 1:00 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 12, 2026 · 4–5 games per defense

ATL defense allowsWhat Chicago sees

5 games

ATL funnels toward QB passing yards: 6th-most allowed (261.4). Offenses pass 4.6 pp more often than expected against ATL.

ATL allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
T1	RZ targets / game · WR	4.20	+68.6%
Supports OVER Jahdae Walkero0.5 Anytime TD+1200 FanDuelL10 3/10 Kalif Raymondo0.5 Anytime TD+350 bet365L10 2/10 Luther Burden IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+185 BovadaL10 2/10 Rome Odunzeo0.5 Anytime TD+195 BetMGML10 0/10 Zavion Thomaso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL4 0/4
2	QB pass attempts / game	42.0	+26.7%
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso32.5 Passing Attempts−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
T2	RZ targets / game · TE	2.20	+80.3%
Supports OVER Cole Kmeto0.5 Anytime TD+500 BetMGML10 2/10 Colston Lovelando0.5 Anytime TD+200 BetMGML10 2/10 Sam Rousho0.5 Anytime TD+1400 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5
2	Dropbacks / game	45.2	+20.9%
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso32.5 Passing Attempts−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
3	QB completions / game	25.8	+21.1%
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso19.5 Completions−109 betPARXL10 5/10
T3	Receptions / game · WR	14.6	+28.0%
Supports OVER Luther Burden IIIo4.5 Receptions+128 betPARXL10 4/10 Rome Odunzeo3.5 Receptions+138 DraftKingsL10 1/10 Kalif Raymondo2.5 Receptions+100 bet365L10 6/10
T3	RZ targets / game · RB	1.20	+64.1%
Supports OVER D'Andre Swifto0.5 Anytime TD−179 CaesarsL10 4/10 Kyle Monangaio0.5 Anytime TD+145 FanaticsL10 2/10 Roschon Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 1/10 Zavier Scotto0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL9 1/9
T5	Receptions / game · RB	5.2	+16.9%
T5	Offensive plays faced / game	64.8	+5.6%
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso32.5 Passing Attempts−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
6	Rec yards / game · WR	181.0	+20.8%
Supports OVER Luther Burden IIIo50.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10 Rome Odunzeo41.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Kalif Raymondo25.5 Rec Yards−110 FanaticsL10 6/10
6	QB pass yards / game	261.4	+11.5%
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T6	Red-zone trips / game	4.00	+23.8%
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 1/10 Cole Kmeto0.5 Anytime TD+500 BetMGML10 2/10 Colston Lovelando0.5 Anytime TD+200 BetMGML10 2/10 D'Andre Swifto0.5 Anytime TD−179 CaesarsL10 4/10 Jahdae Walkero0.5 Anytime TD+1200 FanDuelL10 3/10 Kalif Raymondo0.5 Anytime TD+350 bet365L10 2/10 Kyle Monangaio0.5 Anytime TD+145 FanaticsL10 2/10 Luther Burden IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+185 BovadaL10 2/10 Rome Odunzeo0.5 Anytime TD+195 BetMGML10 0/10 Roschon Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 1/10 Sam Rousho0.5 Anytime TD+1400 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5 Zavier Scotto0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL9 1/9 Zavion Thomaso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL4 0/4
T9	Receptions / game · TE	6.0	+10.4%
Supports OVER Colston Lovelando3.5 Receptions+110 BovadaL10 6/10 Cole Kmeto1.5 Receptions+170 bet365L10 6/10
T9	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.60	+17.1%
Supports OVER Cole Kmeto0.5 Anytime TD+500 BetMGML10 2/10 Colston Lovelando0.5 Anytime TD+200 BetMGML10 2/10 Sam Rousho0.5 Anytime TD+1400 Hard Rock BetL5 0/5
11	Target share · RB	19.6%	+1.5 pp
T12	Rec yards / game · TE	53.8	+0.6%
Supports OVER Colston Lovelando36.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Cole Kmeto9.5 Rec Yards−105 theScore BetL10 6/10
T12	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.80	−9.2%
Supports OVER D'Andre Swifto0.5 Anytime TD−179 CaesarsL10 4/10 Kyle Monangaio0.5 Anytime TD+145 FanaticsL10 2/10 Roschon Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 1/10 Zavier Scotto0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL9 1/9
15	Target share · WR	59.3%	+1.4 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Luther Burden III4.5 Receptionso +128 · u −145L10 4/10 over Rome Odunze3.5 Receptionso +138 · u −140L10 1/10 over Kalif Raymond2.5 Receptionso +100 · u −105L10 6/10 over Luther Burden III50.5 Rec Yardso −111 · u −115L10 5/10 over Rome Odunze41.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 7/10 over Kalif Raymond25.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −114L10 6/10 over
17	RB yards / carry	4.08	−0.8%
T17	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.80	−13.7%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Jahdae Walker0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L10 3/10 over Kalif Raymond0.5 Anytime TDo +350L10 2/10 over Luther Burden III0.5 Anytime TDo +185L10 2/10 over Rome Odunze0.5 Anytime TDo +195L10 0/10 over Zavion Thomas0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L4 0/4 over
T21	Rec yards / game · RB	26.6	−13.7%
21	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.116	−0.02
23	Rush success rate	37.8%	−2.2 pp
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
23	Dropback EPA / play	−0.016	−0.08
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
24	Target share · TE	21.1%	−2.8 pp
Supports UNDER Colston Lovelandu3.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 4/10 Cole Kmetu1.5 Receptions−190 BetMGML10 4/10 Colston Lovelandu36.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10 Cole Kmetu9.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
24	Dropback explosive rate	7.1%	−1.1 pp
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu36.5 Longest Completion−117 DraftKingsL10 7/10
25	Rush explosive rate	8.2%	−1.3 pp
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu11.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 5/10
26	RB rush yards / game	74.2	−18.7%
26	QB completion rate	61.4%	−2.9 pp
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu19.5 Completions−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
28	Dropback success rate	41.2%	−4.6 pp
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
28	QB pass yards / attempt	6.22	−12.3%
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
30	RB carries / game	18.2	−17.6%

CHI defense allowsWhat Atlanta sees

5 games

CHI funnels toward WR targets: 7th-most allowed (62.4%). Offenses pass 1.4 pp less often than expected against CHI.

CHI allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	QB pass yards / attempt	8.79	+23.9%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o236.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
3	Dropback explosive rate	11.3%	+3.0 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o36.5 Longest Completion−115 FliffL10 7/10
7	Target share · WR	62.4%	+4.5 pp
Supports OVER Drake Londono6.5 Receptions+124 FanDuelL10 3/10 Jahan Dotsono1.5 Receptions−162 betPARXL10 5/10 Zachariah Brancho1.5 Receptions+145 bet365L5 3/5 Drake Londono90.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 5/10 Jahan Dotsono23.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10 Zachariah Brancho10.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL5 2/5
10	RB yards / carry	4.31	+4.8%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono90.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o26.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
10	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.047	+0.04
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono90.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o26.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
11	Rush success rate	42.4%	+2.4 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono90.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o26.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Michael Penix Jr.o3.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
T11	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+7.9%
Supports OVER Chris Blairo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL8 0/8 Drake Londono0.5 Anytime TD+110 BetMGML10 2/10 Jahan Dotsono0.5 Anytime TD+400 BetMGML10 1/10 Olamide Zaccheauso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL10 1/10 Zachariah Brancho0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL5 0/5
12	Rush explosive rate	10.1%	+0.7 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono18.5 Longest Rush−115 FliffL10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o9.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 5/10 Michael Penix Jr.o3.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 6/10
T12	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.80	−9.2%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono0.5 Anytime TD−240 CourtsideL10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+235 BovadaL10 2/10
13	Rec yards / game · WR	160.2	+6.9%
Supports OVER Drake Londono90.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 5/10 Jahan Dotsono23.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10 Zachariah Brancho10.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL5 2/5
14	Dropback EPA / play	+0.041	−0.03
No lean at 14 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.236.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L10 5/10 over
T15	RZ targets / game · WR	2.40	−3.6%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Chris Blair0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L8 0/8 over Drake London0.5 Anytime TDo +110L10 2/10 over Jahan Dotson0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 1/10 over Olamide Zaccheaus0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L10 1/10 over Zachariah Branch0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L5 0/5 over
18	Rec yards / game · RB	27.8	−9.8%
No lean at 18 of 32 Bijan Robinson28.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −110L10 5/10 over
18	QB completion rate	63.8%	−0.5 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.20.5 Completionso −105 · u −114L10 2/10 over
T19	QB pass yards / game	228.6	−2.4%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Michael Penix Jr.236.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L10 5/10 over
21	Target share · TE	21.6%	−2.3 pp
Supports UNDER Kyle Pitts Sr.u2.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 4/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.u29.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T22	Target share · RB	16.0%	−2.1 pp
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu3.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 5/10 Bijan Robinsonu28.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10
23	RB rush yards / game	81.8	−10.4%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu90.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.u26.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
T23	Receptions / game · WR	10.0	−12.3%
Supports UNDER Drake Londonu6.5 Receptions−132 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu1.5 Receptions+150 bet365L10 5/10 Zachariah Branchu1.5 Receptions−174 FanDuelL5 2/5
24	Rec yards / game · TE	40.6	−24.1%
Supports UNDER Kyle Pitts Sr.u29.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T24	RZ targets / game · TE	0.80	−34.4%
T26	RB carries / game	19.0	−13.9%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu18.5 Rushing Attempts−110 BetMGML10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.u7.5 Rushing Attempts−135 bet365L10 6/10
T26	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.00	−100.0%
27	Dropback success rate	42.4%	−3.4 pp
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u236.5 Passing Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T27	Red-zone trips / game	2.40	−25.7%
T29	Receptions / game · TE	3.6	−33.8%
Supports UNDER Kyle Pitts Sr.u2.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 4/10
T30	QB completions / game	16.6	−22.1%
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u20.5 Completions−114 BetOnline.agL10 8/10
31	Receptions / game · RB	3.0	−32.5%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu3.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 5/10
T31	RZ targets / game · RB	0.20	−72.7%
32	QB pass attempts / game	26.0	−21.6%
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u31.5 Passing Attempts−115 DraftKingsL10 5/10
32	Dropbacks / game	30.2	−19.2%
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u31.5 Passing Attempts−115 DraftKingsL10 5/10
32	Offensive plays faced / game	50.0	−18.6%
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u31.5 Passing Attempts−115 DraftKingsL10 5/10

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

ATL defense allowsWhat Chicago sees

17 games

ATL leans toward WR targets: 9th-most allowed (60.7%). Offenses pass 2.7 pp less often than expected against ATL.

ATL allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
4	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.18	+32.7%
Supports OVER Jahdae Walkero0.5 Anytime TD+1200 FanDuelL10 3/10 Kalif Raymondo0.5 Anytime TD+350 bet365L10 2/10 Luther Burden IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+185 BovadaL10 2/10 Rome Odunzeo0.5 Anytime TD+195 BetMGML10 0/10 Zavion Thomaso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL4 0/4
6	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.004	+0.05
T8	RZ targets / game · RB	0.88	+16.9%
Supports OVER D'Andre Swifto0.5 Anytime TD−179 CaesarsL10 4/10 Kyle Monangaio0.5 Anytime TD+145 FanaticsL10 2/10 Roschon Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL10 1/10 Zavier Scotto0.5 Anytime TD+2330 FliffL9 1/9
9	Target share · WR	60.7%	+2.7 pp
Supports OVER Luther Burden IIIo4.5 Receptions+128 betPARXL10 4/10 Rome Odunzeo3.5 Receptions+138 DraftKingsL10 1/10 Kalif Raymondo2.5 Receptions+100 bet365L10 6/10 Luther Burden IIIo50.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10 Rome Odunzeo41.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Kalif Raymondo25.5 Rec Yards−110 FanaticsL10 6/10
10	Rush success rate	43.4%	+2.0 pp
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso23.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
10	RB yards / carry	4.53	+4.5%
12	RB rush yards / game	101.6	+7.1%
12	Dropback explosive rate	8.4%	+0.3 pp
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso36.5 Longest Completion−110 BovadaL10 3/10
12	Dropbacks / game	37.1	+1.7%
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso32.5 Passing Attempts−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
13	RB carries / game	22.4	+2.5%
13	QB pass yards / attempt	7.13	+1.5%
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 6/10
13	Offensive plays faced / game	61.6	+1.7%
Supports OVER Caleb Williamso32.5 Passing Attempts−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
14	Target share · RB	18.6%	+0.7 pp
14	Rec yards / game · WR	144.1	+3.2%
No lean at 14 of 32 Luther Burden III50.5 Rec Yardso −111 · u −115L10 5/10 over Rome Odunze41.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 7/10 over Kalif Raymond25.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −114L10 6/10 over
T16	Receptions / game · WR	11.1	+0.8%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Luther Burden III4.5 Receptionso +128 · u −145L10 4/10 over Rome Odunze3.5 Receptionso +138 · u −140L10 1/10 over Kalif Raymond2.5 Receptionso +100 · u −105L10 6/10 over
T16	RZ targets / game · WR	2.35	−1.0%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Jahdae Walker0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L10 3/10 over Kalif Raymond0.5 Anytime TDo +350L10 2/10 over Luther Burden III0.5 Anytime TDo +185L10 2/10 over Rome Odunze0.5 Anytime TDo +195L10 0/10 over Zavion Thomas0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L4 0/4 over
17	Rec yards / game · RB	29.9	−5.4%
17	Dropback success rate	45.4%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Caleb Williams227.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −112L10 6/10 over
18	QB pass yards / game	221.9	−1.4%
No lean at 18 of 32 Caleb Williams227.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −112L10 6/10 over
T19	Receptions / game · RB	4.1	−5.1%
20	QB pass attempts / game	31.1	−2.9%
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu32.5 Passing Attempts−113 DraftKingsL10 3/10
20	Dropback EPA / play	+0.004	−0.04
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu227.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T20	RZ targets / game · TE	1.06	−13.4%
T20	Red-zone trips / game	3.00	−6.3%
21	Rush explosive rate	9.1%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu11.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 5/10
T22	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.76	−15.1%
23	QB completion rate	62.6%	−1.7 pp
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu19.5 Completions−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
24	Rec yards / game · TE	46.1	−13.5%
Supports UNDER Colston Lovelandu36.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10 Cole Kmetu9.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
25	QB completions / game	19.5	−5.6%
Supports UNDER Caleb Williamsu19.5 Completions−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
28	Target share · TE	20.1%	−3.8 pp
Supports UNDER Colston Lovelandu3.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 4/10 Cole Kmetu1.5 Receptions−190 BetMGML10 4/10 Colston Lovelandu36.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 5/10 Cole Kmetu9.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
T29	Receptions / game · TE	4.1	−22.7%
Supports UNDER Colston Lovelandu3.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 4/10 Cole Kmetu1.5 Receptions−190 BetMGML10 4/10
32	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.18	−58.8%

CHI defense allowsWhat Atlanta sees

17 games

CHI leans toward RB rushing yards: 10th-most allowed (104.2). Offenses pass 4.2 pp less often than expected against CHI.

CHI allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Dropback explosive rate	10.6%	+2.5 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o36.5 Longest Completion−115 FliffL10 7/10
3	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.24	+39.4%
Supports OVER Chris Blairo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL8 0/8 Drake Londono0.5 Anytime TD+110 BetMGML10 2/10 Jahan Dotsono0.5 Anytime TD+400 BetMGML10 1/10 Olamide Zaccheauso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL10 1/10 Zachariah Brancho0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL5 0/5
4	RB yards / carry	4.84	+11.6%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono90.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o26.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
5	QB pass yards / attempt	7.63	+8.6%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o236.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T6	RZ targets / game · RB	0.94	+24.8%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono0.5 Anytime TD−240 CourtsideL10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+235 BovadaL10 2/10
7	Rush success rate	44.2%	+2.8 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono90.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o26.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Michael Penix Jr.o3.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
7	Rec yards / game · WR	157.4	+12.8%
Supports OVER Drake Londono90.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 5/10 Jahan Dotsono23.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10 Zachariah Brancho10.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL5 2/5
8	Rush explosive rate	11.8%	+1.9 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono18.5 Longest Rush−115 FliffL10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o9.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 5/10 Michael Penix Jr.o3.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 6/10
8	QB completion rate	66.6%	+2.3 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o20.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 2/10
10	RB rush yards / game	104.2	+9.8%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono90.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o26.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
10	Dropback success rate	48.4%	+2.8 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o236.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T10	Red-zone trips / game	3.41	+6.4%
Supports OVER Austin Hoopero0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML10 1/10 Bijan Robinsono0.5 Anytime TD−240 CourtsideL10 6/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+235 BovadaL10 2/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Anytime TD+1400 BetMGML10 0/10 Chris Blairo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL8 0/8 Drake Londono0.5 Anytime TD+110 BetMGML10 2/10 Jahan Dotsono0.5 Anytime TD+400 BetMGML10 1/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.o0.5 Anytime TD+320 BetMGML10 3/10 Michael Penix Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1100 BovadaL10 0/10 Nick Museo0.5 Anytime TD+2800 Bovada Olamide Zaccheauso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL10 1/10 Tua Tagovailoao0.5 Anytime TD+1200 bet365L10 0/10 Zachariah Brancho0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL5 0/5
11	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.035	+0.02
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono90.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o26.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
11	QB pass yards / game	239.2	+6.3%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o236.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
11	Receptions / game · TE	5.7	+7.5%
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o2.5 Receptions−152 betPARXL10 6/10
T12	RZ targets / game · WR	2.47	+4.0%
Supports OVER Chris Blairo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL8 0/8 Drake Londono0.5 Anytime TD+110 BetMGML10 2/10 Jahan Dotsono0.5 Anytime TD+400 BetMGML10 1/10 Olamide Zaccheauso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL10 1/10 Zachariah Brancho0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL5 0/5
15	Target share · TE	24.6%	+0.7 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Kyle Pitts Sr.2.5 Receptionso −152 · u +130L10 6/10 over Kyle Pitts Sr.29.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −111L10 6/10 over
15	QB completions / game	20.9	+1.3%
No lean at 15 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.20.5 Completionso −105 · u −114L10 2/10 over
T15	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.35	−19.8%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Austin Hooper0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L10 1/10 over Charlie Woerner0.5 Anytime TDo +1400L10 0/10 over Kyle Pitts Sr.0.5 Anytime TDo +320L10 3/10 over Nick Muse0.5 Anytime TDo +2800
16	Dropback EPA / play	+0.052	+0.01
No lean at 16 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.236.5 Passing Yardso −113 · u −111L10 5/10 over
17	RB carries / game	21.5	−1.5%
No lean at 17 of 32 Bijan Robinson18.5 Rushing Attemptso −103 · u −110L10 6/10 over Brian Robinson Jr.7.5 Rushing Attemptso +105 · u −135L10 4/10 over
T17	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.82	−8.4%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Bijan Robinson0.5 Anytime TDo −240L10 6/10 over Brian Robinson Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +235L10 2/10 over
T18	Receptions / game · WR	11.0	−0.3%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Drake London6.5 Receptionso +124 · u −132L10 3/10 over Jahan Dotson1.5 Receptionso −162 · u +150L10 5/10 over Zachariah Branch1.5 Receptionso +145 · u −174L5 3/5 over
T19	Target share · RB	17.5%	−0.4 pp
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Bijan Robinson3.5 Receptionso −107 · u −110L10 5/10 over Bijan Robinson28.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −110L10 5/10 over
19	QB pass attempts / game	31.4	−2.2%
No lean at 19 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.31.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −115L10 5/10 over
T19	Receptions / game · RB	4.1	−5.1%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Bijan Robinson3.5 Receptionso −107 · u −110L10 5/10 over
20	Rec yards / game · TE	50.8	−4.7%
Supports UNDER Kyle Pitts Sr.u29.5 Rec Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T20	RZ targets / game · TE	1.06	−13.4%
20	Offensive plays faced / game	60.1	−0.7%
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u31.5 Passing Attempts−115 DraftKingsL10 5/10
21	Target share · WR	57.6%	−0.4 pp
Supports UNDER Drake Londonu6.5 Receptions−132 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu1.5 Receptions+150 bet365L10 5/10 Zachariah Branchu1.5 Receptions−174 FanDuelL5 2/5 Drake Londonu90.5 Rec Yards−114 betPARXL10 5/10 Jahan Dotsonu23.5 Rec Yards−111 BetMGML10 7/10 Zachariah Branchu10.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL5 3/5
21	Dropbacks / game	35.1	−3.7%
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u31.5 Passing Attempts−115 DraftKingsL10 5/10
22	Rec yards / game · RB	27.6	−12.6%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu28.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10