Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · NFL

CIN @ ATL

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons · 9:30 AM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Nov 5, 2026 · 7–9 games per defense

ATL defense allowsWhat Cincinnati sees

8 games

ATL funnels toward RB targets: 4th-most allowed (22.3%). Offenses pass 1.7 pp less often than expected against ATL.

ATL allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
3	RZ targets / game · RB	1.12	+52.0%
Supports OVER Chase Browno0.5 Anytime TD−159 Bally BetL10 4/10 Samaje Perineo0.5 Anytime TD+275 BovadaL10 4/10 Tahj Brookso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL7 0/7
4	Target share · RB	22.3%	+4.3 pp
Supports OVER Chase Browno3.5 Receptions−140 bet365L10 6/10 Samaje Perineo1.5 Receptions+182 FanDuelL10 4/10 Chase Browno22.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Samaje Perineo5.5 Rec Yards−110 bet365L10 7/10
4	Rush explosive rate	11.7%	+2.4 pp
Supports OVER Chase Browno13.5 Longest Rush−105 theScore BetL10 3/10 Samaje Perineo8.5 Longest Rush−108 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Joe Burrowo6.5 Longest Rush−120 theScore BetL10 6/10
T4	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.38	+49.6%
Supports OVER Chase Browno0.5 Anytime TD−159 Bally BetL10 4/10 Samaje Perineo0.5 Anytime TD+275 BovadaL10 4/10 Tahj Brookso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL7 0/7
5	QB pass attempts / game	36.1	+9.2%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo36.5 Passing Attempts−110 Bally BetL10 4/10
5	Receptions / game · RB	5.4	+21.4%
Supports OVER Chase Browno3.5 Receptions−140 bet365L10 6/10 Samaje Perineo1.5 Receptions+182 FanDuelL10 4/10
5	RZ targets / game · TE	2.00	+57.0%
Supports OVER Cam Grandyo0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL10 0/10 Drew Sampleo0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10 Jack Endrieso0.5 Anytime TD+900 BetMGML3 1/3 Mike Gesickio0.5 Anytime TD+250 Bally BetL10 7/10
7	RB rush yards / game	110.5	+18.0%
Supports OVER Chase Browno49.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 7/10 Samaje Perineo17.5 Rush Yards+100 theScore BetL10 4/10
7	QB completions / game	23.3	+9.6%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo25.5 Completions−105 bet365L10 4/10
T7	RZ targets / game · WR	2.88	+13.5%
Supports OVER Colbie Youngo0.5 Anytime TD+1325 FliffL5 0/5 Dohnte Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+500 Bally BetL7 0/7 Ja'Marr Chaseo0.5 Anytime TD−110 bet365L10 7/10 Mitchell Tinsleyo0.5 Anytime TD+1550 BetMGML10 1/10 Tee Higginso0.5 Anytime TD+115 bet365L10 5/10
7	Offensive plays faced / game	64.9	+5.4%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo36.5 Passing Attempts−110 Bally BetL10 4/10
8	RB yards / carry	4.60	+11.1%
Supports OVER Chase Browno49.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 7/10 Samaje Perineo17.5 Rush Yards+100 theScore BetL10 4/10
9	Rush success rate	43.2%	+2.8 pp
Supports OVER Chase Browno49.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 7/10 Samaje Perineo17.5 Rush Yards+100 theScore BetL10 4/10 Joe Burrowo8.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
9	Dropbacks / game	39.1	+5.3%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo36.5 Passing Attempts−110 Bally BetL10 4/10
T10	Receptions / game · WR	12.0	+6.2%
Supports OVER Ja'Marr Chaseo6.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 6/10 Tee Higginso5.5 Receptions+105 Bally BetL10 5/10 Dohnte Meyerso1.5 Receptions−125 FanaticsL7 4/7
10	Red-zone trips / game	3.75	+14.4%
Supports OVER Cam Grandyo0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL10 0/10 Chase Browno0.5 Anytime TD−159 Bally BetL10 4/10 Colbie Youngo0.5 Anytime TD+1325 FliffL5 0/5 Dohnte Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+500 Bally BetL7 0/7 Drew Sampleo0.5 Anytime TD+700 BetMGML10 1/10 Ja'Marr Chaseo0.5 Anytime TD−110 bet365L10 7/10 Jack Endrieso0.5 Anytime TD+900 BetMGML3 1/3 Joe Burrowo0.5 Anytime TD+575 BetMGML10 2/10 Mike Gesickio0.5 Anytime TD+250 Bally BetL10 7/10 Mitchell Tinsleyo0.5 Anytime TD+1550 BetMGML10 1/10 Samaje Perineo0.5 Anytime TD+275 BovadaL10 4/10 Tahj Brookso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL7 0/7 Tee Higginso0.5 Anytime TD+115 bet365L10 5/10
11	RB carries / game	24.0	+6.6%
Supports OVER Chase Browno13.5 Rushing Attempts−124 Bally BetL10 3/10 Samaje Perineo5.5 Rushing Attempts−102 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
11	Receptions / game · TE	5.9	+7.6%
Supports OVER Mike Gesickio2.5 Receptions−108 FanDuelL10 5/10 Drew Sampleo0.5 Receptions−190 BovadaL10 7/10
13	Rec yards / game · WR	150.1	+2.8%
Supports OVER Ja'Marr Chaseo77.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 4/10 Tee Higginso77.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Dohnte Meyerso16.5 Rec Yards−114 CourtsideL7 4/7
15	QB completion rate	64.4%	+0.2 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Joe Burrow25.5 Completionso −105 · u +100L10 4/10 over
15	Rec yards / game · TE	54.9	−0.9%
No lean at 15 of 32 Mike Gesicki28.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −114L10 6/10 over Drew Sample3.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −106L10 6/10 over
T15	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.50	+0.1%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Cam Grandy0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L10 0/10 over Drew Sample0.5 Anytime TDo +700L10 1/10 over Jack Endries0.5 Anytime TDo +900L3 1/3 over Mike Gesicki0.5 Anytime TDo +250L10 7/10 over
16	Rec yards / game · RB	32.5	+1.8%
No lean at 16 of 32 Chase Brown22.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L10 4/10 over Samaje Perine5.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −110L10 7/10 over
16	QB pass yards / game	237.5	+1.7%
No lean at 16 of 32 Joe Burrow276.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 6/10 over
19	Dropback success rate	44.1%	−1.4 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Joe Burrow276.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 6/10 over
21	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.108	−0.02
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu49.5 Rush Yards−105 theScore BetL10 3/10 Samaje Perineu17.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
21	QB pass yards / attempt	6.57	−7.1%
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu276.5 Passing Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
22	Dropback explosive rate	7.3%	−0.7 pp
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu38.5 Longest Completion−115 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10
22	Dropback EPA / play	−0.006	−0.06
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu276.5 Passing Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
24	Target share · TE	22.6%	−1.7 pp
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu2.5 Receptions−105 BetMGML10 5/10 Drew Sampleu0.5 Receptions+164 FanDuelL10 3/10 Mike Gesickiu28.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Drew Sampleu3.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL10 4/10
25	Target share · WR	55.1%	−2.6 pp
Supports UNDER Ja'Marr Chaseu6.5 Receptions+120 theScore BetL10 4/10 Tee Higginsu5.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 5/10 Dohnte Meyersu1.5 Receptions+125 bet365L7 3/7 Ja'Marr Chaseu77.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 6/10 Tee Higginsu77.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Dohnte Meyersu16.5 Rec Yards−105 theScore BetL7 3/7
T28	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.50	−43.8%

CIN defense allowsWhat Atlanta sees

7 games

CIN funnels toward TE targets: 3rd-most allowed (29.6%). Offenses pass 0.2 pp less often than expected against CIN.

CIN allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	Rec yards / game · TE	88.7	+60.2%
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o41.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 4/10 Austin Hoopero6.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 6/10 Charlie Woernero4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10
2	Receptions / game · TE	7.0	+28.0%
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o3.5 Receptions−143 Bally BetL10 4/10 Austin Hoopero0.5 Receptions−180 bet365L10 7/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Receptions−170 bet365L10 2/10
3	Target share · TE	29.6%	+5.3 pp
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o3.5 Receptions−143 Bally BetL10 4/10 Austin Hoopero0.5 Receptions−180 bet365L10 7/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Receptions−170 bet365L10 2/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.o41.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 4/10 Austin Hoopero6.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 6/10 Charlie Woernero4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10
5	QB pass yards / game	261.0	+11.8%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o221.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
6	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.14	+28.0%
Supports OVER Beaux Collinso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL8 0/8 Chris Blairo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Drake Londono0.5 Anytime TD+140 BovadaL10 2/10 Jahan Dotsono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BetMGML10 2/10 Olamide Zaccheauso0.5 Anytime TD+650 CourtsideL10 1/10
6	Dropbacks / game	40.3	+8.4%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o31.5 Passing Attempts−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
7	Rush explosive rate	11.0%	+1.7 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono19.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 7/10 Michael Penix Jr.o3.5 Longest Rush−110 theScore BetL10 4/10
7	Dropback success rate	48.9%	+3.5 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o221.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
9	QB pass yards / attempt	7.55	+6.7%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o221.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
T10	RZ targets / game · WR	2.86	+12.7%
Supports OVER Beaux Collinso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL8 0/8 Chris Blairo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Drake Londono0.5 Anytime TD+140 BovadaL10 2/10 Jahan Dotsono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BetMGML10 2/10 Olamide Zaccheauso0.5 Anytime TD+650 CourtsideL10 1/10
11	QB pass attempts / game	34.6	+4.5%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o31.5 Passing Attempts−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
11	RB yards / carry	4.35	+5.1%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono97.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 3/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o25.5 Rush Yards−121 Bally BetL10 4/10
11	QB completions / game	22.0	+3.7%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o19.5 Completions−122 DraftKingsL10 3/10
12	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.087	0.00
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono97.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 3/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o25.5 Rush Yards−121 Bally BetL10 4/10
12	Dropback explosive rate	8.9%	+0.8 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o35.5 Longest Completion−110 Hard Rock BetL10 8/10
14	Offensive plays faced / game	62.4	+1.4%
No lean at 14 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.31.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −112L10 5/10 over
15	Receptions / game · WR	11.1	−1.4%
No lean at 15 of 32 Drake London5.5 Receptionso −121 · u +110L10 3/10 over Jahan Dotson1.5 Receptionso −165 · u +200L10 6/10 over Olamide Zaccheaus1.5 Receptionso +105 · u −112L10 1/10 over
T15	Red-zone trips / game	3.43	+4.7%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Austin Hooper0.5 Anytime TDo +950L10 1/10 over Beaux Collins0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L8 0/8 over Bijan Robinson0.5 Anytime TDo −250L10 4/10 over Brian Robinson Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +255L10 2/10 over Charlie Woerner0.5 Anytime TDo +1350L10 0/10 over Chris Blair0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L10 0/10 over Drake London0.5 Anytime TDo +140L10 2/10 over Jahan Dotson0.5 Anytime TDo +360L10 2/10 over Khalil Herbert0.5 Anytime TDo +600L10 0/10 over Kyle Pitts Sr.0.5 Anytime TDo +280L10 3/10 over Michael Penix Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L10 0/10 over Nick Muse0.5 Anytime TDo +2800L8 1/8 over Olamide Zaccheaus0.5 Anytime TDo +650L10 1/10 over
18	Rec yards / game · WR	142.4	−2.5%
No lean at 18 of 32 Drake London78.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −112L10 3/10 over Jahan Dotson28.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −109L10 5/10 over Olamide Zaccheaus9.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −110L10 0/10 over
T18	QB completion rate	63.6%	−0.6 pp
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Michael Penix Jr.19.5 Completionso −122 · u +100L10 3/10 over
19	RB rush yards / game	85.7	−8.5%
No lean at 19 of 32 Bijan Robinson97.5 Rush Yardso −111 · u −113L10 3/10 over Brian Robinson Jr.25.5 Rush Yardso −121 · u −120L10 4/10 over
T19	RZ targets / game · TE	1.00	−21.5%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Austin Hooper0.5 Anytime TDo +950L10 1/10 over Charlie Woerner0.5 Anytime TDo +1350L10 0/10 over Kyle Pitts Sr.0.5 Anytime TDo +280L10 3/10 over Nick Muse0.5 Anytime TDo +2800L8 1/8 over
20	Target share · WR	56.2%	−1.4 pp
Supports UNDER Drake Londonu5.5 Receptions+110 BetMGML10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu1.5 Receptions+200 betPARXL10 4/10 Olamide Zaccheausu1.5 Receptions−112 DraftKingsL10 9/10 Drake Londonu78.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu28.5 Rec Yards−109 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Olamide Zaccheausu9.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 10/10
20	Dropback EPA / play	+0.025	−0.03
Supports UNDER Michael Penix Jr.u221.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 5/10
21	Rec yards / game · RB	29.9	−6.5%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu26.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Khalil Herbertu0.5 Rec Yards−125 bet365L10 5/10
T21	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.71	−23.0%
23	Receptions / game · RB	3.9	−12.9%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu3.5 Receptions−145 BetMGML10 6/10
T26	RZ targets / game · RB	0.43	−41.7%
27	RB carries / game	19.7	−12.4%
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu19.5 Rushing Attempts−105 FanaticsL10 6/10
28	Target share · RB	14.2%	−3.8 pp
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu3.5 Receptions−145 BetMGML10 6/10 Bijan Robinsonu26.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10 Khalil Herbertu0.5 Rec Yards−125 bet365L10 5/10
31	Rush success rate	34.8%	−5.6 pp
Supports UNDER Bijan Robinsonu97.5 Rush Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Brian Robinson Jr.u25.5 Rush Yards−120 betPARXL10 6/10 Michael Penix Jr.u4.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T31	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.00	−100.0%

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

ATL defense allowsWhat Cincinnati sees

17 games

ATL leans toward WR targets: 9th-most allowed (60.7%). Offenses pass 2.7 pp less often than expected against ATL.

ATL allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
4	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.18	+32.7%
Supports OVER Colbie Youngo0.5 Anytime TD+1325 FliffL5 0/5 Dohnte Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+500 Bally BetL7 0/7 Ja'Marr Chaseo0.5 Anytime TD−110 bet365L10 7/10 Mitchell Tinsleyo0.5 Anytime TD+1550 BetMGML10 1/10 Tee Higginso0.5 Anytime TD+115 bet365L10 5/10
6	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.004	+0.05
Supports OVER Chase Browno49.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 7/10 Samaje Perineo17.5 Rush Yards+100 theScore BetL10 4/10
T8	RZ targets / game · RB	0.88	+16.9%
Supports OVER Chase Browno0.5 Anytime TD−159 Bally BetL10 4/10 Samaje Perineo0.5 Anytime TD+275 BovadaL10 4/10 Tahj Brookso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL7 0/7
9	Target share · WR	60.7%	+2.7 pp
Supports OVER Ja'Marr Chaseo6.5 Receptions−120 bet365L10 6/10 Tee Higginso5.5 Receptions+105 Bally BetL10 5/10 Dohnte Meyerso1.5 Receptions−125 FanaticsL7 4/7 Ja'Marr Chaseo77.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 4/10 Tee Higginso77.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Dohnte Meyerso16.5 Rec Yards−114 CourtsideL7 4/7
10	Rush success rate	43.4%	+2.0 pp
Supports OVER Chase Browno49.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 7/10 Samaje Perineo17.5 Rush Yards+100 theScore BetL10 4/10 Joe Burrowo8.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
10	RB yards / carry	4.53	+4.5%
Supports OVER Chase Browno49.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 7/10 Samaje Perineo17.5 Rush Yards+100 theScore BetL10 4/10
12	RB rush yards / game	101.6	+7.1%
Supports OVER Chase Browno49.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 7/10 Samaje Perineo17.5 Rush Yards+100 theScore BetL10 4/10
12	Dropback explosive rate	8.4%	+0.3 pp
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo38.5 Longest Completion−115 Hard Rock BetL10 3/10
12	Dropbacks / game	37.1	+1.7%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo36.5 Passing Attempts−110 Bally BetL10 4/10
13	RB carries / game	22.4	+2.5%
Supports OVER Chase Browno13.5 Rushing Attempts−124 Bally BetL10 3/10 Samaje Perineo5.5 Rushing Attempts−102 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
13	QB pass yards / attempt	7.13	+1.5%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo276.5 Passing Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
13	Offensive plays faced / game	61.6	+1.7%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo36.5 Passing Attempts−110 Bally BetL10 4/10
14	Target share · RB	18.6%	+0.7 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 Chase Brown3.5 Receptionso −140 · u +130L10 6/10 over Samaje Perine1.5 Receptionso +182 · u −220L10 4/10 over Chase Brown22.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L10 4/10 over Samaje Perine5.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −110L10 7/10 over
14	Rec yards / game · WR	144.1	+3.2%
No lean at 14 of 32 Ja'Marr Chase77.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −114L10 4/10 over Tee Higgins77.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L10 5/10 over Dohnte Meyers16.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −105L7 4/7 over
T16	Receptions / game · WR	11.1	+0.8%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Ja'Marr Chase6.5 Receptionso −120 · u +120L10 6/10 over Tee Higgins5.5 Receptionso +105 · u −115L10 5/10 over Dohnte Meyers1.5 Receptionso −125 · u +125L7 4/7 over
T16	RZ targets / game · WR	2.35	−1.0%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Colbie Young0.5 Anytime TDo +1325L5 0/5 over Dohnte Meyers0.5 Anytime TDo +500L7 0/7 over Ja'Marr Chase0.5 Anytime TDo −110L10 7/10 over Mitchell Tinsley0.5 Anytime TDo +1550L10 1/10 over Tee Higgins0.5 Anytime TDo +115L10 5/10 over
17	Rec yards / game · RB	29.9	−5.4%
No lean at 17 of 32 Chase Brown22.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L10 4/10 over Samaje Perine5.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −110L10 7/10 over
17	Dropback success rate	45.4%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Joe Burrow276.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 6/10 over
18	QB pass yards / game	221.9	−1.4%
No lean at 18 of 32 Joe Burrow276.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 6/10 over
T19	Receptions / game · RB	4.1	−5.1%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Chase Brown3.5 Receptionso −140 · u +130L10 6/10 over Samaje Perine1.5 Receptionso +182 · u −220L10 4/10 over
20	QB pass attempts / game	31.1	−2.9%
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu36.5 Passing Attempts−105 theScore BetL10 6/10
20	Dropback EPA / play	+0.004	−0.04
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu276.5 Passing Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
T20	RZ targets / game · TE	1.06	−13.4%
T20	Red-zone trips / game	3.00	−6.3%
21	Rush explosive rate	9.1%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu13.5 Longest Rush−112 betPARXL10 7/10 Samaje Perineu8.5 Longest Rush−120 bet365L10 7/10 Joe Burrowu6.5 Longest Rush−107 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T22	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.76	−15.1%
23	QB completion rate	62.6%	−1.7 pp
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu25.5 Completions+100 BovadaL10 6/10
24	Rec yards / game · TE	46.1	−13.5%
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu28.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Drew Sampleu3.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL10 4/10
25	QB completions / game	19.5	−5.6%
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu25.5 Completions+100 BovadaL10 6/10
28	Target share · TE	20.1%	−3.8 pp
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu2.5 Receptions−105 BetMGML10 5/10 Drew Sampleu0.5 Receptions+164 FanDuelL10 3/10 Mike Gesickiu28.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Drew Sampleu3.5 Rec Yards−106 DraftKingsL10 4/10
T29	Receptions / game · TE	4.1	−22.7%
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu2.5 Receptions−105 BetMGML10 5/10 Drew Sampleu0.5 Receptions+164 FanDuelL10 3/10
32	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.18	−58.8%

CIN defense allowsWhat Atlanta sees

17 games

CIN funnels toward TE targets: 1st-most allowed (32.5%). Offenses pass 1.2 pp less often than expected against CIN.

CIN allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Target share · TE	32.5%	+8.6 pp
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o3.5 Receptions−143 Bally BetL10 4/10 Austin Hoopero0.5 Receptions−180 bet365L10 7/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Receptions−170 bet365L10 2/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.o41.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 4/10 Austin Hoopero6.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 6/10 Charlie Woernero4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10
1	RB rush yards / game	119.5	+25.9%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono97.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 3/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o25.5 Rush Yards−121 Bally BetL10 4/10
1	Rec yards / game · TE	84.9	+59.3%
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o41.5 Rec Yards−113 CourtsideL10 4/10 Austin Hoopero6.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 6/10 Charlie Woernero4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10
1	Receptions / game · TE	6.8	+29.8%
Supports OVER Kyle Pitts Sr.o3.5 Receptions−143 Bally BetL10 4/10 Austin Hoopero0.5 Receptions−180 bet365L10 7/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Receptions−170 bet365L10 2/10
1	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.94	+115.3%
Supports OVER Austin Hoopero0.5 Anytime TD+950 bet365L10 1/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Anytime TD+1350 BetMGML10 0/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.o0.5 Anytime TD+280 Bally BetL10 3/10 Nick Museo0.5 Anytime TD+2800 Bally BetL8 1/8
1	RZ targets / game · TE	2.18	+78.2%
Supports OVER Austin Hoopero0.5 Anytime TD+950 bet365L10 1/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Anytime TD+1350 BetMGML10 0/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.o0.5 Anytime TD+280 Bally BetL10 3/10 Nick Museo0.5 Anytime TD+2800 Bally BetL8 1/8
2	RB yards / carry	5.21	+20.2%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono97.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 3/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o25.5 Rush Yards−121 Bally BetL10 4/10
3	RB rushing EPA / play	+0.029	+0.08
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono97.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 3/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o25.5 Rush Yards−121 Bally BetL10 4/10
T4	Target share · RB	20.0%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono3.5 Receptions+125 FanaticsL10 4/10 Bijan Robinsono26.5 Rec Yards−108 CourtsideL10 4/10 Khalil Herberto0.5 Rec Yards−105 bet365L10 5/10
4	Rec yards / game · RB	42.9	+35.5%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono26.5 Rec Yards−108 CourtsideL10 4/10 Khalil Herberto0.5 Rec Yards−105 bet365L10 5/10
4	Dropback success rate	50.2%	+4.5 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o221.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
4	Dropback explosive rate	10.0%	+1.9 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o35.5 Longest Completion−110 Hard Rock BetL10 8/10
4	QB pass yards / attempt	7.82	+11.3%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o221.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
T4	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.18	+31.8%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono0.5 Anytime TD−250 Bally BetL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+255 Bally BetL10 2/10 Khalil Herberto0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL10 0/10
5	Dropback EPA / play	+0.180	+0.14
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o221.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
6	Rush success rate	44.5%	+3.0 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono97.5 Rush Yards−111 CourtsideL10 3/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o25.5 Rush Yards−121 Bally BetL10 4/10 Michael Penix Jr.o4.5 Rush Yards−108 FanDuelL10 5/10
6	Rush explosive rate	12.0%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono19.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 7/10 Michael Penix Jr.o3.5 Longest Rush−110 theScore BetL10 4/10
T6	Red-zone trips / game	3.71	+15.8%
Supports OVER Austin Hoopero0.5 Anytime TD+950 bet365L10 1/10 Beaux Collinso0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL8 0/8 Bijan Robinsono0.5 Anytime TD−250 Bally BetL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+255 Bally BetL10 2/10 Charlie Woernero0.5 Anytime TD+1350 BetMGML10 0/10 Chris Blairo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Drake Londono0.5 Anytime TD+140 BovadaL10 2/10 Jahan Dotsono0.5 Anytime TD+360 BetMGML10 2/10 Khalil Herberto0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL10 0/10 Kyle Pitts Sr.o0.5 Anytime TD+280 Bally BetL10 3/10 Michael Penix Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BovadaL10 0/10 Nick Museo0.5 Anytime TD+2800 Bally BetL8 1/8 Olamide Zaccheauso0.5 Anytime TD+650 CourtsideL10 1/10
8	QB pass yards / game	245.6	+9.1%
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o221.5 Passing Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10
T8	RZ targets / game · RB	0.88	+16.9%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono0.5 Anytime TD−250 Bally BetL10 4/10 Brian Robinson Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+255 Bally BetL10 2/10 Khalil Herberto0.5 Anytime TD+600 Bally BetL10 0/10
9	Receptions / game · RB	4.8	+11.2%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono3.5 Receptions+125 FanaticsL10 4/10
10	RB carries / game	22.9	+4.9%
Supports OVER Bijan Robinsono19.5 Rushing Attempts−105 bet365L10 4/10
T13	QB completion rate	65.2%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER Michael Penix Jr.o19.5 Completions−122 DraftKingsL10 3/10
15	Offensive plays faced / game	60.9	+0.5%
No lean at 15 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.31.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −112L10 5/10 over
18	QB pass attempts / game	31.4	−2.0%
No lean at 18 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.31.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −112L10 5/10 over
19	QB completions / game	20.5	−0.7%
No lean at 19 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.19.5 Completionso −122 · u +100L10 3/10 over
19	Dropbacks / game	35.9	−1.6%
No lean at 19 of 32 Michael Penix Jr.31.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −112L10 5/10 over
T25	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.71	−20.2%
28	Rec yards / game · WR	116.5	−16.5%
Supports UNDER Drake Londonu78.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu28.5 Rec Yards−109 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Olamide Zaccheausu9.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 10/10
T28	RZ targets / game · WR	1.76	−25.9%
T31	Receptions / game · WR	8.8	−20.6%
Supports UNDER Drake Londonu5.5 Receptions+110 BetMGML10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu1.5 Receptions+200 betPARXL10 4/10 Olamide Zaccheausu1.5 Receptions−112 DraftKingsL10 9/10
32	Target share · WR	47.1%	−10.9 pp
Supports UNDER Drake Londonu5.5 Receptions+110 BetMGML10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu1.5 Receptions+200 betPARXL10 4/10 Olamide Zaccheausu1.5 Receptions−112 DraftKingsL10 9/10 Drake Londonu78.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Jahan Dotsonu28.5 Rec Yards−109 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Olamide Zaccheausu9.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 10/10