Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · NFL

CIN @ BAL

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens · 1:00 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 22, 2026 · 5–7 games per defense

BAL defense allowsWhat Cincinnati sees

6 games

BAL funnels toward WR targets: 4th-most allowed (64.0%). Offenses pass 2.0 pp less often than expected against BAL.

BAL allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
4	Target share · WR	64.0%	+5.8 pp
Supports OVER Ja'Marr Chaseo7.5 Receptions+115 FanaticsL10 4/10 Tee Higginso4.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 6/10 Dohnte Meyerso1.5 Receptions−115 theScore BetL5 3/5 Ja'Marr Chaseo80.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 4/10 Tee Higginso65.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Dohnte Meyerso12.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL5 3/5
6	Rec yards / game · WR	175.7	+16.4%
Supports OVER Ja'Marr Chaseo80.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 4/10 Tee Higginso65.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Dohnte Meyerso12.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL5 3/5
8	Receptions / game · WR	13.3	+15.1%
Supports OVER Ja'Marr Chaseo7.5 Receptions+115 FanaticsL10 4/10 Tee Higginso4.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 6/10 Dohnte Meyerso1.5 Receptions−115 theScore BetL5 3/5
13	Target share · RB	18.5%	+0.8 pp
Supports OVER Chase Browno3.5 Receptions+105 betPARXL10 5/10 Samaje Perineo1.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 4/10 Chase Browno21.5 Rec Yards−108 CourtsideL10 5/10 Samaje Perineo7.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.50	−4.5%
Supports OVER Drew Sampleo0.5 Anytime TD+1100 BovadaL10 0/10 Erick All Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetOnline.agL10 0/10 Jack Endrieso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 bet365 Mike Gesickio0.5 Anytime TD+390 BetMGML10 6/10
T13	Dropbacks / game	38.8	+2.2%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo36.5 Passing Attempts−104 betPARXL10 4/10
14	QB completion rate	65.0%	+1.0 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 Joe Burrow24.5 Completionso −110 · u +105L10 7/10 over
T14	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.83	−6.1%
No lean at 14 (tied) of 32 Chase Brown0.5 Anytime TDo +100L10 5/10 over Samaje Perine0.5 Anytime TDo +295L10 3/10 over Tahj Brooks0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L6 0/6 over
16	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.089	0.00
No lean at 16 of 32 Chase Brown47.5 Rush Yardso −105 · u −110L10 7/10 over Samaje Perine20.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 5/10 over
16	QB completions / game	21.3	−1.1%
No lean at 16 of 32 Joe Burrow24.5 Completionso −110 · u +105L10 7/10 over
16	Offensive plays faced / game	62.0	+0.3%
No lean at 16 of 32 Joe Burrow36.5 Passing Attemptso −104 · u −110L10 4/10 over
T17	Receptions / game · RB	4.2	−5.8%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Chase Brown3.5 Receptionso +105 · u −114L10 5/10 over Samaje Perine1.5 Receptionso −135 · u +116L10 4/10 over
T17	RZ targets / game · WR	2.33	−7.4%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Colbie Young0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L3 0/3 over Dohnte Meyers0.5 Anytime TDo +450L5 0/5 over Ja'Marr Chase0.5 Anytime TDo +120L10 5/10 over Mitchell Tinsley0.5 Anytime TDo +900L10 1/10 over Tee Higgins0.5 Anytime TDo +160L10 4/10 over
18	QB pass attempts / game	32.8	−2.7%
No lean at 18 of 32 Joe Burrow36.5 Passing Attemptso −104 · u −110L10 4/10 over
18	QB pass yards / attempt	6.87	−2.2%
No lean at 18 of 32 Joe Burrow260.5 Passing Yardso −110 · u −113L10 5/10 over
18	Red-zone trips / game	3.17	−3.5%
No lean at 18 of 32 Chase Brown0.5 Anytime TDo +100L10 5/10 over Colbie Young0.5 Anytime TDo +1200L3 0/3 over Dohnte Meyers0.5 Anytime TDo +450L5 0/5 over Drew Sample0.5 Anytime TDo +1100L10 0/10 over Erick All Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L10 0/10 over Ja'Marr Chase0.5 Anytime TDo +120L10 5/10 over Jack Endries0.5 Anytime TDo +1000 Joe Burrow0.5 Anytime TDo +850L10 1/10 over Mike Gesicki0.5 Anytime TDo +390L10 6/10 over Mitchell Tinsley0.5 Anytime TDo +900L10 1/10 over Samaje Perine0.5 Anytime TDo +295L10 3/10 over Tahj Brooks0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L6 0/6 over Tee Higgins0.5 Anytime TDo +160L10 4/10 over
T19	RB carries / game	21.2	−3.5%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Chase Brown12.5 Rushing Attemptso −103 · u +101L10 7/10 over Samaje Perine6.5 Rushing Attemptso +100 · u −124L10 4/10 over
19	Dropback explosive rate	7.7%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Joe Burrow38.5 Longest Completiono −108 · u −120L10 2/10 over
T19	RZ targets / game · RB	0.50	−33.3%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Chase Brown0.5 Anytime TDo +100L10 5/10 over Samaje Perine0.5 Anytime TDo +295L10 3/10 over Tahj Brooks0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L6 0/6 over
20	Rush success rate	38.8%	−1.1 pp
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu47.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Samaje Perineu20.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10 Joe Burrowu6.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T20	RZ targets / game · TE	1.00	−23.2%
22	RB rush yards / game	80.5	−10.2%
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu47.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Samaje Perineu20.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
T22	QB pass yards / game	225.7	−4.5%
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu260.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
23	Dropback success rate	43.3%	−2.0 pp
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu260.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
24	Dropback EPA / play	−0.019	−0.08
Supports UNDER Joe Burrowu260.5 Passing Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
25	RB yards / carry	3.80	−6.6%
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu47.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Samaje Perineu20.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
26	Rush explosive rate	7.9%	−1.3 pp
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu12.5 Longest Rush−110 Hard Rock BetL10 6/10 Samaje Perineu8.5 Longest Rush−110 FliffL10 7/10 Joe Burrowu6.5 Longest Rush−113 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T26	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.50	−43.4%
27	Rec yards / game · TE	36.2	−33.4%
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu22.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 4/10 Erick All Jr.u8.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10 Drew Sampleu3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
31	Receptions / game · TE	3.8	−30.9%
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu2.5 Receptions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10 Erick All Jr.u1.5 Receptions−185 bet365L10 4/10 Drew Sampleu0.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 3/10
32	Target share · TE	17.5%	−6.6 pp
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu2.5 Receptions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10 Erick All Jr.u1.5 Receptions−185 bet365L10 4/10 Drew Sampleu0.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 3/10 Mike Gesickiu22.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 4/10 Erick All Jr.u8.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10 Drew Sampleu3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
32	Rec yards / game · RB	13.8	−55.4%
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu21.5 Rec Yards−115 betPARXL10 5/10 Samaje Perineu7.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 4/10

CIN defense allowsWhat Baltimore sees

5 games

CIN funnels toward TE targets: 3rd-most allowed (30.2%). Offenses pass 2.5 pp less often than expected against CIN.

CIN allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	Rec yards / game · TE	90.2	+66.0%
Supports OVER Mark Andrewso33.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10
3	Target share · TE	30.2%	+6.2 pp
Supports OVER Mark Andrewso3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 5/10 Mark Andrewso33.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10
3	Rush explosive rate	13.3%	+4.1 pp
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo17.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 6/10
4	Receptions / game · TE	7.2	+29.9%
Supports OVER Mark Andrewso3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 5/10
8	RB yards / carry	4.43	+8.8%
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo85.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
9	Dropback explosive rate	9.2%	+1.3 pp
10	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.066	+0.03
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo85.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
11	QB pass yards / game	245.0	+3.7%
Supports OVER Lamar Jacksono223.5 Passing Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
T11	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+13.3%
Supports OVER Devontez Walkero0.5 Anytime TD+1400 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10 Elijah Sarratto0.5 Anytime TD+1500 Bally BetL1 0/1 Ja'Kobi Laneo0.5 Anytime TD+390 bet365L2 0/2 LaJohntay Westero0.5 Anytime TD+1600 Bally BetL5 0/5 Rashod Batemano0.5 Anytime TD+525 bet365L10 1/10 Zay Flowerso0.5 Anytime TD+185 bet365L10 6/10
T11	Dropbacks / game	39.0	+2.7%
Supports OVER Lamar Jacksono29.5 Passing Attempts−110 bet365L10 3/10
13	Dropback success rate	46.2%	+0.8 pp
Supports OVER Lamar Jacksono223.5 Passing Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
14	Red-zone trips / game	3.40	+3.5%
No lean at 14 of 32 Derrick Henry0.5 Anytime TDo −200L10 7/10 over Devontez Walker0.5 Anytime TDo +1400L10 2/10 over Elijah Sarratt0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L1 0/1 over Ja'Kobi Lane0.5 Anytime TDo +390L2 0/2 over Josh Cuevas0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L6 1/6 over Justice Hill0.5 Anytime TDo +575L10 1/10 over LaJohntay Wester0.5 Anytime TDo +1600L5 0/5 over Lamar Jackson0.5 Anytime TDo +230L10 2/10 over Mark Andrews0.5 Anytime TDo +240L10 1/10 over Nick Vannett0.5 Anytime TDo +2200L10 2/10 over Rasheen Ali0.5 Anytime TDo +7500L10 1/10 over Rashod Bateman0.5 Anytime TDo +525L10 1/10 over Zay Flowers0.5 Anytime TDo +185L10 6/10 over
15	QB pass attempts / game	33.6	−0.4%
No lean at 15 of 32 Lamar Jackson29.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −120L10 3/10 over
15	QB pass yards / attempt	7.29	+3.8%
No lean at 15 of 32 Lamar Jackson223.5 Passing Yardso −115 · u −115L10 4/10 over
17	Rec yards / game · RB	31.8	+2.5%
No lean at 17 of 32 Derrick Henry6.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −108L10 3/10 over
T17	RZ targets / game · RB	0.60	−20.0%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 Derrick Henry0.5 Anytime TDo −200L10 7/10 over Justice Hill0.5 Anytime TDo +575L10 1/10 over Rasheen Ali0.5 Anytime TDo +7500L10 1/10 over
18	QB completions / game	21.0	−2.6%
No lean at 18 of 32 Lamar Jackson19.5 Completionso −110 · u −120L10 1/10 over
T19	Receptions / game · RB	4.0	−9.6%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Derrick Henry1.5 Receptionso +151 · u −180L10 2/10 over
19	RZ targets / game · WR	2.20	−12.6%
No lean at 19 of 32 Devontez Walker0.5 Anytime TDo +1400L10 2/10 over Elijah Sarratt0.5 Anytime TDo +1500L1 0/1 over Ja'Kobi Lane0.5 Anytime TDo +390L2 0/2 over LaJohntay Wester0.5 Anytime TDo +1600L5 0/5 over Rashod Bateman0.5 Anytime TDo +525L10 1/10 over Zay Flowers0.5 Anytime TDo +185L10 6/10 over
T20	RZ targets / game · TE	1.00	−23.2%
21	RB rush yards / game	82.4	−8.0%
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu85.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
21	Offensive plays faced / game	60.0	−2.9%
Supports UNDER Lamar Jacksonu29.5 Passing Attempts−120 bet365L10 7/10
22	QB completion rate	62.5%	−1.5 pp
Supports UNDER Lamar Jacksonu19.5 Completions−120 bet365L10 9/10
23	Target share · WR	56.0%	−2.2 pp
Supports UNDER Zay Flowersu5.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 5/10 Ja'Kobi Laneu1.5 Receptions+150 bet365L2 1/2 Rashod Batemanu1.5 Receptions+145 bet365L10 5/10 Zay Flowersu73.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Ja'Kobi Laneu24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L2 1/2 Rashod Batemanu24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
25	Dropback EPA / play	−0.024	−0.08
Supports UNDER Lamar Jacksonu223.5 Passing Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
T25	Receptions / game · WR	9.8	−15.3%
Supports UNDER Zay Flowersu5.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 5/10 Ja'Kobi Laneu1.5 Receptions+150 bet365L2 1/2 Rashod Batemanu1.5 Receptions+145 bet365L10 5/10
26	Rush success rate	37.1%	−2.8 pp
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu85.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 3/10 Lamar Jacksonu27.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
T26	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.60	−32.1%
28	Rec yards / game · WR	123.0	−18.5%
Supports UNDER Zay Flowersu73.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Ja'Kobi Laneu24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L2 1/2 Rashod Batemanu24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
29	RB carries / game	18.6	−15.3%
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu19.5 Rushing Attempts−110 FanaticsL10 4/10
30	Target share · RB	13.8%	−3.9 pp
Supports UNDER Derrick Henryu1.5 Receptions−180 bet365L10 8/10 Derrick Henryu6.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 7/10
T30	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.00	−100.0%

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

BAL defense allowsWhat Cincinnati sees

17 games

BAL funnels toward QB passing yards: 4th-most allowed (259.0). Offenses pass 1.1 pp more often than expected against BAL.

BAL allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	QB completions / game	23.5	+13.8%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo24.5 Completions−110 bet365L10 7/10
1	RZ targets / game · RB	1.35	+79.3%
Supports OVER Chase Browno0.5 Anytime TD+100 BovadaL10 5/10 Samaje Perineo0.5 Anytime TD+295 BovadaL10 3/10 Tahj Brookso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL6 0/6
T2	Rec yards / game · RB	43.2	+36.7%
Supports OVER Chase Browno21.5 Rec Yards−108 CourtsideL10 5/10 Samaje Perineo7.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
T2	Receptions / game · RB	5.5	+29.2%
Supports OVER Chase Browno3.5 Receptions+105 betPARXL10 5/10 Samaje Perineo1.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 4/10
2	Receptions / game · WR	12.9	+17.3%
Supports OVER Ja'Marr Chaseo7.5 Receptions+115 FanaticsL10 4/10 Tee Higginso4.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 6/10 Dohnte Meyerso1.5 Receptions−115 theScore BetL5 3/5
2	RZ targets / game · WR	3.41	+43.6%
Supports OVER Colbie Youngo0.5 Anytime TD+1200 Bally BetL3 0/3 Dohnte Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML5 0/5 Ja'Marr Chaseo0.5 Anytime TD+120 BetMGML10 5/10 Mitchell Tinsleyo0.5 Anytime TD+900 Bally BetL10 1/10 Tee Higginso0.5 Anytime TD+160 FanaticsL10 4/10
2	Dropbacks / game	41.0	+12.5%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo36.5 Passing Attempts−104 betPARXL10 4/10
3	QB pass attempts / game	36.8	+14.7%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo36.5 Passing Attempts−104 betPARXL10 4/10
3	Rec yards / game · WR	167.6	+20.1%
Supports OVER Ja'Marr Chaseo80.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 4/10 Tee Higginso65.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Dohnte Meyerso12.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL5 3/5
3	Offensive plays faced / game	63.4	+4.6%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo36.5 Passing Attempts−104 betPARXL10 4/10
4	QB pass yards / game	259.0	+15.1%
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo260.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
5	Dropback explosive rate	9.8%	+1.7 pp
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo38.5 Longest Completion−108 Bally BetL10 2/10
6	Target share · RB	19.7%	+1.8 pp
Supports OVER Chase Browno3.5 Receptions+105 betPARXL10 5/10 Samaje Perineo1.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 4/10 Chase Browno21.5 Rec Yards−108 CourtsideL10 5/10 Samaje Perineo7.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10
T6	Red-zone trips / game	3.71	+15.8%
Supports OVER Chase Browno0.5 Anytime TD+100 BovadaL10 5/10 Colbie Youngo0.5 Anytime TD+1200 Bally BetL3 0/3 Dohnte Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML5 0/5 Drew Sampleo0.5 Anytime TD+1100 BovadaL10 0/10 Erick All Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetOnline.agL10 0/10 Ja'Marr Chaseo0.5 Anytime TD+120 BetMGML10 5/10 Jack Endrieso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 bet365 Joe Burrowo0.5 Anytime TD+850 BetMGML10 1/10 Mike Gesickio0.5 Anytime TD+390 BetMGML10 6/10 Mitchell Tinsleyo0.5 Anytime TD+900 Bally BetL10 1/10 Samaje Perineo0.5 Anytime TD+295 BovadaL10 3/10 Tahj Brookso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL6 0/6 Tee Higginso0.5 Anytime TD+160 FanaticsL10 4/10
7	Target share · WR	61.2%	+3.2 pp
Supports OVER Ja'Marr Chaseo7.5 Receptions+115 FanaticsL10 4/10 Tee Higginso4.5 Receptions−135 bet365L10 6/10 Dohnte Meyerso1.5 Receptions−115 theScore BetL5 3/5 Ja'Marr Chaseo80.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 4/10 Tee Higginso65.5 Rec Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Dohnte Meyerso12.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL5 3/5
T11	RZ targets / game · TE	1.24	+1.4%
Supports OVER Drew Sampleo0.5 Anytime TD+1100 BovadaL10 0/10 Erick All Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetOnline.agL10 0/10 Jack Endrieso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 bet365 Mike Gesickio0.5 Anytime TD+390 BetMGML10 6/10
12	Rush explosive rate	10.5%	+0.6 pp
Supports OVER Chase Browno12.5 Longest Rush−109 Bally BetL10 4/10 Samaje Perineo8.5 Longest Rush−110 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Joe Burrowo6.5 Longest Rush−115 bet365L10 4/10
12	Dropback EPA / play	+0.087	+0.04
Supports OVER Joe Burrowo260.5 Passing Yards−110 FanaticsL10 5/10
T13	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.88	−1.7%
Supports OVER Chase Browno0.5 Anytime TD+100 BovadaL10 5/10 Samaje Perineo0.5 Anytime TD+295 BovadaL10 3/10 Tahj Brookso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL6 0/6
T13	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.94	+5.7%
Supports OVER Colbie Youngo0.5 Anytime TD+1200 Bally BetL3 0/3 Dohnte Meyerso0.5 Anytime TD+450 BetMGML5 0/5 Ja'Marr Chaseo0.5 Anytime TD+120 BetMGML10 5/10 Mitchell Tinsleyo0.5 Anytime TD+900 Bally BetL10 1/10 Tee Higginso0.5 Anytime TD+160 FanaticsL10 4/10
16	Dropback success rate	45.9%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Joe Burrow260.5 Passing Yardso −110 · u −113L10 5/10 over
16	QB pass yards / attempt	7.04	+0.3%
No lean at 16 of 32 Joe Burrow260.5 Passing Yardso −110 · u −113L10 5/10 over
18	Rush success rate	41.1%	−0.4 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Chase Brown47.5 Rush Yardso −105 · u −110L10 7/10 over Samaje Perine20.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 5/10 over Joe Burrow6.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 4/10 over
19	QB completion rate	63.8%	−0.5 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Joe Burrow24.5 Completionso −110 · u +105L10 7/10 over
20	RB yards / carry	4.18	−3.6%
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu47.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Samaje Perineu20.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
20	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.079	−0.03
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu47.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Samaje Perineu20.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
23	Rec yards / game · TE	46.7	−12.4%
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu22.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 4/10 Erick All Jr.u8.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10 Drew Sampleu3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
24	Receptions / game · TE	4.9	−7.1%
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu2.5 Receptions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10 Erick All Jr.u1.5 Receptions−185 bet365L10 4/10 Drew Sampleu0.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 3/10
26	RB rush yards / game	82.1	−13.5%
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu47.5 Rush Yards−110 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Samaje Perineu20.5 Rush Yards−110 theScore BetL10 5/10
T26	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.29	−33.6%
T28	RB carries / game	19.6	−10.1%
Supports UNDER Chase Brownu12.5 Rushing Attempts+101 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Samaje Perineu6.5 Rushing Attempts−124 DraftKingsL10 6/10
31	Target share · TE	19.0%	−4.9 pp
Supports UNDER Mike Gesickiu2.5 Receptions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10 Erick All Jr.u1.5 Receptions−185 bet365L10 4/10 Drew Sampleu0.5 Receptions+130 bet365L10 3/10 Mike Gesickiu22.5 Rec Yards−110 betPARXL10 4/10 Erick All Jr.u8.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10 Drew Sampleu3.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10

CIN defense allowsWhat Baltimore sees

17 games

CIN funnels toward TE targets: 1st-most allowed (32.5%). Offenses pass 1.2 pp less often than expected against CIN.

CIN allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Target share · TE	32.5%	+8.6 pp
Supports OVER Mark Andrewso3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 5/10 Mark Andrewso33.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10
1	RB rush yards / game	119.5	+25.9%
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo85.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
1	Rec yards / game · TE	84.9	+59.3%
Supports OVER Mark Andrewso33.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 2/10
1	Receptions / game · TE	6.8	+29.8%
Supports OVER Mark Andrewso3.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 5/10
1	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.94	+115.3%
Supports OVER Josh Cuevaso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML6 1/6 Mark Andrewso0.5 Anytime TD+240 Bally BetL10 1/10 Nick Vannetto0.5 Anytime TD+2200 bet365L10 2/10
1	RZ targets / game · TE	2.18	+78.2%
Supports OVER Josh Cuevaso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML6 1/6 Mark Andrewso0.5 Anytime TD+240 Bally BetL10 1/10 Nick Vannetto0.5 Anytime TD+2200 bet365L10 2/10
2	RB yards / carry	5.21	+20.2%
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo85.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
3	RB rushing EPA / play	+0.029	+0.08
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo85.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
T4	Target share · RB	20.0%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo1.5 Receptions+151 CourtsideL10 2/10 Derrick Henryo6.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10
4	Rec yards / game · RB	42.9	+35.5%
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo6.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10
4	Dropback success rate	50.2%	+4.5 pp
Supports OVER Lamar Jacksono223.5 Passing Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
4	Dropback explosive rate	10.0%	+1.9 pp
4	QB pass yards / attempt	7.82	+11.3%
Supports OVER Lamar Jacksono223.5 Passing Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
T4	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.18	+31.8%
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo0.5 Anytime TD−200 bet365L10 7/10 Justice Hillo0.5 Anytime TD+575 bet365L10 1/10 Rasheen Alio0.5 Anytime TD+7500 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10
5	Dropback EPA / play	+0.180	+0.14
Supports OVER Lamar Jacksono223.5 Passing Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
6	Rush success rate	44.5%	+3.0 pp
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo85.5 Rush Yards−114 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Lamar Jacksono27.5 Rush Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
6	Rush explosive rate	12.0%	+2.1 pp
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo17.5 Longest Rush−110 bet365L10 6/10
T6	Red-zone trips / game	3.71	+15.8%
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo0.5 Anytime TD−200 bet365L10 7/10 Devontez Walkero0.5 Anytime TD+1400 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10 Elijah Sarratto0.5 Anytime TD+1500 Bally BetL1 0/1 Ja'Kobi Laneo0.5 Anytime TD+390 bet365L2 0/2 Josh Cuevaso0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML6 1/6 Justice Hillo0.5 Anytime TD+575 bet365L10 1/10 LaJohntay Westero0.5 Anytime TD+1600 Bally BetL5 0/5 Lamar Jacksono0.5 Anytime TD+230 BetMGML10 2/10 Mark Andrewso0.5 Anytime TD+240 Bally BetL10 1/10 Nick Vannetto0.5 Anytime TD+2200 bet365L10 2/10 Rasheen Alio0.5 Anytime TD+7500 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10 Rashod Batemano0.5 Anytime TD+525 bet365L10 1/10 Zay Flowerso0.5 Anytime TD+185 bet365L10 6/10
8	QB pass yards / game	245.6	+9.1%
Supports OVER Lamar Jacksono223.5 Passing Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
T8	RZ targets / game · RB	0.88	+16.9%
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo0.5 Anytime TD−200 bet365L10 7/10 Justice Hillo0.5 Anytime TD+575 bet365L10 1/10 Rasheen Alio0.5 Anytime TD+7500 Hard Rock BetL10 1/10
9	Receptions / game · RB	4.8	+11.2%
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo1.5 Receptions+151 CourtsideL10 2/10
10	RB carries / game	22.9	+4.9%
Supports OVER Derrick Henryo19.5 Rushing Attempts+100 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
T13	QB completion rate	65.2%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER Lamar Jacksono19.5 Completions−110 bet365L10 1/10
15	Offensive plays faced / game	60.9	+0.5%
No lean at 15 of 32 Lamar Jackson29.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −120L10 3/10 over
18	QB pass attempts / game	31.4	−2.0%
No lean at 18 of 32 Lamar Jackson29.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −120L10 3/10 over
19	QB completions / game	20.5	−0.7%
No lean at 19 of 32 Lamar Jackson19.5 Completionso −110 · u −120L10 1/10 over
19	Dropbacks / game	35.9	−1.6%
No lean at 19 of 32 Lamar Jackson29.5 Passing Attemptso −110 · u −120L10 3/10 over
T25	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.71	−20.2%
28	Rec yards / game · WR	116.5	−16.5%
Supports UNDER Zay Flowersu73.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Ja'Kobi Laneu24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L2 1/2 Rashod Batemanu24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10
T28	RZ targets / game · WR	1.76	−25.9%
T31	Receptions / game · WR	8.8	−20.6%
Supports UNDER Zay Flowersu5.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 5/10 Ja'Kobi Laneu1.5 Receptions+150 bet365L2 1/2 Rashod Batemanu1.5 Receptions+145 bet365L10 5/10
32	Target share · WR	47.1%	−10.9 pp
Supports UNDER Zay Flowersu5.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 5/10 Ja'Kobi Laneu1.5 Receptions+150 bet365L2 1/2 Rashod Batemanu1.5 Receptions+145 bet365L10 5/10 Zay Flowersu73.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10 Ja'Kobi Laneu24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L2 1/2 Rashod Batemanu24.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 6/10