Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · NFL

GB @ DET

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions · 4:25 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 19, 2026 · 5–6 games per defense

DET defense allowsWhat Green Bay sees

5 games

DET funnels toward QB passing yards: 1st-most allowed (321.4). Offenses pass 5.8 pp more often than expected against DET.

DET allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	QB pass attempts / game	42.6	+26.4%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo36.5 Passing Attempts−118 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
1	QB completions / game	29.0	+34.7%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo23.5 Completions+105 BetMGML10 4/10
1	Rec yards / game · TE	109.0	+102.8%
Supports OVER Tucker Krafto49.5 Rec Yards+100 Bally BetL10 4/10 Jonnu Smitho4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
1	QB pass yards / game	321.4	+36.4%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo277.5 Passing Yards−114 Bally BetL10 4/10
1	Receptions / game · TE	10.2	+85.7%
Supports OVER Tucker Krafto4.5 Receptions+104 betPARXL10 5/10
1	Touchdowns / game · TE	1.80	+248.4%
Supports OVER Jonnu Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML10 0/10 Josh Whyleo0.5 Anytime TD+1900 FanDuelL10 1/10 Mark Redmano0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BetMGML6 0/6 Tucker Krafto0.5 Anytime TD+185 BetMGML10 4/10
1	RZ targets / game · TE	2.60	+99.8%
Supports OVER Jonnu Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML10 0/10 Josh Whyleo0.5 Anytime TD+1900 FanDuelL10 1/10 Mark Redmano0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BetMGML6 0/6 Tucker Krafto0.5 Anytime TD+185 BetMGML10 4/10
1	Dropbacks / game	49.0	+29.1%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo36.5 Passing Attempts−118 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
1	Offensive plays faced / game	71.0	+15.0%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo36.5 Passing Attempts−118 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
2	Target share · TE	31.9%	+8.0 pp
Supports OVER Tucker Krafto4.5 Receptions+104 betPARXL10 5/10 Tucker Krafto49.5 Rec Yards+100 Bally BetL10 4/10 Jonnu Smitho4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
2	Receptions / game · WR	14.8	+27.5%
Supports OVER Matthew Goldeno5.5 Receptions+140 Bally BetL10 3/10 Christian Watsono4.5 Receptions+100 betPARXL10 4/10 Savion Williamso2.5 Receptions+116 FanDuelL10 2/10
3	Rec yards / game · WR	194.8	+29.1%
Supports OVER Christian Watsono75.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Matthew Goldeno73.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Savion Williamso19.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10
3	Dropback success rate	51.8%	+6.6 pp
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo277.5 Passing Yards−114 Bally BetL10 4/10
4	QB completion rate	68.1%	+4.2 pp
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo23.5 Completions+105 BetMGML10 4/10
4	Dropback EPA / play	+0.237	+0.19
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo277.5 Passing Yards−114 Bally BetL10 4/10
4	Red-zone trips / game	4.20	+27.9%
Supports OVER Bo Meltono0.5 Anytime TD+1300 FanDuelL10 1/10 Christian Watsono0.5 Anytime TD+130 BovadaL10 6/10 J. Michael Sturdivanto0.5 Anytime TD+2500 FanaticsL5 0/5 Jonnu Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML10 0/10 Jordan Loveo0.5 Anytime TD+825 BetMGML10 1/10 Josh Jacobso0.5 Anytime TD+111 CaesarsL10 5/10 Josh Whyleo0.5 Anytime TD+1900 FanDuelL10 1/10 Kaleb Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+550 FanaticsL10 0/10 Mark Redmano0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BetMGML6 0/6 MarShawn Lloydo0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL7 2/7 Matthew Goldeno0.5 Anytime TD+155 FanaticsL10 4/10 Pierre Strong Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+370 FanaticsL10 0/10 Savion Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+400 bet365L10 1/10 Tucker Krafto0.5 Anytime TD+185 BetMGML10 4/10
T6	Rush explosive rate	10.9%	+1.6 pp
7	Dropback explosive rate	9.4%	+1.5 pp
8	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.061	+0.03
Supports OVER Josh Jacobso47.5 Rush Yards−110 CourtsideL10 6/10 MarShawn Lloydo12.5 Rush Yards−106 CourtsideL7 5/7 Pierre Strong Jr.o10.5 Rush Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10
10	RB yards / carry	4.26	+4.5%
Supports OVER Josh Jacobso47.5 Rush Yards−110 CourtsideL10 6/10 MarShawn Lloydo12.5 Rush Yards−106 CourtsideL7 5/7 Pierre Strong Jr.o10.5 Rush Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10
10	QB pass yards / attempt	7.54	+7.7%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo277.5 Passing Yards−114 Bally BetL10 4/10
T11	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.00	+12.7%
Supports OVER Bo Meltono0.5 Anytime TD+1300 FanDuelL10 1/10 Christian Watsono0.5 Anytime TD+130 BovadaL10 6/10 J. Michael Sturdivanto0.5 Anytime TD+2500 FanaticsL5 0/5 Matthew Goldeno0.5 Anytime TD+155 FanaticsL10 4/10 Savion Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+400 bet365L10 1/10
11	RZ targets / game · RB	0.80	+6.2%
Supports OVER Josh Jacobso0.5 Anytime TD+111 CaesarsL10 5/10 Kaleb Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+550 FanaticsL10 0/10 MarShawn Lloydo0.5 Anytime TD+370 BovadaL7 2/7 Pierre Strong Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+370 FanaticsL10 0/10
14	RZ targets / game · WR	2.60	+2.3%
No lean at 14 of 32 Bo Melton0.5 Anytime TDo +1300L10 1/10 over Christian Watson0.5 Anytime TDo +130L10 6/10 over J. Michael Sturdivant0.5 Anytime TDo +2500L5 0/5 over Matthew Golden0.5 Anytime TDo +155L10 4/10 over Savion Williams0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 1/10 over
18	RB rush yards / game	84.4	−5.9%
No lean at 18 of 32 Josh Jacobs47.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −110L10 6/10 over MarShawn Lloyd12.5 Rush Yardso −106 · u −114L7 5/7 over Pierre Strong Jr.10.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −114L10 2/10 over
18	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.80	−9.2%
No lean at 18 of 32 Josh Jacobs0.5 Anytime TDo +111L10 5/10 over Kaleb Johnson0.5 Anytime TDo +550L10 0/10 over MarShawn Lloyd0.5 Anytime TDo +370L7 2/7 over Pierre Strong Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +370L10 0/10 over
23	Rush success rate	38.2%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu47.5 Rush Yards−110 bet365L10 4/10 MarShawn Lloydu12.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL7 2/7 Pierre Strong Jr.u10.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 8/10 Jordan Loveu7.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 7/10
T26	RB carries / game	19.8	−9.8%
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu12.5 Rushing Attempts−105 BetMGML10 4/10 MarShawn Lloydu3.5 Rushing Attempts−155 bet365L7 0/7 Pierre Strong Jr.u3.5 Rushing Attempts−105 bet365L10 7/10
26	Target share · WR	54.9%	−3.5 pp
Supports UNDER Matthew Goldenu5.5 Receptions−135 BetMGML10 7/10 Christian Watsonu4.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 6/10 Savion Williamsu2.5 Receptions−136 betPARXL10 8/10 Christian Watsonu75.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Matthew Goldenu73.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10 Savion Williamsu19.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10
26	Receptions / game · RB	3.8	−13.9%
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu1.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 4/10 Pierre Strong Jr.u1.5 Receptions−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
31	Rec yards / game · RB	16.2	−47.3%
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu8.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Pierre Strong Jr.u7.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 5/10 MarShawn Lloydu1.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L7 2/7
32	Target share · RB	12.7%	−5.0 pp
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu1.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 4/10 Pierre Strong Jr.u1.5 Receptions−114 FanDuelL10 5/10 Josh Jacobsu8.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Pierre Strong Jr.u7.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 5/10 MarShawn Lloydu1.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L7 2/7

GB defense allowsWhat Detroit sees

6 games

GB funnels toward WR targets: 2nd-most allowed (65.4%). Offenses pass 1.3 pp less often than expected against GB.

GB allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	Target share · WR	65.4%	+7.0 pp
Supports OVER Amon-Ra St. Browno7.5 Receptions+100 FanDuelL10 6/10 Jameson Williamso3.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 7/10 Isaac TeSlaao1.5 Receptions−141 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 Amon-Ra St. Browno79.5 Rec Yards−108 FanDuelL10 4/10 Jameson Williamso54.5 Rec Yards−112 CourtsideL10 5/10 Isaac TeSlaao23.5 Rec Yards−111 CourtsideL10 5/10
2	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.67	+89.5%
Supports OVER Jacob Saylorso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL4 0/4 Jahmyr Gibbso0.5 Anytime TD−310 FliffL10 8/10 Sione Vakio0.5 Anytime TD+800 FanaticsL10 0/10
4	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.005	+0.09
Supports OVER Jahmyr Gibbso93.5 Rush Yards−113 CourtsideL10 3/10 Sione Vakio8.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10
4	Receptions / game · WR	14.0	+20.6%
Supports OVER Amon-Ra St. Browno7.5 Receptions+100 FanDuelL10 6/10 Jameson Williamso3.5 Receptions−110 bet365L10 7/10 Isaac TeSlaao1.5 Receptions−141 BetOnline.agL10 6/10
T5	RZ targets / game · WR	3.50	+37.8%
Supports OVER Amon-Ra St. Browno0.5 Anytime TD−120 BetMGML10 4/10 Isaac TeSlaao0.5 Anytime TD+380 BovadaL10 3/10 Jackson Meekso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGML2 0/2 Jameson Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+200 BetMGML10 2/10 Tay Martino0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL4 1/4
6	Rush success rate	43.3%	+3.3 pp
Supports OVER Jahmyr Gibbso93.5 Rush Yards−113 CourtsideL10 3/10 Sione Vakio8.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10 Jared Goffo0.5 Rush Yards−102 FanDuelL10 5/10
6	Dropbacks / game	40.8	+7.6%
Supports OVER Jared Goffo36.5 Passing Attempts−109 DraftKingsL10 6/10
6	Offensive plays faced / game	65.8	+6.6%
Supports OVER Jared Goffo36.5 Passing Attempts−109 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T8	RZ targets / game · RB	0.83	+10.2%
Supports OVER Jacob Saylorso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL4 0/4 Jahmyr Gibbso0.5 Anytime TD−310 FliffL10 8/10 Sione Vakio0.5 Anytime TD+800 FanaticsL10 0/10
10	QB completions / game	22.7	+5.3%
Supports OVER Jared Goffo24.5 Completions−119 BetOnline.agL10 8/10
T12	RB carries / game	22.7	+3.3%
Supports OVER Jahmyr Gibbso20.5 Rushing Attempts−102 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Sione Vakio3.5 Rushing Attempts+120 bet365L10 3/10
13	QB pass attempts / game	35.2	+4.3%
Supports OVER Jared Goffo36.5 Passing Attempts−109 DraftKingsL10 6/10
13	Rec yards / game · RB	34.0	+10.5%
Supports OVER Jahmyr Gibbso39.5 Rec Yards+102 CourtsideL10 5/10 Sione Vakio0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
T15	Red-zone trips / game	3.33	+1.4%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Amon-Ra St. Brown0.5 Anytime TDo −120L10 4/10 over Brock Wright0.5 Anytime TDo +775L10 0/10 over Isaac TeSlaa0.5 Anytime TDo +380L10 3/10 over Jackson Meeks0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L2 0/2 over Jacob Saylors0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L4 0/4 over Jahmyr Gibbs0.5 Anytime TDo −310L10 8/10 over Jameson Williams0.5 Anytime TDo +200L10 2/10 over Jared Goff0.5 Anytime TDo +950L10 1/10 over Sam LaPorta0.5 Anytime TDo +180L10 6/10 over Sione Vaki0.5 Anytime TDo +800L10 0/10 over Tay Martin0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L4 1/4 over Tyler Conklin0.5 Anytime TDo +1850L10 0/10 over
16	RB rush yards / game	90.8	+1.2%
No lean at 16 of 32 Jahmyr Gibbs93.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −111L10 3/10 over Sione Vaki8.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 3/10 over
16	Receptions / game · RB	4.3	−1.8%
No lean at 16 of 32 Jahmyr Gibbs4.5 Receptionso −140 · u +120L10 6/10 over
17	RB yards / carry	4.01	−1.6%
No lean at 17 of 32 Jahmyr Gibbs93.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −111L10 3/10 over Sione Vaki8.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 3/10 over
17	QB completion rate	64.5%	+0.6 pp
No lean at 17 of 32 Jared Goff24.5 Completionso −119 · u −103L10 8/10 over
19	Dropback success rate	44.1%	−1.1 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Jared Goff277.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −112L10 6/10 over
T19	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.33	−36.1%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 Brock Wright0.5 Anytime TDo +775L10 0/10 over Sam LaPorta0.5 Anytime TDo +180L10 6/10 over Tyler Conklin0.5 Anytime TDo +1850L10 0/10 over
T21	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.67	−24.5%
22	Rush explosive rate	8.0%	−1.3 pp
22	Rec yards / game · WR	140.5	−6.9%
Supports UNDER Amon-Ra St. Brownu79.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10 Jameson Williamsu54.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Isaac TeSlaau23.5 Rec Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
T24	Target share · RB	15.6%	−2.1 pp
Supports UNDER Jahmyr Gibbsu4.5 Receptions+120 bet365L10 4/10 Jahmyr Gibbsu39.5 Rec Yards−115 BetMGML10 5/10 Sione Vakiu0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
T25	Receptions / game · TE	4.3	−21.2%
Supports UNDER Sam LaPortau4.5 Receptions+126 DraftKingsL10 2/10
T25	RZ targets / game · TE	0.83	−36.2%
27	QB pass yards / game	209.2	−11.2%
Supports UNDER Jared Goffu277.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
28	Target share · TE	19.0%	−4.8 pp
Supports UNDER Sam LaPortau4.5 Receptions+126 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Sam LaPortau49.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 3/10 Brock Wrightu5.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
T28	Rec yards / game · TE	34.7	−35.5%
Supports UNDER Sam LaPortau49.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 3/10 Brock Wrightu5.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
29	Dropback EPA / play	−0.076	−0.13
Supports UNDER Jared Goffu277.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
30	QB pass yards / attempt	5.95	−15.1%
Supports UNDER Jared Goffu277.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
32	Dropback explosive rate	4.1%	−3.8 pp

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

DET defense allowsWhat Green Bay sees

17 games

DET leans toward WR targets: 11th-most allowed (60.4%). Offenses pass 0.5 pp less often than expected against DET.

DET allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
2	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.29	+45.0%
Supports OVER Bo Meltono0.5 Anytime TD+1300 FanDuelL10 1/10 Christian Watsono0.5 Anytime TD+130 BovadaL10 6/10 J. Michael Sturdivanto0.5 Anytime TD+2500 FanaticsL5 0/5 Matthew Goldeno0.5 Anytime TD+155 FanaticsL10 4/10 Savion Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+400 bet365L10 1/10
7	Dropback explosive rate	9.1%	+1.0 pp
T7	RZ targets / game · WR	2.88	+21.3%
Supports OVER Bo Meltono0.5 Anytime TD+1300 FanDuelL10 1/10 Christian Watsono0.5 Anytime TD+130 BovadaL10 6/10 J. Michael Sturdivanto0.5 Anytime TD+2500 FanaticsL5 0/5 Matthew Goldeno0.5 Anytime TD+155 FanaticsL10 4/10 Savion Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+400 bet365L10 1/10
8	Rec yards / game · WR	155.5	+11.4%
Supports OVER Christian Watsono75.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Matthew Goldeno73.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Savion Williamso19.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10
T8	RZ targets / game · TE	1.29	+5.4%
Supports OVER Jonnu Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML10 0/10 Josh Whyleo0.5 Anytime TD+1900 FanDuelL10 1/10 Mark Redmano0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BetMGML6 0/6 Tucker Krafto0.5 Anytime TD+185 BetMGML10 4/10
9	QB pass yards / attempt	7.26	+3.3%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo277.5 Passing Yards−114 Bally BetL10 4/10
9	Dropbacks / game	37.6	+3.3%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo36.5 Passing Attempts−118 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
10	Rush explosive rate	11.3%	+1.3 pp
T10	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.47	+7.7%
Supports OVER Jonnu Smitho0.5 Anytime TD+1000 BetMGML10 0/10 Josh Whyleo0.5 Anytime TD+1900 FanDuelL10 1/10 Mark Redmano0.5 Anytime TD+1300 BetMGML6 0/6 Tucker Krafto0.5 Anytime TD+185 BetMGML10 4/10
11	Target share · WR	60.4%	+2.4 pp
Supports OVER Matthew Goldeno5.5 Receptions+140 Bally BetL10 3/10 Christian Watsono4.5 Receptions+100 betPARXL10 4/10 Savion Williamso2.5 Receptions+116 FanDuelL10 2/10 Christian Watsono75.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10 Matthew Goldeno73.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 5/10 Savion Williamso19.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10
12	QB pass attempts / game	32.6	+1.9%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo36.5 Passing Attempts−118 BetOnline.agL10 5/10
12	QB pass yards / game	236.9	+5.3%
Supports OVER Jordan Loveo277.5 Passing Yards−114 Bally BetL10 4/10
T13	Target share · TE	24.8%	+0.9 pp
Supports OVER Tucker Krafto4.5 Receptions+104 betPARXL10 5/10 Tucker Krafto49.5 Rec Yards+100 Bally BetL10 4/10 Jonnu Smitho4.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 4/10
14	Receptions / game · WR	11.3	+2.9%
No lean at 14 of 32 Matthew Golden5.5 Receptionso +140 · u −135L10 3/10 over Christian Watson4.5 Receptionso +100 · u −115L10 4/10 over Savion Williams2.5 Receptionso +116 · u −136L10 2/10 over
14	Offensive plays faced / game	61.2	+1.0%
No lean at 14 of 32 Jordan Love36.5 Passing Attemptso −118 · u −103L10 5/10 over
T15	RB yards / carry	4.29	−1.0%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Josh Jacobs47.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −110L10 6/10 over MarShawn Lloyd12.5 Rush Yardso −106 · u −114L7 5/7 over Pierre Strong Jr.10.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −114L10 2/10 over
15	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.045	+0.01
No lean at 15 of 32 Josh Jacobs47.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −110L10 6/10 over MarShawn Lloyd12.5 Rush Yardso −106 · u −114L7 5/7 over Pierre Strong Jr.10.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −114L10 2/10 over
15	Rec yards / game · TE	54.8	+2.8%
No lean at 15 of 32 Tucker Kraft49.5 Rec Yardso +100 · u −114L10 4/10 over Jonnu Smith4.5 Rec Yardso −115 · u −115L10 4/10 over
T15	Red-zone trips / game	3.06	−4.5%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Bo Melton0.5 Anytime TDo +1300L10 1/10 over Christian Watson0.5 Anytime TDo +130L10 6/10 over J. Michael Sturdivant0.5 Anytime TDo +2500L5 0/5 over Jonnu Smith0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L10 0/10 over Jordan Love0.5 Anytime TDo +825L10 1/10 over Josh Jacobs0.5 Anytime TDo +111L10 5/10 over Josh Whyle0.5 Anytime TDo +1900L10 1/10 over Kaleb Johnson0.5 Anytime TDo +550L10 0/10 over Mark Redman0.5 Anytime TDo +1300L6 0/6 over MarShawn Lloyd0.5 Anytime TDo +370L7 2/7 over Matthew Golden0.5 Anytime TDo +155L10 4/10 over Pierre Strong Jr.0.5 Anytime TDo +370L10 0/10 over Savion Williams0.5 Anytime TDo +400L10 1/10 over Tucker Kraft0.5 Anytime TDo +185L10 4/10 over
19	Rush success rate	41.0%	−0.4 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Josh Jacobs47.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −110L10 6/10 over MarShawn Lloyd12.5 Rush Yardso −106 · u −114L7 5/7 over Pierre Strong Jr.10.5 Rush Yardso −110 · u −114L10 2/10 over Jordan Love7.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −112L10 3/10 over
19	Dropback EPA / play	+0.006	−0.04
No lean at 19 of 32 Jordan Love277.5 Passing Yardso −114 · u −114L10 4/10 over
19	Receptions / game · TE	5.2	−1.4%
No lean at 19 of 32 Tucker Kraft4.5 Receptionso +104 · u −115L10 5/10 over
21	RB rush yards / game	89.2	−6.0%
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu47.5 Rush Yards−110 bet365L10 4/10 MarShawn Lloydu12.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL7 2/7 Pierre Strong Jr.u10.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 8/10
21	QB completions / game	20.1	−2.4%
Supports UNDER Jordan Loveu23.5 Completions−132 DraftKingsL10 6/10
22	RB carries / game	20.8	−4.8%
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu12.5 Rushing Attempts−105 BetMGML10 4/10 MarShawn Lloydu3.5 Rushing Attempts−155 bet365L7 0/7 Pierre Strong Jr.u3.5 Rushing Attempts−105 bet365L10 7/10
T22	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.76	−15.1%
T25	RZ targets / game · RB	0.53	−29.6%
26	Dropback success rate	42.2%	−3.4 pp
Supports UNDER Jordan Loveu277.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 6/10
26	Receptions / game · RB	3.5	−17.5%
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu1.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 4/10 Pierre Strong Jr.u1.5 Receptions−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
T27	Rec yards / game · RB	24.6	−22.3%
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu8.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Pierre Strong Jr.u7.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 5/10 MarShawn Lloydu1.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L7 2/7
27	QB completion rate	61.6%	−2.7 pp
Supports UNDER Jordan Loveu23.5 Completions−132 DraftKingsL10 6/10
31	Target share · RB	14.6%	−3.3 pp
Supports UNDER Josh Jacobsu1.5 Receptions−105 bet365L10 4/10 Pierre Strong Jr.u1.5 Receptions−114 FanDuelL10 5/10 Josh Jacobsu8.5 Rec Yards−108 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Pierre Strong Jr.u7.5 Rec Yards−114 DraftKingsL10 5/10 MarShawn Lloydu1.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L7 2/7

GB defense allowsWhat Detroit sees

17 games

GB leans toward TE targets: tied for 10th-most allowed (25.2%). Offenses pass 6.5 pp less often than expected against GB.

GB allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
4	Rush success rate	45.0%	+3.6 pp
Supports OVER Jahmyr Gibbso93.5 Rush Yards−113 CourtsideL10 3/10 Sione Vakio8.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10 Jared Goffo0.5 Rush Yards−102 FanDuelL10 5/10
6	RB carries / game	24.4	+11.4%
Supports OVER Jahmyr Gibbso20.5 Rushing Attempts−102 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Sione Vakio3.5 Rushing Attempts+120 bet365L10 3/10
T6	Touchdowns / game · WR	1.06	+19.2%
Supports OVER Amon-Ra St. Browno0.5 Anytime TD−120 BetMGML10 4/10 Isaac TeSlaao0.5 Anytime TD+380 BovadaL10 3/10 Jackson Meekso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BetMGML2 0/2 Jameson Williamso0.5 Anytime TD+200 BetMGML10 2/10 Tay Martino0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL4 1/4
T8	RZ targets / game · RB	0.88	+16.9%
Supports OVER Jacob Saylorso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 Hard Rock BetL4 0/4 Jahmyr Gibbso0.5 Anytime TD−310 FliffL10 8/10 Sione Vakio0.5 Anytime TD+800 FanaticsL10 0/10
8	Offensive plays faced / game	62.2	+2.7%
Supports OVER Jared Goffo36.5 Passing Attempts−109 DraftKingsL10 6/10
T10	Target share · TE	25.2%	+1.3 pp
Supports OVER Sam LaPortao4.5 Receptions−130 bet365L10 8/10 Sam LaPortao49.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 7/10 Brock Wrighto5.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 7/10
11	Target share · RB	19.0%	+1.1 pp
Supports OVER Jahmyr Gibbso4.5 Receptions−140 theScore BetL10 6/10 Jahmyr Gibbso39.5 Rec Yards+102 CourtsideL10 5/10 Sione Vakio0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
T11	QB completion rate	65.6%	+1.3 pp
Supports OVER Jared Goffo24.5 Completions−119 BetOnline.agL10 8/10
11	Dropback EPA / play	+0.091	+0.05
Supports OVER Jared Goffo277.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 6/10
T11	Receptions / game · RB	4.6	+7.3%
Supports OVER Jahmyr Gibbso4.5 Receptions−140 theScore BetL10 6/10
12	QB completions / game	21.2	+2.7%
Supports OVER Jared Goffo24.5 Completions−119 BetOnline.agL10 8/10
13	RB rush yards / game	100.6	+6.0%
Supports OVER Jahmyr Gibbso93.5 Rush Yards−113 CourtsideL10 3/10 Sione Vakio8.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 3/10
13	Receptions / game · TE	5.5	+5.3%
Supports OVER Sam LaPortao4.5 Receptions−130 bet365L10 8/10
14	QB pass attempts / game	32.3	+0.7%
No lean at 14 of 32 Jared Goff36.5 Passing Attemptso −109 · u −110L10 6/10 over
14	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.044	+0.01
No lean at 14 of 32 Jahmyr Gibbs93.5 Rush Yardso −113 · u −111L10 3/10 over Sione Vaki8.5 Rush Yardso −114 · u −110L10 3/10 over
T15	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.35	−19.8%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Brock Wright0.5 Anytime TDo +775L10 0/10 over Sam LaPorta0.5 Anytime TDo +180L10 6/10 over Tyler Conklin0.5 Anytime TDo +1850L10 0/10 over
T15	Red-zone trips / game	3.06	−4.5%
No lean at 15 (tied) of 32 Amon-Ra St. Brown0.5 Anytime TDo −120L10 4/10 over Brock Wright0.5 Anytime TDo +775L10 0/10 over Isaac TeSlaa0.5 Anytime TDo +380L10 3/10 over Jackson Meeks0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L2 0/2 over Jacob Saylors0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L4 0/4 over Jahmyr Gibbs0.5 Anytime TDo −310L10 8/10 over Jameson Williams0.5 Anytime TDo +200L10 2/10 over Jared Goff0.5 Anytime TDo +950L10 1/10 over Sam LaPorta0.5 Anytime TDo +180L10 6/10 over Sione Vaki0.5 Anytime TDo +800L10 0/10 over Tay Martin0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L4 1/4 over Tyler Conklin0.5 Anytime TDo +1850L10 0/10 over
T16	RZ targets / game · TE	1.18	−3.5%
No lean at 16 (tied) of 32 Brock Wright0.5 Anytime TDo +775L10 0/10 over Sam LaPorta0.5 Anytime TDo +180L10 6/10 over Tyler Conklin0.5 Anytime TDo +1850L10 0/10 over
T18	Receptions / game · WR	11.0	−0.3%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Amon-Ra St. Brown7.5 Receptionso +100 · u −112L10 6/10 over Jameson Williams3.5 Receptionso −110 · u +112L10 7/10 over Isaac TeSlaa1.5 Receptionso −141 · u +116L10 6/10 over
18	RZ targets / game · WR	2.29	−3.6%
No lean at 18 of 32 Amon-Ra St. Brown0.5 Anytime TDo −120L10 4/10 over Isaac TeSlaa0.5 Anytime TDo +380L10 3/10 over Jackson Meeks0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L2 0/2 over Jameson Williams0.5 Anytime TDo +200L10 2/10 over Tay Martin0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L4 1/4 over
18	Dropbacks / game	36.1	−1.1%
No lean at 18 of 32 Jared Goff36.5 Passing Attemptso −109 · u −110L10 6/10 over
19	Rec yards / game · WR	135.1	−3.2%
No lean at 19 of 32 Amon-Ra St. Brown79.5 Rec Yardso −108 · u −110L10 4/10 over Jameson Williams54.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −112L10 5/10 over Isaac TeSlaa23.5 Rec Yardso −111 · u −113L10 5/10 over
20	Dropback success rate	44.7%	−0.9 pp
Supports UNDER Jared Goffu277.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
22	RB yards / carry	4.13	−4.7%
Supports UNDER Jahmyr Gibbsu93.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 7/10 Sione Vakiu8.5 Rush Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 7/10
T22	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.76	−15.1%
23	QB pass yards / game	206.8	−8.1%
Supports UNDER Jared Goffu277.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10
25	Rec yards / game · RB	26.9	−15.0%
Supports UNDER Jahmyr Gibbsu39.5 Rec Yards−115 BetMGML10 5/10 Sione Vakiu0.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 5/10
25	Target share · WR	55.8%	−2.2 pp
Supports UNDER Amon-Ra St. Brownu7.5 Receptions−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Jameson Williamsu3.5 Receptions+112 betPARXL10 3/10 Isaac TeSlaau1.5 Receptions+116 betPARXL10 4/10 Amon-Ra St. Brownu79.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 6/10 Jameson Williamsu54.5 Rec Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 5/10 Isaac TeSlaau23.5 Rec Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 5/10
26	Dropback explosive rate	6.9%	−1.2 pp
27	Rush explosive rate	8.1%	−1.8 pp
27	Rec yards / game · TE	44.6	−16.2%
Supports UNDER Sam LaPortau49.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 3/10 Brock Wrightu5.5 Rec Yards−115 bet365L10 3/10
27	QB pass yards / attempt	6.40	−8.8%
Supports UNDER Jared Goffu277.5 Passing Yards−112 DraftKingsL10 4/10