Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · NFL

TB @ CAR

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers · 1:00 PM ET

1 = allows the most

2026 regular season · Stats through Oct 22, 2026 · 5–7 games per defense

CAR defense allowsWhat Tampa Bay sees

5 games

CAR leans toward RB rushing yards: 10th-most allowed (103.0). Offenses pass 0.3 pp more often than expected against CAR.

CAR allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	RB yards / carry	5.10	+25.3%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo65.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Kenny Gainwello11.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Sean Tuckero7.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
1	RB rushing EPA / play	+0.077	+0.17
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo65.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Kenny Gainwello11.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Sean Tuckero7.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
4	QB pass attempts / game	37.8	+12.0%
Supports OVER Baker Mayfieldo33.5 Passing Attempts−105 betPARXL10 4/10
4	Dropbacks / game	43.4	+14.3%
Supports OVER Baker Mayfieldo33.5 Passing Attempts−105 betPARXL10 4/10
5	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.20	+35.7%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo0.5 Anytime TD+117 CaesarsL10 2/10 Kenny Gainwello0.5 Anytime TD+400 FanDuelL10 3/10 Sean Tuckero0.5 Anytime TD+625 bet365L10 4/10
T5	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.80	+52.8%
Supports OVER Bauer Sharpo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 BovadaL6 0/6 Cade Ottono0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML10 1/10 Ko Kiefto0.5 Anytime TD+2295 Fliff Payne Durhamo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
7	Offensive plays faced / game	65.6	+6.2%
Supports OVER Baker Mayfieldo33.5 Passing Attempts−105 betPARXL10 4/10
9	QB completions / game	22.8	+5.7%
Supports OVER Baker Mayfieldo20.5 Completions−105 BetMGML10 3/10
9	RZ targets / game · TE	1.60	+22.9%
Supports OVER Bauer Sharpo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 BovadaL6 0/6 Cade Ottono0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML10 1/10 Ko Kiefto0.5 Anytime TD+2295 Fliff Payne Durhamo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
10	RB rush yards / game	103.0	+15.0%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo65.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Kenny Gainwello11.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Sean Tuckero7.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
10	Receptions / game · RB	4.8	+8.4%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo2.5 Receptions−130 bet365L10 3/10 Kenny Gainwello2.5 Receptions+105 theScore BetL10 6/10
12	Target share · TE	25.1%	+1.1 pp
Supports OVER Cade Ottono3.5 Receptions−149 CourtsideL10 4/10 Cade Ottono40.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 2/10
12	Receptions / game · WR	12.4	+7.1%
Supports OVER Chris Godwin Jr.o4.5 Receptions+114 betPARXL10 3/10 Ted Hurst IIIo2.5 Receptions−146 CourtsideL6 2/6 Tez Johnsono2.5 Receptions+138 betPARXL10 0/10
13	Rec yards / game · TE	55.6	+2.3%
Supports OVER Cade Ottono40.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 2/10
14	Receptions / game · TE	5.6	+1.1%
No lean at 14 of 32 Cade Otton3.5 Receptionso −149 · u +120L10 4/10 over
15	Target share · RB	18.0%	+0.3 pp
No lean at 15 of 32 Bucky Irving2.5 Receptionso −130 · u +140L10 3/10 over Kenny Gainwell2.5 Receptionso +105 · u −105L10 6/10 over Bucky Irving15.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −105L10 1/10 over Kenny Gainwell13.5 Rec Yardso −105 · u −114L10 5/10 over
16	Rec yards / game · RB	32.0	+3.2%
No lean at 16 of 32 Bucky Irving15.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −105L10 1/10 over Kenny Gainwell13.5 Rec Yardso −105 · u −114L10 5/10 over
16	Dropback success rate	45.2%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Baker Mayfield215.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −114L10 4/10 over
17	Rec yards / game · WR	149.4	−1.0%
No lean at 17 of 32 Chris Godwin Jr.41.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −110L10 2/10 over Ted Hurst III36.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L6 2/6 over Tez Johnson26.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −109L10 2/10 over
17	QB pass yards / game	237.0	+0.3%
No lean at 17 of 32 Baker Mayfield215.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −114L10 4/10 over
18	Rush explosive rate	9.0%	−0.2 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Bucky Irving14.5 Longest Rusho −106 · u −115L10 3/10 over Baker Mayfield10.5 Longest Rusho −105 · u −123L10 6/10 over Kenny Gainwell6.5 Longest Rusho −125 · u −105L10 6/10 over
19	Target share · WR	56.8%	−1.3 pp
No lean at 19 of 32 Chris Godwin Jr.4.5 Receptionso +114 · u −115L10 3/10 over Ted Hurst III2.5 Receptionso −146 · u +135L6 2/6 over Tez Johnson2.5 Receptionso +138 · u −168L10 0/10 over Chris Godwin Jr.41.5 Rec Yardso −113 · u −110L10 2/10 over Ted Hurst III36.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −114L6 2/6 over Tez Johnson26.5 Rec Yardso −112 · u −109L10 2/10 over
20	Dropback EPA / play	+0.014	−0.04
Supports UNDER Baker Mayfieldu215.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 6/10
T23	RZ targets / game · WR	2.00	−20.5%
24	RB carries / game	20.2	−8.0%
Supports UNDER Bucky Irvingu15.5 Rushing Attempts+102 betPARXL10 3/10 Kenny Gainwellu3.5 Rushing Attempts−125 bet365L10 4/10
26	QB pass yards / attempt	6.27	−10.7%
Supports UNDER Baker Mayfieldu215.5 Passing Yards−114 betPARXL10 6/10
27	Rush success rate	36.9%	−3.0 pp
Supports UNDER Bucky Irvingu65.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Baker Mayfieldu16.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Kenny Gainwellu11.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Sean Tuckeru7.5 Rush Yards−105 DraftKingsL10 5/10
27	Red-zone trips / game	2.60	−20.9%
28	QB completion rate	60.3%	−3.7 pp
Supports UNDER Baker Mayfieldu20.5 Completions−105 bet365L10 7/10
28	RZ targets / game · RB	0.40	−46.7%
30	Dropback explosive rate	5.1%	−2.9 pp
Supports UNDER Baker Mayfieldu33.5 Longest Completion−115 Hard Rock BetL10 5/10
T30	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.40	−54.7%

TB defense allowsWhat Carolina sees

6 games

TB leans toward RB targets: 12th-most allowed (18.9%). Offenses pass 3.7 pp more often than expected against TB.

TB allowances, 2026. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
T4	Receptions / game · RB	5.3	+20.4%
Supports OVER Chuba Hubbardo2.5 Receptions+120 bet365L10 3/10
T5	QB completions / game	23.8	+10.5%
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo22.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
T6	QB completion rate	66.5%	+2.5 pp
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo22.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
T8	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.67	+28.0%
Supports OVER Darren Wallero0.5 Anytime TD+330 BovadaL10 2/10 Feleipe Frankso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BovadaL10 0/10 Ja'Tavion Sanderso0.5 Anytime TD+1700 FanaticsL10 1/10 Mitchell Evanso0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL10 0/10 Tommy Trembleo0.5 Anytime TD+340 Bally BetL10 2/10
10	QB pass attempts / game	35.8	+6.2%
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo35.5 Passing Attempts−105 BetMGML10 6/10
10	Rec yards / game · RB	35.8	+15.5%
Supports OVER Chuba Hubbardo14.5 Rec Yards−107 CourtsideL10 2/10
T10	RZ targets / game · TE	1.50	+15.2%
Supports OVER Darren Wallero0.5 Anytime TD+330 BovadaL10 2/10 Feleipe Frankso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BovadaL10 0/10 Ja'Tavion Sanderso0.5 Anytime TD+1700 FanaticsL10 1/10 Mitchell Evanso0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL10 0/10 Tommy Trembleo0.5 Anytime TD+340 Bally BetL10 2/10
T11	Rec yards / game · TE	56.2	+3.4%
Supports OVER Darren Wallero20.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Tommy Trembleo16.5 Rec Yards+100 theScore BetL10 5/10
11	Receptions / game · WR	12.5	+8.0%
Supports OVER Jalen Cokero5.5 Receptions+110 FanaticsL10 5/10 Tetairoa McMillano5.5 Receptions+120 BovadaL10 3/10 John Metchie IIIo1.5 Receptions+125 bet365L10 8/10
11	Receptions / game · TE	6.0	+8.3%
Supports OVER Darren Wallero2.5 Receptions+146 CourtsideL10 5/10 Tommy Trembleo2.5 Receptions+165 CourtsideL10 6/10
T11	RZ targets / game · WR	2.83	+12.4%
Supports OVER Brycen Tremayneo0.5 Anytime TD+1400 BovadaL10 0/10 David Mooreo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10 Jalen Cokero0.5 Anytime TD+170 FanaticsL10 5/10 John Metchie IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+1000 FanDuelL10 1/10 Tetairoa McMillano0.5 Anytime TD+150 BetMGML10 2/10
12	Target share · RB	18.9%	+1.2 pp
Supports OVER Chuba Hubbardo2.5 Receptions+120 bet365L10 3/10 Chuba Hubbardo14.5 Rec Yards−107 CourtsideL10 2/10
13	Target share · TE	24.8%	+0.7 pp
Supports OVER Darren Wallero2.5 Receptions+146 CourtsideL10 5/10 Tommy Trembleo2.5 Receptions+165 CourtsideL10 6/10 Darren Wallero20.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Tommy Trembleo16.5 Rec Yards+100 theScore BetL10 5/10
16	Rush explosive rate	9.2%	−0.1 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Chuba Hubbard16.5 Longest Rusho −106 · u −115L10 2/10 over Bryce Young7.5 Longest Rusho −120 · u −105L10 5/10 over
16	QB pass yards / game	237.7	+0.6%
No lean at 16 of 32 Bryce Young253.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −111L10 7/10 over
16	Dropbacks / game	38.5	+1.4%
No lean at 16 of 32 Bryce Young35.5 Passing Attemptso −105 · u −115L10 6/10 over
T18	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.83	−6.0%
No lean at 18 (tied) of 32 Brycen Tremayne0.5 Anytime TDo +1400L10 0/10 over David Moore0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L10 2/10 over Jalen Coker0.5 Anytime TDo +170L10 5/10 over John Metchie III0.5 Anytime TDo +1000L10 1/10 over Tetairoa McMillan0.5 Anytime TDo +150L10 2/10 over
19	Rec yards / game · WR	145.7	−3.4%
No lean at 19 of 32 Tetairoa McMillan69.5 Rec Yardso −103 · u −110L10 7/10 over Jalen Coker66.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −112L10 4/10 over John Metchie III10.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 8/10 over
19	QB pass yards / attempt	6.63	−5.6%
No lean at 19 of 32 Bryce Young253.5 Passing Yardso −111 · u −111L10 7/10 over
T19	RZ targets / game · RB	0.50	−33.3%
No lean at 19 (tied) of 32 AJ Dillon0.5 Anytime TDo +900L10 0/10 over Anthony Tyus III0.5 Anytime TDo +2200 Chuba Hubbard0.5 Anytime TDo −125L10 5/10 over Trevor Etienne0.5 Anytime TDo +1900L10 0/10 over
20	Target share · WR	56.3%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER Jalen Cokeru5.5 Receptions−115 BetMGML10 5/10 Tetairoa McMillanu5.5 Receptions−135 BetMGML10 7/10 John Metchie IIIu1.5 Receptions−122 DraftKingsL10 2/10 Tetairoa McMillanu69.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 3/10 Jalen Cokeru66.5 Rec Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 6/10 John Metchie IIIu10.5 Rec Yards−110 Hard Rock BetL10 2/10
20	Dropback success rate	43.7%	−1.6 pp
Supports UNDER Bryce Youngu253.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
T22	Red-zone trips / game	2.83	−13.9%
27	Dropback explosive rate	6.1%	−1.9 pp
Supports UNDER Bryce Youngu38.5 Longest Completion−110 BovadaL10 6/10
27	Dropback EPA / play	−0.048	−0.10
Supports UNDER Bryce Youngu253.5 Passing Yards−111 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
27	Offensive plays faced / game	58.5	−5.3%
Supports UNDER Bryce Youngu35.5 Passing Attempts−115 theScore BetL10 4/10
28	Rush success rate	35.0%	−5.0 pp
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu70.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 7/10 Bryce Youngu10.5 Rush Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 6/10
29	RB yards / carry	3.55	−12.8%
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu70.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 7/10
30	RB carries / game	18.3	−16.5%
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu17.5 Rushing Attempts−105 bet365L10 7/10
30	RB rush yards / game	65.0	−27.5%
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu70.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 7/10
T30	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.33	−62.7%
31	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.213	−0.12
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu70.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 7/10

2025 regular season · Stats through Jan 4, 2026 · 17 games per defense

CAR defense allowsWhat Tampa Bay sees

17 games

CAR funnels toward RB rushing yards: 8th-most allowed (106.3). Offenses pass 5.2 pp less often than expected against CAR.

CAR allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
T6	RZ targets / game · TE	1.41	+15.3%
Supports OVER Bauer Sharpo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 BovadaL6 0/6 Cade Ottono0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML10 1/10 Ko Kiefto0.5 Anytime TD+2295 Fliff Payne Durhamo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10
7	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.004	+0.05
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo65.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Kenny Gainwello11.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Sean Tuckero7.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
T8	RB carries / game	23.2	+6.0%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo15.5 Rushing Attempts+100 theScore BetL10 7/10 Kenny Gainwello3.5 Rushing Attempts−105 bet365L10 6/10
8	RB rush yards / game	106.3	+12.1%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo65.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Kenny Gainwello11.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Sean Tuckero7.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
8	Rec yards / game · TE	59.9	+12.4%
Supports OVER Cade Ottono40.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 2/10
T9	Target share · RB	19.3%	+1.4 pp
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo2.5 Receptions−130 bet365L10 3/10 Kenny Gainwello2.5 Receptions+105 theScore BetL10 6/10 Bucky Irvingo15.5 Rec Yards−112 betPARXL10 1/10 Kenny Gainwello13.5 Rec Yards−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
9	RB yards / carry	4.59	+5.9%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo65.5 Rush Yards−110 FanaticsL10 4/10 Kenny Gainwello11.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Sean Tuckero7.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
9	Dropback EPA / play	+0.119	+0.08
Supports OVER Baker Mayfieldo215.5 Passing Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
9	Touchdowns / game · RB	1.06	+18.4%
Supports OVER Bucky Irvingo0.5 Anytime TD+117 CaesarsL10 2/10 Kenny Gainwello0.5 Anytime TD+400 FanDuelL10 3/10 Sean Tuckero0.5 Anytime TD+625 bet365L10 4/10
10	QB completion rate	66.3%	+2.0 pp
Supports OVER Baker Mayfieldo20.5 Completions−105 BetMGML10 3/10
T10	Red-zone trips / game	3.41	+6.4%
Supports OVER Baker Mayfieldo0.5 Anytime TD+500 BetMGML10 1/10 Bauer Sharpo0.5 Anytime TD+2500 BovadaL6 0/6 Bucky Irvingo0.5 Anytime TD+117 CaesarsL10 2/10 Cade Ottono0.5 Anytime TD+290 BetMGML10 1/10 Chris Godwin Jr.o0.5 Anytime TD+240 Bally BetL10 2/10 David Sills Vo0.5 Anytime TD+1900 BovadaL10 2/10 Emeka Egbukao0.5 Anytime TD+285 FanaticsL10 3/10 Kameron Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+1500 BovadaL10 0/10 Kenny Gainwello0.5 Anytime TD+400 FanDuelL10 3/10 Ko Kiefto0.5 Anytime TD+2295 Fliff Payne Durhamo0.5 Anytime TD+2250 Hard Rock BetL10 0/10 Sean Tuckero0.5 Anytime TD+625 bet365L10 4/10 Ted Hurst IIIo0.5 Anytime TD+320 BovadaL6 1/6 Tez Johnsono0.5 Anytime TD+460 FanDuelL10 0/10
12	Dropback success rate	47.6%	+2.0 pp
Supports OVER Baker Mayfieldo215.5 Passing Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
12	QB pass yards / attempt	7.21	+2.7%
Supports OVER Baker Mayfieldo215.5 Passing Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 4/10
14	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.41	−6.1%
No lean at 14 of 32 Bauer Sharp0.5 Anytime TDo +2500L6 0/6 over Cade Otton0.5 Anytime TDo +290L10 1/10 over Ko Kieft0.5 Anytime TDo +2295 Payne Durham0.5 Anytime TDo +2250L10 0/10 over
16	Rush explosive rate	9.4%	−0.5 pp
No lean at 16 of 32 Bucky Irving14.5 Longest Rusho −106 · u −115L10 3/10 over Baker Mayfield10.5 Longest Rusho −105 · u −123L10 6/10 over Kenny Gainwell6.5 Longest Rusho −125 · u −105L10 6/10 over
16	Receptions / game · RB	4.4	+3.0%
No lean at 16 of 32 Bucky Irving2.5 Receptionso −130 · u +140L10 3/10 over Kenny Gainwell2.5 Receptionso +105 · u −105L10 6/10 over
18	Dropback explosive rate	8.0%	−0.1 pp
No lean at 18 of 32 Baker Mayfield33.5 Longest Completiono −110 · u −115L10 5/10 over
19	QB pass yards / game	215.1	−4.4%
No lean at 19 of 32 Baker Mayfield215.5 Passing Yardso −112 · u −114L10 4/10 over
20	Rush success rate	40.0%	−1.4 pp
Supports UNDER Bucky Irvingu65.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 6/10 Baker Mayfieldu16.5 Rush Yards−111 DraftKingsL10 3/10 Kenny Gainwellu11.5 Rush Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 4/10 Sean Tuckeru7.5 Rush Yards−105 DraftKingsL10 5/10
20	Target share · TE	23.6%	−0.3 pp
Supports UNDER Cade Ottonu3.5 Receptions+120 bet365L10 6/10 Cade Ottonu40.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 8/10
20	Rec yards / game · RB	28.6	−9.4%
Supports UNDER Bucky Irvingu15.5 Rec Yards−105 theScore BetL10 9/10 Kenny Gainwellu13.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 5/10
T20	Receptions / game · TE	5.1	−2.5%
Supports UNDER Cade Ottonu3.5 Receptions+120 bet365L10 6/10
T21	RZ targets / game · RB	0.59	−21.7%
T23	QB completions / game	19.8	−4.2%
Supports UNDER Baker Mayfieldu20.5 Completions−105 bet365L10 7/10
T23	RZ targets / game · WR	1.88	−20.8%
24	Target share · WR	56.9%	−1.1 pp
Supports UNDER Chris Godwin Jr.u4.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 7/10 Ted Hurst IIIu2.5 Receptions+135 bet365L6 4/6 Tez Johnsonu2.5 Receptions−168 DraftKingsL10 10/10 Chris Godwin Jr.u41.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 8/10 Ted Hurst IIIu36.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL6 4/6 Tez Johnsonu26.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 8/10
24	Receptions / game · WR	10.2	−7.2%
Supports UNDER Chris Godwin Jr.u4.5 Receptions−115 bet365L10 7/10 Ted Hurst IIIu2.5 Receptions+135 bet365L6 4/6 Tez Johnsonu2.5 Receptions−168 DraftKingsL10 10/10
24	Offensive plays faced / game	58.7	−3.0%
Supports UNDER Baker Mayfieldu33.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 6/10
25	Rec yards / game · WR	126.5	−9.3%
Supports UNDER Chris Godwin Jr.u41.5 Rec Yards−110 theScore BetL10 8/10 Ted Hurst IIIu36.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL6 4/6 Tez Johnsonu26.5 Rec Yards−109 DraftKingsL10 8/10
T25	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.71	−20.2%
27	QB pass attempts / game	29.8	−7.0%
Supports UNDER Baker Mayfieldu33.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 6/10
30	Dropbacks / game	33.1	−9.1%
Supports UNDER Baker Mayfieldu33.5 Passing Attempts−105 BovadaL10 6/10

TB defense allowsWhat Carolina sees

17 games

TB funnels toward QB passing yards: 6th-most allowed (254.8). Offenses pass 1.3 pp more often than expected against TB.

TB allowances, 2025. Highest allowance is rank 1.
Rank	Stat	Allowed	VS NFL
1	Rec yards / game · RB	50.6	+59.9%
Supports OVER Chuba Hubbardo14.5 Rec Yards−107 CourtsideL10 2/10
3	Touchdowns / game · TE	0.71	+62.6%
Supports OVER Darren Wallero0.5 Anytime TD+330 BovadaL10 2/10 Feleipe Frankso0.5 Anytime TD+4000 BovadaL10 0/10 Ja'Tavion Sanderso0.5 Anytime TD+1700 FanaticsL10 1/10 Mitchell Evanso0.5 Anytime TD+800 BovadaL10 0/10 Tommy Trembleo0.5 Anytime TD+340 Bally BetL10 2/10
6	Dropback success rate	49.4%	+3.7 pp
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo253.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 7/10
6	QB pass yards / game	254.8	+13.2%
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo253.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 7/10
6	QB pass yards / attempt	7.63	+8.6%
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo253.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 7/10
7	QB completions / game	22.3	+8.1%
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo22.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
7	QB completion rate	66.7%	+2.4 pp
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo22.5 Completions−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
T8	Receptions / game · TE	5.8	+10.8%
Supports OVER Darren Wallero2.5 Receptions+146 CourtsideL10 5/10 Tommy Trembleo2.5 Receptions+165 CourtsideL10 6/10
8	Dropbacks / game	37.9	+3.9%
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo35.5 Passing Attempts−105 BetMGML10 6/10
10	QB pass attempts / game	33.4	+4.2%
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo35.5 Passing Attempts−105 BetMGML10 6/10
T10	Dropback explosive rate	8.7%	+0.6 pp
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo38.5 Longest Completion−114 Bally BetL10 4/10
10	Receptions / game · RB	4.7	+8.7%
Supports OVER Chuba Hubbardo2.5 Receptions+120 bet365L10 3/10
T11	Receptions / game · WR	11.7	+6.2%
Supports OVER Jalen Cokero5.5 Receptions+110 FanaticsL10 5/10 Tetairoa McMillano5.5 Receptions+120 BovadaL10 3/10 John Metchie IIIo1.5 Receptions+125 bet365L10 8/10
12	Rec yards / game · WR	147.6	+5.8%
Supports OVER Tetairoa McMillano69.5 Rec Yards−103 Bally BetL10 7/10 Jalen Cokero66.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 4/10 John Metchie IIIo10.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 8/10
T13	RB yards / carry	4.31	−0.6%
Supports OVER Chuba Hubbardo70.5 Rush Yards−112 BetOnline.agL10 3/10
13	Rec yards / game · TE	56.6	+6.3%
Supports OVER Darren Wallero20.5 Rec Yards−110 CourtsideL10 7/10 Tommy Trembleo16.5 Rec Yards+100 theScore BetL10 5/10
13	Dropback EPA / play	+0.080	+0.04
Supports OVER Bryce Youngo253.5 Passing Yards−111 CourtsideL10 7/10
14	Target share · WR	58.7%	+0.7 pp
No lean at 14 of 32 Jalen Coker5.5 Receptionso +110 · u −115L10 5/10 over Tetairoa McMillan5.5 Receptionso +120 · u −135L10 3/10 over John Metchie III1.5 Receptionso +125 · u −122L10 8/10 over Tetairoa McMillan69.5 Rec Yardso −103 · u −110L10 7/10 over Jalen Coker66.5 Rec Yardso −110 · u −112L10 4/10 over John Metchie III10.5 Rec Yardso −114 · u −110L10 8/10 over
T17	Touchdowns / game · RB	0.82	−8.4%
No lean at 17 (tied) of 32 AJ Dillon0.5 Anytime TDo +900L10 0/10 over Anthony Tyus III0.5 Anytime TDo +2200 Chuba Hubbard0.5 Anytime TDo −125L10 5/10 over Trevor Etienne0.5 Anytime TDo +1900L10 0/10 over
19	RZ targets / game · TE	1.12	−8.5%
No lean at 19 of 32 Darren Waller0.5 Anytime TDo +330L10 2/10 over Feleipe Franks0.5 Anytime TDo +4000L10 0/10 over Ja'Tavion Sanders0.5 Anytime TDo +1700L10 1/10 over Mitchell Evans0.5 Anytime TDo +800L10 0/10 over Tommy Tremble0.5 Anytime TDo +340L10 2/10 over
20	Rush explosive rate	9.2%	−0.7 pp
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu16.5 Longest Rush−115 DraftKingsL10 8/10 Bryce Youngu7.5 Longest Rush−105 theScore BetL10 5/10
21	Target share · TE	23.5%	−0.4 pp
Supports UNDER Darren Walleru2.5 Receptions−137 betPARXL10 5/10 Tommy Trembleu2.5 Receptions−160 bet365L10 4/10 Darren Walleru20.5 Rec Yards+100 FanaticsL10 3/10 Tommy Trembleu16.5 Rec Yards−113 betPARXL10 5/10
T21	Touchdowns / game · WR	0.82	−7.8%
T21	RZ targets / game · RB	0.59	−21.7%
22	Target share · RB	17.1%	−0.8 pp
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu2.5 Receptions−130 BetOnline.agL10 7/10 Chuba Hubbardu14.5 Rec Yards−114 FanDuelL10 8/10
T23	RZ targets / game · WR	1.88	−20.8%
26	RB rushing EPA / play	−0.092	−0.04
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu70.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 7/10
27	RB rush yards / game	78.8	−16.9%
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu70.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 7/10
27	Offensive plays faced / game	58.2	−3.8%
Supports UNDER Bryce Youngu35.5 Passing Attempts−115 theScore BetL10 4/10
30	Rush success rate	36.4%	−5.0 pp
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu70.5 Rush Yards−114 FanDuelL10 7/10 Bryce Youngu10.5 Rush Yards−113 DraftKingsL10 6/10
31	RB carries / game	18.3	−16.3%
Supports UNDER Chuba Hubbardu17.5 Rushing Attempts−105 bet365L10 7/10
31	Red-zone trips / game	2.53	−21.0%