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Michael Busch
CHCbats L3rd in the order · projectedChicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins7:10 PMloanDepot park
facingJanson Junk4.11 ERA · 6.12 K/9 · 1.30 WHIP · 103.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.8% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 7.2% (league avg 7.4%)
Busch at the plateHR/PA 2.7%barrel rate 9.0%hard-hit% 39.9%
Home Runs
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.8%2.2%
48th percentileleague avg 2.9%436 batters facedvs LHB · 31st pctseason 2.8% (48th)274 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed7.2%7.3%
47th percentileleague avg 7.4%436 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason 7.2% (47th)205 batted ballsneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed39.6%43.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 38.2%436 batters facedvs LHB · 86th pctseason 39.6% (62nd)205 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed22.2%19.0%
19th percentileleague avg 26.7%436 batters facedvs LHB · 8th pctseason 22.2% (19th)205 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.411.421
68th percentileleague avg .386435 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .411 (68th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJanson Junk: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 274 | 6 | 2.2% |
| vs RHB | 161 | 6 | 3.7% |
| at home ● | 245 | 6 | 2.4% |
| on the road | 190 | 6 | 3.2% |
| season | 435 | 12 | 2.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMichael Busch vs Janson Junk, career0 home runs in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA2.7%2.5%
46th percentileleague avg 3.0%626 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 2.7% (46th)438 PAneutralneutral
barrel rate9.0%8.2%
64th percentileleague avg 7.8%626 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 9.0% (64th)269 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%39.9%39.4%
52nd percentileleague avg 39.0%626 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason 39.9% (52nd)269 batted ballsneutralneutral
fly-ball%34.2%34.2%
92nd percentileleague avg 26.7%626 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 34.2% (92nd)269 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.394.385
59th percentileleague avg .386624 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .394 (59th)372 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.166.158
67th percentileleague avg .146624 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason .166 (67th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo88.2 mph88.3 mph
48th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph626 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 88.2 mph (48th)269 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupMichael Busch: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 446 | 10 | 2.2% | .356 | 10% (10/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 178 | 7 | 3.9% | .462 | 17% (7/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 315 | 6 | 1.9% | .356 | 9% (6/68) |
| at home | 71 | 309 | 11 | 3.6% | .416 | 15% (11/71) |
| season | 139 | 624 | 17 | 2.7% | .387 | 12% (17/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatMichael Busch: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 437 | 2.5% | 269 | 8.2% | .385 | .158 | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 187 | 3.2% | 120 | 10.8% | .406 | .180 | 88.1 |
| on the road ● | 315 | 1.9% | 196 | 8.2% | .392 | .163 | 88.3 |
| at home | 309 | 3.6% | 193 | 9.8% | .390 | .166 | 88.1 |
| season | 624 | 2.7% | 389 | 9.0% | .391 | .165 | 88.2 |
0.5line
OVER+575betPARXfair +544 · +4.8% vs fair
30% boost+748+31.4% vs market · +3.7% vs season50% boost+862+49.2% vs market · +17.7% vs season
UNDER-669NoVigfair -528 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost-515+0.4% vs market · +4.8% vs season50% boost-446+3% vs market · +7.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+8000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+10400no market fair50% boost+12000no market fair
Total Bases
139 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.411.421
68th percentileleague avg .386435 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .411 (68th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.259.273
74th percentileleague avg .239435 batters facedvs LHB · 88th pctseason .259 (74th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.266.300
league avg .244+.022 vs league20 startsvs LHBseason .266274 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed39.6%43.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 38.2%436 batters facedvs LHB · 86th pctseason 39.6% (62nd)205 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed7.2%7.3%
47th percentileleague avg 7.4%436 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason 7.2% (47th)205 batted ballsneutralneutral
The ArmJanson Junk: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 274 | 113 | 0.41 | .452 |
| vs RHB | 161 | 54 | 0.34 | .362 |
| at home ● | 245 | 85 | 0.35 | .373 |
| on the road | 190 | 82 | 0.43 | .480 |
| season | 435 | 167 | 0.38 | .419 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMichael Busch vs Janson Junk, career0 total bases in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.394.385
59th percentileleague avg .386624 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .394 (59th)372 at-batsneutralneutral
SLG.387.378
36th percentileleague avg .400624 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason .387 (36th)437 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.228.227
31st percentileleague avg .240624 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason .228 (31st)372 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.236.238
33rd percentileleague avg .244624 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason .236 (33rd)437 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.166.158
67th percentileleague avg .146624 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason .166 (67th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%39.9%39.4%
52nd percentileleague avg 39.0%626 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason 39.9% (52nd)269 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate9.0%8.2%
64th percentileleague avg 7.8%626 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 9.0% (64th)269 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
line-drive%21.3%22.7%
26th percentileleague avg 23.6%626 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 21.3% (26th)269 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMichael Busch: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 446 | 133 | 1.36 | .356 | 33% (32/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 178 | 72 | 1.76 | .462 | 44% (18/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 315 | 93 | 1.37 | .356 | 37% (25/68) |
| at home | 71 | 309 | 112 | 1.58 | .416 | 35% (25/71) |
| season | 139 | 624 | 205 | 1.47 | .387 | 36% (50/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatMichael Busch: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 437 | 32.0% | 269 | .385 | .158 | 8.2% | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 187 | 34.8% | 120 | .406 | .180 | 10.8% | 88.1 |
| on the road ● | 315 | 29.5% | 196 | .392 | .163 | 8.2% | 88.3 |
| at home | 309 | 36.2% | 193 | .390 | .166 | 9.8% | 88.1 |
| season | 624 | 32.9% | 389 | .391 | .165 | 9.0% | 88.2 |
0.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 60%SZN 64%over rate
OVER-185Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-142no market fair50% boost-123no market fair
UNDER+160theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+208no market fair50% boost+240no market fair
1.5line
OVER+148ProphetXfair +152 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost+192+16.1% vs market · +5.2% vs season50% boost+222+27.8% vs market · +15.8% vs season
UNDER-165theScore Betfair -153 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost-127+8.2% vs market · +14.5% vs season50% boost-110+15.5% vs market · +22.2% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 25%SZN 24%over rate
OVER+300Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+390no market fair50% boost+450no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+380BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+494no market fair50% boost+570no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+800Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+2500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
Hits
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.259.273
74th percentileleague avg .239435 batters facedvs LHB · 88th pctseason .259 (74th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.266.300
league avg .244+.022 vs league20 startsvs LHBseason .266274 batters facedneutralneutral
K%16.1%17.5%
8th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%435 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 16.1% (8th)274 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%15.3%16.1%
2nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%435 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason 15.3% (2nd)504 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJanson Junk: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 274 | 75 | 27.4% | .300 |
| vs RHB | 161 | 31 | 19.3% | .208 |
| at home ● | 245 | 55 | 22.4% | .241 |
| on the road | 190 | 51 | 26.8% | .298 |
| season | 435 | 106 | 24.4% | .266 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMichael Busch vs Janson Junk, career0 hits in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
xBA.228.227
31st percentileleague avg .240624 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason .228 (31st)372 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.236.238
33rd percentileleague avg .244624 PAvs RHP · 35th pctseason .236 (33rd)437 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%84.2%84.1%
48th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%624 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 84.2% (48th)521 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%26.1%27.6%
57th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%624 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason 26.1% (57th)768 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
K%23.2%23.5%
54th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%624 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 23.2% (54th)438 PAneutralneutral
line-drive%21.3%22.7%
26th percentileleague avg 23.6%626 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 21.3% (26th)269 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMichael Busch: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 374 | 84 | .225 | 61% (60/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 156 | 41 | .263 | 71% (29/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 261 | 61 | .234 | 63% (43/68) |
| at home | 71 | 269 | 64 | .238 | 65% (46/71) |
| season | 139 | 530 | 125 | .236 | 64% (89/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatMichael Busch: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 437 | 20.1% | 269 | .227 | 22.7% | 36.1% |
| vs LHP | 187 | 19.8% | 120 | .225 | 18.3% | 37.5% |
| on the road ● | 315 | 19.4% | 196 | .229 | 22.4% | 39.3% |
| at home | 309 | 20.7% | 193 | .224 | 20.2% | 33.7% |
| season | 624 | 20.0% | 389 | — | 21.3% | 36.5% |
0.5line
OVER-174ProphetXfair -166 · -1.8% vs fair
30% boost-134+9% vs market · +11.9% vs season50% boost-116+16.2% vs market · +19.2% vs season
UNDER+160bet365fair +165 · -1.9% vs fair
30% boost+208+16.1% vs market · +10.8% vs season50% boost+240+28.2% vs market · +22.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 21%over rate
OVER+300Bovadamarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+390no market fair50% boost+450no market fair
UNDER-375theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-288no market fair50% boost-250no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1300DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
H+R+RBI
139 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.259.273
74th percentileleague avg .239435 batters facedvs LHB · 88th pctseason .259 (74th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA4.27—
no split for this stat59th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16435 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.411.421
68th percentileleague avg .386435 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .411 (68th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.4%7.3%
18th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%435 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason 6.4% (18th)274 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%16.1%17.5%
8th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%435 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 16.1% (8th)274 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJanson Junk: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 274 | 75 | 113 | .352 |
| vs RHB | 161 | 31 | 54 | .256 |
| at home ● | 245 | 55 | 85 | .286 |
| on the road | 190 | 51 | 82 | .356 |
| season | 435 | 106 | 167 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMichael Busch vs Janson Junk, career0 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 1 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.831.81
54th percentileleague avg 1.75139 gamesvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 1.83 (54th)98 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.326—
no split for this stat70th percentileleague avg .310624 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.228.227
31st percentileleague avg .240624 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason .228 (31st)372 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.387.378
36th percentileleague avg .400624 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason .387 (36th)437 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMichael Busch: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 446 | 84 | 45 | 48 | 1.81 | 45% (44/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 178 | 41 | 17 | 20 | 1.90 | 51% (21/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 315 | 61 | 32 | 31 | 1.82 | 47% (32/68) |
| at home | 71 | 309 | 64 | 30 | 37 | 1.85 | 46% (33/71) |
| season | 139 | 624 | 125 | 62 | 68 | 1.83 | 47% (65/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatMichael Busch: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 437 | 20.1% | 269 | .227 | .385 | 8.2% | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 187 | 19.8% | 120 | .225 | .406 | 10.8% | 88.1 |
| on the road ● | 315 | 19.4% | 196 | .229 | .392 | 8.2% | 88.3 |
| at home | 309 | 20.7% | 193 | .224 | .390 | 9.8% | 88.1 |
| season | 624 | 20.0% | 389 | — | .391 | 9.0% | 88.2 |
1.5line
OVER+100Bovadafair +103 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost+130+13.4% vs market · +7.6% vs season50% boost+150+23.2% vs market · +16.9% vs season
UNDER-104ProphetXfair -104 · -0.2% vs fair
30% boost+125+14.5% vs market · +19.8% vs season50% boost+144+24.3% vs market · +30% vs season
RBIs
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.27—
no split for this stat59th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16435 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.411.421
68th percentileleague avg .386435 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .411 (68th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed7.2%7.3%
47th percentileleague avg 7.4%436 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason 7.2% (47th)205 batted ballsneutralneutral
BB%6.4%7.3%
18th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%435 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason 6.4% (18th)274 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJanson Junk: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 274 | 75 | 6 | .452 |
| vs RHB | 161 | 31 | 6 | .362 |
| at home ● | 245 | 55 | 6 | .373 |
| on the road | 190 | 51 | 6 | .480 |
| season | 435 | 106 | 12 | .419 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMichael Busch vs Janson Junk, career0 RBI in 1 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.490.49
65th percentileleague avg 0.45139 gamesvs RHP · 65th pctseason 0.49 (65th)98 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.394.385
59th percentileleague avg .386624 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .394 (59th)372 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit%39.9%39.4%
52nd percentileleague avg 39.0%626 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason 39.9% (52nd)269 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate9.0%8.2%
64th percentileleague avg 7.8%626 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason 9.0% (64th)269 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupMichael Busch: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 446 | 48 | 0.49 | .356 | 34% (33/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 178 | 20 | 0.49 | .462 | 32% (13/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 315 | 31 | 0.46 | .356 | 32% (22/68) |
| at home | 71 | 309 | 37 | 0.52 | .416 | 34% (24/71) |
| season | 139 | 624 | 68 | 0.49 | .387 | 33% (46/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatMichael Busch: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 437 | 10.5% | 269 | .385 | 8.2% | 39.4% | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 187 | 11.8% | 120 | .406 | 10.8% | 40.8% | 88.1 |
| on the road ● | 315 | 9.8% | 196 | .392 | 8.2% | 40.3% | 88.3 |
| at home | 309 | 12.0% | 193 | .390 | 9.8% | 39.4% | 88.1 |
| season | 624 | — | 389 | .391 | 9.0% | 39.8% | 88.2 |
0.5line
OVER+178DraftKingsfair +188 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost+231+15% vs market · +9.7% vs season50% boost+267+27.3% vs market · +21.5% vs season
UNDER-200theScore Betfair -188 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost-154+7.7% vs market · +10.4% vs season50% boost-133+14.3% vs market · +17.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+575Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+748no market fair50% boost+862no market fair
UNDER-900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-692no market fair50% boost-600no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1400Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1820no market fair50% boost+2100no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.27—
no split for this stat59th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16435 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA against.259.273
74th percentileleague avg .239435 batters facedvs LHB · 88th pctseason .259 (74th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%6.4%7.3%
18th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%435 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason 6.4% (18th)274 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmJanson Junk: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 274 | 75 | 20 | .352 |
| vs RHB | 161 | 31 | 8 | .256 |
| at home ● | 245 | 55 | 12 | .286 |
| on the road | 190 | 51 | 16 | .356 |
| season | 435 | 106 | 28 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMichael Busch vs Janson Junk, career1 PA across 1 season. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.450.46
48th percentileleague avg 0.46139 gamesvs RHP · 51st pctseason 0.45 (48th)98 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.326—
no split for this stat70th percentileleague avg .310624 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed25.9—
no split for this stat15th percentileleague avg 27.4624 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.228.227
31st percentileleague avg .240624 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason .228 (31st)372 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%12.5%13.0%
89th percentileleague avg 8.7%624 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 12.5% (89th)438 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMichael Busch: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 446 | 45 | 0.46 | .343 | 36% (35/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 178 | 17 | 0.41 | .348 | 41% (17/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 315 | 32 | 0.47 | .356 | 40% (27/68) |
| at home | 71 | 309 | 30 | 0.42 | .333 | 35% (25/71) |
| season | 139 | 624 | 62 | 0.45 | .345 | 37% (52/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatMichael Busch: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 437 | — | 269 | .227 | 22.7% | 36.1% | 88.3 |
| vs LHP | 187 | — | 120 | .225 | 18.3% | 37.5% | 88.1 |
| on the road ● | 315 | 10.2% | 196 | .229 | 22.4% | 39.3% | 88.3 |
| at home | 309 | 9.7% | 193 | .224 | 20.2% | 33.7% | 88.1 |
| season | 624 | — | 389 | — | 21.3% | 36.5% | 88.2 |
0.5line
OVER+132bet365fair +138 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost+172+14.1% vs market · +1.6% vs season50% boost+198+25.2% vs market · +11.5% vs season
UNDER-150theScore Betfair -139 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost-115+8.5% vs market · +16.8% vs season50% boost-100+16.2% vs market · +25.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Doubles
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.411.421
68th percentileleague avg .386435 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .411 (68th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed39.6%43.9%
62nd percentileleague avg 38.2%436 batters facedvs LHB · 86th pctseason 39.6% (62nd)205 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed7.2%7.3%
47th percentileleague avg 7.4%436 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason 7.2% (47th)205 batted ballsneutralneutral
line-drive% allowed20.4%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat435 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmJanson Junk: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 274 | 16 | 5.8% | .452 |
| vs RHB | 161 | 5 | 3.1% | .362 |
| at home ● | 245 | 10 | 4.1% | .373 |
| on the road | 190 | 11 | 5.8% | .480 |
| season | 435 | 21 | 4.8% | .419 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMichael Busch vs Janson Junk, career0 doubles in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.0%3.9%
46th percentileleague avg 4.1%626 PAvs RHP · 42nd pctseason 4.0% (46th)438 PAneutralneutral
xSLG.394.385
59th percentileleague avg .386624 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .394 (59th)372 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.166.158
67th percentileleague avg .146624 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason .166 (67th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%21.3%22.7%
26th percentileleague avg 23.6%626 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 21.3% (26th)269 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%36.5%36.1%
63rd percentileleague avg 35.3%626 PAvs RHP · 58th pctseason 36.5% (63rd)269 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
sprint speed25.9—
no split for this stat15th percentileleague avg 27.4624 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupMichael Busch: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 446 | 17 | 3.8% | .356 | 14% (14/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 178 | 8 | 4.5% | .462 | 17% (7/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 315 | 14 | 4.4% | .356 | 18% (12/68) |
| at home | 71 | 309 | 11 | 3.6% | .416 | 13% (9/71) |
| season | 139 | 624 | 25 | 4.0% | .387 | 15% (21/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatMichael Busch: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 437 | 3.9% | 269 | .385 | 22.7% | 36.1% |
| vs LHP | 187 | 4.3% | 120 | .406 | 18.3% | 37.5% |
| on the road ● | 315 | 4.4% | 196 | .392 | 22.4% | 39.3% |
| at home | 309 | 3.6% | 193 | .390 | 20.2% | 33.7% |
| season | 624 | 4.0% | 389 | .391 | 21.3% | 36.5% |
0.5line
OVER+451DraftKingsfair +416 · +6.8% vs fair
30% boost+586+33.1% vs market · +3.7% vs season50% boost+676+50.6% vs market · +17.3% vs season
UNDER-525BetMGMfair -470 · -1.8% vs fair
30% boost-404+2.8% vs market · +5.9% vs season50% boost-350+5.9% vs market · +9.1% vs season
Singles
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.259.273
74th percentileleague avg .239435 batters facedvs LHB · 88th pctseason .259 (74th)253 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%16.1%17.5%
8th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%435 batters facedvs LHB · 14th pctseason 16.1% (8th)274 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%15.3%16.1%
2nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%435 batters facedvs LHB · 2nd pctseason 15.3% (2nd)504 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmJanson Junk: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 274 | 51 | 18.6% |
| vs RHB | 161 | 20 | 12.4% |
| at home ● | 245 | 38 | 15.5% |
| on the road | 190 | 33 | 17.4% |
| season | 435 | 71 | 16.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMichael Busch vs Janson Junk, career0 singles in 1 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
xBA.228.227
31st percentileleague avg .240624 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason .228 (31st)372 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%84.2%84.1%
48th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%624 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 84.2% (48th)521 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%26.1%27.6%
57th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%624 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason 26.1% (57th)768 swingsneutralsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.3%22.7%
26th percentileleague avg 23.6%626 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 21.3% (26th)269 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.9—
no split for this stat15th percentileleague avg 27.4624 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupMichael Busch: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 374 | 56 | .225 | 45% (44/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 156 | 25 | .263 | 49% (20/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 261 | 41 | .234 | 44% (30/68) |
| at home | 71 | 269 | 40 | .238 | 48% (34/71) |
| season | 139 | 530 | 81 | .236 | 46% (64/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatMichael Busch: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 437 | 13.5% | 269 | .227 | 22.7% | 36.1% |
| vs LHP | 187 | 11.8% | 120 | .225 | 18.3% | 37.5% |
| on the road ● | 315 | 13.0% | 196 | .229 | 22.4% | 39.3% |
| at home | 309 | 12.9% | 193 | .224 | 20.2% | 33.7% |
| season | 624 | 13.3% | 389 | — | 21.3% | 36.5% |
0.5line
C★ FORMleans under
- the under has hit 76% blended (L10 90%, season 54%) against a 55% priced probability
- his sprint speed of 25.9 - 15th percentile for sprint speed
- counterpoint - faces Janson Junk (RHP): xBA against .259 - 74th percentile for xBA against
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 90% vs 54% season
basis: 139 games this season
OVER+114ProphetXfair +116 · -0.9% vs fair
30% boost+148+14.9% vs market · +14.3% vs season50% boost+171+25.5% vs market · +24.8% vs season
UNDER-125BetMGMfair -123 · -0.9% vs fair
30% boost+104+12.4% vs market · +10.1% vs season50% boost+120+21.2% vs market · +18.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
Walks
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%6.4%7.3%
18th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%435 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason 6.4% (18th)274 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%62.1%62.0%
53rd percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%435 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason 62.1% (53rd)274 first pitchesneutralneutral
BB/92.53.0
league avg 3.4-1.0 vs league20 startsvs LHBseason 2.5274 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmJanson Junk: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 274 | 20 | 7.3% |
| vs RHB | 161 | 8 | 5.0% |
| at home ● | 245 | 12 | 4.9% |
| on the road | 190 | 16 | 8.4% |
| season | 435 | 28 | 6.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMichael Busch vs Janson Junk, career0 walks in 1 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
BB%12.5%13.0%
89th percentileleague avg 8.7%624 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 12.5% (89th)438 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate25.4%26.2%
20th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%624 PAvs RHP · 26th pctseason 25.4% (20th)942 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%64.9%65.7%
league avg 66.8%-1.9% vs league624 PAvs RHPseason 64.9%793 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupMichael Busch: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 446 | 61 | 13.7% | .343 | 47% (46/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 178 | 17 | 9.6% | .348 | 39% (16/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 315 | 44 | 14.0% | .356 | 46% (31/68) |
| at home | 71 | 309 | 34 | 11.0% | .333 | 44% (31/71) |
| season | 139 | 624 | 78 | 12.5% | .345 | 45% (62/139) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+150bet365fair +156 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost+195+15.3% vs market · +31.6% vs season50% boost+225+27.1% vs market · +45% vs season
UNDER-186DraftKingsfair -157 · -6% vs fair
30% boost-143+3.8% vs market · -5.9% vs season50% boost-124+10.4% vs market · +0.1% vs season
Stolen Bases
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Janson Junk Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.6%—
no split for this stat35th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%3 of 509 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him1.0%—
no split for this stat41st percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%5 of 509 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
SB allowed3—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught2—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Michael Busch Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed25.9—
no split for this stat15th percentileleague avg 27.4624 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.010.02
18th percentileleague avg 0.07139 gamesvs RHP · 30th pctseason 0.01 (18th)98 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.228.227
31st percentileleague avg .240624 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason .228 (31st)372 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%12.5%13.0%
89th percentileleague avg 8.7%624 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 12.5% (89th)438 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMichael Busch: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 98 | 446 | 2 | 0.02 | 2% (2/98) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 178 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/41) |
| on the road ● | 68 | 315 | 2 | 0.03 | 3% (2/68) |
| at home | 71 | 309 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/71) |
| season | 139 | 624 | 2 | 0.01 | 1% (2/139) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+2500Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
UNDER-2000betPARXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardChicago Cubs @ Miami Marlinssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing