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Francisco Alvarez
NYMbats R9th in the order · projectedSan Francisco Giants @ New York Mets7:11 PMCiti Field
facingMatt Wilkinson4.63 ERA · 4.63 K/9 · 1.11 WHIP · 11.2 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 2.1% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 5.1% (league avg 7.4%) · only 3 starts, thin sample
Alvarez at the plateHR/PA 3.6%barrel rate 15.5%hard-hit% 44.9%
Home Runs
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthinthin2.1%2.6%
29th percentileleague avg 2.9%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 44th pctseason 2.1% (29th)thin sample: 38 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
barrel% allowedthinthin5.1%6.3%
17th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 5.1% (17th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowedthinthin48.7%53.1%
98th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 100th pctseason 48.7% (98th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowedthinthin30.8%31.3%
79th percentileleague avg 26.7%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 81st pctseason 30.8% (79th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG againstthinthin.426.484
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 38 | 1 | 2.6% |
| vs LHB | 9 | 0 | 0.0% |
| on the road ● | 25 | 1 | 4.0% |
| at home | 22 | 0 | 0.0% |
| season | 47 | 1 | 2.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.6%2.0%
69th percentileleague avg 3.0%359 PAvs LHP · 27th pctseason 3.6% (69th)101 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethin15.5%14.0%
96th percentileleague avg 7.8%359 PAvs LHP · 93rd pctseason 15.5% (96th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thin44.9%40.0%
77th percentileleague avg 39.0%359 PAvs LHP · 53rd pctseason 44.9% (77th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
fly-ball%thin25.6%26.0%
42nd percentileleague avg 26.7%359 PAvs LHP · 45th pctseason 25.6% (42nd)thin sample: 50 batted ballsneutralneutral
xSLG.421.369
72nd percentileleague avg .386359 PAvs LHP · 41st pctseason .421 (72nd)87 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xISO.193.156
82nd percentileleague avg .146359 PAvs LHP · 61st pctseason .193 (82nd)87 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velothin90.1 mph89.3 mph
76th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph359 PAvs LHP · 64th pctseason 90.1 mph (76th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 29 | 112 | 2 | 1.8% | .320 | 7% (2/29) |
| vs RHP | 67 | 247 | 11 | 4.5% | .425 | 13% (9/67) |
| at home ● | 48 | 176 | 7 | 4.0% | .403 | 15% (7/48) |
| on the road | 48 | 183 | 6 | 3.3% | .383 | 8% (4/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 13 | 3.6% | .392 | 11% (11/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 101 | 2.0% | 50 | 14.0% | .369 | .156 | 89.3 |
| vs RHP | 258 | 4.3% | 157 | 15.9% | .439 | .206 | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 176 | 4.0% | 102 | 14.7% | .411 | .197 | 89.4 |
| on the road | 183 | 3.3% | 105 | 16.2% | .429 | .189 | 90.7 |
| season | 359 | 3.6% | 207 | 15.5% | .420 | .193 | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+550BetRiverspooled fair +511
30% boost+715pooled fair50% boost+825pooled fair
UNDER-669NoVigfair -509 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-515-0.2% vs market · +5.7% vs season50% boost-446+2.3% vs market · +8.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+8000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+10400no market fair50% boost+12000no market fair
Total Bases
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthinthin.426.484
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA againstthinthin.251.273
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 88th pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG againstthin.244.306
league avg .244+.000 vs league3 startsvs RHBseason .244thin sample: 38 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowedthinthin48.7%53.1%
98th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 100th pctseason 48.7% (98th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.1%6.3%
17th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 5.1% (17th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 38 | 18 | 0.47 | .500 |
| vs LHB | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | .000 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 15 | 0.60 | .600 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 0.14 | .150 |
| season | 47 | 18 | 0.38 | .400 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.421.369
72nd percentileleague avg .386359 PAvs LHP · 41st pctseason .421 (72nd)87 at-batssupports OVERneutral
SLG.392.276
39th percentileleague avg .400359 PAvs LHP · 2nd pctseason .392 (39th)101 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.228.212
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs LHP · 16th pctseason .228 (31st)87 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.231.195
27th percentileleague avg .244359 PAvs LHP · 5th pctseason .231 (27th)101 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.193.156
82nd percentileleague avg .146359 PAvs LHP · 61st pctseason .193 (82nd)87 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thin44.9%40.0%
77th percentileleague avg 39.0%359 PAvs LHP · 53rd pctseason 44.9% (77th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel ratethin15.5%14.0%
96th percentileleague avg 7.8%359 PAvs LHP · 93rd pctseason 15.5% (96th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin20.3%20.0%
14th percentileleague avg 23.6%359 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason 20.3% (14th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 29 | 112 | 31 | 1.07 | .320 | 59% (17/29) |
| vs RHP | 67 | 247 | 93 | 1.39 | .425 | 63% (42/67) |
| at home ● | 48 | 176 | 62 | 1.29 | .403 | 58% (28/48) |
| on the road | 48 | 183 | 62 | 1.29 | .383 | 65% (31/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 124 | 1.29 | .392 | 61% (59/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 101 | 23.8% | 50 | .369 | .156 | 14.0% | 89.3 |
| vs RHP | 258 | 38.8% | 157 | .439 | .206 | 15.9% | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 176 | 35.2% | 102 | .411 | .197 | 14.7% | 89.4 |
| on the road | 183 | 33.9% | 105 | .429 | .189 | 16.2% | 90.7 |
| season | 359 | 34.5% | 207 | .420 | .193 | 15.5% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER-122ProphetXfair -116 · -2.4% vs fair
30% boost+107+10.9% vs market · +26.9% vs season50% boost+123+19.7% vs market · +37% vs season
UNDER+110BetOnlinefair +113 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost+143+14.2% vs market · -6.3% vs season50% boost+165+24.6% vs market · +2.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 25%SZN 31%over rate
OVER+210BetRiverspooled fair +213
30% boost+273pooled fair50% boost+315pooled fair
UNDER-275Hard Rockpooled fair -213
30% boost-212pooled fair50% boost-183pooled fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+400BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+520no market fair50% boost+600no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+425BetOnlinemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+552no market fair50% boost+638no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1040DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1352no market fair50% boost+1560no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1900Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.251.273
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 88th pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG againstthin.244.306
league avg .244+.000 vs league3 startsvs RHBseason .244thin sample: 38 batters facedneutralneutral
K%thinthin12.7%10.5%
1st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 12.7% (1st)thin sample: 38 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thinthin14.7%14.1%
1st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 14.7% (1st)thin sample: 64 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 38 | 11 | 28.9% | .306 |
| vs LHB | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | .000 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | .320 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | .150 |
| season | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | .244 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
xBA.228.212
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs LHP · 16th pctseason .228 (31st)87 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.231.195
27th percentileleague avg .244359 PAvs LHP · 5th pctseason .231 (27th)101 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%77.3%73.1%
12th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%359 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason 77.3% (12th)119 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%35.5%39.0%
95th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%359 PAvs LHP · 98th pctseason 35.5% (95th)200 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%30.6%36.6%
88th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%359 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason 30.6% (88th)101 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin20.3%20.0%
14th percentileleague avg 23.6%359 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason 20.3% (14th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 29 | 97 | 21 | .216 | 59% (17/29) |
| vs RHP | 67 | 219 | 52 | .237 | 63% (42/67) |
| at home ● | 48 | 154 | 33 | .214 | 58% (28/48) |
| on the road | 48 | 162 | 40 | .247 | 65% (31/48) |
| season | 96 | 316 | 73 | .231 | 61% (59/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 101 | 16.8% | 50 | .212 | 20.0% | 32.0% |
| vs RHP | 258 | 21.7% | 157 | .233 | 20.4% | 34.4% |
| at home ● | 176 | 18.8% | 102 | .214 | 21.6% | 36.3% |
| on the road | 183 | 21.9% | 105 | .240 | 19.1% | 31.4% |
| season | 359 | 20.3% | 207 | — | 20.3% | 33.8% |
0.5line
OVER-121ProphetXfair -114 · -2.6% vs fair
30% boost+107+10.6% vs market · +27.5% vs season50% boost+124+19.4% vs market · +37.6% vs season
UNDER+112BetOnlinefair +112 · -0.1% vs fair
30% boost+146+15.7% vs market · -5.3% vs season50% boost+168+26.2% vs market · +3.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+480FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+624no market fair50% boost+720no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+3000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
H+R+RBI
96 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.251.273
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 88th pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERAthin3.90—
no split for this stat41st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 47 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG againstthinthin.426.484
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thinthin4.3%5.3%
1st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason 4.3% (1st)thin sample: 38 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%thinthin12.7%10.5%
1st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 12.7% (1st)thin sample: 38 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 38 | 11 | 18 | .342 |
| vs LHB | 9 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 8 | 15 | .320 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 3 | .227 |
| season | 47 | 11 | 18 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.411.24
18th percentileleague avg 1.7596 gamesvs LHP · 10th pctseason 1.41 (18th)29 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.322—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg .310359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.228.212
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs LHP · 16th pctseason .228 (31st)87 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.392.276
39th percentileleague avg .400359 PAvs LHP · 2nd pctseason .392 (39th)101 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 29 | 112 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 1.24 | 34% (10/29) |
| vs RHP | 67 | 247 | 52 | 21 | 26 | 1.48 | 37% (25/67) |
| at home ● | 48 | 176 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 1.38 | 40% (19/48) |
| on the road | 48 | 183 | 40 | 15 | 14 | 1.44 | 33% (16/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 73 | 28 | 34 | 1.41 | 36% (35/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 101 | 16.8% | 50 | .212 | .369 | 14.0% | 89.3 |
| vs RHP | 258 | 21.7% | 157 | .233 | .439 | 15.9% | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 176 | 18.8% | 102 | .214 | .411 | 14.7% | 89.4 |
| on the road | 183 | 21.9% | 105 | .240 | .429 | 16.2% | 90.7 |
| season | 359 | 20.3% | 207 | — | .420 | 15.5% | 90.1 |
1.5line
OVER+127ProphetXfair +137 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost+165+11.9% vs market · -3.3% vs season50% boost+191+22.6% vs market · +5.9% vs season
UNDER-144NoVigfair -139 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost-111+10.6% vs market · +20.9% vs season50% boost+104+18.6% vs market · +29.7% vs season
RBIs
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin3.90—
no split for this stat41st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 47 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG againstthinthin.426.484
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.1%6.3%
17th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 5.1% (17th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thinthin4.3%5.3%
1st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason 4.3% (1st)thin sample: 38 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 38 | 11 | 1 | .500 |
| vs LHB | 9 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 8 | 1 | .600 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 0 | .150 |
| season | 47 | 11 | 1 | .400 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.350.28
22nd percentileleague avg 0.4596 gamesvs LHP · 9th pctseason 0.35 (22nd)29 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.421.369
72nd percentileleague avg .386359 PAvs LHP · 41st pctseason .421 (72nd)87 at-batssupports OVERneutral
hard-hit%thin44.9%40.0%
77th percentileleague avg 39.0%359 PAvs LHP · 53rd pctseason 44.9% (77th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel ratethin15.5%14.0%
96th percentileleague avg 7.8%359 PAvs LHP · 93rd pctseason 15.5% (96th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 29 | 112 | 8 | 0.28 | .320 | 24% (7/29) |
| vs RHP | 67 | 247 | 26 | 0.39 | .425 | 31% (21/67) |
| at home ● | 48 | 176 | 20 | 0.42 | .403 | 33% (16/48) |
| on the road | 48 | 183 | 14 | 0.29 | .383 | 25% (12/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 34 | 0.35 | .392 | 29% (28/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 101 | 5.9% | 50 | .369 | 14.0% | 40.0% | 89.3 |
| vs RHP | 258 | 10.9% | 157 | .439 | 15.9% | 46.5% | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 176 | 11.4% | 102 | .411 | 14.7% | 42.2% | 89.4 |
| on the road | 183 | 7.7% | 105 | .429 | 16.2% | 47.6% | 90.7 |
| season | 359 | — | 207 | .420 | 15.5% | 44.9% | 90.1 |
0.5line
OVER+217NoVigfair +226 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost+282+17.3% vs market · +11.4% vs season50% boost+326+30.6% vs market · +24.1% vs season
UNDER-265betPARXfair -231 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-204+4% vs market · +5.6% vs season50% boost-177+9.3% vs market · +10.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+675Caesarsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+878no market fair50% boost+1012no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1650BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2145no market fair50% boost+2475no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERAthin3.90—
no split for this stat41st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16thin sample: 47 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA againstthinthin.251.273
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 88th pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%thinthin4.3%5.3%
1st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason 4.3% (1st)thin sample: 38 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 38 | 11 | 2 | .342 |
| vs LHB | 9 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 8 | 0 | .320 |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 2 | .227 |
| season | 47 | 11 | 2 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.290.24
8th percentileleague avg 0.4696 gamesvs LHP · 1st pctseason 0.29 (8th)29 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.322—
no split for this stat66th percentileleague avg .310359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed25.4—
no split for this stat9th percentileleague avg 27.4359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.228.212
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs LHP · 16th pctseason .228 (31st)87 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%10.0%12.9%
66th percentileleague avg 8.7%359 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 10.0% (66th)101 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 29 | 112 | 7 | 0.24 | .315 | 21% (6/29) |
| vs RHP | 67 | 247 | 21 | 0.31 | .317 | 25% (17/67) |
| at home ● | 48 | 176 | 13 | 0.27 | .307 | 25% (12/48) |
| on the road | 48 | 183 | 15 | 0.31 | .326 | 23% (11/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 28 | 0.29 | .317 | 24% (23/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 101 | — | 50 | .212 | 20.0% | 32.0% | 89.3 |
| vs RHP | 258 | — | 157 | .233 | 20.4% | 34.4% | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 176 | 8.0% | 102 | .214 | 21.6% | 36.3% | 89.4 |
| on the road | 183 | 8.2% | 105 | .240 | 19.1% | 31.4% | 90.7 |
| season | 359 | — | 207 | — | 20.3% | 33.8% | 90.1 |
0.5line
A★ FORMleans under
- the under has hit 90% blended (L10 100%, season 76%) against a 60% priced probability
- faces Matt Wilkinson (LHP): BB% 4.3% - 1st percentile for walks allowed
- his runs per game of 0.29 - 8th percentile for runs per game
basis: 96 games this season
OVER+140bet365fair +149 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost+182+13.4% vs market · -32.4% vs season50% boost+210+24.6% vs market · -25.7% vs season
UNDER-175Hard Rockfair -149 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost-135+4.4% vs market · +32.5% vs season50% boost-117+11.2% vs market · +41.2% vs season
Doubles
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG againstthinthin.426.484
75th percentileleague avg .386thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .426 (75th)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowedthinthin48.7%53.1%
98th percentileleague avg 38.2%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 100th pctseason 48.7% (98th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowedthinthin5.1%6.3%
17th percentileleague avg 7.4%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 31st pctseason 5.1% (17th)thin sample: 32 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowedthin25.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this statthin sample: 47 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 38 | 2 | 5.3% | .500 |
| vs LHB | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | .000 |
| on the road ● | 25 | 2 | 8.0% | .600 |
| at home | 22 | 0 | 0.0% | .150 |
| season | 47 | 2 | 4.3% | .400 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.3%1.0%
26th percentileleague avg 4.1%359 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 3.3% (26th)101 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.421.369
72nd percentileleague avg .386359 PAvs LHP · 41st pctseason .421 (72nd)87 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xISO.193.156
82nd percentileleague avg .146359 PAvs LHP · 61st pctseason .193 (82nd)87 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin20.3%20.0%
14th percentileleague avg 23.6%359 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason 20.3% (14th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%thin33.8%32.0%
35th percentileleague avg 35.3%359 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason 33.8% (35th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.4—
no split for this stat9th percentileleague avg 27.4359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 29 | 112 | 4 | 3.6% | .320 | 14% (4/29) |
| vs RHP | 67 | 247 | 8 | 3.2% | .425 | 12% (8/67) |
| at home ● | 48 | 176 | 8 | 4.5% | .403 | 17% (8/48) |
| on the road | 48 | 183 | 4 | 2.2% | .383 | 8% (4/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 12 | 3.3% | .392 | 13% (12/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 101 | 1.0% | 50 | .369 | 20.0% | 32.0% |
| vs RHP | 258 | 4.3% | 157 | .439 | 20.4% | 34.4% |
| at home ● | 176 | 4.5% | 102 | .411 | 21.6% | 36.3% |
| on the road | 183 | 2.2% | 105 | .429 | 19.1% | 31.4% |
| season | 359 | 3.3% | 207 | .420 | 20.3% | 33.8% |
0.5line
OVER+600bet365fair +584 · +2.4% vs fair
30% boost+780+28.5% vs market · +10% vs season50% boost+900+46% vs market · +25% vs season
UNDER-900BetMGMfair -595 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost-692-2% vs market · +0.1% vs season50% boost-600-0.1% vs market · +2.1% vs season
Singles
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA againstthinthin.251.273
63rd percentileleague avg .239thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 88th pctseason .251 (63rd)thin sample: 36 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%thinthin12.7%10.5%
1st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 12.7% (1st)thin sample: 38 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%thinthin14.7%14.1%
1st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 14.7% (1st)thin sample: 64 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 38 | 7 | 18.4% |
| vs LHB | 9 | 0 | 0.0% |
| on the road ● | 25 | 4 | 16.0% |
| at home | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| season | 47 | 7 | 14.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
xBA.228.212
31st percentileleague avg .240359 PAvs LHP · 16th pctseason .228 (31st)87 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%77.3%73.1%
12th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%359 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason 77.3% (12th)119 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%35.5%39.0%
95th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%359 PAvs LHP · 98th pctseason 35.5% (95th)200 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin20.3%20.0%
14th percentileleague avg 23.6%359 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason 20.3% (14th)thin sample: 50 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.4—
no split for this stat9th percentileleague avg 27.4359 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 29 | 97 | 15 | .216 | 41% (12/29) |
| vs RHP | 67 | 219 | 33 | .237 | 42% (28/67) |
| at home ● | 48 | 154 | 18 | .214 | 35% (17/48) |
| on the road | 48 | 162 | 30 | .247 | 48% (23/48) |
| season | 96 | 316 | 48 | .231 | 42% (40/96) |
● tonight's split
The BatFrancisco Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 101 | 13.9% | 50 | .212 | 20.0% | 32.0% |
| vs RHP | 258 | 13.2% | 157 | .233 | 20.4% | 34.4% |
| at home ● | 176 | 10.2% | 102 | .214 | 21.6% | 36.3% |
| on the road | 183 | 16.4% | 105 | .240 | 19.1% | 31.4% |
| season | 359 | 13.4% | 207 | — | 20.3% | 33.8% |
0.5line
OVER+163DraftKingsfair +173 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost+212+14.2% vs market · +30% vs season50% boost+244+26.1% vs market · +43.5% vs season
UNDER-210bet365fair -176 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost-162+3.1% vs market · -5.6% vs season50% boost-140+9.2% vs market · 0% vs season
Walks
96 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Matt Wilkinson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%thinthin4.3%5.3%
1st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason 4.3% (1st)thin sample: 38 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%thinthin63.8%65.8%
69th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%thin sample: 47 batters facedvs RHB · 84th pctseason 63.8% (69th)thin sample: 38 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/9thin1.52.2
league avg 3.4-1.9 vs league3 startsvs RHBseason 1.5thin sample: 38 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMatt Wilkinson: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 38 | 2 | 5.3% |
| vs LHB | 9 | 0 | 0.0% |
| on the road ● | 25 | 0 | 0.0% |
| at home | 22 | 2 | 9.1% |
| season | 47 | 2 | 4.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadFrancisco Alvarez vs Matt Wilkinsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Francisco Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
BB%10.0%12.9%
66th percentileleague avg 8.7%359 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 10.0% (66th)101 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate32.2%33.5%
61st percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%359 PAvs LHP · 69th pctseason 32.2% (61st)242 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%61.7%60.4%
league avg 66.8%-5.1% vs league359 PAvs LHPseason 61.7%197 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupFrancisco Alvarez: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 29 | 112 | 13 | 11.6% | .315 | 34% (10/29) |
| vs RHP | 67 | 247 | 23 | 9.3% | .317 | 30% (20/67) |
| at home ● | 48 | 176 | 20 | 11.4% | .307 | 33% (16/48) |
| on the road | 48 | 183 | 16 | 8.7% | .326 | 29% (14/48) |
| season | 96 | 359 | 36 | 10.0% | .317 | 31% (30/96) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+163DraftKingsfair +172 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost+212+14.8% vs market · -2.5% vs season50% boost+244+26.8% vs market · +7.7% vs season
UNDER-210Hard Rockfair -176 · -5.8% vs fair
30% boost-162+3.3% vs market · +11.3% vs season50% boost-140+9.4% vs market · +17.9% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardSan Francisco Giants @ New York Metssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing