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Rafael Devers
SFbats L2nd in the order · projectedSan Francisco Giants @ New York Mets7:11 PMCiti Field
facingNolan McLean3.06 ERA · 9.94 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · 155.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 2.3% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.3% (league avg 7.4%)
Devers at the plateHR/PA 5.3%barrel rate 11.6%hard-hit% 51.0%
Home Runs
141 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.3%2.9%
34th percentileleague avg 2.9%645 batters facedvs LHB · 51st pctseason 2.3% (34th)386 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
barrel% allowed6.3%7.1%
32nd percentileleague avg 7.4%645 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.3% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit% allowed35.8%41.6%
32nd percentileleague avg 38.2%645 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 35.8% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed24.0%27.7%
29th percentileleague avg 26.7%645 batters facedvs LHB · 60th pctseason 24.0% (29th)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 11 | 2.8% |
| vs RHB | 258 | 4 | 1.6% |
| at home ● | 338 | 10 | 3.0% |
| on the road | 306 | 5 | 1.6% |
| season | 644 | 15 | 2.3% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Devers vs Nolan McLean, career0 home runs in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA5.3%6.8%
94th percentileleague avg 3.0%602 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 5.3% (94th)397 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.6%12.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.8%602 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason 11.6% (81st)250 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%51.0%54.0%
95th percentileleague avg 39.0%602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 51.0% (95th)250 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%35.7%36.8%
95th percentileleague avg 26.7%602 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 35.7% (95th)250 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.460.514
87th percentileleague avg .386602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .460 (87th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.227.259
93rd percentileleague avg .146602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .227 (93rd)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo92.8 mph94.0 mph
97th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 92.8 mph (97th)250 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupRafael Devers: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 425 | 26 | 6.1% | .553 | 24% (24/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 177 | 6 | 3.4% | .363 | 15% (6/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 316 | 15 | 4.7% | .478 | 19% (14/72) |
| at home | 69 | 286 | 17 | 5.9% | .518 | 23% (16/69) |
| season | 141 | 602 | 32 | 5.3% | .497 | 21% (30/141) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Devers: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 397 | 6.8% | 250 | 12.8% | .514 | .259 | 94.0 |
| vs LHP | 205 | 2.4% | 130 | 9.2% | .348 | .162 | 90.6 |
| on the road ● | 316 | 4.7% | 191 | 13.1% | .465 | .230 | 92.0 |
| at home | 286 | 5.9% | 189 | 10.1% | .447 | .218 | 93.7 |
| season | 602 | 5.3% | 380 | 11.6% | .456 | .224 | 92.8 |
0.5line
OVER+450betPARXfair +373 · +16.2% vs fair
30% boost+585+44.5% vs market · +45.7% vs season50% boost+675+63.5% vs market · +64.9% vs season
UNDER-415ProphetXfair -365 · -2.6% vs fair
30% boost-319+3.1% vs market · +3.4% vs season50% boost-277+6.9% vs market · +7.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Total Bases
141 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
AVG against.203.230
league avg .244-0.041 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason .203386 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed35.8%41.6%
32nd percentileleague avg 38.2%645 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 35.8% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.3%7.1%
32nd percentileleague avg 7.4%645 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.3% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 125 | 0.32 | .373 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 57 | 0.22 | .252 |
| at home ● | 338 | 110 | 0.33 | .379 |
| on the road | 306 | 72 | 0.24 | .266 |
| season | 644 | 182 | 0.28 | .324 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Devers vs Nolan McLean, career0 total bases in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.460.514
87th percentileleague avg .386602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .460 (87th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.497.608
92nd percentileleague avg .400602 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .497 (92nd)397 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.234.256
37th percentileleague avg .240602 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .234 (37th)346 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
AVG.252.294
56th percentileleague avg .244602 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason .252 (56th)397 PAneutralsupports OVER
xISO.227.259
93rd percentileleague avg .146602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .227 (93rd)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%51.0%54.0%
95th percentileleague avg 39.0%602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 51.0% (95th)250 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.6%12.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.8%602 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason 11.6% (81st)250 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%17.6%18.4%
3rd percentileleague avg 23.6%602 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason 17.6% (3rd)250 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupRafael Devers: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 425 | 207 | 2.07 | .553 | 50% (50/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 177 | 57 | 1.39 | .363 | 34% (14/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 316 | 131 | 1.82 | .478 | 46% (33/72) |
| at home | 69 | 286 | 133 | 1.93 | .518 | 45% (31/69) |
| season | 141 | 602 | 264 | 1.87 | .497 | 45% (64/141) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Devers: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 397 | 52.6% | 250 | .514 | .259 | 12.8% | 94.0 |
| vs LHP | 205 | 26.8% | 130 | .348 | .162 | 9.2% | 90.6 |
| on the road ● | 316 | 41.5% | 191 | .465 | .230 | 13.1% | 92.0 |
| at home | 286 | 46.5% | 189 | .447 | .218 | 10.1% | 93.7 |
| season | 602 | 43.9% | 380 | .456 | .224 | 11.6% | 92.8 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 90%L20 80%SZN 65%over rate
OVER-165theScore Betfair -152 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-127+8% vs market · +15.4% vs season50% boost-110+15.3% vs market · +23.2% vs season
UNDER+132ProphetXfair +144 · -4.8% vs fair
30% boost+172+11.4% vs market · -3.7% vs season50% boost+198+22.2% vs market · +5.7% vs season
1.5line
B★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 66% blended (L10 80%, season 45%) against a 40% priced probability
- his SLG of .497 - 92nd percentile for SLG
- his xSLG of .460 - 87th percentile for xSLG
- counterpoint - faces Nolan McLean (RHP): xSLG against .334 - 20th percentile for xSLG against
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 80% vs 45% season
basis: 141 games this season
OVER+148ProphetXfair +151 · -1.1% vs fair
30% boost+192+16.7% vs market · +32.7% vs season50% boost+222+28.5% vs market · +46.2% vs season
UNDER-160ProphetXfair -149 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost-123+8.4% vs market · -1% vs season50% boost-107+15.9% vs market · +5.8% vs season
2.5lineL5 80%L10 60%L20 45%SZN 30%over rate
OVER+290betPARXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+377no market fair50% boost+435no market fair
3.5lineL5 60%L10 50%L20 40%SZN 24%over rate
OVER+310Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+403no market fair50% boost+465no market fair
4.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 20%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+710DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+923no market fair50% boost+1065no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1260DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1638no market fair50% boost+1890no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1900Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
141 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
AVG against.203.230
league avg .244-0.041 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason .203386 batters facedneutralneutral
K%26.7%26.2%
81st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%644 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 26.7% (81st)386 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%24.4%24.8%
47th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%644 batters facedvs LHB · 49th pctseason 24.4% (47th)665 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 77 | 19.9% | .230 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 37 | 14.3% | .164 |
| at home ● | 338 | 66 | 19.5% | .228 |
| on the road | 306 | 48 | 15.7% | .177 |
| season | 644 | 114 | 17.7% | .203 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Devers vs Nolan McLean, career0 hits in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
xBA.234.256
37th percentileleague avg .240602 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .234 (37th)346 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
AVG.252.294
56th percentileleague avg .244602 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason .252 (56th)397 PAneutralsupports OVER
zone contact%74.8%76.6%
5th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%602 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 74.8% (5th)487 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%29.1%28.1%
73rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%602 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason 29.1% (73rd)732 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%25.6%24.2%
70th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%602 PAvs RHP · 62nd pctseason 25.6% (70th)397 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%17.6%18.4%
3rd percentileleague avg 23.6%602 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason 17.6% (3rd)250 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupRafael Devers: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 374 | 100 | .267 | 65% (65/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 157 | 34 | .217 | 63% (26/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 274 | 68 | .248 | 65% (47/72) |
| at home | 69 | 257 | 66 | .257 | 64% (44/69) |
| season | 141 | 531 | 134 | .252 | 65% (91/141) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Devers: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 397 | 25.4% | 250 | .256 | 18.4% | 32.4% |
| vs LHP | 205 | 16.1% | 130 | .187 | 16.2% | 30.8% |
| on the road ● | 316 | 21.5% | 191 | .234 | 17.3% | 33.5% |
| at home | 286 | 23.1% | 189 | .229 | 18.0% | 30.2% |
| season | 602 | 22.3% | 380 | — | 17.6% | 31.8% |
0.5line
OVER-156ProphetXfair -146 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost-120+8.7% vs market · +18.3% vs season50% boost-104+16.3% vs market · +26.6% vs season
UNDER+148betPARXfair +145 · +1.1% vs fair
30% boost+192+19% vs market · +3.7% vs season50% boost+222+31.1% vs market · +14.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 50%L20 35%SZN 27%over rate
OVER+369DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+480no market fair50% boost+553no market fair
UNDER-500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-385no market fair50% boost-333no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1760DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2288no market fair50% boost+2640no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
H+R+RBI
141 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
xERA3.58—
no split for this stat29th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16644 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
BB%9.5%9.8%
67th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%644 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 9.5% (67th)386 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
K%26.7%26.2%
81st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%644 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 26.7% (81st)386 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmNolan McLean: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 77 | 125 | .322 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 37 | 57 | .258 |
| at home ● | 338 | 66 | 110 | .327 |
| on the road | 306 | 48 | 72 | .262 |
| season | 644 | 114 | 182 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Devers vs Nolan McLean, career0 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.122.29
85th percentileleague avg 1.75141 gamesvs RHP · 94th pctseason 2.12 (85th)100 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.336—
no split for this stat79th percentileleague avg .310602 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.234.256
37th percentileleague avg .240602 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .234 (37th)346 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
SLG.497.608
92nd percentileleague avg .400602 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .497 (92nd)397 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupRafael Devers: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 425 | 100 | 64 | 65 | 2.29 | 59% (59/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 177 | 34 | 18 | 18 | 1.71 | 46% (19/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 316 | 68 | 42 | 28 | 1.92 | 53% (38/72) |
| at home | 69 | 286 | 66 | 40 | 55 | 2.33 | 58% (40/69) |
| season | 141 | 602 | 134 | 82 | 83 | 2.12 | 55% (78/141) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Devers: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 397 | 25.4% | 250 | .256 | .514 | 12.8% | 94.0 |
| vs LHP | 205 | 16.1% | 130 | .187 | .348 | 9.2% | 90.6 |
| on the road ● | 316 | 21.5% | 191 | .234 | .465 | 13.1% | 92.0 |
| at home | 286 | 23.1% | 189 | .229 | .447 | 10.1% | 93.7 |
| season | 602 | 22.3% | 380 | — | .456 | 11.6% | 92.8 |
1.5line
B+★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 76% blended (L10 90%, season 55%) against a 46% priced probability
- his H+R+RBI per game of 2.12 - 85th percentile for H+R+RBI per game
- his xwOBA of .336 - 79th percentile for xwOBA
- counterpoint - faces Nolan McLean (RHP): xBA against .215 - 21st percentile for xBA against
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 90% vs 55% season
basis: 141 games this season
OVER+111NoVigfair +117 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost+144+12.6% vs market · +35.1% vs season50% boost+167+22.9% vs market · +47.4% vs season
UNDER-124ProphetXfair -117 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost+105+10.4% vs market · -8.5% vs season50% boost+121+19.1% vs market · -1.3% vs season
RBIs
141 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.58—
no split for this stat29th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16644 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
barrel% allowed6.3%7.1%
32nd percentileleague avg 7.4%645 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.3% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
BB%9.5%9.8%
67th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%644 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 9.5% (67th)386 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmNolan McLean: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 77 | 11 | .373 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 37 | 4 | .252 |
| at home ● | 338 | 66 | 10 | .379 |
| on the road | 306 | 48 | 5 | .266 |
| season | 644 | 114 | 15 | .324 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Devers vs Nolan McLean, career0 RBI in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.590.65
87th percentileleague avg 0.45141 gamesvs RHP · 95th pctseason 0.59 (87th)100 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.460.514
87th percentileleague avg .386602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .460 (87th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%51.0%54.0%
95th percentileleague avg 39.0%602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 51.0% (95th)250 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate11.6%12.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.8%602 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason 11.6% (81st)250 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupRafael Devers: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 425 | 65 | 0.65 | .553 | 40% (40/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 177 | 18 | 0.44 | .363 | 29% (12/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 316 | 28 | 0.39 | .478 | 33% (24/72) |
| at home | 69 | 286 | 55 | 0.80 | .518 | 41% (28/69) |
| season | 141 | 602 | 83 | 0.59 | .497 | 37% (52/141) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Devers: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 397 | 16.6% | 250 | .514 | 12.8% | 54.0% | 94.0 |
| vs LHP | 205 | 8.3% | 130 | .348 | 9.2% | 45.4% | 90.6 |
| on the road ● | 316 | 8.9% | 191 | .465 | 13.1% | 49.2% | 92.0 |
| at home | 286 | 19.2% | 189 | .447 | 10.1% | 52.9% | 93.7 |
| season | 602 | — | 380 | .456 | 11.6% | 51.1% | 92.8 |
0.5line
OVER+196ProphetXfair +199 · -1% vs fair
30% boost+255+18.5% vs market · +30.8% vs season50% boost+294+31.6% vs market · +45.3% vs season
UNDER-220theScore Betfair -203 · -2.6% vs fair
30% boost-169+6.6% vs market · +0.4% vs season50% boost-147+12.7% vs market · +6.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1400Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1820no market fair50% boost+2100no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
141 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA3.58—
no split for this stat29th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16644 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
BB%9.5%9.8%
67th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%644 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 9.5% (67th)386 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmNolan McLean: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 77 | 38 | .322 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 37 | 23 | .258 |
| at home ● | 338 | 66 | 35 | .327 |
| on the road | 306 | 48 | 26 | .262 |
| season | 644 | 114 | 61 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Devers vs Nolan McLean, career2 PA across 1 season. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.580.64
82nd percentileleague avg 0.46141 gamesvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 0.58 (82nd)100 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.336—
no split for this stat79th percentileleague avg .310602 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed26.1—
no split for this stat19th percentileleague avg 27.4602 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.234.256
37th percentileleague avg .240602 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .234 (37th)346 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB%10.8%12.6%
75th percentileleague avg 8.7%602 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 10.8% (75th)397 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupRafael Devers: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 425 | 64 | 0.64 | .351 | 47% (47/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 177 | 18 | 0.44 | .294 | 39% (16/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 316 | 42 | 0.58 | .342 | 44% (32/72) |
| at home | 69 | 286 | 40 | 0.58 | .325 | 45% (31/69) |
| season | 141 | 602 | 82 | 0.58 | .334 | 45% (63/141) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Devers: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 397 | — | 250 | .256 | 18.4% | 32.4% | 94.0 |
| vs LHP | 205 | — | 130 | .187 | 16.2% | 30.8% | 90.6 |
| on the road ● | 316 | 13.3% | 191 | .234 | 17.3% | 33.5% | 92.0 |
| at home | 286 | 14.0% | 189 | .229 | 18.0% | 30.2% | 93.7 |
| season | 602 | — | 380 | — | 17.6% | 31.8% | 92.8 |
0.5line
OVER+113ProphetXfair +118 · -2.2% vs fair
30% boost+147+13.3% vs market · +10.3% vs season50% boost+169+23.7% vs market · +20.4% vs season
UNDER-125BetMGMfair -124 · -0.4% vs fair
30% boost+104+12.8% vs market · +12.9% vs season50% boost+120+21.7% vs market · +21.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
Doubles
141 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.334.382
20th percentileleague avg .386644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .334 (20th)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit% allowed35.8%41.6%
32nd percentileleague avg 38.2%645 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 35.8% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.3%7.1%
32nd percentileleague avg 7.4%645 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.3% (32nd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive% allowed23.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat644 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmNolan McLean: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 15 | 3.9% | .373 |
| vs RHB | 258 | 8 | 3.1% | .252 |
| at home ● | 338 | 14 | 4.1% | .379 |
| on the road | 306 | 9 | 2.9% | .266 |
| season | 644 | 23 | 3.6% | .324 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Devers vs Nolan McLean, career0 doubles in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA5.3%6.3%
85th percentileleague avg 4.1%602 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 5.3% (85th)397 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.460.514
87th percentileleague avg .386602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .460 (87th)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.227.259
93rd percentileleague avg .146602 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .227 (93rd)346 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%17.6%18.4%
3rd percentileleague avg 23.6%602 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason 17.6% (3rd)250 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%31.8%32.4%
19th percentileleague avg 35.3%602 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 31.8% (19th)250 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed26.1—
no split for this stat19th percentileleague avg 27.4602 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupRafael Devers: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 425 | 27 | 6.4% | .553 | 23% (23/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 177 | 5 | 2.8% | .363 | 12% (5/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 316 | 16 | 5.1% | .478 | 18% (13/72) |
| at home | 69 | 286 | 16 | 5.6% | .518 | 22% (15/69) |
| season | 141 | 602 | 32 | 5.3% | .497 | 20% (28/141) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Devers: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 397 | 6.3% | 250 | .514 | 18.4% | 32.4% |
| vs LHP | 205 | 3.4% | 130 | .348 | 16.2% | 30.8% |
| on the road ● | 316 | 5.1% | 191 | .465 | 17.3% | 33.5% |
| at home | 286 | 5.6% | 189 | .447 | 18.0% | 30.2% |
| season | 602 | 5.3% | 380 | .456 | 17.6% | 31.8% |
0.5line
OVER+475BetMGMfair +464 · +2% vs fair
30% boost+618+27% vs market · +42.5% vs season50% boost+712+43.8% vs market · +61.3% vs season
UNDER-650DraftKingsfair -495 · -4% vs fair
30% boost-500-0.2% vs market · -3.8% vs season50% boost-433+2.4% vs market · -1.4% vs season
Singles
141 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.215.238
21st percentileleague avg .239644 batters facedvs LHB · 48th pctseason .215 (21st)339 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
K%26.7%26.2%
81st percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%644 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 26.7% (81st)386 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%24.4%24.8%
47th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%644 batters facedvs LHB · 49th pctseason 24.4% (47th)665 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 51 | 13.2% |
| vs RHB | 258 | 25 | 9.7% |
| at home ● | 338 | 42 | 12.4% |
| on the road | 306 | 34 | 11.1% |
| season | 644 | 76 | 11.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Devers vs Nolan McLean, career0 singles in 2 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
xBA.234.256
37th percentileleague avg .240602 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .234 (37th)346 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
zone contact%74.8%76.6%
5th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%602 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 74.8% (5th)487 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%29.1%28.1%
73rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%602 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason 29.1% (73rd)732 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%17.6%18.4%
3rd percentileleague avg 23.6%602 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason 17.6% (3rd)250 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed26.1—
no split for this stat19th percentileleague avg 27.4602 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupRafael Devers: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 374 | 46 | .267 | 40% (40/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 157 | 23 | .217 | 44% (18/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 274 | 36 | .248 | 40% (29/72) |
| at home | 69 | 257 | 33 | .257 | 42% (29/69) |
| season | 141 | 531 | 69 | .252 | 41% (58/141) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Devers: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 397 | 12.1% | 250 | .256 | 18.4% | 32.4% |
| vs LHP | 205 | 10.2% | 130 | .187 | 16.2% | 30.8% |
| on the road ● | 316 | 11.4% | 191 | .234 | 17.3% | 33.5% |
| at home | 286 | 11.5% | 189 | .229 | 18.0% | 30.2% |
| season | 602 | 11.6% | 380 | — | 17.6% | 31.8% |
0.5line
OVER+164DraftKingsfair +162 · +0.8% vs fair
30% boost+213+19.6% vs market · +28.8% vs season50% boost+246+32.2% vs market · +42.3% vs season
UNDER-175BetMGMfair -171 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost-135+10% vs market · +2.6% vs season50% boost-117+17.2% vs market · +9.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Walks
141 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%9.5%9.8%
67th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%644 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 9.5% (67th)386 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%59.6%60.5%
26th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%644 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 59.6% (26th)387 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/93.53.8
league avg 3.4+0.1 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason 3.5386 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmNolan McLean: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 386 | 38 | 9.8% |
| vs RHB | 258 | 23 | 8.9% |
| at home ● | 338 | 35 | 10.4% |
| on the road | 306 | 26 | 8.5% |
| season | 644 | 61 | 9.5% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Devers vs Nolan McLean, career0 walks in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
BB%10.8%12.6%
75th percentileleague avg 8.7%602 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 10.8% (75th)397 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate29.9%28.5%
47th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%602 PAvs RHP · 37th pctseason 29.9% (47th)859 pitches outside the zoneneutralsupports OVER
zone swing%66.7%65.6%
league avg 66.8%-0.1% vs league602 PAvs RHPseason 66.7%742 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupRafael Devers: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 425 | 48 | 11.3% | .351 | 39% (39/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 177 | 17 | 9.6% | .294 | 39% (16/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 316 | 40 | 12.7% | .342 | 44% (32/72) |
| at home | 69 | 286 | 25 | 8.7% | .325 | 33% (23/69) |
| season | 141 | 602 | 65 | 10.8% | .334 | 39% (55/141) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+115bet365fair +124 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost+150+11.5% vs market · -2.7% vs season50% boost+172+21.8% vs market · +6.3% vs season
UNDER-141DraftKingsfair -126 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-108+7.1% vs market · +17.2% vs season50% boost+106+15% vs market · +25.9% vs season
Stolen Bases
141 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Nolan McLean Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.6%—
no split for this stat39th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%5 of 777 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.8%—
no split for this stat33rd percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%6 of 777 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed5—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs3—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Rafael Devers Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed26.1—
no split for this stat19th percentileleague avg 27.4602 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.000.00
7th percentileleague avg 0.07141 gamesvs RHP · 7th pctseason 0.00 (7th)100 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.234.256
37th percentileleague avg .240602 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .234 (37th)346 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB%10.8%12.6%
75th percentileleague avg 8.7%602 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 10.8% (75th)397 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupRafael Devers: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 100 | 425 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/100) |
| vs LHP | 41 | 177 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/41) |
| on the road ● | 72 | 316 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/72) |
| at home | 69 | 286 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/69) |
| season | 141 | 602 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/141) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+3000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardSan Francisco Giants @ New York Metssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing