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Derek Hill
PHIbats R9th in the order · projectedAtlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies6:41 PMCitizens Bank Park
facingChris Sale2.06 ERA · 11.06 K/9 · 1.00 WHIP · 144.0 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 1.4% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 5.3% (league avg 7.4%)
Hill at the plateHR/PA 4.7%barrel rate 9.7%hard-hit% 33.3%
Home Runs
77 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed1.4%1.6%
11th percentileleague avg 2.9%577 batters facedvs RHB · 17th pctseason 1.4% (11th)433 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.3%4.8%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%577 batters facedvs RHB · 13th pctseason 5.3% (19th)270 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed34.0%36.7%
22nd percentileleague avg 38.2%577 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 34.0% (22nd)270 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed24.0%28.5%
29th percentileleague avg 26.7%577 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason 24.0% (29th)270 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLG against.326.330
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason .326 (16th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 432 | 7 | 1.6% |
| vs LHB | 144 | 1 | 0.7% |
| on the road ● | 280 | 4 | 1.4% |
| at home | 296 | 4 | 1.4% |
| season | 576 | 8 | 1.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDerek Hill vs Chris Sale, career0 home runs in 3 AB (.333), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
Derek Hill Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA4.7%5.1%
85th percentileleague avg 3.0%193 PAvs LHP · 91st pctseason 4.7% (85th)118 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate9.7%9.6%
70th percentileleague avg 7.8%193 PAvs LHP · 69th pctseason 9.7% (70th)73 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%33.3%34.3%
23rd percentileleague avg 39.0%193 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason 33.3% (23rd)73 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%27.0%26.0%
51st percentileleague avg 26.7%193 PAvs LHP · 45th pctseason 27.0% (51st)73 batted ballsneutralneutral
xSLG.367.341
39th percentileleague avg .386193 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason .367 (39th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.144.125
52nd percentileleague avg .146193 PAvs LHP · 38th pctseason .144 (52nd)112 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
avg exit velo83.7 mph82.5 mph
7th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph193 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason 83.7 mph (7th)73 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupDerek Hill: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 122 | 4 | 3.3% | .377 | 10% (4/39) |
| vs RHP | 38 | 70 | 5 | 7.1% | .492 | 13% (5/38) |
| at home ● | 37 | 86 | 3 | 3.5% | .347 | 8% (3/37) |
| on the road | 40 | 106 | 6 | 5.7% | .471 | 15% (6/40) |
| season | 77 | 192 | 9 | 4.7% | .418 | 12% (9/77) |
● tonight's split
The BatDerek Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 118 | 5.1% | 73 | 9.6% | .341 | .125 | 82.5 |
| vs RHP | 75 | 4.0% | 41 | 9.8% | .393 | .169 | 85.9 |
| at home ● | 86 | 3.5% | 53 | 7.5% | .337 | .120 | 82.6 |
| on the road | 107 | 5.6% | 61 | 11.5% | .379 | .158 | 84.7 |
| season | 193 | 4.7% | 114 | 9.7% | .361 | .142 | 83.7 |
0.5line
OVER+1000BetRiverspooled fair +915
30% boost+1300pooled fair50% boost+1500pooled fair
UNDER-1401bet365fair -916 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost-1078-1.4% vs market · -3.5% vs season50% boost-934-0.1% vs market · -2.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+17500Bovadamarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+22750no market fair50% boost+26250no market fair
Total Bases
77 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.326.330
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason .326 (16th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA against.222.224
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs RHB · 29th pctseason .222 (27th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.218.211
league avg .244-0.026 vs league24 startsvs RHBseason .218432 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed34.0%36.7%
22nd percentileleague avg 38.2%577 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 34.0% (22nd)270 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.3%4.8%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%577 batters facedvs RHB · 13th pctseason 5.3% (19th)270 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 432 | 114 | 0.26 | .286 |
| vs LHB | 144 | 45 | 0.31 | .336 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 82 | 0.29 | .317 |
| at home | 296 | 77 | 0.26 | .281 |
| season | 576 | 159 | 0.28 | .298 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDerek Hill vs Chris Sale, career1 total bases in 3 AB (.333), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
Derek Hill Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.367.341
39th percentileleague avg .386193 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason .367 (39th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.418.450
59th percentileleague avg .400193 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason .418 (59th)118 PAneutralsupports OVER
xBA.223.216
26th percentileleague avg .240193 PAvs LHP · 19th pctseason .223 (26th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.243.248
46th percentileleague avg .244193 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason .243 (46th)118 PAneutralneutral
xISO.144.125
52nd percentileleague avg .146193 PAvs LHP · 38th pctseason .144 (52nd)112 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
hard-hit%33.3%34.3%
23rd percentileleague avg 39.0%193 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason 33.3% (23rd)73 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate9.7%9.6%
70th percentileleague avg 7.8%193 PAvs LHP · 69th pctseason 9.7% (70th)73 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.9%21.9%
22nd percentileleague avg 23.6%193 PAvs LHP · 31st pctseason 20.9% (22nd)73 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupDerek Hill: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 122 | 43 | 1.10 | .377 | 67% (26/39) |
| vs RHP | 38 | 70 | 31 | 0.82 | .492 | 34% (13/38) |
| at home ● | 37 | 86 | 26 | 0.70 | .347 | 43% (16/37) |
| on the road | 40 | 106 | 48 | 1.20 | .471 | 58% (23/40) |
| season | 77 | 192 | 74 | 0.96 | .418 | 51% (39/77) |
● tonight's split
The BatDerek Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 118 | 41.5% | 73 | .341 | .125 | 9.6% | 82.5 |
| vs RHP | 75 | 33.3% | 41 | .393 | .169 | 9.8% | 85.9 |
| at home ● | 86 | 30.2% | 53 | .337 | .120 | 7.5% | 82.6 |
| on the road | 107 | 44.9% | 61 | .379 | .158 | 11.5% | 84.7 |
| season | 193 | 38.3% | 114 | .361 | .142 | 9.7% | 83.7 |
0.5line
OVER+108BetRiverspooled fair +112
30% boost+140pooled fair50% boost+162pooled fair
UNDER-125Pinnaclefair -114 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost+104+8.5% vs market · +0.7% vs season50% boost+120+17% vs market · +8.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+325BetRiverspooled fair +303
30% boost+423pooled fair50% boost+488pooled fair
UNDER-400bet365fair -304 · -6% vs fair
30% boost-308-0.4% vs market · +10.1% vs season50% boost-267+3.4% vs market · +14.3% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 15%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 15%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+750FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+975no market fair50% boost+1125no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+2000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
Hits
77 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.222.224
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs RHB · 29th pctseason .222 (27th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG against.218.211
league avg .244-0.026 vs league24 startsvs RHBseason .218432 batters facedneutralneutral
K%30.7%30.3%
93rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%576 batters facedvs RHB · 92nd pctseason 30.7% (93rd)433 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%30.3%30.6%
85th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%576 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason 30.3% (85th)890 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 432 | 84 | 19.4% | .211 |
| vs LHB | 144 | 32 | 22.2% | .239 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 59 | 21.1% | .228 |
| at home | 296 | 57 | 19.3% | .208 |
| season | 576 | 116 | 20.1% | .218 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDerek Hill vs Chris Sale, career1 hits in 3 AB (.333), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
Derek Hill Breakdown · batter data
xBA.223.216
26th percentileleague avg .240193 PAvs LHP · 19th pctseason .223 (26th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.243.248
46th percentileleague avg .244193 PAvs LHP · 51st pctseason .243 (46th)118 PAneutralneutral
zone contact%76.8%74.0%
10th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%193 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason 76.8% (10th)154 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%34.4%35.8%
93rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%193 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 34.4% (93rd)229 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%33.7%33.1%
97th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%193 PAvs LHP · 96th pctseason 33.7% (97th)118 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.9%21.9%
22nd percentileleague avg 23.6%193 PAvs LHP · 31st pctseason 20.9% (22nd)73 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupDerek Hill: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 114 | 27 | .237 | 67% (26/39) |
| vs RHP | 38 | 63 | 16 | .254 | 34% (13/38) |
| at home ● | 37 | 75 | 16 | .213 | 43% (16/37) |
| on the road | 40 | 102 | 27 | .265 | 58% (23/40) |
| season | 77 | 177 | 43 | .243 | 51% (39/77) |
● tonight's split
The BatDerek Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 118 | 22.9% | 73 | .216 | 21.9% | 43.8% |
| vs RHP | 75 | 21.3% | 41 | .224 | 19.5% | 31.7% |
| at home ● | 86 | 18.6% | 53 | .217 | 17.0% | 35.9% |
| on the road | 107 | 25.2% | 61 | .221 | 24.6% | 42.6% |
| season | 193 | 22.3% | 114 | — | 21.1% | 39.5% |
0.5line
OVER+109ProphetXfair +118 · -4.1% vs fair
30% boost+142+10.9% vs market · +22.4% vs season50% boost+163+20.9% vs market · +33.5% vs season
UNDER-126ProphetXfair -118 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+103+9.9% vs market · +0.3% vs season50% boost+119+18.5% vs market · +8.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+3300DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4290no market fair50% boost+4950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
H+R+RBI
77 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.222.224
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs RHB · 29th pctseason .222 (27th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xERA2.99—
no split for this stat11th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16576 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.326.330
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason .326 (16th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%4.9%5.3%
3rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%576 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason 4.9% (3rd)433 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%30.7%30.3%
93rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%576 batters facedvs RHB · 92nd pctseason 30.7% (93rd)433 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 432 | 84 | 114 | .266 |
| vs LHB | 144 | 32 | 45 | .287 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 59 | 82 | .280 |
| at home | 296 | 57 | 77 | .264 |
| season | 576 | 116 | 159 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDerek Hill vs Chris Sale, career2 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 3 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Derek Hill Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.221.31
8th percentileleague avg 1.7577 gamesvs LHP · 13th pctseason 1.22 (8th)39 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.283—
no split for this stat21st percentileleague avg .310193 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.223.216
26th percentileleague avg .240193 PAvs LHP · 19th pctseason .223 (26th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.418.450
59th percentileleague avg .400193 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason .418 (59th)118 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupDerek Hill: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 122 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 1.31 | 69% (27/39) |
| vs RHP | 38 | 70 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 1.13 | 45% (17/38) |
| at home ● | 37 | 86 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 1.08 | 51% (19/37) |
| on the road | 40 | 106 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 1.35 | 63% (25/40) |
| season | 77 | 192 | 43 | 25 | 26 | 1.22 | 57% (44/77) |
● tonight's split
The BatDerek Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 118 | 22.9% | 73 | .216 | .341 | 9.6% | 82.5 |
| vs RHP | 75 | 21.3% | 41 | .224 | .393 | 9.8% | 85.9 |
| at home ● | 86 | 18.6% | 53 | .217 | .337 | 7.5% | 82.6 |
| on the road | 107 | 25.2% | 61 | .221 | .379 | 11.5% | 84.7 |
| season | 193 | 22.3% | 114 | — | .361 | 9.7% | 83.7 |
0.5line
B★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 77% blended (L10 90%, season 57%) against a 50% priced probability
- counterpoint - his H+R+RBI per game of 1.22 - 8th percentile for H+R+RBI per game
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 90% vs 57% season
basis: 77 games this season
OVER-108ProphetXfair -102 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+120+11.1% vs market · +25.9% vs season50% boost+139+20.4% vs market · +36.5% vs season
UNDER+100BetMGMfair -100 · +0.2% vs fair
30% boost+130+15.2% vs market · -1.4% vs season50% boost+150+25.2% vs market · +7.1% vs season
RBIs
77 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.99—
no split for this stat11th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16576 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xSLG against.326.330
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason .326 (16th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.3%4.8%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%577 batters facedvs RHB · 13th pctseason 5.3% (19th)270 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%4.9%5.3%
3rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%576 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason 4.9% (3rd)433 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 432 | 84 | 7 | .286 |
| vs LHB | 144 | 32 | 1 | .336 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 59 | 4 | .317 |
| at home | 296 | 57 | 4 | .281 |
| season | 576 | 116 | 8 | .298 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDerek Hill vs Chris Sale, career1 RBI in 3 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
Derek Hill Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.340.33
20th percentileleague avg 0.4577 gamesvs LHP · 18th pctseason 0.34 (20th)39 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.367.341
39th percentileleague avg .386193 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason .367 (39th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%33.3%34.3%
23rd percentileleague avg 39.0%193 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason 33.3% (23rd)73 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate9.7%9.6%
70th percentileleague avg 7.8%193 PAvs LHP · 69th pctseason 9.7% (70th)73 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupDerek Hill: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 122 | 13 | 0.33 | .377 | 23% (9/39) |
| vs RHP | 38 | 70 | 13 | 0.34 | .492 | 24% (9/38) |
| at home ● | 37 | 86 | 13 | 0.35 | .347 | 24% (9/37) |
| on the road | 40 | 106 | 13 | 0.33 | .471 | 23% (9/40) |
| season | 77 | 192 | 26 | 0.34 | .418 | 23% (18/77) |
● tonight's split
The BatDerek Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 118 | 13.6% | 73 | .341 | 9.6% | 34.3% | 82.5 |
| vs RHP | 75 | 13.3% | 41 | .393 | 9.8% | 31.7% | 85.9 |
| at home ● | 86 | 15.1% | 53 | .337 | 7.5% | 30.2% | 82.6 |
| on the road | 107 | 12.1% | 61 | .379 | 11.5% | 36.1% | 84.7 |
| season | 193 | — | 114 | .361 | 9.7% | 33.3% | 83.7 |
0.5line
OVER+365ProphetXfair +372 · -1.5% vs fair
30% boost+475+21.8% vs market · +34.3% vs season50% boost+548+37.3% vs market · +51.4% vs season
UNDER-500bet365fair -376 · -5.2% vs fair
30% boost-385-0.5% vs market · -3.5% vs season50% boost-333+2.7% vs market · -0.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
UNDER-4000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
77 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA2.99—
no split for this stat11th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16576 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA against.222.224
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs RHB · 29th pctseason .222 (27th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%4.9%5.3%
3rd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%576 batters facedvs RHB · 6th pctseason 4.9% (3rd)433 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 432 | 84 | 23 | .266 |
| vs LHB | 144 | 32 | 5 | .287 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 59 | 14 | .280 |
| at home | 296 | 57 | 14 | .264 |
| season | 576 | 116 | 28 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDerek Hill vs Chris Sale, career3 PA across 1 season. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Derek Hill Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.320.28
13th percentileleague avg 0.4677 gamesvs LHP · 6th pctseason 0.32 (13th)39 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.283—
no split for this stat21st percentileleague avg .310193 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speed29.5—
no split for this stat95th percentileleague avg 27.4193 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.223.216
26th percentileleague avg .240193 PAvs LHP · 19th pctseason .223 (26th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.2%5.1%
22nd percentileleague avg 8.7%193 PAvs LHP · 11th pctseason 6.2% (22nd)118 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupDerek Hill: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 122 | 11 | 0.28 | .275 | 28% (11/39) |
| vs RHP | 38 | 70 | 14 | 0.37 | .319 | 34% (13/38) |
| at home ● | 37 | 86 | 11 | 0.30 | .289 | 27% (10/37) |
| on the road | 40 | 106 | 14 | 0.35 | .292 | 35% (14/40) |
| season | 77 | 192 | 25 | 0.32 | .291 | 31% (24/77) |
● tonight's split
The BatDerek Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 118 | — | 73 | .216 | 21.9% | 43.8% | 82.5 |
| vs RHP | 75 | — | 41 | .224 | 19.5% | 31.7% | 85.9 |
| at home ● | 86 | 12.8% | 53 | .217 | 17.0% | 35.9% | 82.6 |
| on the road | 107 | 15.0% | 61 | .221 | 24.6% | 42.6% | 84.7 |
| season | 193 | — | 114 | — | 21.1% | 39.5% | 83.7 |
0.5line
OVER+265ProphetXfair +258 · +2% vs fair
30% boost+344+24% vs market · +38.5% vs season50% boost+397+38.8% vs market · +55.1% vs season
UNDER-320theScore Betfair -270 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-246+2.7% vs market · -3.2% vs season50% boost-213+7.2% vs market · +1.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
UNDER-5000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3846no market fair50% boost-3333no market fair
Doubles
77 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.326.330
16th percentileleague avg .386576 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason .326 (16th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed34.0%36.7%
22nd percentileleague avg 38.2%577 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 34.0% (22nd)270 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed5.3%4.8%
19th percentileleague avg 7.4%577 batters facedvs RHB · 13th pctseason 5.3% (19th)270 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed25.6%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat576 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmChris Sale: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 432 | 9 | 2.1% | .286 |
| vs LHB | 144 | 8 | 5.6% | .336 |
| on the road ● | 280 | 9 | 3.2% | .317 |
| at home | 296 | 8 | 2.7% | .281 |
| season | 576 | 17 | 3.0% | .298 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDerek Hill vs Chris Sale, career0 doubles in 3 AB (.333), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
Derek Hill Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA2.1%3.4%
4th percentileleague avg 4.1%193 PAvs LHP · 28th pctseason 2.1% (4th)118 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.367.341
39th percentileleague avg .386193 PAvs LHP · 25th pctseason .367 (39th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.144.125
52nd percentileleague avg .146193 PAvs LHP · 38th pctseason .144 (52nd)112 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.9%21.9%
22nd percentileleague avg 23.6%193 PAvs LHP · 31st pctseason 20.9% (22nd)73 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%39.5%43.8%
85th percentileleague avg 35.3%193 PAvs LHP · 98th pctseason 39.5% (85th)73 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed29.5—
no split for this stat95th percentileleague avg 27.4193 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupDerek Hill: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 122 | 4 | 3.3% | .377 | 10% (4/39) |
| vs RHP | 38 | 70 | 0 | 0.0% | .492 | 0% (0/38) |
| at home ● | 37 | 86 | 1 | 1.2% | .347 | 3% (1/37) |
| on the road | 40 | 106 | 3 | 2.8% | .471 | 8% (3/40) |
| season | 77 | 192 | 4 | 2.1% | .418 | 5% (4/77) |
● tonight's split
The BatDerek Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 118 | 3.4% | 73 | .341 | 21.9% | 43.8% |
| vs RHP | 75 | 0.0% | 41 | .393 | 19.5% | 31.7% |
| at home ● | 86 | 1.2% | 53 | .337 | 17.0% | 35.9% |
| on the road | 107 | 2.8% | 61 | .379 | 24.6% | 42.6% |
| season | 193 | 2.1% | 114 | .361 | 21.1% | 39.5% |
0.5line
OVER+700theScore Betfair +677 · +2.9% vs fair
30% boost+910+30.3% vs market · -47.5% vs season50% boost+1050+48.4% vs market · -40.3% vs season
UNDER-1100BetMGMfair -707 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-846-2% vs market · +6% vs season50% boost-733-0.5% vs market · +7.7% vs season
Singles
77 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.222.224
27th percentileleague avg .239576 batters facedvs RHB · 29th pctseason .222 (27th)401 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%30.7%30.3%
93rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%576 batters facedvs RHB · 92nd pctseason 30.7% (93rd)433 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%30.3%30.6%
85th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%576 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason 30.3% (85th)890 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmChris Sale: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 432 | 68 | 15.7% |
| vs LHB | 144 | 22 | 15.3% |
| on the road ● | 280 | 45 | 16.1% |
| at home | 296 | 45 | 15.2% |
| season | 576 | 90 | 15.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDerek Hill vs Chris Sale, career1 singles in 3 AB (.333), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
Derek Hill Breakdown · batter data
xBA.223.216
26th percentileleague avg .240193 PAvs LHP · 19th pctseason .223 (26th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%76.8%74.0%
10th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%193 PAvs LHP · 3rd pctseason 76.8% (10th)154 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%34.4%35.8%
93rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%193 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 34.4% (93rd)229 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.9%21.9%
22nd percentileleague avg 23.6%193 PAvs LHP · 31st pctseason 20.9% (22nd)73 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed29.5—
no split for this stat95th percentileleague avg 27.4193 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupDerek Hill: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 114 | 19 | .237 | 49% (19/39) |
| vs RHP | 38 | 63 | 11 | .254 | 26% (10/38) |
| at home ● | 37 | 75 | 12 | .213 | 32% (12/37) |
| on the road | 40 | 102 | 18 | .265 | 43% (17/40) |
| season | 77 | 177 | 30 | .243 | 38% (29/77) |
● tonight's split
The BatDerek Hill: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 118 | 14.4% | 73 | .216 | 21.9% | 43.8% |
| vs RHP | 75 | 17.3% | 41 | .224 | 19.5% | 31.7% |
| at home ● | 86 | 14.0% | 53 | .217 | 17.0% | 35.9% |
| on the road | 107 | 16.8% | 61 | .221 | 24.6% | 42.6% |
| season | 193 | 15.5% | 114 | — | 21.1% | 39.5% |
0.5line
OVER+180bet365fair +194 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost+234+13.9% vs market · +25.8% vs season50% boost+270+26.2% vs market · +39.4% vs season
UNDER-220theScore Betfair -195 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-169+5.2% vs market · -0.8% vs season50% boost-147+11.2% vs market · +4.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
UNDER-4000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
Stolen Bases
77 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Chris Sale Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.8%—
no split for this stat47th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%6 of 737 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners test him0.9%—
no split for this stat40th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%7 of 737 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed6—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught1—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Derek Hill Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed29.5—
no split for this stat95th percentileleague avg 27.4193 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.130.13
82nd percentileleague avg 0.0777 gamesvs LHP · 82nd pctseason 0.13 (82nd)39 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.223.216
26th percentileleague avg .240193 PAvs LHP · 19th pctseason .223 (26th)112 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%6.2%5.1%
22nd percentileleague avg 8.7%193 PAvs LHP · 11th pctseason 6.2% (22nd)118 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupDerek Hill: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 122 | 5 | 0.13 | 13% (5/39) |
| vs RHP | 38 | 70 | 5 | 0.13 | 8% (3/38) |
| at home ● | 37 | 86 | 6 | 0.16 | 16% (6/37) |
| on the road | 40 | 106 | 4 | 0.10 | 5% (2/40) |
| season | 77 | 192 | 10 | 0.13 | 10% (8/77) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+670ProphetXfair +620 · +6.9% vs fair
30% boost+871+35% vs market · +0.9% vs season50% boost+1005+53.6% vs market · +14.8% vs season
UNDER-1040DraftKingsfair -673 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost-800-2% vs market · +0.8% vs season50% boost-693-0.3% vs market · +2.5% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardAtlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Philliessorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing