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Rafael Flores
PITbats R4th in the order · projectedLos Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Pirates6:46 PMPNC Park
facingRyan Johnson5.47 ERA · 6.47 K/9 · 1.42 WHIP · 72.1 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 5.0% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 10.7% (league avg 7.4%)
Flores at the plateHR/PA 6.9%barrel rate 15.3%hard-hit% 44.1%
Home Runs
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Johnson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed5.0%5.3%
93rd percentileleague avg 2.9%317 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason 5.0% (93rd)132 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.7%10.6%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.4%317 batters facedvs RHB · 92nd pctseason 10.7% (92nd)94 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed38.0%42.5%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%317 batters facedvs RHB · 79th pctseason 38.0% (48th)94 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed35.7%37.2%
94th percentileleague avg 26.7%317 batters facedvs RHB · 96th pctseason 35.7% (94th)94 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.463.484
90th percentileleague avg .386316 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .463 (90th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Johnson: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 132 | 7 | 5.3% |
| vs LHB | 184 | 9 | 4.9% |
| on the road ● | 148 | 7 | 4.7% |
| at home | 168 | 9 | 5.4% |
| season | 316 | 16 | 5.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Flores vs Ryan Johnsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Rafael Flores Breakdown · batter data
HR/PAthin6.9%6.1%
100th percentileleague avg 3.0%101 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 6.9% (100th)thin sample: 49 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel ratethin15.3%13.3%
96th percentileleague avg 7.8%101 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 15.3% (96th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thin44.1%50.0%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%101 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 44.1% (74th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%thin39.0%33.3%
98th percentileleague avg 26.7%101 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 39.0% (98th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLGthin.470.463
89th percentileleague avg .386101 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .470 (89th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISOthin.243.233
97th percentileleague avg .146101 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason .243 (97th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velothin89.7 mph88.5 mph
71st percentileleague avg 88.0 mph101 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason 89.7 mph (71st)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
The MatchupRafael Flores: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 13 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | .641 | 23% (3/13) |
| vs LHP | 16 | 60 | 2 | 3.3% | .353 | 13% (2/16) |
| at home ● | 15 | 48 | 4 | 8.3% | .667 | 20% (3/15) |
| on the road | 14 | 53 | 3 | 5.7% | .312 | 14% (2/14) |
| season | 29 | 101 | 7 | 6.9% | .478 | 17% (5/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Flores: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 6.1% | 30 | 13.3% | .463 | .233 | 88.5 |
| vs LHP | 52 | 7.7% | 29 | 17.2% | .476 | .253 | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 48 | 8.3% | 30 | 16.7% | .602 | .300 | 89.1 |
| on the road | 53 | 5.7% | 29 | 13.8% | .354 | .194 | 90.3 |
| season | 101 | 6.9% | 59 | 15.3% | .470 | .243 | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+700NoVigfair +645 · +7.3% vs fair
30% boost+910+35.3% vs market · +74.1% vs season50% boost+1050+54.1% vs market · +98.3% vs season
UNDER-852NoVigfair -644 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-655-0.2% vs market · -4.6% vs season50% boost-568+1.8% vs market · -2.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+12000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+15600no market fair50% boost+18000no market fair
Total Bases
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Johnson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.463.484
90th percentileleague avg .386316 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .463 (90th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.262.272
77th percentileleague avg .239316 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason .262 (77th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.245.257
league avg .244+.001 vs league14 startsvs RHBseason .245132 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed38.0%42.5%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%317 batters facedvs RHB · 79th pctseason 38.0% (48th)94 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.7%10.6%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.4%317 batters facedvs RHB · 92nd pctseason 10.7% (92nd)94 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Johnson: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 132 | 53 | 0.40 | .469 |
| vs LHB | 184 | 68 | 0.37 | .425 |
| on the road ● | 148 | 58 | 0.39 | .464 |
| at home | 168 | 63 | 0.38 | .426 |
| season | 316 | 121 | 0.38 | .443 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Flores vs Ryan Johnsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Rafael Flores Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthin.470.463
89th percentileleague avg .386101 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .470 (89th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLGthin.478.467
87th percentileleague avg .400101 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason .478 (87th)thin sample: 49 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBAthin.226.230
29th percentileleague avg .240101 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason .226 (29th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVGthin.211.200
10th percentileleague avg .244101 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason .211 (10th)thin sample: 49 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.243.233
97th percentileleague avg .146101 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason .243 (97th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thin44.1%50.0%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%101 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 44.1% (74th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel ratethin15.3%13.3%
96th percentileleague avg 7.8%101 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 15.3% (96th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin10.2%16.7%
0th percentileleague avg 23.6%101 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason 10.2% (0th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupRafael Flores: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 13 | 41 | 25 | 1.92 | .641 | 54% (7/13) |
| vs LHP | 16 | 60 | 18 | 1.13 | .353 | 38% (6/16) |
| at home ● | 15 | 48 | 28 | 1.87 | .667 | 67% (10/15) |
| on the road | 14 | 53 | 15 | 1.07 | .312 | 21% (3/14) |
| season | 29 | 101 | 43 | 1.48 | .478 | 45% (13/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Flores: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 42.9% | 30 | .463 | .233 | 13.3% | 88.5 |
| vs LHP | 52 | 42.3% | 29 | .476 | .253 | 17.2% | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 48 | 58.3% | 30 | .602 | .300 | 16.7% | 89.1 |
| on the road | 53 | 28.3% | 29 | .354 | .194 | 13.8% | 90.3 |
| season | 101 | 42.6% | 59 | .470 | .243 | 15.3% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER-152Caesarsfair -132 · -5.5% vs fair
30% boost-117+5.7% vs market · -16.8% vs season50% boost-101+13.2% vs market · -10.9% vs season
UNDER+125theScore Betfair +132 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost+162+12.9% vs market · +44.8% vs season50% boost+188+23.6% vs market · +58.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 30%SZN 24%over rate
OVER+195BetRiverspooled fair +186
30% boost+254pooled fair50% boost+292pooled fair
UNDER-220theScore Betfair -187 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost-169+3.6% vs market · +20.7% vs season50% boost-147+9.5% vs market · +27.6% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 25%SZN 21%over rate
OVER+430BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+559no market fair50% boost+645no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+525Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+682no market fair50% boost+788no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 15%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+1100Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1430no market fair50% boost+1650no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 15%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
Hits
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Johnson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.262.272
77th percentileleague avg .239316 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason .262 (77th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.245.257
league avg .244+.001 vs league14 startsvs RHBseason .245132 batters facedneutralneutral
K%16.5%16.7%
10th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%316 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 16.5% (10th)132 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%22.7%24.7%
33rd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%316 batters facedvs RHB · 49th pctseason 22.7% (33rd)247 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmRyan Johnson: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 132 | 29 | 22.0% | .257 |
| vs LHB | 184 | 38 | 20.7% | .238 |
| on the road ● | 148 | 34 | 23.0% | .272 |
| at home | 168 | 33 | 19.6% | .223 |
| season | 316 | 67 | 21.2% | .245 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Flores vs Ryan Johnsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Rafael Flores Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.226.230
29th percentileleague avg .240101 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason .226 (29th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVGthin.211.200
10th percentileleague avg .244101 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason .211 (10th)thin sample: 49 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thin78.5%76.1%
15th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%101 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 78.5% (15th)thin sample: 67 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%thin32.0%33.0%
86th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%101 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 32.0% (86th)thin sample: 97 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%thin30.7%30.6%
89th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%101 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason 30.7% (89th)thin sample: 49 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin10.2%16.7%
0th percentileleague avg 23.6%101 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason 10.2% (0th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupRafael Flores: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 13 | 39 | 9 | .231 | 54% (7/13) |
| vs LHP | 16 | 51 | 10 | .196 | 38% (6/16) |
| at home ● | 15 | 42 | 14 | .333 | 67% (10/15) |
| on the road | 14 | 48 | 5 | .104 | 21% (3/14) |
| season | 29 | 90 | 19 | .211 | 45% (13/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Flores: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 18.4% | 30 | .230 | 16.7% | 36.7% |
| vs LHP | 52 | 19.2% | 29 | .223 | 3.5% | 34.5% |
| at home ● | 48 | 29.2% | 30 | .302 | 10.0% | 40.0% |
| on the road | 53 | 9.4% | 29 | .160 | 10.3% | 31.0% |
| season | 101 | 18.8% | 59 | — | 10.2% | 35.6% |
0.5line
B★ FORMleans under
- the under has hit 64% blended (L10 70%, season 55%) against a 43% priced probability
- his AVG of .211 - 10th percentile for AVG
- his xBA of .226 - 29th percentile for xBA
- counterpoint - faces Ryan Johnson (RHP): xBA against .262 - 77th percentile for xBA against
thin sample: 29 games this season
basis: 29 games this season
OVER-150ProphetXfair -135 · -4.1% vs fair
30% boost-115+7.3% vs market · -16.3% vs season50% boost-100+15% vs market · -10.3% vs season
UNDER+128BetOnlinefair +135 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+166+13.5% vs market · +47% vs season50% boost+192+24.4% vs market · +61.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+360theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+468no market fair50% boost+540no market fair
UNDER-600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-462no market fair50% boost-400no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
H+R+RBI
29 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Ryan Johnson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.262.272
77th percentileleague avg .239316 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason .262 (77th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA5.51—
no split for this stat91st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16316 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.463.484
90th percentileleague avg .386316 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .463 (90th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%11.4%9.1%
86th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%316 batters facedvs RHB · 63rd pctseason 11.4% (86th)132 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
K%16.5%16.7%
10th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%316 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 16.5% (10th)132 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Johnson: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 132 | 29 | 53 | .341 |
| vs LHB | 184 | 38 | 68 | .337 |
| on the road ● | 148 | 34 | 58 | .365 |
| at home | 168 | 33 | 63 | .315 |
| season | 316 | 67 | 121 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Flores vs Ryan Johnsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Rafael Flores Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per gamethin1.662.15
38th percentileleague avg 1.7529 gamesvs RHP · 87th pctseason 1.66 (38th)thin sample: 13 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
xwOBA.333—
no split for this stat76th percentileleague avg .310101 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBAthin.226.230
29th percentileleague avg .240101 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason .226 (29th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLGthin.478.467
87th percentileleague avg .400101 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason .478 (87th)thin sample: 49 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupRafael Flores: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 13 | 41 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 2.15 | 31% (4/13) |
| vs LHP | 16 | 60 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.25 | 25% (4/16) |
| at home ● | 15 | 48 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 1.93 | 33% (5/15) |
| on the road | 14 | 53 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1.36 | 21% (3/14) |
| season | 29 | 101 | 19 | 12 | 17 | 1.66 | 28% (8/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Flores: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 18.4% | 30 | .230 | .463 | 13.3% | 88.5 |
| vs LHP | 52 | 19.2% | 29 | .223 | .476 | 17.2% | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 48 | 29.2% | 30 | .302 | .602 | 16.7% | 89.1 |
| on the road | 53 | 9.4% | 29 | .160 | .354 | 13.8% | 90.3 |
| season | 101 | 18.8% | 59 | — | .470 | 15.3% | 89.7 |
1.5line
OVER+115bet365fair +128 · -5.6% vs fair
30% boost+150+9.5% vs market · -31.2% vs season50% boost+172+19.6% vs market · -24.8% vs season
UNDER-140theScore Betfair -127 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost-108+7.8% vs market · +39.7% vs season50% boost+107+15.8% vs market · +50% vs season
RBIs
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Johnson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA5.51—
no split for this stat91st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16316 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.463.484
90th percentileleague avg .386316 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .463 (90th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.7%10.6%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.4%317 batters facedvs RHB · 92nd pctseason 10.7% (92nd)94 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%11.4%9.1%
86th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%316 batters facedvs RHB · 63rd pctseason 11.4% (86th)132 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Johnson: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 132 | 29 | 7 | .469 |
| vs LHB | 184 | 38 | 9 | .425 |
| on the road ● | 148 | 34 | 7 | .464 |
| at home | 168 | 33 | 9 | .426 |
| season | 316 | 67 | 16 | .443 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Flores vs Ryan Johnsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Rafael Flores Breakdown · batter data
RBI per gamethin0.590.85
87th percentileleague avg 0.4529 gamesvs RHP · 100th pctseason 0.59 (87th)thin sample: 13 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLGthin.470.463
89th percentileleague avg .386101 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .470 (89th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%thin44.1%50.0%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%101 PAvs RHP · 93rd pctseason 44.1% (74th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel ratethin15.3%13.3%
96th percentileleague avg 7.8%101 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 15.3% (96th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupRafael Flores: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 13 | 41 | 11 | 0.85 | .641 | 23% (3/13) |
| vs LHP | 16 | 60 | 6 | 0.38 | .353 | 25% (4/16) |
| at home ● | 15 | 48 | 6 | 0.40 | .667 | 20% (3/15) |
| on the road | 14 | 53 | 11 | 0.79 | .312 | 29% (4/14) |
| season | 29 | 101 | 17 | 0.59 | .478 | 24% (7/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Flores: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 14.3% | 30 | .463 | 13.3% | 50.0% | 88.5 |
| vs LHP | 52 | 19.2% | 29 | .476 | 17.2% | 37.9% | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 48 | 12.5% | 30 | .602 | 16.7% | 50.0% | 89.1 |
| on the road | 53 | 20.8% | 29 | .354 | 13.8% | 37.9% | 90.3 |
| season | 101 | — | 59 | .470 | 15.3% | 44.1% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+208NoVigfair +212 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost+270+18.5% vs market · -10.6% vs season50% boost+312+31.8% vs market · -0.6% vs season
UNDER-250theScore Betfair -217 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-192+4% vs market · +15.3% vs season50% boost-167+9.4% vs market · +21.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+675Caesarsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+878no market fair50% boost+1012no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1600Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2080no market fair50% boost+2400no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
Runs
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Johnson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA5.51—
no split for this stat91st percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16316 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.262.272
77th percentileleague avg .239316 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason .262 (77th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%11.4%9.1%
86th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%316 batters facedvs RHB · 63rd pctseason 11.4% (86th)132 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmRyan Johnson: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 132 | 29 | 12 | .341 |
| vs LHB | 184 | 38 | 24 | .337 |
| on the road ● | 148 | 34 | 16 | .365 |
| at home | 168 | 33 | 20 | .315 |
| season | 316 | 67 | 36 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Flores vs Ryan Johnsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Rafael Flores Breakdown · batter data
runs per gamethin0.410.62
35th percentileleague avg 0.4629 gamesvs RHP · 91st pctseason 0.41 (35th)thin sample: 13 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
xwOBA.333—
no split for this stat76th percentileleague avg .310101 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed26.2—
no split for this stat21st percentileleague avg 27.4101 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBAthin.226.230
29th percentileleague avg .240101 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason .226 (29th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thin10.9%8.2%
76th percentileleague avg 8.7%101 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason 10.9% (76th)thin sample: 49 PAsupports OVERneutral
The MatchupRafael Flores: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 13 | 41 | 8 | 0.62 | .268 | 46% (6/13) |
| vs LHP | 16 | 60 | 4 | 0.25 | .317 | 25% (4/16) |
| at home ● | 15 | 48 | 9 | 0.60 | .417 | 53% (8/15) |
| on the road | 14 | 53 | 3 | 0.21 | .189 | 14% (2/14) |
| season | 29 | 101 | 12 | 0.41 | .297 | 34% (10/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Flores: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | — | 30 | .230 | 16.7% | 36.7% | 88.5 |
| vs LHP | 52 | — | 29 | .223 | 3.5% | 34.5% | 90.9 |
| at home ● | 48 | 18.8% | 30 | .302 | 10.0% | 40.0% | 89.1 |
| on the road | 53 | 5.7% | 29 | .160 | 10.3% | 31.0% | 90.3 |
| season | 101 | — | 59 | — | 10.2% | 35.6% | 89.7 |
0.5line
OVER+160bet365fair +158 · +0.9% vs fair
30% boost+208+19.5% vs market · +6.2% vs season50% boost+240+31.9% vs market · +17.2% vs season
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -158 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-138+5.6% vs market · +12.8% vs season50% boost-120+12.4% vs market · +20.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Doubles
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Johnson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.463.484
90th percentileleague avg .386316 batters facedvs RHB · 95th pctseason .463 (90th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed38.0%42.5%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%317 batters facedvs RHB · 79th pctseason 38.0% (48th)94 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed10.7%10.6%
92nd percentileleague avg 7.4%317 batters facedvs RHB · 92nd pctseason 10.7% (92nd)94 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed21.4%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat316 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmRyan Johnson: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 132 | 3 | 2.3% | .469 |
| vs LHB | 184 | 3 | 1.6% | .425 |
| on the road ● | 148 | 3 | 2.0% | .464 |
| at home | 168 | 3 | 1.8% | .426 |
| season | 316 | 6 | 1.9% | .443 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Flores vs Ryan Johnsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Rafael Flores Breakdown · batter data
2B/PAthin3.0%6.1%
18th percentileleague avg 4.1%101 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason 3.0% (18th)thin sample: 49 PAsupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLGthin.470.463
89th percentileleague avg .386101 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .470 (89th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISOthin.243.233
97th percentileleague avg .146101 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason .243 (97th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin10.2%16.7%
0th percentileleague avg 23.6%101 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason 10.2% (0th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%thin35.6%36.7%
53rd percentileleague avg 35.3%101 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason 35.6% (53rd)thin sample: 30 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
sprint speed26.2—
no split for this stat21st percentileleague avg 27.4101 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupRafael Flores: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 13 | 41 | 1 | 2.4% | .641 | 8% (1/13) |
| vs LHP | 16 | 60 | 2 | 3.3% | .353 | 13% (2/16) |
| at home ● | 15 | 48 | 2 | 4.2% | .667 | 13% (2/15) |
| on the road | 14 | 53 | 1 | 1.9% | .312 | 7% (1/14) |
| season | 29 | 101 | 3 | 3.0% | .478 | 10% (3/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Flores: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 6.1% | 30 | .463 | 16.7% | 36.7% |
| vs LHP | 52 | 0.0% | 29 | .476 | 3.5% | 34.5% |
| at home ● | 48 | 4.2% | 30 | .602 | 10.0% | 40.0% |
| on the road | 53 | 1.9% | 29 | .354 | 10.3% | 31.0% |
| season | 101 | 3.0% | 59 | .470 | 10.2% | 35.6% |
0.5line
OVER+450bet365fair +430 · +3.7% vs fair
30% boost+585+29.5% vs market · -29.1% vs season50% boost+675+46.5% vs market · -19.8% vs season
UNDER-600Hard Rockfair -431 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost-462-1.2% vs market · +9.1% vs season50% boost-400+1.5% vs market · +12.1% vs season
Singles
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Johnson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.262.272
77th percentileleague avg .239316 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason .262 (77th)116 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%16.5%16.7%
10th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%316 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 16.5% (10th)132 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%22.7%24.7%
33rd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%316 batters facedvs RHB · 49th pctseason 22.7% (33rd)247 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmRyan Johnson: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 132 | 19 | 14.4% |
| vs LHB | 184 | 26 | 14.1% |
| on the road ● | 148 | 24 | 16.2% |
| at home | 168 | 21 | 12.5% |
| season | 316 | 45 | 14.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Flores vs Ryan Johnsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Rafael Flores Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.226.230
29th percentileleague avg .240101 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason .226 (29th)thin sample: 45 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thin78.5%76.1%
15th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%101 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 78.5% (15th)thin sample: 67 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%thin32.0%33.0%
86th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%101 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 32.0% (86th)thin sample: 97 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin10.2%16.7%
0th percentileleague avg 23.6%101 PAvs RHP · 2nd pctseason 10.2% (0th)thin sample: 30 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed26.2—
no split for this stat21st percentileleague avg 27.4101 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupRafael Flores: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 13 | 39 | 3 | .231 | 23% (3/13) |
| vs LHP | 16 | 51 | 6 | .196 | 31% (5/16) |
| at home ● | 15 | 42 | 8 | .333 | 47% (7/15) |
| on the road | 14 | 48 | 1 | .104 | 7% (1/14) |
| season | 29 | 90 | 9 | .211 | 28% (8/29) |
● tonight's split
The BatRafael Flores: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 6.1% | 30 | .230 | 16.7% | 36.7% |
| vs LHP | 52 | 11.5% | 29 | .223 | 3.5% | 34.5% |
| at home ● | 48 | 16.7% | 30 | .302 | 10.0% | 40.0% |
| on the road | 53 | 1.9% | 29 | .160 | 10.3% | 31.0% |
| season | 101 | 8.9% | 59 | — | 10.2% | 35.6% |
0.5line
OVER+130bet365fair +140 · -4.1% vs fair
30% boost+169+12.2% vs market · -25.8% vs season50% boost+195+23% vs market · -18.6% vs season
UNDER-165BetMGMfair -140 · -6.4% vs fair
30% boost-127+4.2% vs market · +29.5% vs season50% boost-110+11.3% vs market · +38.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Walks
29 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Ryan Johnson Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%11.4%9.1%
86th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%316 batters facedvs RHB · 63rd pctseason 11.4% (86th)132 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%59.8%60.6%
28th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%316 batters facedvs RHB · 37th pctseason 59.8% (28th)132 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/94.53.6
league avg 3.4+1.1 vs league14 startsvs RHBseason 4.5132 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmRyan Johnson: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 132 | 12 | 9.1% |
| vs LHB | 184 | 24 | 13.0% |
| on the road ● | 148 | 16 | 10.8% |
| at home | 168 | 20 | 11.9% |
| season | 316 | 36 | 11.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadRafael Flores vs Ryan Johnsonfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Rafael Flores Breakdown · batter data
BB%thin10.9%8.2%
76th percentileleague avg 8.7%101 PAvs RHP · 45th pctseason 10.9% (76th)thin sample: 49 PAsupports OVERneutral
chase ratethin28.6%30.3%
37th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%101 PAvs RHP · 50th pctseason 28.6% (37th)thin sample: 99 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERneutral
zone swing%thin57.3%62.6%
league avg 66.8%-9.5% vs league101 PAvs RHPseason 57.3%thin sample: 107 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupRafael Flores: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 13 | 41 | 2 | 4.9% | .268 | 15% (2/13) |
| vs LHP | 16 | 60 | 9 | 15.0% | .317 | 50% (8/16) |
| at home ● | 15 | 48 | 6 | 12.5% | .417 | 40% (6/15) |
| on the road | 14 | 53 | 5 | 9.4% | .189 | 29% (4/14) |
| season | 29 | 101 | 11 | 10.9% | .297 | 34% (10/29) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+196Caesarsfair +212 · -5.2% vs fair
30% boost+255+13.5% vs market · +22.3% vs season50% boost+294+26.1% vs market · +35.9% vs season
UNDER-273DraftKingsfair -213 · -7% vs fair
30% boost-210+0.5% vs market · -3.3% vs season50% boost-182+5.5% vs market · +1.5% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardLos Angeles Angels @ Pittsburgh Piratessorted by the focused market, not batting order
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