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Adley Rutschman
BOSbats L5th in the order · projectedBoston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles7:06 PMOriole Park at Camden Yards
facingShane Baz4.01 ERA · 7.97 K/9 · 1.35 WHIP · 157.0 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 1.6% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.4% (league avg 7.4%)
Rutschman at the plateHR/PA 3.2%barrel rate 7.1%hard-hit% 40.7%
Home Runs
83 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed1.6%1.8%
17th percentileleague avg 2.9%671 batters facedvs LHB · 21st pctseason 1.6% (17th)394 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.4%7.1%
34th percentileleague avg 7.4%671 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.4% (34th)266 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.8%42.5%
74th percentileleague avg 38.2%671 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 41.8% (74th)266 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed26.3%29.7%
48th percentileleague avg 26.7%671 batters facedvs LHB · 75th pctseason 26.3% (48th)266 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
The ArmShane Baz: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 7 | 1.8% |
| vs RHB | 276 | 4 | 1.4% |
| at home ● | 311 | 4 | 1.3% |
| on the road | 358 | 7 | 2.0% |
| season | 669 | 11 | 1.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAdley Rutschman vs Shane Baz, career0 home runs in 7 AB (.143), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .286 |
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.2%3.5%
60th percentileleague avg 3.0%347 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason 3.2% (60th)230 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate7.1%8.7%
49th percentileleague avg 7.8%347 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 7.1% (49th)161 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
hard-hit%40.7%42.9%
55th percentileleague avg 39.0%347 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason 40.7% (55th)161 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball%29.5%31.7%
69th percentileleague avg 26.7%347 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 29.5% (69th)161 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.428.433
75th percentileleague avg .386347 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason .428 (75th)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.163.182
66th percentileleague avg .146347 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason .163 (66th)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo88.7 mph89.4 mph
55th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph347 PAvs RHP · 66th pctseason 88.7 mph (55th)161 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 241 | 7 | 2.9% | .405 | 9% (5/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 106 | 4 | 3.8% | .457 | 16% (4/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 172 | 5 | 2.9% | .378 | 10% (4/40) |
| at home | 43 | 175 | 6 | 3.4% | .466 | 12% (5/43) |
| season | 83 | 347 | 11 | 3.2% | .421 | 11% (9/83) |
● tonight's split
The BatAdley Rutschman: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 230 | 3.5% | 161 | 8.7% | .433 | .182 | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 117 | 2.6% | 92 | 4.3% | .397 | .119 | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 172 | 2.9% | 120 | 5.8% | .385 | .146 | 88.8 |
| at home | 175 | 3.4% | 133 | 8.3% | .457 | .175 | 88.6 |
| season | 347 | 3.2% | 253 | 7.1% | .421 | .160 | 88.7 |
0.5line
OVER+700NoVigfair +639 · +8.2% vs fair
30% boost+910+36.3% vs market · +9.5% vs season50% boost+1050+55.3% vs market · +24.7% vs season
UNDER-750bet365fair -654 · -1.7% vs fair
30% boost-577+1.7% vs market · +4.6% vs season50% boost-500+4% vs market · +7% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+12000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+15600no market fair50% boost+18000no market fair
Total Bases
83 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG against.263.281
league avg .244+.019 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason .263393 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.8%42.5%
74th percentileleague avg 38.2%671 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 41.8% (74th)266 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.4%7.1%
34th percentileleague avg 7.4%671 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.4% (34th)266 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The ArmShane Baz: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 148 | 0.38 | .429 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 87 | 0.32 | .347 |
| at home ● | 311 | 115 | 0.37 | .406 |
| on the road | 358 | 120 | 0.34 | .383 |
| season | 669 | 235 | 0.35 | .394 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAdley Rutschman vs Shane Baz, career1 total bases in 7 AB (.143), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .286 |
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.428.433
75th percentileleague avg .386347 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason .428 (75th)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.421.457
62nd percentileleague avg .400347 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .421 (62nd)230 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.265.251
83rd percentileleague avg .240347 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason .265 (83rd)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.240.246
39th percentileleague avg .244347 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason .240 (39th)230 PAsupports UNDERneutral
xISO.163.182
66th percentileleague avg .146347 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason .163 (66th)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%40.7%42.9%
55th percentileleague avg 39.0%347 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason 40.7% (55th)161 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel rate7.1%8.7%
49th percentileleague avg 7.8%347 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 7.1% (49th)161 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
line-drive%26.4%24.8%
79th percentileleague avg 23.6%347 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 26.4% (79th)161 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 241 | 85 | 1.47 | .405 | 33% (19/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 106 | 43 | 1.72 | .457 | 36% (9/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 172 | 59 | 1.48 | .378 | 30% (12/40) |
| at home | 43 | 175 | 69 | 1.60 | .466 | 37% (16/43) |
| season | 83 | 347 | 128 | 1.54 | .421 | 34% (28/83) |
● tonight's split
The BatAdley Rutschman: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 230 | 39.6% | 161 | .433 | .182 | 8.7% | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 117 | 31.6% | 92 | .397 | .119 | 4.3% | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 172 | 34.3% | 120 | .385 | .146 | 5.8% | 88.8 |
| at home | 175 | 39.4% | 133 | .457 | .175 | 8.3% | 88.6 |
| season | 347 | 36.9% | 253 | .421 | .160 | 7.1% | 88.7 |
0.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 40%SZN 55%over rate
OVER-185BetMGMfair -158 · -5.7% vs fair
30% boost-142+4.2% vs market · -5.6% vs season50% boost-123+10.8% vs market · +0.4% vs season
UNDER+150theScore Betfair +158 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost+195+14.5% vs market · +31.5% vs season50% boost+225+26.1% vs market · +44.9% vs season
1.5line
OVER+170BetRiverspooled fair +168
30% boost+221pooled fair50% boost+255pooled fair
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -163 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-138+6.6% vs market · +14.1% vs season50% boost-120+13.5% vs market · +21.5% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 20%SZN 23%over rate
OVER+360BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+468no market fair50% boost+540no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+460FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+598no market fair50% boost+690no market fair
4.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+950FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1235no market fair50% boost+1425no market fair
5.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
Hits
83 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG against.263.281
league avg .244+.019 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason .263393 batters facedneutralneutral
K%20.8%22.1%
38th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%669 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 20.8% (38th)394 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
whiff%22.6%22.4%
33rd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%669 batters facedvs LHB · 31st pctseason 22.6% (33rd)745 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmShane Baz: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 97 | 24.7% | .281 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 60 | 21.7% | .239 |
| at home ● | 311 | 79 | 25.4% | .279 |
| on the road | 358 | 78 | 21.8% | .249 |
| season | 669 | 157 | 23.5% | .263 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAdley Rutschman vs Shane Baz, career1 hits in 7 AB (.143), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .286 |
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
xBA.265.251
83rd percentileleague avg .240347 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason .265 (83rd)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.240.246
39th percentileleague avg .244347 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason .240 (39th)230 PAsupports UNDERneutral
zone contact%89.1%88.7%
83rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%347 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 89.1% (83rd)257 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%16.6%16.8%
9th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%347 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 16.6% (9th)394 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%15.9%17.8%
14th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%347 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 15.9% (14th)230 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%26.4%24.8%
79th percentileleague avg 23.6%347 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 26.4% (79th)161 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 210 | 47 | .224 | 52% (30/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 94 | 26 | .277 | 64% (16/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 156 | 33 | .212 | 53% (21/40) |
| at home | 43 | 148 | 40 | .270 | 58% (25/43) |
| season | 83 | 304 | 73 | .240 | 55% (46/83) |
● tonight's split
The BatAdley Rutschman: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 230 | 21.3% | 161 | .251 | 24.8% | 42.2% |
| vs LHP | 117 | 20.5% | 92 | .278 | 29.3% | 40.2% |
| on the road ● | 172 | 19.2% | 120 | .239 | 25.0% | 39.2% |
| at home | 175 | 22.9% | 133 | .282 | 27.8% | 43.6% |
| season | 347 | 21.0% | 253 | — | 26.5% | 41.5% |
0.5line
OVER-185BetMGMfair -165 · -4.1% vs fair
30% boost-142+6.1% vs market · -5.6% vs season50% boost-123+12.8% vs market · +0.4% vs season
UNDER+170bet365fair +165 · +1.7% vs fair
30% boost+221+21% vs market · +43.1% vs season50% boost+255+33.8% vs market · +58.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 30%L20 20%SZN 25%over rate
OVER+300BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+390no market fair50% boost+450no market fair
UNDER-400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-308no market fair50% boost-267no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
H+R+RBI
83 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
xERA4.04—
no split for this stat48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%8.2%9.4%
51st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%669 batters facedvs LHB · 66th pctseason 8.2% (51st)394 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
K%20.8%22.1%
38th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%669 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 20.8% (38th)394 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
The ArmShane Baz: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 97 | 148 | .348 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 60 | 87 | .290 |
| at home ● | 311 | 79 | 115 | .341 |
| on the road | 358 | 78 | 120 | .309 |
| season | 669 | 157 | 235 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAdley Rutschman vs Shane Baz, career1 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 7 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .286 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.981.91
72nd percentileleague avg 1.7583 gamesvs RHP · 65th pctseason 1.98 (72nd)58 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.341—
no split for this stat82nd percentileleague avg .310347 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.265.251
83rd percentileleague avg .240347 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason .265 (83rd)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.421.457
62nd percentileleague avg .400347 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .421 (62nd)230 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 241 | 47 | 25 | 39 | 1.91 | 40% (23/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 106 | 26 | 13 | 14 | 2.12 | 48% (12/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 172 | 33 | 19 | 20 | 1.80 | 38% (15/40) |
| at home | 43 | 175 | 40 | 19 | 33 | 2.14 | 47% (20/43) |
| season | 83 | 347 | 73 | 38 | 53 | 1.98 | 42% (35/83) |
● tonight's split
The BatAdley Rutschman: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 230 | 21.3% | 161 | .251 | .433 | 8.7% | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 117 | 20.5% | 92 | .278 | .397 | 4.3% | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 172 | 19.2% | 120 | .239 | .385 | 5.8% | 88.8 |
| at home | 175 | 22.9% | 133 | .282 | .457 | 8.3% | 88.6 |
| season | 347 | 21.0% | 253 | — | .421 | 7.1% | 88.7 |
1.5line
OVER-104ProphetXfair +103 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost+125+10.7% vs market · -5.1% vs season50% boost+144+20.2% vs market · +3% vs season
UNDER-110bet365fair -103 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+118+10.8% vs market · +26.2% vs season50% boost+136+20.1% vs market · +36.7% vs season
RBIs
83 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.04—
no split for this stat48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
barrel% allowed6.4%7.1%
34th percentileleague avg 7.4%671 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.4% (34th)266 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
BB%8.2%9.4%
51st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%669 batters facedvs LHB · 66th pctseason 8.2% (51st)394 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmShane Baz: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 97 | 7 | .429 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 60 | 4 | .347 |
| at home ● | 311 | 79 | 4 | .406 |
| on the road | 358 | 78 | 7 | .383 |
| season | 669 | 157 | 11 | .394 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAdley Rutschman vs Shane Baz, career0 RBI in 7 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .286 |
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.640.67
95th percentileleague avg 0.4583 gamesvs RHP · 97th pctseason 0.64 (95th)58 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.428.433
75th percentileleague avg .386347 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason .428 (75th)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%40.7%42.9%
55th percentileleague avg 39.0%347 PAvs RHP · 70th pctseason 40.7% (55th)161 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel rate7.1%8.7%
49th percentileleague avg 7.8%347 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 7.1% (49th)161 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 241 | 39 | 0.67 | .405 | 31% (18/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 106 | 14 | 0.56 | .457 | 36% (9/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 172 | 20 | 0.50 | .378 | 28% (11/40) |
| at home | 43 | 175 | 33 | 0.77 | .466 | 37% (16/43) |
| season | 83 | 347 | 53 | 0.64 | .421 | 33% (27/83) |
● tonight's split
The BatAdley Rutschman: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 230 | 17.8% | 161 | .433 | 8.7% | 42.9% | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 117 | 10.3% | 92 | .397 | 4.3% | 37.0% | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 172 | 11.6% | 120 | .385 | 5.8% | 41.7% | 88.8 |
| at home | 175 | 18.9% | 133 | .457 | 8.3% | 39.9% | 88.6 |
| season | 347 | — | 253 | .421 | 7.1% | 40.7% | 88.7 |
0.5line
OVER+190NoVigpooled fair +195
30% boost+247pooled fair50% boost+285pooled fair
UNDER-220theScore Betfair -197 · -3.5% vs fair
30% boost-169+5.6% vs market · +7.3% vs season50% boost-147+11.7% vs market · +13.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+5000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
Runs
83 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.04—
no split for this stat48th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
BB%8.2%9.4%
51st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%669 batters facedvs LHB · 66th pctseason 8.2% (51st)394 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmShane Baz: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 97 | 37 | .348 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 60 | 18 | .290 |
| at home ● | 311 | 79 | 25 | .341 |
| on the road | 358 | 78 | 30 | .309 |
| season | 669 | 157 | 55 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAdley Rutschman vs Shane Baz, career7 PA across 3 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .286 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.460.43
51st percentileleague avg 0.4683 gamesvs RHP · 41st pctseason 0.46 (51st)58 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.341—
no split for this stat82nd percentileleague avg .310347 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed26.4—
no split for this stat24th percentileleague avg 27.4347 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.265.251
83rd percentileleague avg .240347 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason .265 (83rd)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%10.9%
71st percentileleague avg 8.7%347 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason 10.4% (71st)230 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 241 | 25 | 0.43 | .307 | 31% (18/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 106 | 13 | 0.52 | .349 | 40% (10/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 172 | 19 | 0.47 | .285 | 30% (12/40) |
| at home | 43 | 175 | 19 | 0.44 | .354 | 37% (16/43) |
| season | 83 | 347 | 38 | 0.46 | .320 | 34% (28/83) |
● tonight's split
The BatAdley Rutschman: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 230 | — | 161 | .251 | 24.8% | 42.2% | 89.4 |
| vs LHP | 117 | — | 92 | .278 | 29.3% | 40.2% | 87.5 |
| on the road ● | 172 | 11.0% | 120 | .239 | 25.0% | 39.2% | 88.8 |
| at home | 175 | 10.9% | 133 | .282 | 27.8% | 43.6% | 88.6 |
| season | 347 | — | 253 | — | 26.5% | 41.5% | 88.7 |
0.5line
OVER+140BetMGMfair +148 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost+182+13.9% vs market · -4.9% vs season50% boost+210+25.2% vs market · +4.6% vs season
UNDER-165bet365fair -149 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost-127+7.1% vs market · +18.5% vs season50% boost-110+14.4% vs market · +26.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Doubles
83 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.388.386
51st percentileleague avg .386669 batters facedvs LHB · 50th pctseason .388 (51st)353 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed41.8%42.5%
74th percentileleague avg 38.2%671 batters facedvs LHB · 79th pctseason 41.8% (74th)266 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.4%7.1%
34th percentileleague avg 7.4%671 batters facedvs LHB · 46th pctseason 6.4% (34th)266 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive% allowed28.3%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat669 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmShane Baz: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 26 | 6.6% | .429 |
| vs RHB | 276 | 15 | 5.4% | .347 |
| at home ● | 311 | 22 | 7.1% | .406 |
| on the road | 358 | 19 | 5.3% | .383 |
| season | 669 | 41 | 6.1% | .394 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAdley Rutschman vs Shane Baz, career0 doubles in 7 AB (.143), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .286 |
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA5.8%7.0%
92nd percentileleague avg 4.1%347 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 5.8% (92nd)230 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.428.433
75th percentileleague avg .386347 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason .428 (75th)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.163.182
66th percentileleague avg .146347 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason .163 (66th)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%26.4%24.8%
79th percentileleague avg 23.6%347 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 26.4% (79th)161 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%41.5%42.2%
93rd percentileleague avg 35.3%347 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason 41.5% (93rd)161 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed26.4—
no split for this stat24th percentileleague avg 27.4347 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 241 | 17 | 7.1% | .405 | 22% (13/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 106 | 3 | 2.8% | .457 | 8% (2/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 172 | 9 | 5.2% | .378 | 15% (6/40) |
| at home | 43 | 175 | 11 | 6.3% | .466 | 21% (9/43) |
| season | 83 | 347 | 20 | 5.8% | .421 | 18% (15/83) |
● tonight's split
The BatAdley Rutschman: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 230 | 7.0% | 161 | .433 | 24.8% | 42.2% |
| vs LHP | 117 | 3.4% | 92 | .397 | 29.3% | 40.2% |
| on the road ● | 172 | 5.2% | 120 | .385 | 25.0% | 39.2% |
| at home | 175 | 6.3% | 133 | .457 | 27.8% | 43.6% |
| season | 347 | 5.8% | 253 | .421 | 26.5% | 41.5% |
0.5line
OVER+425theScore Betfair +435 · -1.8% vs fair
30% boost+552+22% vs market · +17.9% vs season50% boost+638+37.9% vs market · +33.3% vs season
UNDER-600bet365fair -439 · -5% vs fair
30% boost-462-1% vs market · -0.3% vs season50% boost-400+1.8% vs market · +2.4% vs season
Singles
83 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.250.242
61st percentileleague avg .239669 batters facedvs LHB · 53rd pctseason .250 (61st)353 at-batssupports OVERneutral
K%20.8%22.1%
38th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%669 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 20.8% (38th)394 batters facedsupports OVERneutral
whiff%22.6%22.4%
33rd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%669 batters facedvs LHB · 31st pctseason 22.6% (33rd)745 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmShane Baz: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 62 | 15.8% |
| vs RHB | 276 | 41 | 14.9% |
| at home ● | 311 | 52 | 16.7% |
| on the road | 358 | 51 | 14.2% |
| season | 669 | 103 | 15.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAdley Rutschman vs Shane Baz, career1 singles in 7 AB (.143), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .286 |
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
xBA.265.251
83rd percentileleague avg .240347 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason .265 (83rd)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%89.1%88.7%
83rd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%347 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 89.1% (83rd)257 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%16.6%16.8%
9th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%347 PAvs RHP · 9th pctseason 16.6% (9th)394 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%26.4%24.8%
79th percentileleague avg 23.6%347 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 26.4% (79th)161 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed26.4—
no split for this stat24th percentileleague avg 27.4347 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 210 | 23 | .224 | 36% (21/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 94 | 18 | .277 | 60% (15/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 156 | 18 | .212 | 38% (15/40) |
| at home | 43 | 148 | 23 | .270 | 49% (21/43) |
| season | 83 | 304 | 41 | .240 | 43% (36/83) |
● tonight's split
The BatAdley Rutschman: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 230 | 10.4% | 161 | .251 | 24.8% | 42.2% |
| vs LHP | 117 | 14.5% | 92 | .278 | 29.3% | 40.2% |
| on the road ● | 172 | 10.5% | 120 | .239 | 25.0% | 39.2% |
| at home | 175 | 13.1% | 133 | .282 | 27.8% | 43.6% |
| season | 347 | 12.1% | 253 | — | 26.5% | 41.5% |
0.5line
OVER+105BetMGMfair +110 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost+136+12.8% vs market · +2.6% vs season50% boost+157+22.8% vs market · +11.7% vs season
UNDER-120bet365fair -111 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost+108+9.8% vs market · +18% vs season50% boost+125+18.6% vs market · +27.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
Walks
83 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%8.2%9.4%
51st percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%669 batters facedvs LHB · 66th pctseason 8.2% (51st)394 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%61.3%60.4%
48th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%669 batters facedvs LHB · 35th pctseason 61.3% (48th)394 first pitchesneutralsupports OVER
BB/93.13.7
league avg 3.4-0.3 vs league27 startsvs LHBseason 3.1393 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmShane Baz: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 393 | 37 | 9.4% |
| vs RHB | 276 | 18 | 6.5% |
| at home ● | 311 | 25 | 8.0% |
| on the road | 358 | 30 | 8.4% |
| season | 669 | 55 | 8.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadAdley Rutschman vs Shane Baz, career0 walks in 7 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .286 |
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
BB%10.4%10.9%
71st percentileleague avg 8.7%347 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason 10.4% (71st)230 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate25.4%26.2%
20th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%347 PAvs RHP · 26th pctseason 25.4% (20th)523 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%56.8%57.0%
league avg 66.8%-10.0% vs league347 PAvs RHPseason 56.8%451 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 241 | 25 | 10.4% | .307 | 36% (21/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 106 | 11 | 10.4% | .349 | 36% (9/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 172 | 14 | 8.1% | .285 | 33% (13/40) |
| at home | 43 | 175 | 22 | 12.6% | .354 | 40% (17/43) |
| season | 83 | 347 | 36 | 10.4% | .320 | 36% (30/83) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
C+★ FORMleans under
- the under has hit 80% blended (L10 90%, season 64%) against a 60% priced probability
- counterpoint - his chase rate of 25.4% - 20th percentile for chasing out of the zone
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 90% vs 64% season
basis: 83 games this season
OVER+139DraftKingsfair +151 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost+181+11.7% vs market · +1.5% vs season50% boost+208+22.8% vs market · +11.5% vs season
UNDER-180bet365fair -153 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost-138+4.2% vs market · +10% vs season50% boost-120+10.9% vs market · +17.1% vs season
Stolen Bases
83 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Shane Baz Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.5%—
no split for this stat25th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%4 of 857 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
runners test him0.7%—
no split for this stat29th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%6 of 857 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed4—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught2—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Adley Rutschman Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed26.4—
no split for this stat24th percentileleague avg 27.4347 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.000.00
7th percentileleague avg 0.0783 gamesvs RHP · 7th pctseason 0.00 (7th)58 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.265.251
83rd percentileleague avg .240347 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason .265 (83rd)202 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%10.9%
71st percentileleague avg 8.7%347 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason 10.4% (71st)230 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupAdley Rutschman: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 58 | 241 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/58) |
| vs LHP | 25 | 106 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/25) |
| on the road ● | 40 | 172 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/40) |
| at home | 43 | 175 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/43) |
| season | 83 | 347 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/83) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+2000FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardBoston Red Sox @ Baltimore Oriolessorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing