Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 12:21 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
AJ Dillon
CARDetroit Lions @ Carolina PanthersSun 8:20 PM
Dillon on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.50red zone targets per game 0.17carries per game 2.00
Anytime TD
9 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
DET · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.80.80.7
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 13 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone carries allowed to RBs3.43.44.0
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 58 totalseason 3.4no per-play form for this stat60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.82.84.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 47 totalseason 2.8no per-play form for this stat100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
AJ Dillon Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.500.20
SZN6th percentile for mostleague avg 2.196 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.50 (6th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.170.20
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 0.366 games (2025)vs last 5 · 39th pctseason 0.17 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game2.002.60
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 10.946 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 2.00 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game0.500.80
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.156 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 0.50 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+700BetMGMat 0.5
Longest Reception
9 games loggedline0.5
targets
DET · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.26.7%0.0
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 4 totalvs per completion · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 0.2 (52nd)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.25.0%0.0
85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 3 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 0.2 (85th)17 games40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.13 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.52.3%1.3
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per completion · 65th pct · T-11 of 32season 0.5 (66th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs24.06.824.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 408 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 24.0 (6th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 74 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced315.510.0326.7
100th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 5364 totalvs per target · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 315.5 (100th)17 games94th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 980 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
AJ Dillon Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.500.80
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.156 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 0.50 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catchthin6.003.33
SZN20th percentile for mostleague avg 7.59thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 6.00 (20th)3 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per targetthin3.750.17
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg -0.13thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 59th pctseason 3.75 (95th)3 gamessupports OVERneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.000.00
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 0.156 games (2025)vs last 5 · 8th pctseason 0.00 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+120bet365at 0.5
UNDER-150bet365at 0.5
19.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 19.5
Longest Rush
9 games loggedline7.5
carries
DET · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs2.210.5%2.7
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 37 totalvs per carry · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 2.2 (48th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.03 games (2026) · 8 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.52.3%1.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per carry · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 0.5 (53rd)17 games94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesneutralT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards per carry allowed to RBs4.34.34.5
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)vs per carry · 53rd pct · T-15 of 32season 4.3 (53rd)17 games77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.13 games (2026)neutralT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
RB carries stuffed at the line2.813.6%3.0
6th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 48 totalvs per carry · 15th pct · T-27 of 32season 2.8 (6th)17 games26th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
AJ Dillon Breakdown · his own data
carries per game2.002.60
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 10.946 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 2.00 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry4.673.32
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 4.235 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 4.67 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
10+ yard runs per game0.170.40
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 1.136 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.17 (7th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share12.7%9.8%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%6 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 12.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
7.5line
OVER-105bet365at 7.5
UNDER-125bet365at 7.5
9.5line
OVER+170bet365at 9.5
19.5line
OVER+750bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 29.5
Receiving Yards
9 games loggedline0.5
receptions
DET · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to RBs24.67.020.0
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 418 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 24.6 (15th)17 games18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencesneutralT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to RBs3.575.9%5.0
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 60 totalvs per target · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 3.5 (19th)17 games76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 15 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed236.911.8326.3
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4027 totalvs per reception · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 236.9 (65th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 979 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs24.06.824.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 408 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 24.0 (6th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 74 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
AJ Dillon Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.500.80
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.156 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 0.50 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game0.500.80
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.726 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.50 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share1.5%2.3%
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%6 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 1.5% (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share12.7%9.8%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%6 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 12.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+115bet365at 0.5
UNDER-145bet365at 0.5
19.5line
OVER+800bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 29.5
Receptions
9 games loggedline0.5
targets
DET · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to RBs3.575.9%5.0
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 60 totalvs per target · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 3.5 (19th)17 games76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 15 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to RBs4.74.76.7
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 79 totalseason 4.7no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.53 games (2026) · 20 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed20.120.128.7
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 342 totalseason 20.1no per-play form for this stat100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 86 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
AJ Dillon Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.500.80
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.156 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 0.50 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game0.500.80
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.726 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.50 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share1.5%2.3%
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%6 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 1.5% (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share12.7%9.8%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%6 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 12.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-105bet365at 0.5
UNDER-125bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+475bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 2.5
Rush + Rec Yards
9 games loggedline18.5
touches
DET · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs89.24.387.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1517 totalvs per carry · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 89.2 (35th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 261 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencesneutral21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed to RBs24.67.020.0
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 418 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 24.6 (15th)17 games18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencesneutralT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed114.54.4117.3
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 116.917 games (2025) · 1947 totalvs per carry · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 114.5 (42nd)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 111.93 games (2026) · 352 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs24.06.824.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 408 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 24.0 (6th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 74 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
AJ Dillon Breakdown · his own data
touches per game2.503.40
no comparison available6 games (2025)vs last 5season 2.505 gamesneutralneutral
carries per game2.002.60
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 10.946 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 2.00 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game0.500.80
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.726 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.50 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share12.7%9.8%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%6 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 12.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
18.5line
OVER-115bet365at 18.5
UNDER-115bet365at 18.5
49.5line
OVER+800bet365at 49.5
Rushing Attempts
9 games loggedline3.5
snap share
DET · what this defence allows
carries allowed to RBs20.879.4%19.3
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 354 totalvs share of carries · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 20.8 (32nd)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 58 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced23.538.5%22.7
39th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 400 totalvs per play · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 23.5 (39th)17 games31st percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 68 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to RBs89.24.387.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1517 totalvs per carry · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 89.2 (35th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 261 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencesneutral21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
AJ Dillon Breakdown · his own data
snap share12.7%9.8%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%6 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 12.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
rushing yards per game10.008.60
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 48.146 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 10.00 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry4.673.32
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 4.235 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 4.67 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
3.5line
OVER-155bet365at 3.5
UNDER+122bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+135bet365at 4.5
Rushing Yards
9 games loggedline13.5
carries
DET · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs89.24.387.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1517 totalvs per carry · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 89.2 (35th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 261 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencesneutral21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to RBs20.879.4%19.3
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 354 totalvs share of carries · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 20.8 (32nd)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 58 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced23.538.5%22.7
39th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 400 totalvs per play · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 23.5 (39th)17 games31st percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 68 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line2.813.6%3.0
6th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 48 totalvs per carry · 15th pct · T-27 of 32season 2.8 (6th)17 games26th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
AJ Dillon Breakdown · his own data
carries per game2.002.60
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 10.946 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 2.00 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry4.673.32
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 4.235 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 4.67 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
13.5line
OVER-110Bovadaat 13.5
UNDER-114FanDuelat 13.5
19.5line
OVER+160bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+400bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+750bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 49.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing