Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 12:21 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Brock Wright
DETDetroit Lions @ Carolina PanthersSun 8:20 PM
Wright on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.29red zone targets per game 0.29receptions per game 2.00
Anytime TD
19 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
CAR · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.40.41.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 7 totalseason 0.4no per-play form for this stat85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 3 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.41.41.0
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 24 totalseason 1.4no per-play form for this stat37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.42.43.3
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Brock Wright Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.290.00
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.407 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.29 (42nd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.290.00
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 0.597 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.29 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game2.001.60
SZN45th percentile for mostleague avg 2.557 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 2.00 (45th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+850Bally Betat 0.5
Longest Reception
19 games loggedline5.5
targets
CAR · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.816.1%0.3
87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 14 totalvs per completion · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 0.8 (87th)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.35.7%0.0
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per completion · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 0.3 (90th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.52.7%0.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 0.5 (77th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs30.25.917.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 513 totalvs per reception · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 30.2 (71st)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 53 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced222.37.8197.0
32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3779 totalvs per target · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 222.3 (32nd)17 games29th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 591 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencesneutral23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Brock Wright Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.001.60
SZN45th percentile for mostleague avg 2.557 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 2.00 (45th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
yards per catch7.706.63
SZN15th percentile for mostleague avg 10.116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 9th pctseason 7.70 (15th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target0.480.14
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 5.877 games (2025)vs last 5 · 1st pctseason 0.48 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.140.20
SZN28th percentile for mostleague avg 0.317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 46th pctseason 0.14 (28th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
5.5line
OVER-115bet365at 5.5
UNDER-115bet365at 5.5
19.5line
OVER+700bet365at 19.5
Receiving Yards
19 games loggedline5.5
receptions
CAR · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs59.911.740.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 1019 totalvs per reception · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 59.9 (77th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 121 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs5.175.7%4.0
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 87 totalvs per target · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 5.1 (37th)17 games24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed215.110.9186.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3657 totalvs per reception · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 215.1 (42nd)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 558 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencesneutral28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs30.25.917.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 513 totalvs per reception · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 30.2 (71st)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 53 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Brock Wright Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.001.60
SZN45th percentile for mostleague avg 2.557 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 2.00 (45th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
targets per game3.143.00
SZN48th percentile for mostleague avg 3.517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 3.14 (48th)5 gamesneutralneutral
target share10.0%8.4%
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%7 games (2025)vs last 5 · 40th pctseason 10.0% (49th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share63.6%63.8%
SZN67th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%7 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 63.6% (67th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
5.5line
OVER-115bet365at 5.5
UNDER-115bet365at 5.5
19.5line
OVER+400bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+800bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 39.5
Receptions
19 games loggedline0.5
targets
CAR · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.175.7%4.0
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 87 totalvs per target · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 5.1 (37th)17 games24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs6.86.87.3
31st percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 115 totalseason 6.8no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 22 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed19.819.818.7
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 336 totalseason 19.8no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Brock Wright Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.001.60
SZN45th percentile for mostleague avg 2.557 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 2.00 (45th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
targets per game3.143.00
SZN48th percentile for mostleague avg 3.517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 3.14 (48th)5 gamesneutralneutral
target share10.0%8.4%
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%7 games (2025)vs last 5 · 40th pctseason 10.0% (49th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share63.6%63.8%
SZN67th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%7 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 63.6% (67th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-210bet365at 0.5
UNDER+160bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+210bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+700bet365at 2.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing