STEEZANOMICS.
← New York Jets @ Chicago Bears
Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:51 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Cole Kmet

CHINew York Jets @ Chicago BearsSun 1:00 PM

Kmet on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.19red zone targets per game 0.44receptions per game 1.88

Anytime TD

35 games logged
line0.5

NYJ · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.60.60.0
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 totalseason 0.6no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.31.30.7
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 22 totalseason 1.3no per-play form for this stat21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.33.32.3
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 56 totalseason 3.3no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Cole Kmet Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.190.00
SZN
32nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.4016 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.19 (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.440.20
SZN
40th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 0.44 (40th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.881.20
SZN
43rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 1.88 (43rd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+600BetMGMat 0.5

Longest Reception

35 games logged
line8.5

NYJ · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.59.9%0.3
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 0.5 (39th)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.11.1%0.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 23rd pct · T-23 of 32season 0.1 (21st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.31.8%0.3
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 39th pct · T-19 of 32season 0.3 (35th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs31.15.820.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 529 totalvs per reception · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 31.1 (77th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced216.17.5189.7
19th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3673 totalvs per target · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 216.1 (19th)17 games16th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 569 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Cole Kmet Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.881.20
SZN
43rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 1.88 (43rd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
yards per catch11.4910.90
SZN
72nd percentile for mostleague avg 10.1116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 67th pctseason 11.49 (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
air yards per target8.837.60
SZN
89th percentile for mostleague avg 5.8716 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 8.83 (89th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.310.20
SZN
60th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 46th pctseason 0.31 (60th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
8.5line
OVER-110bet365at 8.5
UNDER-110Bovadaat 8.5

Receiving Yards

35 games logged
line9.5

NYJ · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs53.710.036.3
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 913 totalvs per reception · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 53.7 (52nd)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 109 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs5.374.0%4.3
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 91 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 5.3 (52nd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 13 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed226.411.5184.7
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3849 totalvs per reception · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 226.4 (48th)17 games10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 554 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencessupports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs31.15.820.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 529 totalvs per reception · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 31.1 (77th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Cole Kmet Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.881.20
SZN
43rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 1.88 (43rd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
targets per game3.002.20
SZN
45th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 3.00 (45th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
target share9.5%7.1%
SZN
46th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 32nd pctseason 9.5% (46th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share71.4%67.2%
SZN
78th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 75th pctseason 71.4% (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
9.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 9.5
UNDER-107DraftKingsat 9.5

Receptions

35 games logged
line1.5

NYJ · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.374.0%4.3
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 91 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 5.3 (52nd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 13 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs7.27.25.3
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 123 totalseason 7.2no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 16 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed19.819.820.0
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 336 totalseason 19.8no per-play form for this stat44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Cole Kmet Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.881.20
SZN
43rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 1.88 (43rd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
targets per game3.002.20
SZN
45th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 3.00 (45th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
target share9.5%7.1%
SZN
46th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 32nd pctseason 9.5% (46th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share71.4%67.2%
SZN
78th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 75th pctseason 71.4% (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
1.5line
OVER+180bet365at 1.5
UNDER-200theScore Betat 1.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing