Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:51 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Luther Burden III
CHINew York Jets @ Chicago BearsSun 1:00 PM
III on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.20red zone targets per game 0.27receptions per game 3.13
Anytime TD
20 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
NYJ · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.90.91.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 16 totalseason 0.9no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.42.42.7
50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 8 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed3.33.32.3
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 56 totalseason 3.3no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Luther Burden III Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.200.80
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3615 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 0.20 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.271.20
SZN18th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6315 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 0.27 (18th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
receptions per game3.135.20
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.8915 games (2025)vs last 5 · 92nd pctseason 3.13 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+225BetMGMat 0.5
Longest Reception
20 games loggedline19.5
targets
NYJ · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.321.8%1.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 39 totalvs per completion · 92nd pct · T-3 of 32season 2.3 (77th)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.09.5%0.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 17 totalvs per completion · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 1.0 (84th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.22.2%0.3
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 4 totalvs per completion · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 0.2 (26th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs52.75.040.7
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 896 totalvs per reception · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 52.7 (84th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 122 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced216.17.5189.7
19th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3673 totalvs per target · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 216.1 (19th)17 games16th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 569 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Luther Burden III Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.135.20
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.8915 games (2025)vs last 5 · 92nd pctseason 3.13 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch11.7812.18
SZN40th percentile for mostleague avg 12.9015 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 11.78 (40th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
air yards per target6.517.50
SZN9th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2015 games (2025)vs last 5 · 13th pctseason 6.51 (9th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.731.20
SZN74th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5315 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 0.73 (74th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
18.5line
OVER-125Fliffat 18.5
UNDER+100theScore Betat 18.5
19.5line
OVER-108DraftKingsat 19.5
UNDER-120Bovadaat 19.5
29.5line
OVER+320bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+700bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
20 games loggedline46.5
receptions
NYJ · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs136.112.9112.3
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2313 totalvs per reception · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 136.1 (45th)17 games10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 337 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs10.563.3%11.0
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 179 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 10.5 (37th)17 games60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 33 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed226.411.5184.7
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3849 totalvs per reception · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 226.4 (48th)17 games10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 554 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencessupports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs52.75.040.7
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 896 totalvs per reception · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 52.7 (84th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 122 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Luther Burden III Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.135.20
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.8915 games (2025)vs last 5 · 92nd pctseason 3.13 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game4.007.20
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6815 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 4.00 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
target share13.0%22.3%
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%15 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 13.0% (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
snap share39.7%62.2%
SZN13th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%15 games (2025)vs last 5 · 53rd pctseason 39.7% (13th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
19.5line
OVER-800bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-350bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-165bet365at 39.5
45.5line
OVER-115bet365at 45.5
UNDER-115bet365at 45.5
46.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 46.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 46.5
47.5line
OVER-110theScore Betat 47.5
UNDER-110DraftKingsat 47.5
49.5line
OVER+105bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+165bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+250bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+400bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+550bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+750bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+900bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 119.5
Receptions
20 games loggedline4.5
targets
NYJ · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs10.563.3%11.0
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 179 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 10.5 (37th)17 games60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 33 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs16.616.617.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 283 totalseason 16.6no per-play form for this stat44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 53 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed19.819.820.0
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 336 totalseason 19.8no per-play form for this stat44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Luther Burden III Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.135.20
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.8915 games (2025)vs last 5 · 92nd pctseason 3.13 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game4.007.20
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6815 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 4.00 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
target share13.0%22.3%
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%15 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 13.0% (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
snap share39.7%62.2%
SZN13th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%15 games (2025)vs last 5 · 53rd pctseason 39.7% (13th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
1.5line
OVER-3300bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-700bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER-240bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+106FanDuelat 4.5
UNDER-123BetOnline.agat 4.5
5.5line
OVER+200bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+400bet365at 6.5
7.5line
OVER+650bet365at 7.5
8.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 8.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing