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CARTETampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina PanthersSun 1:00 PM
Waller on the fieldreceptions per game 2.60targets per game 4.20target share 11.1%
FacingTampa Bay Buccaneersdefence56.6 receiving yards allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks 13 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 6:12 AM ET
Anytime TD
14 games loggedDarren Waller Anytime TD · 14 games logged
5 of 14 (36%) scored a touchdown over all 14 · to score +330 Bovada · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +330 (Bovada) · no under
9/29vs NYJ10/5@ CAR10/12vs LAC10/19@ CLE11/30vs NO12/7@ NYJ12/15@ PIT12/21vs CIN12/28vs TB9/13vs CHI9/20@ ATL9/27@ CLE10/4vs DET10/18@ PHI
latest0 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ PHI
TD
5 of 14 (36%) cleared 0.5 over all 14
red zone touchesno range set0.6 avg over the 14 charted
by window, any range:last 50.4last 100.420260.420250.7all0.6
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Darren Waller Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.670.400.40
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 0.359 games (2025)66th percentileleague avg 0.365 games (last 5)2026 season 0.4066th percentile for mostleague avg 0.365 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER29/85 TEssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.890.800.80
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 0.529 games (2025)73rd percentileleague avg 0.525 games (last 5)2026 season 0.8073rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.525 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER22/85 TEssupports OVER
receptions per game2.672.602.60
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.209 games (2025)68th percentileleague avg 2.215 games (last 5)2026 season 2.6068th percentile for mostleague avg 2.215 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER27/85 TEssupports OVER
red zone target share22.2%13.8%13.8%
SZN86th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%8 games with red zone data (2025)64th percentileleague avg 11.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 13.8%64th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.7%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER12/85 TEssupports OVER31/85 TEssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%8 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.2%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/85 TEsneutral5/85 TEsneutral
red zone touch share11.5%4.9%4.9%
SZN95th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%9 games with red zone data (2025)57th percentileleague avg 4.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 4.9%57th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER4/85 TEsneutral37/85 TEsneutral
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to TEs0.70.60.7
SZN94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 12 total65th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.771st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.11.21.5
SZN42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 19 total68th percentileleague avg 1.35 games (last 5)2026 season 1.569th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.36 games (2026) · 9 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.71.81.8
SZN69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 total13th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.815th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
Head to HeadDarren Waller vs TB0/1 with a touchdown · 2025 season
| date | RZ | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/28'25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SAME ROLE VS TB
TE1s vs TB
Anytime TD · Darren Waller is CAR's TE1
TE1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 6 games vs TB · 2 of 6 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 0 | 7 | 5 | 21 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 6 | 5 | 50 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 4 | 2 | 50 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 1 | 7 | 6 | 55 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 6 | 3 | 50 | |
| 10/18 | PIT | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 3 | 2 | 57 |
Each past TE1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Darren Waller is CAR's TE1 by today's receiving yards lines. TB has played 6 games; the TE1 was clear in all 6.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 2 of 7 | 29% |
| 2025 | 9 | 4 of 9 | 44% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| Away | 7 | 3 of 7 | 43% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs CLE | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
14 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ PHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | 2 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs TB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs CIN | 0 | no |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | @ PIT | 2 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ NYJ | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs NO | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAC | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | @ CAR | 1 | yes |
| Mon, Sep 29, 2025 | vs NYJ | 2 | yes |
Receptions
14 games loggedDarren Waller Receptions · 14 games logged
7 of 14 (50%) cleared 2.5 over all 14 · over +146 Courtside · under −137 betPARX · prices from
line2.5
2.5
quoted at 2.5: O +146 (Courtside) · U -137 (betPARX)
9/29vs NYJ10/5@ CAR10/12vs LAC10/19@ CLE11/30vs NO12/7@ NYJ12/15@ PIT12/21vs CIN12/28vs TB9/13vs CHI9/20@ ATL9/27@ CLE10/4vs DET10/18@ PHI
latest0 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ PHI
2.5
7 of 14 (50%) cleared 2.5 over all 14
targetsno range set3.9 avg over the 14 charted
by window, any range:last 54.2last 104.320264.220253.8all3.9
Receptions: Breakdowns
Darren Waller Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.672.602.60
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.209 games (2025)68th percentileleague avg 2.215 games (last 5)2026 season 2.6068th percentile for mostleague avg 2.215 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER27/85 TEssupports OVER
targets per game3.784.204.20
SZN66th percentile for mostleague avg 3.039 games (2025)71st percentileleague avg 3.095 games (last 5)2026 season 4.2071st percentile for mostleague avg 3.095 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER25/85 TEssupports OVER
target share14.4%11.1%11.1%
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%9 games (2025)62nd percentileleague avg 9.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 11.1%62nd percentile for mostleague avg 9.5%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER33/85 TEssupports OVER
snap share45.0%45.8%45.8%
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%9 games (2025)37th percentileleague avg 54.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 45.8%37th percentile for mostleague avg 54.3%5 games (2026)neutralsupports UNDER54/85 TEssupports UNDER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
receptions allowed to TEs5.85.46.0
SZN76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 99 total55th percentileleague avg 5.55 games (last 5)2026 season 6.068th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.56 games (2026) · 36 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencesneutral11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to TEs7.68.08.5
SZN63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 129 total61st percentileleague avg 7.75 games (last 5)2026 season 8.577th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.76 games (2026) · 51 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed22.323.623.8
SZN81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 379 total84th percentileleague avg 21.65 games (last 5)2026 season 23.885th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.66 games (2026) · 143 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receptions: Head to Head
Head to HeadDarren Waller vs TB0/1 over 2.5 · 2025 season· 14.3% of their targets, 1 meeting
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/28'25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13.6% |
SAME ROLE VS TB
TE1s vs TB
Receptions at 2.5 · Darren Waller is CAR's TE1
TE1s went over 2.5 receptions in 4 of 6 games vs TB · 3 of 6 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC | AT 2.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 5 | over | 2.5over | 7 | 78 | 1 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 5 | over | 3.5over | 6 | 54 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 2 | under | 3.5under | 4 | 11 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 6 | over | 3.5over | 7 | 42 | 1 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 3 | over | 3.5under | 6 | 19 | 0 | |
| 10/18 | PIT | 2 | under | 3.5under | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Each past TE1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Darren Waller is CAR's TE1 by today's receiving yards lines. TB has played 6 games; the TE1 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS TB
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receptions
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Tommy Tremble, 2 of 4 games at 2.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Tremble | 2.5 | +165 | 2 of 4 | 2.3 |
| John Metchie III | 1.5 | +122 | 1 of 1 | 2.0 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 5.5 | +120 | 1 of 2 | 5.0 |
| Jalen Coker | 5.5 | +110 | 1 of 3 | 3.7 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 2.5 | +120 | 0 of 3 | 1.0 |
| Darren Waller | 2.5 | +146 | 0 of 1 | 1.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receptions: Lineup
Receptions: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receptions at 2.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 3 of 7 | 43% | 13.6% |
| 2025 | 9 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 14.8% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 13.6% |
| Away | 7 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 13.0% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 18.5% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 14.3% |
| vs CLE | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 11.0% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 15.0% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 28.6% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 16.1% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 14.2% |
| 2026 | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 11.5% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.9% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 9.3% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 15.4% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.6% |
Receptions: Game Log
Game Log
14 games, newest first · at 2.5
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ PHI | 0 | 5.6% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | 3 | 15.4% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 5 | 19.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | 3 | 9.4% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | 2 | 5.9% | under |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs TB | 1 | 13.6% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs CIN | 3 | 17.2% | over |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | @ PIT | 7 | 28.6% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ NYJ | 1 | 14.3% | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs NO | 2 | 15.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAC | 2 | 10.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | @ CAR | 5 | 14.7% | over |
| Mon, Sep 29, 2025 | vs NYJ | 3 | 16.0% | over |
Receiving Yards
14 games loggedDarren Waller Receiving Yards · 14 games logged
9 of 14 (64%) cleared 20.5 over all 14 · over −110 Courtside · under +100 Fanatics · prices from
line20.5
20.5
quoted at 20.5: O -110 (Courtside) · U +100 (Fanatics)
9/29vs NYJ10/5@ CAR10/12vs LAC10/19@ CLE11/30vs NO12/7@ NYJ12/15@ PIT12/21vs CIN12/28vs TB9/13vs CHI9/20@ ATL9/27@ CLE10/4vs DET10/18@ PHI
latest0 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ PHI
20.5
9 of 14 (64%) cleared 20.5 over all 14
receptionsno range set2.6 avg over the 14 charted
by window, any range:last 52.6last 102.720262.620252.7all2.6
Receiving Yards: Breakdowns
Darren Waller Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.672.602.60
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.209 games (2025)68th percentileleague avg 2.215 games (last 5)2026 season 2.6068th percentile for mostleague avg 2.215 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER27/85 TEssupports OVER
targets per game3.784.204.20
SZN66th percentile for mostleague avg 3.039 games (2025)71st percentileleague avg 3.095 games (last 5)2026 season 4.2071st percentile for mostleague avg 3.095 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER25/85 TEssupports OVER
target share14.4%11.1%11.1%
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%9 games (2025)62nd percentileleague avg 9.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 11.1%62nd percentile for mostleague avg 9.5%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER33/85 TEssupports OVER
snap share45.0%45.8%45.8%
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%9 games (2025)37th percentileleague avg 54.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 45.8%37th percentile for mostleague avg 54.3%5 games (2026)neutralsupports UNDER54/85 TEssupports UNDER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
receiving yards allowed to TEs56.647.256.2
SZN61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 963 total42nd percentileleague avg 54.35 games (last 5)2026 season 56.266th percentile for most allowedleague avg 54.36 games (2026) · 337 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencesneutralT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs5.85.46.0
SZN76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 99 total55th percentileleague avg 5.55 games (last 5)2026 season 6.068th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.56 games (2026) · 36 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencesneutral11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed254.8234.4237.7
SZN84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4332 total45th percentileleague avg 236.35 games (last 5)2026 season 237.752nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.36 games (2026) · 1426 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to TEs28.328.630.5
SZN61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 481 total60th percentileleague avg 26.35 games (last 5)2026 season 30.571st percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.36 games (2026) · 183 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receiving Yards: Head to Head
Head to HeadDarren Waller vs TB0/1 over 20.5 · 2025 season· 14.3% of their targets, 1 meeting
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/28'25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13.6% |
SAME ROLE VS TB
TE1s vs TB
Receiving Yards at 20.5 · Darren Waller is CAR's TE1
TE1s went over 20.5 receiving yards in 3 of 6 games vs TB · 3 of 6 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC YDS | AT 20.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 78 | over | 20.5over | 7 | 5 | 1 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 54 | over | 33.5over | 6 | 5 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 11 | under | 29.5under | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 42 | over | 40.5over | 7 | 6 | 1 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 19 | under | 26.5under | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
| 10/18 | PIT | 11 | under | 35.5under | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Each past TE1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Darren Waller is CAR's TE1 by today's receiving yards lines. TB has played 6 games; the TE1 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS TB
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving Yards
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Tetairoa McMillan, 2 of 2 games at 69.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan | 69.5 | −103 | 2 of 2 | 79.0 |
| Tommy Tremble | 16.5 | +100 | 2 of 4 | 30.3 |
| Jalen Coker | 66.5 | −110 | 0 of 3 | 43.0 |
| John Metchie III | 10.5 | −114 | 0 of 1 | 10.0 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 14.5 | −107 | 0 of 3 | 4.7 |
| Darren Waller | 20.5 | −110 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receiving Yards: Lineup
Receiving Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receiving Yards at 20.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 13.6% |
| 2025 | 9 | 5 of 9 | 56% | 14.8% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 13.6% |
| Away | 7 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 13.0% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 18.5% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 14.3% |
| vs CLE | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 11.0% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 15.0% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 28.6% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 16.1% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 14.2% |
| 2026 | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 11.5% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 5.9% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 9.3% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 15.4% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.6% |
Receiving Yards: Game Log
Game Log
14 games, newest first · at 20.5
| Date | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ PHI | 0 | 5.6% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | 36 | 15.4% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 51 | 19.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | 33 | 9.4% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | 28 | 5.9% | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs TB | 0 | 13.6% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs CIN | 40 | 17.2% | over |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | @ PIT | 66 | 28.6% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ NYJ | 13 | 14.3% | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs NO | 47 | 15.0% | over |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAC | 12 | 10.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | @ CAR | 78 | 14.7% | over |
| Mon, Sep 29, 2025 | vs NYJ | 27 | 16.0% | over |
Longest Reception
14 games loggedDarren Waller Longest Reception · 14 games logged
10 of 14 (71%) cleared 11.5 over all 14 · over −114 Bally Bet · under −110 Hard Rock Bet · prices from
line11.5
11.5
quoted at 11.5: O -114 (Bally Bet) · U -110 (Hard Rock Bet)
9/29vs NYJ10/5@ CAR10/12vs LAC10/19@ CLE11/30vs NO12/7@ NYJ12/15@ PIT12/21vs CIN12/28vs TB9/13vs CHI9/20@ ATL9/27@ CLE10/4vs DET10/18@ PHI
latest0 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ PHI
11.5
10 of 14 (71%) cleared 11.5 over all 14
targetsno range set3.9 avg over the 14 charted
by window, any range:last 54.2last 104.320264.220253.8all3.9
Longest Reception: Breakdowns
Darren Waller Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.672.602.60
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.209 games (2025)68th percentileleague avg 2.215 games (last 5)2026 season 2.6068th percentile for mostleague avg 2.215 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER27/85 TEssupports OVER
yards per catch11.239.4411.80
SZN67th percentile for mostleague avg 10.088 games (2025)55th percentileleague avg 9.115 games (last 5)2026 season 11.8082nd percentile for mostleague avg 9.114 games (2026)supports OVERneutral16/84 TEssupports OVER
air yards per target11.069.939.93
SZN99th percentile for mostleague avg 5.788 games (2025)90th percentileleague avg 5.805 games (last 5)2026 season 9.9390th percentile for mostleague avg 5.805 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER9/85 TEssupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.620.000.00
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 0.298 games (2025)24th percentileleague avg 0.235 games (last 5)2026 season 0.0024th percentile for mostleague avg 0.235 games (2026)supports OVERsupports UNDER45/85 TEssupports UNDER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.30.40.7
SZN10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 6 total42nd percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.766th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencesneutralT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.10.00.0
SZN21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 total27th percentileleague avg 0.15 games (last 5)2026 season 0.027th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.16 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.60.60.5
SZN89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 total68th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.547th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to TEs28.328.630.5
SZN61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 481 total60th percentileleague avg 26.35 games (last 5)2026 season 30.571st percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.36 games (2026) · 183 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced257.4216.6218.2
SZN74th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4375 total16th percentileleague avg 255.85 games (last 5)2026 season 218.216th percentile for most facedleague avg 255.86 games (2026) · 1309 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Longest Reception: Head to Head
Head to HeadDarren Waller vs TB0/1 over 11.5 · 2025 season· 14.3% of their targets, 1 meeting
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/28'25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
SAME ROLE VS TB
TE1s vs TB
Longest Reception at 11.5 · Darren Waller is CAR's TE1
TE1s went over 11.5 longest reception in 3 of 6 games vs TB · 1 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | LONG | AT 11.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 25 | over | — | 7 | 5 | 78 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 21 | over | 15.5over | 6 | 5 | 54 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 6 | under | 14.5under | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 17 | over | 17.5under | 7 | 6 | 42 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 11 | under | 12.5under | 6 | 3 | 19 | |
| 10/18 | PIT | 7 | under | 15.5under | 3 | 2 | 11 |
Each past TE1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Darren Waller is CAR's TE1 by today's receiving yards lines. TB has played 6 games; the TE1 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS TB
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Longest Reception
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Tommy Tremble, 2 of 3 games at 11.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Tremble | 11.5 | −115 | 2 of 3 | 20.3 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 24.5 | −110 | 1 of 2 | 31.0 |
| Jalen Coker | 22.5 | −117 | 1 of 3 | 24.0 |
| John Metchie III | 9.5 | −115 | 0 of 1 | 7.0 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 8.5 | −108 | 0 of 2 | 6.0 |
| Darren Waller | 11.5 | −114 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Longest Reception: Lineup
Longest Reception: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Reception at 11.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 13.6% |
| 2025 | 9 | 6 of 9 | 67% | 14.8% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 13.6% |
| Away | 7 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 13.0% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 18.5% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 14.3% |
| vs CLE | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 11.0% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 15.0% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 28.6% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 16.1% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 14.2% |
| 2026 | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 11.5% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 5.9% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 9.3% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 15.4% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.6% |
Longest Reception: Game Log
Game Log
14 games, newest first · at 11.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Reception | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ PHI | 0 | 5.6% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | 16 | 15.4% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 14 | 19.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | 14 | 9.4% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | 17 | 5.9% | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs TB | 0 | 13.6% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs CIN | 22 | 17.2% | over |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | @ PIT | 20 | 28.6% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ NYJ | 13 | 14.3% | over |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs NO | 34 | 15.0% | over |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs LAC | 7 | 10.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | @ CAR | 34 | 14.7% | over |
| Mon, Sep 29, 2025 | vs NYJ | 14 | 16.0% | over |
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