Prices pulled at 10:16 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 15. bet365 refreshed separately at 4:00 PM EDT.
BUFTEBuffalo Bills @ Las Vegas RaidersSun 4:25 PM
Knox on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.41red zone targets per game 0.76receptions per game 2.12
FacingLas Vegas Raidersdefence0.3 TDs allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks T-15 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 10:16 AM ET
Anytime TD
43 games loggedDawson Knox Anytime TD · 43 games logged
4 of 20 (20%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +600 Bovada · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +600 (Bovada) · no under
10/5vs NE10/13@ ATL10/26@ CAR11/2vs KC11/9@ MIA11/16vs TB11/20@ HOU11/30@ PIT12/7vs CIN12/14@ NE12/21@ CLE12/28vs PHI1/4vs NYJ1/11@ JAX1/17@ DEN9/13@ HOU9/17vs DET9/27vs LAC10/4vs NE10/12@ LAR
latest0 Mon, Oct 12, 2026 · @ LAR
TD
4 of 20 (20%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set0.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.4last 100.5last 200.5last 300.420260.420250.420240.1all0.3
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 0.0% · 0 of 91 gameL5: 4.8% · 2 of 425 gamesL10: 4.8% · 5 of 10410 games2026: 4.8% · 2 of 425 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Dawson Knox Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.410.400.40
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3517 games (2025)66th percentileleague avg 0.355 games (last 5)2026 season 0.4066th percentile for mostleague avg 0.355 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER25/86 TEssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.760.600.60
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5217 games (2025)68th percentileleague avg 0.495 games (last 5)2026 season 0.6068th percentile for mostleague avg 0.495 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER25/86 TEssupports OVER
receptions per game2.121.401.40
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)41st percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 1.4041st percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)neutralneutral51/86 TEsneutral
red zone target share16.5%13.6%13.6%
SZN74th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%16 games with red zone data (2025)65th percentileleague avg 11.0%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 13.6%65th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.0%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER23/85 TEssupports OVER31/86 TEssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%17 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.2%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/85 TEsneutral5/86 TEsneutral
red zone touch share4.2%4.8%4.8%
SZN56th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%17 games with red zone data (2025)62nd percentileleague avg 4.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 4.8%62nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT37/85 TEssupports OVER32/86 TEssupports OVER
LV · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to TEs0.31.21.2
SZN39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 total94th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.294th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.55 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.12.02.0
SZN32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 18 total85th percentileleague avg 1.25 games (last 5)2026 season 2.085th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.25 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.63.43.4
SZN65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 45 total85th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.485th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS LV
TE2s vs LV
Anytime TD · Dawson Knox is BUF's TE2
TE2s scored a touchdown in 2 of 4 games vs LV · 2 of 4 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20 | LAC | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 0 | 2 | 2 | 30 | |
| 9/27 | NO | 2 | scored | 0.5over | 0 | 4 | 4 | 42 | |
| 10/4 | KC | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 3 | 2 | 41 | |
| 10/11 | NE | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 5 | 5 | 43 |
Each past TE2 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Dawson Knox is BUF's TE2 by today's receiving yards lines. LV has played 5 games; the TE2 was clear in 4.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22 | 2 of 22 | 9% |
| 2024 | 19 | 1 of 19 | 5% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| Away | 21 | 3 of 21 | 14% |
| vs MIA | 4 | 0 of 4 | 0% |
| vs JAX | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| vs HOU | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 4 | 2 of 4 | 50% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs IND | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs KC | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| vs SF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs DET | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs NE | 4 | 1 of 4 | 25% |
| vs DEN | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| 2025 | 19 | 3 of 19 | 16% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs LAC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 12, 2026 | @ LAR | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs LAC | 0 | no |
| Thu, Sep 17, 2026 | vs DET | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ HOU | 0 | no |
| Sat, Jan 17, 2026 | @ DEN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Jan 11, 2026 | @ JAX | 0 | no |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs PHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ NE | 2 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs CIN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ PIT | 0 | no |
| Thu, Nov 20, 2025 | @ HOU | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs TB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ MIA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | vs KC | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | @ CAR | 0 | no |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ ATL | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs NE | 0 | no |
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