Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 5:06 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Efton Chism III

NENew England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM

III on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.50red zone targets per game 0.50receptions per game 1.50

Anytime TD

5 games logged

line0.5

BUF · what this defence allows

TDs allowed to WRs0.80.81.0

27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 13 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral

red zone targets allowed to WRs1.61.63.0

2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 27 totalseason 1.6no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

touchdowns allowed2.52.53.0

61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

Efton Chism III Breakdown · his own data

red zone touches per gamethin0.500.25

SZN

76th percentile for mostleague avg 0.36thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 38th pctseason 0.50 (76th)4 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER

red zone targets per gamethin0.500.50

SZN

41st percentile for mostleague avg 0.63thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 41st pctseason 0.50 (41st)4 gamesneutralneutral

receptions per gamethin1.501.25

SZN

19th percentile for mostleague avg 2.89thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 13th pctseason 1.50 (19th)4 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER

0.5line

OVER+1500Bovadaat 0.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing