Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 5:06 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Reggie Gilliam
NENew England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM
Gilliam on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.50red zone targets per game 0.00carries per game 1.00
Anytime TD
5 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
BUF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs1.21.21.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 21 totalseason 1.2no per-play form for this stat94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone carries allowed to RBs3.93.95.3
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 67 totalseason 3.9no per-play form for this stat76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 16 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.52.53.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Reggie Gilliam Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per gamethin0.500.40
SZN33rd percentile for mostleague avg 1.04thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 13th pctseason 0.50 (33rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per gamethin0.000.00
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 0.65thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per gamethin1.001.00
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 14.52thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 1.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per gamethin1.000.60
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 4.20thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 1.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+2330Fliffat 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing