These are the prices from a snapshot taken at 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4. Nothing has been re-pulled since. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Eli Raridon
NENew England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
2 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
BUF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.30.30.3
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 5 totalseason 0.3no per-play form for this stat35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.21.21.0
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 20 totalseason 1.2no per-play form for this stat35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.52.53.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+900bet365at 0.5
Receiving Yards
2 games loggedline5.5
receptions
BUF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs29.611.038.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 504 totalvs per reception · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 29.6 (0th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.23 games (2026) · 116 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs2.759.7%4.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 46 totalvs per target · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 2.7 (0th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed170.210.4275.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 2894 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 170.2 (0th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 232.23 games (2026) · 827 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs12.94.825.0
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 220 totalvs per reception · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 12.9 (0th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.93 games (2026) · 75 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencesneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
5.5line
OVER-113FanDuelat 5.5
UNDER-113FanDuelat 5.5
Receptions
2 games loggedline0.5
targets
BUF · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs2.759.7%4.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 46 totalvs per target · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 2.7 (0th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
targets allowed to TEs4.54.57.3
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 77 totalseason 4.5no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 22 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed16.316.324.0
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 277 totalseason 16.3no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.03 games (2026) · 72 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-158FanDuelat 0.5
UNDER+145DraftKingsat 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4 · not live pricing