Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 5:06 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
DeMario Douglas
NENew England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM
Douglas on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.31red zone targets per game 0.44receptions per game 1.94
Anytime TD
39 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
BUF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.80.81.0
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 13 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.61.63.0
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 27 totalseason 1.6no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.52.53.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadDeMario Douglas vs BUF0/4 with a touchdown
| date | RZ | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 10/06'25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| 01/05'25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| 12/22'24 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
DeMario Douglas Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.310.00
SZN50th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3616 games (2025)vs last 5 · 4th pctseason 0.31 (50th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.440.20
SZN34th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6316 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.44 (34th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.942.00
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 1.94 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+410Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
39 games loggedline14.5
targets
BUF · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.616.5%4.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 27 totalvs per completion · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 1.6 (13th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.66.1%0.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per completion · 37th pct · T-20 of 32season 0.6 (26th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.10.6%0.0
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 0.1 (2nd)17 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.43.859.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 36.4 (6th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 179 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced197.37.7308.0
3rd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3354 totalvs per target · 40th pct · T-19 of 32season 197.3 (3rd)17 games84th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 924 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadDeMario Douglas vs BUF1/4 over 14.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 10/06'25 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 |
| 01/05'25 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 15 |
| 12/22'24 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 13 |
DeMario Douglas Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.942.00
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 1.94 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch14.9915.10
SZN78th percentile for mostleague avg 12.9015 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 14.99 (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
air yards per target10.8110.52
SZN46th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2015 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 10.81 (46th)5 gamesneutralneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.440.40
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.5316 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 0.44 (53rd)5 gamesneutralneutral
14.5line
OVER-105Bovadaat 14.5
UNDER-115Fliffat 14.5
16.5line
OVER-110bet365at 16.5
UNDER-120bet365at 16.5
19.5line
OVER+145bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+450bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+800bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
39 games loggedline27.5
receptions
BUF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs116.012.0192.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1972 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 116.0 (10th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 576 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs9.760.7%13.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 164 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 9.7 (13th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 40 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed170.210.4275.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 2894 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 170.2 (0th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 827 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.43.859.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 36.4 (6th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 179 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadDeMario Douglas vs BUF2/4 over 27.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| 10/06'25 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10.7% |
| 01/05'25 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 14.3% |
| 12/22'24 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 16.1% |
DeMario Douglas Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.942.00
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 1.94 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game2.883.80
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 2.88 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
target share9.8%14.4%
SZN28th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 51st pctseason 9.8% (28th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
snap share26.5%41.4%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 26.5% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
19.5line
OVER-230bet365at 19.5
26.5line
OVER-111DraftKingsat 26.5
UNDER-113DraftKingsat 26.5
27.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 27.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 27.5
28.5line
OVER-113betPARXat 28.5
UNDER-115bet365at 28.5
29.5line
OVER-115bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+155bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+275bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+450bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+600bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+850bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 89.5
Receptions
39 games loggedline2.5
targets
BUF · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs9.760.7%13.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 164 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 9.7 (13th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 40 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs15.915.920.7
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 270 totalseason 15.9no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 62 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed16.316.324.0
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 277 totalseason 16.3no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 72 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadDeMario Douglas vs BUF2/4 over 2.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| 10/06'25 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10.7% |
| 01/05'25 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 14.3% |
| 12/22'24 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 16.1% |
DeMario Douglas Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.942.00
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 1.94 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game2.883.80
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 2.88 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
target share9.8%14.4%
SZN28th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 51st pctseason 9.8% (28th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
snap share26.5%41.4%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 26.5% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-3300bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-450bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-128DraftKingsat 2.5
UNDER+110BetMGMat 2.5
3.5line
OVER+165bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+400bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+750bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 6.5
Rush + Rec Yards
39 games loggedline28.5
touches
BUF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs116.012.0192.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1972 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 116.0 (10th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 576 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to WRs6.74.42.3
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 114 totalvs per carry · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 6.7 (82nd)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed170.210.4275.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 2894 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 170.2 (0th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 827 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.43.859.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 36.4 (6th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 179 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadDeMario Douglas vs BUF2/4 over 28.5
| date | car | rush yds | rec | rec yds | rush+rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 10/06'25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 |
| 01/05'25 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 34 |
| 12/22'24 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 39 |
DeMario Douglas Breakdown · his own data
touches per game2.382.00
no comparison available16 games (2025)vs last 5season 2.385 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game2.883.80
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 2.88 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
snap share26.5%41.4%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 26.5% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
28.5line
OVER-115bet365at 28.5
UNDER-115bet365at 28.5
49.5line
OVER+275bet365at 49.5
74.5line
OVER+750bet365at 74.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing