STEEZANOMICS.
Prices pulled at 10:16 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 15. bet365 refreshed separately at 4:00 PM EDT.

Greg Dortch

BUF · NFLWRBUF @ LVSun 4:25 PM
FacingLas Vegas Raidersdefence0.9 TDs allowed to WRs (2025) · ranks T-13 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 10:16 AM ET

Anytime TD

29 games logged

Greg Dortch Anytime TD · 29 games logged

5 of 20 (25%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +2000 Bovada · prices from

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quoted at 0.5: O +2000 (Bovada) · no under

11/10vs NYJ11/24@ SEA12/1@ MIN12/8vs SEA12/15vs NE12/22@ CAR12/28@ LAR1/5vs SF9/7@ NO9/14vs CAR9/21@ SF9/25vs SEA10/5vs TEN10/12@ IND10/19vs GB11/3@ DAL11/9@ SEA11/16vs SF11/23vs JAX11/30@ TB

latest0 Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · @ TB

TD

5 of 20 (25%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.8 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.8last 101.0last 200.820250.820240.6all0.7
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 0.0% · 0 of 21 gameL5: 8.9% · 4 of 455 gamesL10: 12.5% · 10 of 8010 games2025: 10.5% · 10 of 9512 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Greg Dortch Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.830.80
96th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3412 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 0.375 games (last 5)supports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.580.40
56th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6012 games (2025)40th percentileleague avg 0.635 games (last 5)neutralsupports UNDER
receptions per game2.422.80
50th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7512 games (2025)56th percentileleague avg 2.825 games (last 5)neutralneutral
red zone target share9.0%4.7%
35th percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%12 games with red zone data (2025)21st percentileleague avg 14.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports UNDER88/135 WRssupports UNDER
red zone rush share6.3%9.5%
99th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%11 games with red zone data (2025)100th percentileleague avg 0.2%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports OVER2/135 WRssupports OVER
red zone touch share10.5%8.9%
93rd percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%12 games with red zone data (2025)82nd percentileleague avg 4.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports OVER10/135 WRssupports OVER
LV · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.91.01.0
SZN
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 16 total60th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 1.060th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.95 games (2026) · 5 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to WRs3.21.61.6
SZN
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 54 total15th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.615th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.63.43.4
SZN
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 45 total85th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.485th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

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