Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 12:21 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Isaac TeSlaa
DETDetroit Lions @ Carolina PanthersSun 8:20 PM
TeSlaa on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.50red zone targets per game 0.79receptions per game 1.14
Anytime TD
17 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
CAR · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.70.70.3
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 12 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.91.91.3
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 totalseason 1.9no per-play form for this stat15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.42.43.3
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Isaac TeSlaa Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.500.40
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 0.50 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.790.60
SZN68th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6314 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 0.79 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
receptions per game1.141.80
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 1.14 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+500Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
17 games loggedline13.5
targets
CAR · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.514.9%1.3
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 26 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 1.5 (6th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.09.8%0.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 17 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 1.0 (84th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.54.6%0.3
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per completion · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 0.5 (89th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs40.74.043.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 692 totalvs per reception · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 40.7 (26th)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 131 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
air yards faced222.37.8197.0
32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3779 totalvs per target · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 222.3 (32nd)17 games29th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 591 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencesneutral23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Isaac TeSlaa Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.141.80
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 1.14 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch15.5416.47
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 12.909 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 15.54 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
air yards per target14.1911.64
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2014 games (2025)vs last 5 · 52nd pctseason 14.19 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.210.60
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5314 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 0.21 (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
13.5line
OVER-115bet365at 13.5
UNDER-115bet365at 13.5
19.5line
OVER+210bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+500bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+850bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
17 games loggedline17.5
receptions
CAR · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs126.512.4111.7
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2151 totalvs per reception · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 126.5 (23rd)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 335 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs10.262.8%10.0
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 174 totalvs per target · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 10.2 (26th)17 games21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 30 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencesneutralT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed215.110.9186.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3657 totalvs per reception · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 215.1 (42nd)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 558 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencesneutral28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs40.74.043.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 692 totalvs per reception · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 40.7 (26th)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 131 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
Isaac TeSlaa Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.141.80
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 1.14 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.932.80
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 24th pctseason 1.93 (7th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share5.7%8.4%
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 21st pctseason 5.7% (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share43.1%60.6%
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 51st pctseason 43.1% (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
17.5line
OVER-113DraftKingsat 17.5
UNDER-111DraftKingsat 17.5
18.5line
OVER-110theScore Betat 18.5
UNDER-115bet365at 18.5
19.5line
OVER-110bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+180bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+320bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+500bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+750bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+900bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 79.5
Receptions
17 games loggedline1.5
targets
CAR · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs10.262.8%10.0
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 174 totalvs per target · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 10.2 (26th)17 games21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 30 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencesneutralT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to WRs16.316.316.3
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 277 totalseason 16.3no per-play form for this stat23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 49 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed19.819.818.7
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 336 totalseason 19.8no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Isaac TeSlaa Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.141.80
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 1.14 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.932.80
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 24th pctseason 1.93 (7th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share5.7%8.4%
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 21st pctseason 5.7% (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share43.1%60.6%
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 51st pctseason 43.1% (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
0.5line
OVER-500bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+105BetOnline.agat 1.5
UNDER-118betPARXat 1.5
2.5line
OVER+250bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+650bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 4.5
Rush + Rec Yards
17 games loggedline18.5
touches
CAR · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs126.512.4111.7
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2151 totalvs per reception · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 126.5 (23rd)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 335 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs1.22.00.0
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 20 totalvs per carry · 8th pct · T-29 of 32season 1.2 (13th)17 games21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed215.110.9186.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3657 totalvs per reception · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 215.1 (42nd)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 558 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencesneutral28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs40.74.043.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 692 totalvs per reception · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 40.7 (26th)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 131 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
Isaac TeSlaa Breakdown · his own data
touches per game1.141.80
no comparison available14 games (2025)vs last 5season 1.145 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game1.932.80
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 24th pctseason 1.93 (7th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share43.1%60.6%
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 51st pctseason 43.1% (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
18.5line
OVER-115bet365at 18.5
UNDER-115bet365at 18.5
49.5line
OVER+500bet365at 49.5
74.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 74.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing