Prices pulled at 10:16 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 15. bet365 refreshed separately at 4:00 PM EDT.
LVWRBuffalo Bills @ Las Vegas RaidersSun 4:25 PM
Nailor on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.35red zone targets per game 0.76receptions per game 1.71
FacingBuffalo Billsdefence0.8 TDs allowed to WRs (2025) · ranks T-23 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 10:16 AM ET
Anytime TD
39 games loggedJalen Nailor Anytime TD · 39 games logged
3 of 20 (15%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +460 FanDuel · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +460 (FanDuel) · no under
9/14vs ATL9/21vs CIN9/28@ PIT10/5@ CLE10/19vs PHI10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET1/4vs GB9/13vs MIA9/20@ LAC9/27@ NO10/4vs KC
latest0 Sun, Oct 4, 2026 · vs KC
TD
3 of 20 (15%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set0.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.0last 100.2last 200.3last 300.220260.020250.420240.3all0.3
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 0.0% · 0 of 41 gameL5: 0.0% · 0 of 395 gamesL10: 2.9% · 2 of 7010 games2026: 0.0% · 0 of 324 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Jalen Nailor Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.350.000.00
SZN56th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3417 games (2025)17th percentileleague avg 0.375 games (last 5)2026 season 0.0017th percentile for mostleague avg 0.374 games (2026)neutralsupports UNDER90/136 WRssupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.760.200.25
SZN68th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6017 games (2025)22nd percentileleague avg 0.635 games (last 5)2026 season 0.2529th percentile for mostleague avg 0.634 games (2026)supports OVERsupports UNDER94/136 WRssupports UNDER
receptions per game1.711.601.25
SZN33rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7517 games (2025)34th percentileleague avg 2.825 games (last 5)2026 season 1.2525th percentile for mostleague avg 2.824 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER101/136 WRssupports UNDER
red zone target share16.9%3.6%4.5%
SZN66th percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%16 games with red zone data (2025)18th percentileleague avg 14.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 4.5%21st percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.2%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER46/135 WRssupports UNDER108/136 WRssupports UNDER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN39th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%16 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.2%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER32/135 WRsneutral7/135 WRsneutral
red zone touch share6.2%0.0%0.0%
SZN70th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%17 games with red zone data (2025)17th percentileleague avg 4.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%17th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER40/135 WRssupports UNDER90/136 WRssupports UNDER
BUF · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to WRs0.81.81.8
SZN27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 13 total97th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 1.897th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.95 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.63.83.8
SZN2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 27 total90th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.890th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 19 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.53.63.6
SZN61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 total92nd percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.692nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS BUF
WR2s vs BUF
Anytime TD · Jalen Nailor is LV's WR2
WR2s scored a touchdown in 2 of 5 games vs BUF · 2 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | HOU | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 2 | 1 | 36 | |
| 9/17 | DET | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 4 | 2 | 63 | |
| 9/27 | LAC | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 6 | 3 | 60 | |
| 10/4 | NE | 2 | scored | 0.5over | 0 | 9 | 6 | 49 | |
| 10/12 | LAR | 2 | scored | 0.5over | 0 | 7 | 5 | 60 |
Each past WR2 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Jalen Nailor is LV's WR2 by today's receiving yards lines. BUF has played 5 games; the WR2 was clear in all 5.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 20 | 4 of 20 | 20% |
| 2024 | 18 | 6 of 18 | 33% |
| vs NYG | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| Home | 19 | 5 of 19 | 26% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs GB | 4 | 1 of 4 | 25% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 4 | 0 of 4 | 0% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs IND | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs TEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CHI | 4 | 1 of 4 | 25% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs SEA | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 3 of 17 | 18% |
| vs CIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs LAC | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| 2026 | 4 | 0 of 4 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs KC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs KC | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ NO | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ LAC | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs MIA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs GB | 0 | no |
| Thu, Dec 25, 2025 | vs DET | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ NYG | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ DAL | 2 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | vs WAS | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ SEA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ GB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs BAL | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ DET | 0 | no |
| Thu, Oct 23, 2025 | @ LAC | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs PHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ PIT | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | vs CIN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 14, 2025 | vs ATL | 0 | no |
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