Prices pulled at 10:16 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 15. bet365 refreshed separately at 5:09 PM EDT.
PITRBPittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM
Warren on the fieldcarries per game 13.19yards per carry 4.49
FacingTampa Bay Buccaneersdefence78.8 rushing yards allowed to RBs (2026) · ranks 27 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 5:09 PM ET
Anytime TD
38 games loggedJaylen Warren Anytime TD · 38 games logged
6 of 20 (30%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +100 BetMGM · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +100 (BetMGM) · no under
9/21@ NE10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND
latest2 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND
TD
6 of 20 (30%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set2.1 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 51.0last 102.0last 202.1last 302.020261.020252.620241.3all1.8
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 0.0% · 0 of 31 gameL5: 23.8% · 5 of 214 of 5 gamesL10: 35.1% · 20 of 579 of 10 games2026: 23.8% · 5 of 214 of 5 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Jaylen Warren Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game2.751.001.00
SZN79th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0116 games (2025)31st percentileleague avg 2.015 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0031st percentile for mostleague avg 2.015 games (2026)supports OVERsupports UNDER48/71 RBssupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.311.001.00
SZN54th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3316 games (2025)93rd percentileleague avg 0.345 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0093rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.345 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER4/71 RBssupports OVER
carries per game13.1914.0014.00
SZN66th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1316 games (2025)69th percentileleague avg 9.905 games (last 5)2026 season 14.0069th percentile for mostleague avg 9.905 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER22/71 RBssupports OVER
receptions per game2.503.803.80
SZN78th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0016 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 2.035 games (last 5)2026 season 3.8092nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.035 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER6/71 RBssupports OVER
red zone target share7.0%23.8%23.8%
SZN52nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 8.1%16 games with red zone data (2025)88th percentileleague avg 9.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 23.8%88th percentile for highest shareleague avg 9.2%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT29/60 RBssupports OVER8/65 RBssupports OVER
red zone rush share55.6%33.3%33.3%
SZN81st percentile for highest shareleague avg 39.5%15 games with red zone data (2025)45th percentileleague avg 38.0%3 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 33.3%45th percentile for highest shareleague avg 38.0%3 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER12/60 RBsneutral35/65 RBsneutral
red zone touch share37.3%23.8%23.8%
SZN74th percentile for highest shareleague avg 29.4%16 games with red zone data (2025)42nd percentileleague avg 27.7%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 23.8%42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 27.7%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER16/60 RBsneutral38/65 RBsneutral
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to RBs0.80.40.4
SZN42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 14 total10th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.410th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.95 games (2026) · 2 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to RBs2.43.23.2
SZN2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 40 total32nd percentileleague avg 3.95 games (last 5)2026 season 3.232nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.95 games (2026) · 16 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.71.81.8
SZN69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 total15th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.815th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS TB
RB1s vs TB
Anytime TD · Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1
RB1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 5 games vs TB · 2 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 16 | 6 | 5 | 46 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 12 | 5 | 5 | 39 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 17 | 6 | 5 | 47 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 12 | 3 | 2 | 51 |
Each past RB1 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1 by today's rushing yards lines. TB has played 5 games; the RB1 was clear in all 5.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 5 of 19 | 26% |
| 2024 | 16 | 1 of 16 | 6% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| Home | 19 | 3 of 19 | 16% |
| vs LAC | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 0 of 5 | 0% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs KC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 6 of 17 | 35% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NE | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs IND | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | 2 | yes |
| Thu, Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | 0 | no |
| Mon, Jan 12, 2026 | vs HOU | 0 | no |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs BAL | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | 2 | yes |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ CHI | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | 2 | yes |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | 0 | no |
| Thu, Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | 0 | no |
Rushing Attempts
38 games loggedJaylen Warren Rushing Attempts · 38 games logged
10 of 20 (50%) cleared 13.5 over his last 20 · over −110 bet365 · under −120 bet365 · prices from
line13.5
13.5
quoted at 13.5: O -110 (bet365) · U -120 (bet365)
9/21@ NE10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND
latest15 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND
13.5
10 of 20 (50%) cleared 13.5 over his last 20
snap shareno range set56.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 576.4last 1059.1last 2056.9last 3055.0202676.4202550.5202445.5all51.8
Rushing Attempts: Breakdowns
Jaylen Warren Breakdown · his own data
snap share50.8%76.4%76.4%
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 49.3%16 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 48.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 76.4%94th percentile for mostleague avg 48.2%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER5/71 RBssupports OVER
rushing yards per game59.8882.0082.00
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 44.4716 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 40.705 games (last 5)2026 season 82.0092nd percentile for mostleague avg 40.705 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER6/71 RBssupports OVER
yards per carry4.495.645.64
SZN60th percentile for mostleague avg 4.1516 games (2025)93rd percentileleague avg 3.825 games (last 5)2026 season 5.6493rd percentile for mostleague avg 3.825 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER5/66 RBssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
carries allowed to RBs18.317.817.8
SZN3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 311 total3rd percentileleague avg 22.15 games (last 5)2026 season 17.83rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.15 games (2026) · 89 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced20.419.819.8
SZN3rd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 346 total8th percentileleague avg 24.05 games (last 5)2026 season 19.88th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.05 games (2026) · 99 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to RBs78.860.060.0
SZN16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1340 total3rd percentileleague avg 91.35 games (last 5)2026 season 60.03rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.35 games (2026) · 300 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Rushing Attempts: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS TB
RB1s vs TB
Rushing Attempts at 13.5 · Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1
RB1s went over 13.5 carries in 2 of 5 games vs TB · 1 of 4 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | CAR | AT 13.5 | OWN LINE | RUSH YDS | YPC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 16 | over | — | 56 | 3.5 | 1 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 12 | under | 13.5under | 21 | 1.8 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 17 | over | 13.5over | 58 | 3.4 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 8 | under | 9.5under | 42 | 5.3 | 0 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 12 | under | 16.5under | 45 | 3.8 | 1 |
Each past RB1 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1 by today's rushing yards lines. TB has played 5 games; the RB1 was clear in all 5.
Rushing Attempts: Lineup
Rushing Attempts: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Rushing Attempts at 13.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 7 of 19 | 37% |
| 2024 | 16 | 1 of 16 | 6% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| Home | 19 | 5 of 19 | 26% |
| vs LAC | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs BAL | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs KC | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 8 of 17 | 47% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs NE | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs IND | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% |
Rushing Attempts: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 13.5
| Date | Opponent | Rushing Attempts | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | 15 | over |
| Thu, Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | 17 | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | 17 | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | 11 | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | 10 | under |
| Mon, Jan 12, 2026 | vs HOU | 12 | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs BAL | 14 | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ CLE | 12 | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | 14 | over |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | 12 | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | 8 | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | 10 | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ CHI | 18 | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | 10 | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | 14 | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | 16 | over |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | 13 | under |
| Thu, Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | 16 | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | 11 | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | 18 | over |
Rushing Yards
38 games loggedJaylen Warren Rushing Yards · 38 games logged
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 62.5 over his last 20 · over −115 bet365 · under −115 bet365 · prices from
line62.5
62.5
quoted at 62.5: O -115 (bet365) · U -115 (bet365)
9/21@ NE10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND
latest101 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND
62.5
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 62.5 over his last 20
carriesno range set13.4 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 514.0last 1013.4last 2013.4last 3011.7202614.0202513.120247.6all10.9
Rushing Yards: Breakdowns
Jaylen Warren Breakdown · his own data
carries per game13.1914.0014.00
SZN66th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1316 games (2025)69th percentileleague avg 9.905 games (last 5)2026 season 14.0069th percentile for mostleague avg 9.905 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER22/71 RBssupports OVER
yards per carry4.495.645.64
SZN60th percentile for mostleague avg 4.1516 games (2025)93rd percentileleague avg 3.825 games (last 5)2026 season 5.6493rd percentile for mostleague avg 3.825 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER5/66 RBssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
rushing yards allowed to RBs78.860.060.0
SZN16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1340 total3rd percentileleague avg 91.35 games (last 5)2026 season 60.03rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.35 games (2026) · 300 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to RBs18.317.817.8
SZN3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 311 total3rd percentileleague avg 22.15 games (last 5)2026 season 17.83rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.15 games (2026) · 89 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced20.419.819.8
SZN3rd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 346 total8th percentileleague avg 24.05 games (last 5)2026 season 19.88th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.05 games (2026) · 99 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line3.94.04.0
SZN65th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 67 total53rd percentileleague avg 3.95 games (last 5)2026 season 4.053rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.95 games (2026) · 20 totalsupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencesneutralT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Rushing Yards: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS TB
RB1s vs TB
Rushing Yards at 62.5 · Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1
RB1s went over 62.5 rushing yards in 0 of 5 games vs TB · 2 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | RUSH YDS | AT 62.5 | OWN LINE | CAR | YPC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 56 | under | 58.5under | 16 | 3.5 | 1 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 21 | under | 48.5under | 12 | 1.8 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 58 | under | 52.5over | 17 | 3.4 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 42 | under | 31.5over | 8 | 5.3 | 0 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 45 | under | 66.5under | 12 | 3.8 | 1 |
Each past RB1 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1 by today's rushing yards lines. TB has played 5 games; the RB1 was clear in all 5.
Rushing Yards: Lineup
Rushing Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Rushing Yards at 62.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 7 of 19 | 37% |
| 2024 | 16 | 2 of 16 | 13% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| Home | 19 | 4 of 19 | 21% |
| vs LAC | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs BAL | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs KC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| 2025 | 17 | 6 of 17 | 35% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NE | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% |
Rushing Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 62.5
| Date | Opponent | Rushing Yards | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | 101 | over |
| Thu, Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | 93 | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | 127 | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | 43 | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | 46 | under |
| Mon, Jan 12, 2026 | vs HOU | 43 | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs BAL | 66 | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ CLE | 64 | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | 143 | over |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | 33 | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | 13 | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | 35 | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ CHI | 68 | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | 62 | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | 70 | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | 31 | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | 62 | under |
| Thu, Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | 127 | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | 52 | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | 47 | under |
Longest Rush
38 games loggedJaylen Warren Longest Rush · 38 games logged
10 of 20 (50%) cleared 14.5 over his last 20 · over −105 bet365 · under −125 bet365 · prices from
line14.5
14.5
quoted at 14.5: O -105 (bet365) · U -125 (bet365)
9/21@ NE10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND
latest50 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND
14.5
10 of 20 (50%) cleared 14.5 over his last 20
carriesno range set13.4 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 514.0last 1013.4last 2013.4last 3011.7202614.0202513.120247.6all10.9
Longest Rush: Breakdowns
Jaylen Warren Breakdown · his own data
carries per game13.1914.0014.00
SZN66th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1316 games (2025)69th percentileleague avg 9.905 games (last 5)2026 season 14.0069th percentile for mostleague avg 9.905 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER22/71 RBssupports OVER
yards per carry4.495.645.64
SZN60th percentile for mostleague avg 4.1516 games (2025)93rd percentileleague avg 3.825 games (last 5)2026 season 5.6493rd percentile for mostleague avg 3.825 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER5/66 RBssupports OVER
10+ yard runs per game1.441.601.60
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 1.0516 games (2025)80th percentileleague avg 0.925 games (last 5)2026 season 1.6080th percentile for mostleague avg 0.925 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER14/71 RBssupports OVER
snap share50.8%76.4%76.4%
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 49.3%16 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 48.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 76.4%94th percentile for mostleague avg 48.2%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER5/71 RBssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs1.71.21.2
SZN23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 29 total8th percentileleague avg 2.05 games (last 5)2026 season 1.28th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.05 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.50.60.6
SZN53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 8 total66th percentileleague avg 0.45 games (last 5)2026 season 0.666th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.45 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards per carry allowed to RBs4.33.43.4
SZN60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)6th percentileleague avg 4.15 games (last 5)2026 season 3.46th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.15 games (2026)supports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line3.94.04.0
SZN65th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 67 total53rd percentileleague avg 3.95 games (last 5)2026 season 4.053rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.95 games (2026) · 20 totalsupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencesneutralT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Longest Rush: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS TB
RB1s vs TB
Longest Rush at 14.5 · Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1
RB1s went over 14.5 longest rush in 2 of 5 games vs TB · 3 of 4 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | LONG | AT 14.5 | OWN LINE | CAR | RUSH YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 13 | under | — | 16 | 56 | 1 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 9 | under | 11.5under | 12 | 21 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 14 | under | 13.5over | 17 | 58 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 31 | over | 8.5over | 8 | 42 | 0 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 21 | over | 14.5over | 12 | 45 | 1 |
Each past RB1 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1 by today's rushing yards lines. TB has played 5 games; the RB1 was clear in all 5.
Longest Rush: Lineup
Longest Rush: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Rush at 14.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 5 of 19 | 26% |
| 2024 | 16 | 3 of 16 | 19% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| Home | 19 | 8 of 19 | 42% |
| vs LAC | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs KC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| 2025 | 17 | 6 of 17 | 35% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NE | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs GB | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% |
Longest Rush: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 14.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Rush | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | 50 | over |
| Thu, Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | 24 | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | 35 | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | 10 | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | 17 | over |
| Mon, Jan 12, 2026 | vs HOU | 12 | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs BAL | 15 | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ CLE | 15 | over |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | 45 | over |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | 6 | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | 5 | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | 12 | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ CHI | 12 | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | 35 | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | 14 | under |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | 8 | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | 17 | over |
| Thu, Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | 37 | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | 11 | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | 11 | under |
Receptions
38 games loggedJaylen Warren Receptions · 38 games logged
5 of 20 (25%) cleared 3.5 over his last 20 · over +105 bet365 · under −135 bet365 · prices from
line3.5
3.5
quoted at 3.5: O +105 (bet365) · U -135 (bet365)
9/21@ NE10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND
latest6 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND
3.5
5 of 20 (25%) cleared 3.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set3.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 55.2last 103.7last 203.3last 303.520265.220252.720243.3all3.3
Receptions: Breakdowns
Jaylen Warren Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.503.803.80
SZN78th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0016 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 2.035 games (last 5)2026 season 3.8092nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.035 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER6/71 RBssupports OVER
targets per game2.815.205.20
SZN60th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5316 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 2.645 games (last 5)2026 season 5.2092nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.645 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER6/71 RBssupports OVER
target share9.5%15.0%15.0%
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 8.2%16 games (2025)91st percentileleague avg 8.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 15.0%91st percentile for mostleague avg 8.3%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/71 RBssupports OVER
snap share50.8%76.4%76.4%
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 49.3%16 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 48.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 76.4%94th percentile for mostleague avg 48.2%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER5/71 RBssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
receptions allowed to RBs4.75.45.4
SZN71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 79 total90th percentileleague avg 4.45 games (last 5)2026 season 5.490th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.45 games (2026) · 27 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to RBs5.56.26.2
SZN48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 94 total73rd percentileleague avg 5.85 games (last 5)2026 season 6.273rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.85 games (2026) · 31 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed22.322.022.0
SZN81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 379 total63rd percentileleague avg 21.35 games (last 5)2026 season 22.063rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.35 games (2026) · 110 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receptions: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS TB
RB1s vs TB
Receptions at 3.5 · Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1
RB1s went over 3.5 receptions in 3 of 5 games vs TB · 3 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC | AT 3.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 5 | over | 3.5over | 6 | 22 | 1 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 5 | over | 2.5over | 5 | 27 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 5 | over | 1.5over | 6 | 34 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 0 | under | 0.5under | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 2 | under | 2.5under | 3 | 17 | 1 |
Each past RB1 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1 by today's rushing yards lines. TB has played 5 games; the RB1 was clear in all 5.
TEAMMATES VS TB
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receptions
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Rico Dowdle, 3 of 3 games at 1.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle | 1.5 | −135 | 3 of 3 | 3.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receptions: Lineup
Receptions: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receptions at 3.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 10.7% |
| 2024 | 16 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 12.1% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 13.5% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.1% |
| Home | 19 | 6 of 19 | 32% | 11.1% |
| vs LAC | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 5.0% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 12.5% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 8.9% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.1% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 7.7% |
| vs BAL | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 13.7% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 10.9% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 10.1% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 9.5% |
| vs KC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 17.2% |
| 2025 | 17 | 4 of 17 | 24% | 8.6% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 12.5% |
| vs NE | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 16.9% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 9.1% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 12.3% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0.0% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18.2% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.1% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.3% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.2% |
| 2026 | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 14.8% |
Receptions: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 3.5
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | 6 | 20.0% | over |
| Thu, Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | 3 | 15.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | 3 | 12.9% | under |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | 2 | 10.8% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | 5 | 16.2% | over |
| Mon, Jan 12, 2026 | vs HOU | 1 | 3.2% | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs BAL | 5 | 11.4% | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | 2 | 5.3% | under |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | 3 | 11.1% | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | 3 | 9.1% | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | 2 | 18.2% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ CHI | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | 2 | 6.9% | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | 2 | 7.1% | under |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | 2 | 5.7% | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | 2 | 9.1% | under |
| Thu, Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | 4 | 15.2% | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | 2 | 6.9% | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | 5 | 27.3% | over |
Receiving Yards
38 games loggedJaylen Warren Receiving Yards · 38 games logged
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 21.5 over his last 20 · over −135 bet365 · under +105 bet365 · prices from
line21.5
21.5
quoted at 21.5: O -135 (bet365) · U +105 (bet365)
9/21@ NE10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND
latest87 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND
21.5
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 21.5 over his last 20
receptionsno range set2.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 53.8last 103.0last 202.7last 302.820263.820252.420242.6all2.7
Receiving Yards: Breakdowns
Jaylen Warren Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.503.803.80
SZN78th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0016 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 2.035 games (last 5)2026 season 3.8092nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.035 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER6/71 RBssupports OVER
targets per game2.815.205.20
SZN60th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5316 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 2.645 games (last 5)2026 season 5.2092nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.645 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER6/71 RBssupports OVER
target share9.5%15.0%15.0%
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 8.2%16 games (2025)91st percentileleague avg 8.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 15.0%91st percentile for mostleague avg 8.3%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/71 RBssupports OVER
snap share50.8%76.4%76.4%
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 49.3%16 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 48.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 76.4%94th percentile for mostleague avg 48.2%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER5/71 RBssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
receiving yards allowed to RBs50.635.635.6
SZN100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 860 total68th percentileleague avg 30.85 games (last 5)2026 season 35.668th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.85 games (2026) · 178 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to RBs4.75.45.4
SZN71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 79 total90th percentileleague avg 4.45 games (last 5)2026 season 5.490th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.45 games (2026) · 27 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed254.8234.6234.6
SZN84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4332 total55th percentileleague avg 234.35 games (last 5)2026 season 234.655th percentile for most allowedleague avg 234.35 games (2026) · 1173 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencesneutral15/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to RBs50.042.042.0
SZN97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 850 total81st percentileleague avg 33.55 games (last 5)2026 season 42.081st percentile for most allowedleague avg 33.55 games (2026) · 210 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receiving Yards: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS TB
RB1s vs TB
Receiving Yards at 21.5 · Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1
RB1s went over 21.5 receiving yards in 3 of 5 games vs TB · 3 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC YDS | AT 21.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 22 | over | 23.5under | 6 | 5 | 1 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 27 | over | 11.5over | 5 | 5 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 34 | over | 12.5over | 6 | 5 | 0 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 0 | under | 4.5under | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 17 | under | 14.5over | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Each past RB1 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1 by today's rushing yards lines. TB has played 5 games; the RB1 was clear in all 5.
TEAMMATES VS TB
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving Yards
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Rico Dowdle, 3 of 3 games at 8.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle | 8.5 | −115 | 3 of 3 | 20.7 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receiving Yards: Lineup
Receiving Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receiving Yards at 21.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 10.7% |
| 2024 | 16 | 6 of 16 | 38% | 12.1% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 13.5% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.1% |
| Home | 19 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 11.1% |
| vs LAC | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 5.0% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 12.5% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 8.9% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.1% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 7.7% |
| vs BAL | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 13.7% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 10.9% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 10.1% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 9.5% |
| vs KC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 17.2% |
| 2025 | 17 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 8.6% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 12.5% |
| vs NE | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 16.9% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 9.1% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 12.3% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0.0% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18.2% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.1% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.3% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.2% |
| 2026 | 5 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 14.8% |
Receiving Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 21.5
| Date | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | 87 | 20.0% | over |
| Thu, Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | 33 | 15.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | 49 | 12.9% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | 34 | 10.8% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | 27 | 16.2% | over |
| Mon, Jan 12, 2026 | vs HOU | 4 | 3.2% | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs BAL | 33 | 11.4% | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | 8 | 5.3% | under |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | 15 | 11.1% | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | 49 | 9.1% | over |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | 9 | 18.2% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ CHI | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | 5 | 6.9% | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | 21 | 7.1% | under |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | -2 | 5.7% | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | 11 | 9.1% | under |
| Thu, Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | 31 | 15.2% | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | 11 | 6.9% | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | 34 | 27.3% | over |
Longest Reception
38 games loggedJaylen Warren Longest Reception · 38 games logged
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 13.5 over his last 20 · over −115 bet365 · under −115 bet365 · prices from
line13.5
13.5
quoted at 13.5: O -115 (bet365) · U -115 (bet365)
9/21@ NE10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND
latest80 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND
13.5
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 13.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set3.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 55.2last 103.7last 203.3last 303.520265.220252.720243.3all3.3
Longest Reception: Breakdowns
Jaylen Warren Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.503.803.80
SZN78th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0016 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 2.035 games (last 5)2026 season 3.8092nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.035 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER6/71 RBssupports OVER
yards per catch7.6112.8512.85
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 7.3814 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 6.835 games (last 5)2026 season 12.8592nd percentile for mostleague avg 6.835 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER6/70 RBssupports OVER
air yards per target-2.55-1.50-1.50
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg -0.1014 games (2025)21st percentileleague avg 0.255 games (last 5)2026 season -1.5021st percentile for mostleague avg 0.255 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER56/70 RBssupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.120.600.60
SZN58th percentile for mostleague avg 0.1316 games (2025)96th percentileleague avg 0.125 games (last 5)2026 season 0.6096th percentile for mostleague avg 0.125 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/71 RBssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.80.00.0
SZN100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 14 total16th percentileleague avg 0.25 games (last 5)2026 season 0.016th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.25 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.20.00.0
SZN97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 4 total34th percentileleague avg 0.15 games (last 5)2026 season 0.034th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.15 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.60.60.6
SZN89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 total58th percentileleague avg 0.65 games (last 5)2026 season 0.658th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.65 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencesneutralT-9/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to RBs50.042.042.0
SZN97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 850 total81st percentileleague avg 33.55 games (last 5)2026 season 42.081st percentile for most allowedleague avg 33.55 games (2026) · 210 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced257.4227.4227.4
SZN74th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4375 total39th percentileleague avg 253.95 games (last 5)2026 season 227.439th percentile for most facedleague avg 253.95 games (2026) · 1137 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Longest Reception: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS TB
RB1s vs TB
Longest Reception at 13.5 · Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1
RB1s went over 13.5 longest reception in 0 of 5 games vs TB · 3 of 4 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | LONG | AT 13.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 9 | under | — | 6 | 5 | 22 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 13 | under | 7.5over | 5 | 5 | 27 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 12 | under | 8.5over | 6 | 5 | 34 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 0 | under | 3.5under | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 9 | under | 8.5over | 3 | 2 | 17 |
Each past RB1 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1 by today's rushing yards lines. TB has played 5 games; the RB1 was clear in all 5.
TEAMMATES VS TB
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Longest Reception
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Rico Dowdle, 3 of 3 games at 7.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle | 7.5 | −110 | 3 of 3 | 14.3 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Longest Reception: Lineup
Longest Reception: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Reception at 13.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 10.7% |
| 2024 | 16 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 12.1% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 13.5% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.1% |
| Home | 19 | 7 of 19 | 37% | 11.1% |
| vs LAC | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 5.0% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 12.5% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 8.9% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.1% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 7.7% |
| vs BAL | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 13.7% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 10.9% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 10.1% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 9.5% |
| vs KC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 17.2% |
| 2025 | 17 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 8.6% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 12.5% |
| vs NE | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 16.9% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 9.1% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 12.3% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0.0% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 18.2% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.1% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.3% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3.2% |
| 2026 | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 14.8% |
Longest Reception: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 13.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Reception | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | 80 | 20.0% | over |
| Thu, Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | 13 | 15.0% | under |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | 30 | 12.9% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | 26 | 10.8% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | 18 | 16.2% | over |
| Mon, Jan 12, 2026 | vs HOU | 4 | 3.2% | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs BAL | 17 | 11.4% | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | 6 | 5.3% | under |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | 10 | 11.1% | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | 38 | 9.1% | over |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | 7 | 18.2% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ CHI | 0 | 0.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | 6 | 6.9% | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | 18 | 7.1% | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | 0 | 5.7% | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | 11 | 9.1% | under |
| Thu, Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | 15 | 15.2% | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | 6 | 6.9% | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | 15 | 27.3% | over |
Rush + Rec Yards
38 games loggedJaylen Warren Rush + Rec Yards · 38 games logged
7 of 20 (35%) cleared 88.5 over his last 20 · over −115 bet365 · under −115 bet365 · prices from
line88.5
88.5
quoted at 88.5: O -115 (bet365) · U -115 (bet365)
9/21@ NE10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND
latest188 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND
88.5
7 of 20 (35%) cleared 88.5 over his last 20
touchesno range set16.1 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 517.8last 1016.4last 2016.1last 3014.5202617.8202515.5202410.3all13.6
Rush + Rec Yards: Breakdowns
Jaylen Warren Breakdown · his own data
touches per game15.6917.8017.80
SZN66th percentile for mostleague avg 12.1316 games (2025)75th percentileleague avg 11.945 games (last 5)2026 season 17.8075th percentile for mostleague avg 11.945 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER18/71 RBssupports OVER
carries per game13.1914.0014.00
SZN66th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1316 games (2025)69th percentileleague avg 9.905 games (last 5)2026 season 14.0069th percentile for mostleague avg 9.905 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER22/71 RBssupports OVER
targets per game2.815.205.20
SZN60th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5316 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 2.645 games (last 5)2026 season 5.2092nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.645 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER6/71 RBssupports OVER
snap share50.8%76.4%76.4%
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 49.3%16 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 48.2%5 games (last 5)2026 season 76.4%94th percentile for mostleague avg 48.2%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER5/71 RBssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
rushing yards allowed to RBs78.860.060.0
SZN16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1340 total3rd percentileleague avg 91.35 games (last 5)2026 season 60.03rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.35 games (2026) · 300 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed to RBs50.635.635.6
SZN100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 860 total68th percentileleague avg 30.85 games (last 5)2026 season 35.668th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.85 games (2026) · 178 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed99.172.872.8
SZN13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 116.917 games (2025) · 1684 total3rd percentileleague avg 112.35 games (last 5)2026 season 72.83rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 112.35 games (2026) · 364 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs50.042.042.0
SZN97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 850 total81st percentileleague avg 33.55 games (last 5)2026 season 42.081st percentile for most allowedleague avg 33.55 games (2026) · 210 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Rush + Rec Yards: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS TB
RB1s vs TB
Rush + Rec Yards at 88.5 · Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1
RB1s went over 88.5 rush + rec yards in 1 of 5 games vs TB · 1 of 4 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | R+R YDS | AT 88.5 | OWN LINE | CAR | RUSH YDS | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 78 | under | — | 16 | 56 | 6 | 5 | 22 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 48 | under | 64.5under | 12 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 27 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | 92 | over | 69.5over | 17 | 58 | 6 | 5 | 34 | |
| 10/4 | GB | 42 | under | 43.5under | 8 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 62 | under | 85.5under | 12 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
Each past RB1 is set by the rushing yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Jaylen Warren is PIT's RB1 by today's rushing yards lines. TB has played 5 games; the RB1 was clear in all 5.
Rush + Rec Yards: Lineup
Rush + Rec Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Rush + Rec Yards at 88.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 19 | 6 of 19 | 32% |
| 2024 | 16 | 3 of 16 | 19% |
| vs ATL | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| Home | 19 | 5 of 19 | 26% |
| vs LAC | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs BAL | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% |
| vs CLE | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CIN | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs KC | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| 2025 | 17 | 5 of 17 | 29% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs NE | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs IND | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs HOU | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% |
Rush + Rec Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 88.5
| Date | Opponent | Rush + Rec Yards | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | vs IND | 188 | over |
| Thu, Oct 1, 2026 | @ CLE | 126 | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs CIN | 176 | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ NE | 77 | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs ATL | 73 | under |
| Mon, Jan 12, 2026 | vs HOU | 47 | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs BAL | 99 | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ CLE | 64 | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | @ DET | 151 | over |
| Mon, Dec 15, 2025 | vs MIA | 48 | under |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ BAL | 62 | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs BUF | 44 | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | @ CHI | 68 | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | vs CIN | 67 | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | @ LAC | 91 | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | vs IND | 29 | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs GB | 73 | under |
| Thu, Oct 16, 2025 | @ CIN | 158 | over |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs CLE | 63 | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | @ NE | 81 | under |
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