Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 5:06 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Joshua Palmer

BUFNew England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM

Palmer on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.25red zone targets per game 0.50receptions per game 1.83

Anytime TD

29 games logged

line0.5

NE · what this defence allows

TDs allowed to WRs1.11.11.3

82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 18 totalseason 1.1no per-play form for this stat81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

red zone targets allowed to WRs1.91.93.3

23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 totalseason 1.9no per-play form for this stat82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

touchdowns allowed2.12.12.0

26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 36 totalseason 2.1no per-play form for this stat35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER

Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs NE0/3 with a touchdown

date	RZ	touch	rec yds
12/14'25	0	1	16
10/06'25	0	2	36
12/28'24	1	4	41

Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data

red zone touches per game0.250.20

SZN

38th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3612 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.25 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER

red zone targets per game0.500.40

SZN

41st percentile for mostleague avg 0.6312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 30th pctseason 0.50 (41st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER

receptions per game1.831.00

SZN

29th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8912 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 1.83 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER

0.5line

OVER+700Bally Betat 0.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing