These are the prices from a snapshot taken at 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4. Nothing has been re-pulled since. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Joshua Palmer
BUFNew England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM
Palmer on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.25red zone targets per game 0.50receptions per game 1.83
Anytime TD
29 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
NE · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs1.11.11.3
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 18 totalseason 1.1no per-play form for this stat81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.91.93.3
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 totalseason 1.9no per-play form for this stat82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.12.12.0
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 36 totalseason 2.1no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs NE0/3 with a touchdown
| date | RZ | touch | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| 10/06'25 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 0 |
| 12/28'24 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 0 |
Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.250.20
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3612 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.25 (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.500.40
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 0.6412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.50 (41st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.831.00
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9012 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 1.83 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+650FanDuelat 0.5
Longest Reception
29 games loggedline6.5
targets
NE · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.616.7%1.0
18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 28 totalvs per completion · 31st pct · T-22 of 32season 1.6 (18th)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.23 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.54.8%0.3
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 0.5 (10th)17 games11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.21.8%0.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 3 totalvs per completion · 15th pct · T-27 of 32season 0.2 (13th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-16/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs35.93.647.0
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 610 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 35.9 (3rd)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.93 games (2026) · 141 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced223.77.6172.7
35th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3803 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 223.7 (35th)17 games0th percentile for most facedleague avg 249.83 games (2026) · 518 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs NE3/3 over 6.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 |
| 10/06'25 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 23 |
| 12/28'24 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 19 |
Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.831.00
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9012 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 1.83 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch12.6018.40
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 12.8812 games (2025)vs last 5 · 94th pctseason 12.60 (52nd)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
air yards per target10.7610.43
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 11.1612 games (2025)vs last 5 · 44th pctseason 10.76 (44th)5 gamesneutralneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.330.40
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 0.33 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
6.5line
OVER-115bet365at 6.5
UNDER-115bet365at 6.5
19.5line
OVER+350bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+650bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+900bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
29 games loggedline6.5
receptions
NE · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs119.512.1125.7
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2031 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 119.5 (16th)17 games26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.33 games (2026) · 377 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs9.963.2%12.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 168 totalvs per target · 66th pct · T-11 of 32season 9.9 (19th)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 37 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed206.610.0189.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3512 totalvs per reception · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 206.6 (26th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 232.23 games (2026) · 569 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs35.93.647.0
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 610 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 35.9 (3rd)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.93 games (2026) · 141 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs NE3/3 over 6.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7.7% |
| 10/06'25 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 6.7% |
| 12/28'24 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 15% |
Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.831.00
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9012 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 1.83 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game3.082.20
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6912 games (2025)vs last 5 · 11th pctseason 3.08 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share10.0%7.8%
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 15.2%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 10.0% (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share48.3%54.6%
SZN24th percentile for mostleague avg 61.9%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 37th pctseason 48.3% (24th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
6.5line
OVER-115bet365at 6.5
UNDER-115bet365at 6.5
19.5line
OVER+225bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+400bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+650bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+850bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 59.5
Receptions
29 games loggedline0.5
targets
NE · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs9.963.2%12.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 168 totalvs per target · 66th pct · T-11 of 32season 9.9 (19th)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 37 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs15.715.719.0
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 266 totalseason 15.7no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 57 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed20.620.619.7
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 350 totalseason 20.6no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.03 games (2026) · 59 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs NE3/3 over 0.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7.7% |
| 10/06'25 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 6.7% |
| 12/28'24 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 15% |
Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.831.00
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9012 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 1.83 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game3.082.20
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6912 games (2025)vs last 5 · 11th pctseason 3.08 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share10.0%7.8%
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 15.2%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 10.0% (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share48.3%54.6%
SZN24th percentile for mostleague avg 61.9%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 37th pctseason 48.3% (24th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-165bet365at 0.5
UNDER+130bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+275bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+800bet365at 2.5
Rush + Rec Yards
29 games loggedline6.5
touches
NE · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs119.512.1125.7
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2031 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 119.5 (16th)17 games26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.33 games (2026) · 377 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs8.88.80.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 149 totalvs per carry · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 8.8 (100th)17 games21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.33 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed206.610.0189.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3512 totalvs per reception · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 206.6 (26th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 232.23 games (2026) · 569 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs35.93.647.0
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 610 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 35.9 (3rd)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.93 games (2026) · 141 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJoshua Palmer vs NE3/3 over 6.5
| date | rec | rec yds | rush+rec |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 1 | 16 | 16 |
| 10/06'25 | 2 | 36 | 36 |
| 12/28'24 | 4 | 41 | 41 |
Joshua Palmer Breakdown · his own data
touches per game1.831.00
no comparison available12 games (2025)vs last 5season 1.835 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game3.082.20
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6912 games (2025)vs last 5 · 11th pctseason 3.08 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share48.3%54.6%
SZN24th percentile for mostleague avg 61.9%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 37th pctseason 48.3% (24th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
6.5line
OVER-115bet365at 6.5
UNDER-115bet365at 6.5
49.5line
OVER+850bet365at 49.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4 · not live pricing