Michael King
SDSan Diego Padres @ Milwaukee BrewersSun 4:00 PMAmerican Family Field
Strikeouts
33 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 476 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 7.50 | 2.06 | .219 |
| vs RHB | 281 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 8.33 | 2.70 | .224 |
| home | 354 | 22% | 9.3% | 7.92 | 2.36 | .212 |
| away ● | 403 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 7.57 | 2.19 | .229 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that fans 3 points above league average is worth more to a strikeout line than any recent-form streak.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 '26 | 5.2 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | under |
| Jun 23 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | over |
| Apr 17 '24 | 7.2 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Sep 9 '23 | 5.0 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | over |
4 career games against them · they have hit .228/.276/.293 off him · 98 plate appearances · 3 of 4 went over 5.5
| G | IP | K | K/G | H | over 5.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road ● | 17 | 96.1 | 81 | 4.76 | 82 | 29% (5/17) |
| at home | 16 | 95.2 | 86 | 5.38 | 67 | 44% (7/16) |
| season | 33 | 192.0 | 167 | 5.06 | 149 | 36% (12/33) |
● tonight's split
30% boost-192350% boost-1667
30% boost-59250% boost-513
30% boost-25950% boost-225
30% boost+12550% boost+144
30% boost-12550% boost-108
30% boost+18250% boost+210
30% boost+18750% boost+216
30% boost-10850% boost+106
30% boost+31950% boost+368
30% boost-27350% boost-237
30% boost+61850% boost+712
30% boost-77850% boost-674
30% boost+130050% boost+1500
30% boost+390050% boost+4500
30% boost+390050% boost+4500
Outs
33 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 476 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 7.50 | 2.06 | .219 |
| vs RHB | 281 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 8.33 | 2.70 | .224 |
| home | 354 | 22% | 9.3% | 7.92 | 2.36 | .212 |
| away ● | 403 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 7.57 | 2.19 | .229 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. Walks and crooked numbers end outings early; quick outs extend them.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 '26 | 5.2 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Jun 23 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | over |
| Apr 17 '24 | 7.2 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Sep 9 '23 | 5.0 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | under |
4 career games against them · they have hit .228/.276/.293 off him · 98 plate appearances · 3 of 4 went over 15.5
| G | outs | IP | outs/G | ER | over 15.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road ● | 17 | 289 | 96.1 | 17.00 | 39 | 71% (12/17) |
| at home | 16 | 287 | 95.2 | 17.94 | 27 | 81% (13/16) |
| season | 33 | 576 | 192.0 | 17.45 | 66 | 76% (25/33) |
● tonight's split
- the over has hit 89% blended (L10 90%, season 88%) against a 53% priced probability
- recent form and season agree (90% vs 88%) - the read does not depend on a streak
basis: 33 starts this season
30% boost+10450% boost+120
30% boost+15950% boost+183
- the over has hit 84% blended (L10 90%, season 76%) against a 43% priced probability
basis: 33 starts this season
30% boost+19150% boost+220
30% boost-10750% boost+108
Hits Allowed
33 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 476 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 7.50 | 2.06 | .219 |
| vs RHB | 281 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 8.33 | 2.70 | .224 |
| home | 354 | 22% | 9.3% | 7.92 | 2.36 | .212 |
| away ● | 403 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 7.57 | 2.19 | .229 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. A lineup that rarely fans puts more balls in play, and balls in play become hits.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 '26 | 5.2 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | over |
| Jun 23 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | over |
| Apr 17 '24 | 7.2 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | under |
| Sep 9 '23 | 5.0 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | under |
4 career games against them · they have hit .228/.276/.293 off him · 98 plate appearances · 2 of 4 went over 4.5
| G | IP | H | H/G | K | over 4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road ● | 17 | 96.1 | 82 | 4.82 | 81 | 59% (10/17) |
| at home | 16 | 95.2 | 67 | 4.19 | 86 | 44% (7/16) |
| season | 33 | 192.0 | 149 | 4.52 | 167 | 52% (17/33) |
● tonight's split
30% boost+16950% boost+195
30% boost-11350% boost+102
Earned Runs
33 games logged| BF | K% | BB% | K/9 | K:BB | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 476 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 7.50 | 2.06 | .219 |
| vs RHB | 281 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 8.33 | 2.70 | .224 |
| home | 354 | 22% | 9.3% | 7.92 | 2.36 | .212 |
| away ● | 403 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 7.57 | 2.19 | .229 |
Season lines from MLB's own splits, with the sample attached. How a lineup scores - and how often it leaves the yard - is most of an earned-run line.
| when | IP | outs | K | H | ER | BB | HR | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 '26 | 5.2 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | under |
| Jun 23 '24 | 6.0 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | over |
| Apr 17 '24 | 7.2 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | under |
| Sep 9 '23 | 5.0 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | under |
4 career games against them · they have hit .228/.276/.293 off him · 98 plate appearances · 1 of 4 went over 1.5
| G | IP | ER | ERA | H | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road ● | 17 | 96.1 | 39 | 3.64 | 82 | 71% (12/17) |
| at home | 16 | 95.2 | 27 | 2.54 | 67 | 38% (6/16) |
| season | 33 | 192.0 | 66 | 3.09 | 149 | 55% (18/33) |
● tonight's split
30% boost+10050% boost+115
30% boost+15050% boost+172
Runs
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road ● | 17 | — | — | — | — | — |
| at home | 16 | — | — | — | — | — |
| season | 33 | — | — | — | — | — |
● tonight's split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| vs LHP | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| on the road ● | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| at home | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| season | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
30% boost+10250% boost+117
30% boost+13850% boost+159
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