Prices pulled at 10:16 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 15. bet365 refreshed separately at 5:09 PM EDT.

Michael Mayer

LV · NFLTEBUF @ LVSun 4:25 PM
FacingBuffalo Billsdefence29.6 receiving yards allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks 32 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 10:16 AM ET

Anytime TD

29 games logged

Michael Mayer Anytime TD · 29 games logged

2 of 20 (10%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +320 BetMGM · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0

quoted at 0.5: O +320 (BetMGM) · no under

12/29@ NO1/5vs LAC9/7@ NE9/15vs LAC9/21@ WAS10/12vs TEN10/19@ KC11/2vs JAX11/6@ DEN11/17vs DAL11/23vs CLE12/14@ PHI12/21@ HOU12/28vs NYG1/4vs KC9/13vs MIA9/20@ LAC9/27@ NO10/4vs KC10/11@ NE

latest0 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ NE

TD

2 of 20 (10%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.2last 100.2last 200.320260.220250.420240.4all0.3
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 0.0% · 0 of 61 gameL5: 2.6% · 1 of 385 gamesL10: 3.7% · 2 of 549 of 10 games2026: 2.6% · 1 of 385 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Michael Mayer Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.380.200.20
SZN
61st percentile for mostleague avg 0.3513 games (2025)40th percentileleague avg 0.355 games (last 5)2026 season 0.2040th percentile for mostleague avg 0.355 games (2026)supports OVERsupports UNDER46/86 TEssupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.460.400.40
SZN
54th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5213 games (2025)52nd percentileleague avg 0.495 games (last 5)2026 season 0.4052nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.495 games (2026)neutralneutral37/86 TEsneutral
receptions per game2.694.204.20
SZN
64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2013 games (2025)88th percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 4.2088th percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER10/86 TEssupports OVER
red zone target share14.6%7.4%7.4%
SZN
66th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%11 games with red zone data (2025)40th percentileleague avg 11.0%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 7.4%40th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.0%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER29/85 TEssupports UNDER52/86 TEssupports UNDER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%11 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.2%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/85 TEsneutral5/86 TEsneutral
red zone touch share8.6%2.6%2.6%
SZN
79th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%11 games with red zone data (2025)40th percentileleague avg 4.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 2.6%40th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER18/85 TEssupports UNDER52/86 TEssupports UNDER
BUF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.30.20.2
SZN
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 5 total27th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.227th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.55 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.21.01.0
SZN
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 20 total40th percentileleague avg 1.25 games (last 5)2026 season 1.040th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.25 games (2026) · 5 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-16/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.53.63.6
SZN
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 total92nd percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.692nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Receptions

29 games logged

Michael Mayer Receptions · 29 games logged

12 of 20 (60%) cleared 2.5 over his last 20 · over −162 betPARX · under +135 bet365 · pull times beside each book

line2.5
2.5
1
4
4
2
0
5
1
3
3
3
1
0
1
9
3
6
3
3
8
1

quoted at 2.5: O -162 (betPARX) · U +135 (bet365)

12/29@ NO1/5vs LAC9/7@ NE9/15vs LAC9/21@ WAS10/12vs TEN10/19@ KC11/2vs JAX11/6@ DEN11/17vs DAL11/23vs CLE12/14@ PHI12/21@ HOU12/28vs NYG1/4vs KC9/13vs MIA9/20@ LAC9/27@ NO10/4vs KC10/11@ NE

latest1 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ NE

2.5

12 of 20 (60%) cleared 2.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set4.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 55.0last 104.4last 204.020265.020253.820242.9all3.7

Receptions: Breakdowns

Michael Mayer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.694.204.20
SZN
64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2013 games (2025)88th percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 4.2088th percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER10/86 TEssupports OVER
targets per game3.855.005.00
SZN
67th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0313 games (2025)79th percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 5.0079th percentile for mostleague avg 2.965 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER18/86 TEssupports OVER
target share13.7%14.2%14.2%
SZN
67th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%13 games (2025)74th percentileleague avg 9.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 14.2%74th percentile for mostleague avg 9.3%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/86 TEssupports OVER
snap share61.8%81.0%81.0%
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%13 games (2025)90th percentileleague avg 53.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 81.0%90th percentile for mostleague avg 53.5%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER9/86 TEssupports OVER
BUF · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs2.75.65.6
SZN
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 46 total58th percentileleague avg 5.45 games (last 5)2026 season 5.658th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.45 games (2026) · 28 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencesneutral14/32 NFL defencesneutral
targets allowed to TEs4.57.87.8
SZN
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 77 total58th percentileleague avg 7.65 games (last 5)2026 season 7.858th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.65 games (2026) · 39 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencesneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed16.326.826.8
SZN
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 277 total97th percentileleague avg 21.35 games (last 5)2026 season 26.897th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.35 games (2026) · 134 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Receiving Yards

29 games logged

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards · 29 games logged

7 of 20 (35%) cleared 27.5 over his last 20 · over −110 theScore Bet · under −110 BetOnline · prices from

line27.5
27.5
14
21
38
9
0
50
10
26
22
13
14
0
10
89
47
32
23
32
82
2

quoted at 27.5: O -110 (theScore Bet) · U -110 (BetOnline.ag)

12/29@ NO1/5vs LAC9/7@ NE9/15vs LAC9/21@ WAS10/12vs TEN10/19@ KC11/2vs JAX11/6@ DEN11/17vs DAL11/23vs CLE12/14@ PHI12/21@ HOU12/28vs NYG1/4vs KC9/13vs MIA9/20@ LAC9/27@ NO10/4vs KC10/11@ NE

latest2 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ NE

27.5

7 of 20 (35%) cleared 27.5 over his last 20

receptionsno range set3.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 54.2last 103.5last 203.020264.220252.720241.9all2.7

Receiving Yards: Breakdowns

Michael Mayer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.694.204.20
SZN
64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2013 games (2025)88th percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 4.2088th percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER10/86 TEssupports OVER
targets per game3.855.005.00
SZN
67th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0313 games (2025)79th percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 5.0079th percentile for mostleague avg 2.965 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER18/86 TEssupports OVER
target share13.7%14.2%14.2%
SZN
67th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%13 games (2025)74th percentileleague avg 9.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 14.2%74th percentile for mostleague avg 9.3%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/86 TEssupports OVER
snap share61.8%81.0%81.0%
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%13 games (2025)90th percentileleague avg 53.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 81.0%90th percentile for mostleague avg 53.5%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER9/86 TEssupports OVER
BUF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs29.660.060.0
SZN
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 504 total71st percentileleague avg 53.55 games (last 5)2026 season 60.071st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.55 games (2026) · 300 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs2.75.65.6
SZN
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 46 total58th percentileleague avg 5.45 games (last 5)2026 season 5.658th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.45 games (2026) · 28 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencesneutral14/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed170.2295.8295.8
SZN
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 2894 total97th percentileleague avg 234.35 games (last 5)2026 season 295.897th percentile for most allowedleague avg 234.35 games (2026) · 1479 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs12.928.028.0
SZN
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 220 total65th percentileleague avg 26.25 games (last 5)2026 season 28.065th percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.25 games (2026) · 140 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Other markets

Michael Mayer, every other prop for this game

Anytime TD
last 10 1 of 10 (10%) · last 20 2 of 20 (10%)
Yes +320
show
Receptions2.5
last 10 6 of 10 (60%) · last 20 12 of 20 (60%)
O −162 · U +135
show
O 27.5 −110 theScore Bet · U 27.5 −110 BetOnlineprices from