Prices pulled at 10:16 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 15. bet365 refreshed separately at 4:00 PM EDT.

Pat Freiermuth

PIT · NFLTEPIT @ TBSun 1:00 PM
FacingTampa Bay Buccaneersdefence56.6 receiving yards allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks 13 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 10:16 AM ET

Anytime TD

41 games logged

Pat Freiermuth Anytime TD · 41 games logged

6 of 20 (30%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +350 Bally Bet · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2

quoted at 0.5: O +350 (Bally Bet) · no under

9/28vs MIN10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND

latest2 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND

TD

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 51.0last 100.5last 200.5last 300.520261.020250.320240.7all0.5
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 66.7% · 2 of 31 gameL5: 23.8% · 5 of 214 of 5 gamesL10: 8.8% · 5 of 579 of 10 games2026: 23.8% · 5 of 214 of 5 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Pat Freiermuth Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.291.001.00
SZN
49th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3517 games (2025)93rd percentileleague avg 0.355 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0093rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.355 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER5/86 TEssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.531.001.00
SZN
61st percentile for mostleague avg 0.5217 games (2025)87th percentileleague avg 0.495 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0087th percentile for mostleague avg 0.495 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER10/86 TEssupports OVER
receptions per game2.413.803.80
SZN
59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)82nd percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 3.8082nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER16/86 TEssupports OVER
red zone target share11.5%23.8%23.8%
SZN
56th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%17 games with red zone data (2025)88th percentileleague avg 11.0%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 23.8%88th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.0%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT38/85 TEssupports OVER11/86 TEssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%16 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.2%3 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.2%3 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/85 TEsneutral5/86 TEsneutral
red zone touch share3.8%23.8%23.8%
SZN
54th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%17 games with red zone data (2025)98th percentileleague avg 4.7%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 23.8%98th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%4 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT39/85 TEssupports OVER2/86 TEssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.70.60.6
SZN
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 12 total65th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.665th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.55 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.11.41.4
SZN
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 19 total71st percentileleague avg 1.25 games (last 5)2026 season 1.471st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.25 games (2026) · 7 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.71.81.8
SZN
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 total15th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.815th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
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Receptions

41 games logged

Pat Freiermuth Receptions · 41 games logged

5 of 20 (25%) cleared 3.5 over his last 20 · over +130 bet365 · under −130 BetOnline · pull times beside each book

line3.5
3.5
0
1
5
3
3
3
1
3
0
2
3
4
3
3
1
5
4
2
3
5

quoted at 3.5: O +130 (bet365) · U -130 (BetOnline.ag)

9/28vs MIN10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND

latest5 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND

3.5

5 of 20 (25%) cleared 3.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set3.6 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 55.2last 104.8last 203.6last 304.220265.220253.220244.6all4.0

Receptions: Breakdowns

Pat Freiermuth Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.413.803.80
SZN
59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)82nd percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 3.8082nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER16/86 TEssupports OVER
targets per game3.185.205.20
SZN
59th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0317 games (2025)81st percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 5.2081st percentile for mostleague avg 2.965 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER16/86 TEssupports OVER
target share9.9%15.1%15.1%
SZN
56th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%17 games (2025)77th percentileleague avg 9.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 15.1%77th percentile for mostleague avg 9.3%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER20/86 TEssupports OVER
snap share50.4%68.4%68.4%
SZN
48th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%17 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 53.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 68.4%78th percentile for mostleague avg 53.5%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER19/86 TEssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.86.06.0
SZN
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 99 total69th percentileleague avg 5.45 games (last 5)2026 season 6.069th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.45 games (2026) · 30 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to TEs7.68.48.4
SZN
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 129 total74th percentileleague avg 7.65 games (last 5)2026 season 8.474th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.65 games (2026) · 42 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed22.322.022.0
SZN
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 379 total63rd percentileleague avg 21.35 games (last 5)2026 season 22.063rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.35 games (2026) · 110 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Receiving Yards

41 games logged

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards · 41 games logged

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 36.5 over his last 20 · over −114 FanDuel · under −111 BetMGM · prices from

line36.5
36.5
0
11
111
13
27
33
19
19
0
9
45
20
63
51
18
46
32
30
17
44

quoted at 36.5: O -114 (FanDuel) · U -111 (BetMGM)

9/28vs MIN10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND

latest44 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND

36.5

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 36.5 over his last 20

receptionsno range set2.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 53.8last 103.3last 202.7last 303.120263.820252.320243.8all3.1

Receiving Yards: Breakdowns

Pat Freiermuth Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.413.803.80
SZN
59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)82nd percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 3.8082nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER16/86 TEssupports OVER
targets per game3.185.205.20
SZN
59th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0317 games (2025)81st percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 5.2081st percentile for mostleague avg 2.965 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER16/86 TEssupports OVER
target share9.9%15.1%15.1%
SZN
56th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%17 games (2025)77th percentileleague avg 9.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 15.1%77th percentile for mostleague avg 9.3%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER20/86 TEssupports OVER
snap share50.4%68.4%68.4%
SZN
48th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%17 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 53.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 68.4%78th percentile for mostleague avg 53.5%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER19/86 TEssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs56.660.260.2
SZN
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 963 total74th percentileleague avg 53.55 games (last 5)2026 season 60.274th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.55 games (2026) · 301 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs5.86.06.0
SZN
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 99 total69th percentileleague avg 5.45 games (last 5)2026 season 6.069th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.45 games (2026) · 30 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed254.8234.6234.6
SZN
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4332 total55th percentileleague avg 234.35 games (last 5)2026 season 234.655th percentile for most allowedleague avg 234.35 games (2026) · 1173 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencesneutral15/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to TEs28.334.834.8
SZN
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 481 total82nd percentileleague avg 26.25 games (last 5)2026 season 34.882nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.25 games (2026) · 174 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Longest Reception

41 games logged

Pat Freiermuth Longest Reception · 41 games logged

9 of 20 (45%) cleared 16.5 over his last 20 · over −115 Fliff · under −115 Hard Rock Bet · prices from

line16.5
16.5
0
11
68
6
12
15
19
14
0
6
22
11
29
31
18
19
9
22
9
17

quoted at 16.5: O -115 (Fliff) · U -115 (Hard Rock Bet)

9/28vs MIN10/12vs CLE10/16@ CIN10/26vs GB11/2vs IND11/9@ LAC11/16vs CIN11/23@ CHI11/30vs BUF12/7@ BAL12/15vs MIA12/21@ DET12/28@ CLE1/4vs BAL1/12vs HOU9/13vs ATL9/20@ NE9/27vs CIN10/1@ CLE10/11vs IND

latest17 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · vs IND

16.5

9 of 20 (45%) cleared 16.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set3.6 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 55.2last 104.8last 203.6last 304.220265.220253.220244.6all4.0

Longest Reception: Breakdowns

Pat Freiermuth Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.413.803.80
SZN
59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)82nd percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 3.8082nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER16/86 TEssupports OVER
yards per catch11.409.339.33
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 10.0815 games (2025)49th percentileleague avg 9.435 games (last 5)2026 season 9.3349th percentile for mostleague avg 9.435 games (2026)supports OVERneutral44/85 TEsneutral
air yards per target5.218.798.79
SZN
45th percentile for mostleague avg 5.7815 games (2025)84th percentileleague avg 5.845 games (last 5)2026 season 8.7984th percentile for mostleague avg 5.845 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER14/86 TEssupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.400.200.20
SZN
72nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.2915 games (2025)57th percentileleague avg 0.245 games (last 5)2026 season 0.2057th percentile for mostleague avg 0.245 games (2026)supports OVERneutral32/86 TEsneutral
TB · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.30.80.8
SZN
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 6 total79th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.879th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.55 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.10.00.0
SZN
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 total27th percentileleague avg 0.25 games (last 5)2026 season 0.027th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.25 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.60.60.6
SZN
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 total58th percentileleague avg 0.65 games (last 5)2026 season 0.658th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.65 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencesneutralT-9/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to TEs28.334.834.8
SZN
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 481 total82nd percentileleague avg 26.25 games (last 5)2026 season 34.882nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.25 games (2026) · 174 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced257.4227.4227.4
SZN
74th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4375 total39th percentileleague avg 253.95 games (last 5)2026 season 227.439th percentile for most facedleague avg 253.95 games (2026) · 1137 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
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Other markets

Pat Freiermuth, every other prop for this game

Anytime TD
last 10 3 of 10 (30%) · last 20 6 of 20 (30%)
Yes +350
show
Receptions3.5
last 10 4 of 10 (40%) · last 20 5 of 20 (25%)
O +130 · U −130
show
Longest Reception16.5
last 10 7 of 10 (70%) · last 20 9 of 20 (45%)
O −115 · U −115
show
O 36.5 −114 FanDuel · U 36.5 −111 BetMGMprices from