Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 12:21 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Sione Vaki
DETDetroit Lions @ Carolina PanthersSun 8:20 PM
Vaki on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.00red zone targets per game 0.00carries per game 1.00
Anytime TD
8 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
CAR · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs1.11.11.3
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 18 totalseason 1.1no per-play form for this stat84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone carries allowed to RBs4.34.33.3
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 73 totalseason 4.3no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed2.42.43.3
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Sione Vaki Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per gamethin0.000.20
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.19thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per gamethin0.000.00
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.36thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.00 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per gamethin1.002.00
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 10.94thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 4th pctseason 1.00 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per gamethin0.001.00
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.15thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+750Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
8 games loggedline0.5
targets
CAR · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.12.7%0.0
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 2 totalvs per completion · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 0.1 (13th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.00.0%0.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 0 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · T-26 of 32season 0.0 (10th)17 games40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.13 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.52.7%0.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 0.5 (77th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs30.46.929.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 516 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 30.4 (26th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 89 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced222.37.8197.0
32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3779 totalvs per target · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 222.3 (32nd)17 games29th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 591 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencesneutral23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sione Vaki Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin0.001.00
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.15thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per gamethin0.000.00
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 0.15thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 8th pctseason 0.00 (8th)4 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-115bet365at 0.5
UNDER-115bet365at 0.5
19.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 19.5
Longest Rush
8 games loggedline6.5
carries
CAR · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs2.410.4%3.0
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 41 totalvs per carry · 60th pct · T-13 of 32season 2.4 (69th)17 games94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.03 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.62.5%1.0
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per carry · 63rd pct · T-12 of 32season 0.6 (73rd)17 games94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards per carry allowed to RBs4.64.65.9
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)vs per carry · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 4.6 (74th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.13 games (2026)supports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
RB carries stuffed at the line3.113.5%1.3
19th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 53 totalvs per carry · 8th pct · T-29 of 32season 3.1 (19th)17 games0th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Sione Vaki Breakdown · his own data
carries per gamethin1.002.00
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 10.94thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 4th pctseason 1.00 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carrythin4.004.13
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 4.23thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 41st pctseason 4.00 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
10+ yard runs per gamethin0.000.00
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 1.13thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.00 (2nd)4 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap sharethin1.0%17.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 1.0% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
6.5line
OVER-115bet365at 6.5
UNDER-115bet365at 6.5
9.5line
OVER+210bet365at 9.5
19.5line
OVER+800bet365at 19.5
Receiving Yards
8 games loggedline0.5
receptions
CAR · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to RBs28.66.534.0
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 487 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 28.6 (39th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 102 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to RBs4.479.8%4.7
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 75 totalvs per target · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 4.4 (52nd)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 14 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed215.110.9186.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3657 totalvs per reception · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 215.1 (42nd)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 558 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencesneutral28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs30.46.929.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 516 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 30.4 (26th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 89 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sione Vaki Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin0.001.00
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.15thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per gamethin0.001.00
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.72thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 8th pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target sharethin0.0%2.9%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.0% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap sharethin1.0%17.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 1.0% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-105bet365at 0.5
UNDER-125bet365at 0.5
19.5line
OVER+750bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 29.5
Receptions
8 games loggedline0.5
targets
CAR · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to RBs4.479.8%4.7
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 75 totalvs per target · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 4.4 (52nd)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 14 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to RBs5.55.55.7
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 94 totalseason 5.5no per-play form for this stat56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.53 games (2026) · 17 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed19.819.818.7
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 336 totalseason 19.8no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sione Vaki Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin0.001.00
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.15thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per gamethin0.001.00
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.72thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 8th pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target sharethin0.0%2.9%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.0% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap sharethin1.0%17.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 1.0% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-125bet365at 0.5
UNDER-105bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+350bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 2.5
Rush + Rec Yards
8 games loggedline16.5
touches
CAR · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs106.34.6144.7
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1808 totalvs per carry · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 106.3 (77th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 434 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed to RBs28.66.534.0
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 487 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 28.6 (39th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 102 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed123.34.4193.3
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 116.917 games (2025) · 2096 totalvs per carry · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 123.3 (61st)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 111.93 games (2026) · 580 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs30.46.929.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 516 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 30.4 (26th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 89 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sione Vaki Breakdown · his own data
touches per gamethin1.003.00
no comparison availablethin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5season 1.005 gamesneutralneutral
carries per gamethin1.002.00
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 10.94thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 4th pctseason 1.00 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per gamethin0.001.00
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.72thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 8th pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap sharethin1.0%17.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 1.0% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
16.5line
OVER-115bet365at 16.5
UNDER-115bet365at 16.5
49.5line
OVER+850bet365at 49.5
Rushing Attempts
8 games loggedline3.5
snap share
CAR · what this defence allows
carries allowed to RBs23.282.3%24.7
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 394 totalvs share of carries · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 23.2 (76th)17 games77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 74 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced25.643.6%27.7
77th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 435 totalvs per play · 85th pct · T-5 of 32season 25.6 (77th)17 games84th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 83 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to RBs106.34.6144.7
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1808 totalvs per carry · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 106.3 (77th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 434 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Sione Vaki Breakdown · his own data
snap sharethin1.0%17.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 1.0% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
rushing yards per gamethin4.008.80
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 48.14thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 4.00 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carrythin4.004.13
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 4.23thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 41st pctseason 4.00 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
3.5line
OVER+120bet365at 3.5
UNDER-150bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+225bet365at 4.5
Rushing Yards
8 games loggedline9.5
carries
CAR · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs106.34.6144.7
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1808 totalvs per carry · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 106.3 (77th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 434 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
carries allowed to RBs23.282.3%24.7
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 394 totalvs share of carries · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 23.2 (76th)17 games77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 74 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced25.643.6%27.7
77th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 435 totalvs per play · 85th pct · T-5 of 32season 25.6 (77th)17 games84th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 83 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
RB carries stuffed at the line3.113.5%1.3
19th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 53 totalvs per carry · 8th pct · T-29 of 32season 3.1 (19th)17 games0th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Sione Vaki Breakdown · his own data
carries per gamethin1.002.00
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 10.94thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 4th pctseason 1.00 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carrythin4.004.13
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 4.23thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 41st pctseason 4.00 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
9.5line
OVER-114DraftKingsat 9.5
UNDER-110DraftKingsat 9.5
11.5line
OVER-115bet365at 11.5
UNDER-115bet365at 11.5
19.5line
OVER+225bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+550bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+850bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 49.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing