These are the prices from a snapshot taken at 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4. Nothing has been re-pulled since. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Sterling Shepard
NYJNew York Jets @ Chicago BearsSun 1:00 PM
Shepard on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.31red zone targets per game 0.62receptions per game 3.00
Anytime TD
27 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
CHI · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs1.21.20.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 21 totalseason 1.2no per-play form for this stat31st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.52.52.0
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.82.82.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 47 totalseason 2.8no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sterling Shepard Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.310.20
SZN50th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3613 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.31 (50th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.620.80
SZN56th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6413 games (2025)vs last 5 · 68th pctseason 0.62 (56th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
receptions per game3.002.00
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 3.00 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+1700FanDuelat 0.5
Longest Reception
27 games loggedline9.5
targets
CHI · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.724.6%1.7
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 46 totalvs per completion · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 2.7 (97th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.23 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.412.3%1.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 23 totalvs per completion · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 1.4 (97th)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencesneutral
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.43.7%0.3
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 7 totalvs per completion · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 0.4 (74th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs48.14.442.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 817 totalvs per reception · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 48.1 (71st)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.93 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
air yards faced243.38.2219.0
61st percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4136 totalvs per target · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 243.3 (61st)17 games39th percentile for most facedleague avg 249.83 games (2026) · 657 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sterling Shepard Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.002.00
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 3.00 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
yards per catch9.676.10
SZN14th percentile for mostleague avg 12.8813 games (2025)vs last 5 · 1st pctseason 9.67 (14th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target8.718.53
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 11.1613 games (2025)vs last 5 · 23rd pctseason 8.71 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.380.20
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5313 games (2025)vs last 5 · 16th pctseason 0.38 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
9.5line
OVER-115bet365at 9.5
UNDER-115bet365at 9.5
19.5line
OVER+350bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+750bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
27 games loggedline12.5
receptions
CHI · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs157.414.3138.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2676 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 157.4 (81st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.33 games (2026) · 415 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs11.063.8%9.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 187 totalvs per target · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 11.0 (44th)17 games15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 29 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed239.211.5219.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4067 totalvs per reception · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 239.2 (68th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 232.23 games (2026) · 657 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs48.14.442.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 817 totalvs per reception · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 48.1 (71st)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.93 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
Sterling Shepard Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.002.00
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 3.00 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
targets per game4.082.80
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6913 games (2025)vs last 5 · 23rd pctseason 4.08 (49th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
target share12.6%9.6%
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 15.2%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 26th pctseason 12.6% (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share56.1%50.6%
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 61.9%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 56.1% (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
12.5line
OVER-115bet365at 12.5
UNDER-115bet365at 12.5
19.5line
OVER+150bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+300bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+500bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+800bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 59.5
Receptions
27 games loggedline1.5
targets
CHI · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs11.063.8%9.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 187 totalvs per target · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 11.0 (44th)17 games15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 29 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to WRs17.217.216.3
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 293 totalseason 17.2no per-play form for this stat23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 49 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed20.920.916.7
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 355 totalseason 20.9no per-play form for this stat0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.03 games (2026) · 50 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesseason only32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sterling Shepard Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.002.00
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 3.00 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
targets per game4.082.80
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6913 games (2025)vs last 5 · 23rd pctseason 4.08 (49th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
target share12.6%9.6%
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 15.2%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 26th pctseason 12.6% (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share56.1%50.6%
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 61.9%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 56.1% (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-450bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+115bet365at 1.5
UNDER-145bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+320bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+800bet365at 3.5
Rush + Rec Yards
27 games loggedline12.5
touches
CHI · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs157.414.3138.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2676 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 157.4 (81st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.33 games (2026) · 415 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs6.75.40.0
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 114 totalvs per carry · 55th pct · 15 of 32season 6.7 (82nd)17 games21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.33 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencesneutralT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed239.211.5219.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4067 totalvs per reception · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 239.2 (68th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 232.23 games (2026) · 657 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs48.14.442.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 817 totalvs per reception · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 48.1 (71st)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.93 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
Sterling Shepard Breakdown · his own data
touches per game3.312.20
no comparison available13 games (2025)vs last 5season 3.315 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game4.082.80
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6913 games (2025)vs last 5 · 23rd pctseason 4.08 (49th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share56.1%50.6%
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 61.9%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 56.1% (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
12.5line
OVER-115bet365at 12.5
UNDER-115bet365at 12.5
49.5line
OVER+800bet365at 49.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4 · not live pricing