Will Richard

GSW · NBASFMIA @ GSWThu 10:10 PM

Prices last pulled 7:00 PM ET

Points

78 games logged

Will Richard Points · 78 games logged

9 of 20 (45%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20 · over −115 NoVigsharp book · under +130 Bovada · prices from

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6

quoted at 5.5: O -115 (NoVig) · U +130 (Bovada)

3/18/26@ BOS3/20/26@ DET3/21/26@ ATL3/23/26@ DAL3/25/26vs BKN3/27/26vs WAS4/1/26vs SAS4/2/26vs CLE4/5/26vs HOU4/10/26@ SAC4/12/26@ LAC4/17/26@ PHX10/21@ LAL10/23vs MEM10/24@ PHX10/26@ DEN10/28@ MIN10/30vs LAL11/1vs LAC11/2vs PHX

latest6 Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · vs PHX

5.5

9 of 20 (45%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20

minutesno range set17.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 517.8last 1016.4last 2017.9last 3020.02026-2717.92025-2619.7all19.5

Out tonightJimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Gui Santosofficial injury report, 5:30 PM ET

Points: Breakdowns

Will Richard Breakdown · his own data
points per game6.393.604.62
SZN
league avg 11.4669 games (2025)league avg 9.725 games (last 5)2026 season 4.62league avg 9.728 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
minutes per game20.017.817.9
SZN
league avg 23.469 games (2025)league avg 21.95 games (last 5)2026 season 17.9league avg 21.98 games (2026)

Season breakdowns: regular season only. The tiles and the chart can include playoffs.

Miami Heat · what their opponents produce
points allowed to SF27.124.023.5
SZN
83rd percentile for points allowed to a SFleague avg 26.076 games (2025)72nd percentileleague avg 22.65 games (last 5)2026 season 23.569th percentile for points allowed to a SFleague avg 22.68 games (2026)supports OVER25/30 teams, vs a SFsupports OVER21/30 teams, vs a SFsupports OVER
opponent points, all positions118.0121.8122.9
SZN
72nd percentile for points their opponents produceleague avg 115.682 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 113.45 games (last 5)2026 season 122.990th percentile for points their opponents produceleague avg 113.48 games (2026)supports OVER22/30 teams, all positionssupports OVER27/30 teams, all positionssupports OVER

Heat at Warriors matchup cheat sheet →

Rebounds

78 games logged

Will Richard Rebounds · 78 games logged

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 2.5 over his last 20 · over +125 theScore Bet · under +115 Bovada · prices from

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2.5
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5

quoted at 2.5: O +125 (theScore Bet) · U +115 (Bovada)

3/18/26@ BOS3/20/26@ DET3/21/26@ ATL3/23/26@ DAL3/25/26vs BKN3/27/26vs WAS4/1/26vs SAS4/2/26vs CLE4/5/26vs HOU4/10/26@ SAC4/12/26@ LAC4/17/26@ PHX10/21@ LAL10/23vs MEM10/24@ PHX10/26@ DEN10/28@ MIN10/30vs LAL11/1vs LAC11/2vs PHX

latest5 Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · vs PHX

2.5

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 2.5 over his last 20

minutesno range set17.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 517.8last 1016.4last 2017.9last 3020.02026-2717.92025-2619.7all19.5

Out tonightJimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Gui Santosofficial injury report, 5:30 PM ET

Rebounds: Breakdowns

Will Richard Breakdown · his own data
rebounds per game2.492.202.00
SZN
league avg 3.7869 games (2025)league avg 3.515 games (last 5)2026 season 2.00league avg 3.518 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
minutes per game20.017.817.9
SZN
league avg 23.469 games (2025)league avg 21.95 games (last 5)2026 season 17.9league avg 21.98 games (2026)

Season breakdowns: regular season only. The tiles and the chart can include playoffs.

Miami Heat · what their opponents produce
rebounds allowed to SF8.511.010.2
SZN
55th percentile for rebounds allowed to a SFleague avg 8.476 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 8.25 games (last 5)2026 season 10.293rd percentile for rebounds allowed to a SFleague avg 8.28 games (2026)neutral17/30 teams, vs a SFsupports OVER28/30 teams, vs a SFsupports OVER
opponent rebounds, all positions46.143.245.8
SZN
86th percentile for rebounds their opponents produceleague avg 43.882 games (2025)31st percentileleague avg 44.35 games (last 5)2026 season 45.876th percentile for rebounds their opponents produceleague avg 44.38 games (2026)supports OVER26/30 teams, all positionssupports UNDER23/30 teams, all positionssupports OVER

Heat at Warriors matchup cheat sheet →

Threes

78 games logged

Will Richard Threes · 78 games logged

4 of 20 (20%) cleared 1.5 over his last 20 · over +210 ProphetXsharp book · under −215 Bovada · prices from

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1.5
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quoted at 1.5: O +210 (ProphetX) · U -215 (Bovada)

3/18/26@ BOS3/20/26@ DET3/21/26@ ATL3/23/26@ DAL3/25/26vs BKN3/27/26vs WAS4/1/26vs SAS4/2/26vs CLE4/5/26vs HOU4/10/26@ SAC4/12/26@ LAC4/17/26@ PHX10/21@ LAL10/23vs MEM10/24@ PHX10/26@ DEN10/28@ MIN10/30vs LAL11/1vs LAC11/2vs PHX

latest2 Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · vs PHX

1.5

4 of 20 (20%) cleared 1.5 over his last 20

minutesno range set17.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 517.8last 1016.4last 2017.9last 3020.02026-2717.92025-2619.7all19.5

Out tonightJimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Gui Santosofficial injury report, 5:30 PM ET

Threes: Breakdowns

Will Richard Breakdown · his own data
threes per game1.030.800.88
SZN
league avg 1.4169 games (2025)league avg 1.215 games (last 5)2026 season 0.88league avg 1.218 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
minutes per game20.017.817.9
SZN
league avg 23.469 games (2025)league avg 21.95 games (last 5)2026 season 17.9league avg 21.98 games (2026)

Season breakdowns: regular season only. The tiles and the chart can include playoffs.

Miami Heat · what their opponents produce
threes allowed to SF3.53.62.9
SZN
79th percentile for threes allowed to a SFleague avg 3.276 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 2.85 games (last 5)2026 season 2.945th percentile for threes allowed to a SFleague avg 2.88 games (2026)supports OVER24/30 teams, vs a SFsupports OVERT-14/30 teams, vs a SFneutral
opponent threes, all positions13.916.417.1
SZN
72nd percentile for threes their opponents produceleague avg 13.382 games (2025)100th percentileleague avg 13.15 games (last 5)2026 season 17.1100th percentile for threes their opponents produceleague avg 13.18 games (2026)supports OVER22/30 teams, all positionssupports OVER30/30 teams, all positionssupports OVER

Heat at Warriors matchup cheat sheet →

Pts+Reb

78 games logged

Will Richard Pts+Reb · 78 games logged

9 of 20 (45%) cleared 8.5 over his last 20 · over −105 DraftKings · under +130 Bovada · prices from

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8.5
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quoted at 8.5: O -105 (DraftKings) · U +130 (Bovada)

3/18/26@ BOS3/20/26@ DET3/21/26@ ATL3/23/26@ DAL3/25/26vs BKN3/27/26vs WAS4/1/26vs SAS4/2/26vs CLE4/5/26vs HOU4/10/26@ SAC4/12/26@ LAC4/17/26@ PHX10/21@ LAL10/23vs MEM10/24@ PHX10/26@ DEN10/28@ MIN10/30vs LAL11/1vs LAC11/2vs PHX

latest11 Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · vs PHX

8.5

9 of 20 (45%) cleared 8.5 over his last 20

minutesno range set17.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 517.8last 1016.4last 2017.9last 3020.02026-2717.92025-2619.7all19.5

Out tonightJimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Gui Santosofficial injury report, 5:30 PM ET

Pts+Reb: Breakdowns

Will Richard Breakdown · his own data
points per game6.393.604.62
SZN
league avg 11.4669 games (2025)league avg 9.725 games (last 5)2026 season 4.62league avg 9.728 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
rebounds per game2.492.202.00
SZN
league avg 3.7869 games (2025)league avg 3.515 games (last 5)2026 season 2.00league avg 3.518 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
minutes per game20.017.817.9
SZN
league avg 23.469 games (2025)league avg 21.95 games (last 5)2026 season 17.9league avg 21.98 games (2026)

Season breakdowns: regular season only. The tiles and the chart can include playoffs.

Miami Heat · what their opponents produce
points allowed to SF27.124.023.5
SZN
83rd percentile for points allowed to a SFleague avg 26.076 games (2025)72nd percentileleague avg 22.65 games (last 5)2026 season 23.569th percentile for points allowed to a SFleague avg 22.68 games (2026)supports OVER25/30 teams, vs a SFsupports OVER21/30 teams, vs a SFsupports OVER
rebounds allowed to SF8.511.010.2
SZN
55th percentile for rebounds allowed to a SFleague avg 8.476 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 8.25 games (last 5)2026 season 10.293rd percentile for rebounds allowed to a SFleague avg 8.28 games (2026)neutral17/30 teams, vs a SFsupports OVER28/30 teams, vs a SFsupports OVER
opponent points, all positions118.0121.8122.9
SZN
72nd percentile for points their opponents produceleague avg 115.682 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 113.45 games (last 5)2026 season 122.990th percentile for points their opponents produceleague avg 113.48 games (2026)supports OVER22/30 teams, all positionssupports OVER27/30 teams, all positionssupports OVER
opponent rebounds, all positions46.143.245.8
SZN
86th percentile for rebounds their opponents produceleague avg 43.882 games (2025)31st percentileleague avg 44.35 games (last 5)2026 season 45.876th percentile for rebounds their opponents produceleague avg 44.38 games (2026)supports OVER26/30 teams, all positionssupports UNDER23/30 teams, all positionssupports OVER

Heat at Warriors matchup cheat sheet →

First Basket

23 games logged

Will Richard First Basket · 23 games logged

0 of 20 (0%) scored first in his last 20 (measured starts only) · to score +1500 FanDuel · prices from

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1+ first basket
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quoted at 0.5: O +1500 (FanDuel) · no under

11/16/25@ NOP11/18/25@ ORL11/19/25@ MIA11/21/25vs POR11/26/25vs HOU12/2/25vs OKC12/4/25@ PHI12/6/25@ CLE12/7/25@ CHI1/2/26vs OKC1/17/26vs CHA1/19/26vs MIA2/25/26@ MEM3/10/26vs CHI3/15/26@ NYK3/16/26@ WAS3/27/26vs WAS4/1/26vs SAS10/24@ PHX11/2vs PHX

latest0 Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · vs PHX

first basket

0 of 20 (0%) scored first in his last 20 (measured starts only)

minutesno range set24.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 528.4last 1029.0last 2024.92026-2729.52025-2624.4all24.9

Out tonightJimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Gui Santosofficial injury report, 5:30 PM ET

First Basket: Breakdowns

First basket

First score of the game, including free throws. Non-starters are void. Settlement rule

Starting status not confirmed. A posted price does not confirm a starting spot.

Richard and the Warriors

0.0%scored first in 0 of 2 starts
took his team's first shot 0 of 2small sample: 8 games
When the Warriors scored first, who scored1 of 8 games
  • Brandin Podziemski1 · 100.0%
The Warriors scored first1 of 8 games · 1st fewest of 30
mostfewest
Warriors 12.5%middle 50.0%: every game has one team that scores first

Won the opening tip 2 of 8 (25.0%).

The Heat's defense

0.0%an SF scored first against them in 0 of 8 games
1st fewest of 301st percentileleague middle 11.1%small sample: 8 games
Who scores first against the Heat, by position
Expected GSW PG · Stephen Curry · 0.0% first baskets in 2026-27 (0 of 6 starts)Expected GSW SG · Brandin Podziemski · 16.7% first baskets in 2026-27 (1 of 6 starts)Expected GSW SF · Yaxel Lendeborg · 0.0% first baskets in 2026-27 (0 of 8 starts)Expected GSW SF · Will Richard · 0.0% first baskets in 2026-27 (0 of 2 starts)Expected GSW C · Draymond Green · 0.0% first baskets in 2026-27 (0 of 6 starts)

PG: 0 of 8 games (0.0%) · 1st fewest of 30 · 1st percentile

mostfewest
Heat 0.0%league middle 11.1%, the median club for a PG

SG: 0 of 8 games (0.0%) · 1st fewest of 30 · 1st percentile

mostfewest
Heat 0.0%league middle 0.0%, the median club for an SG

SF: 0 of 8 games (0.0%) · 1st fewest of 30 · 1st percentile

mostfewest
Heat 0.0%league middle 11.1%, the median club for an SF

PF: 2 of 8 games (25.0%) · 3rd most of 30 · 83rd percentile

mostfewest
Heat 25.0%league middle 12.5%, the median club for a PF

C: 0 of 8 games (0.0%) · 1st fewest of 30 · 1st percentile

mostfewest
Heat 0.0%league middle 12.5%, the median club for a C
Opponents scored first against the Heat2 of 8 games · 1st fewest of 30
mostfewest
Heat 25.0%middle 50.0%

Won the opening tip 8 of 8 (100.0%).

Heat at Warriors matchup cheat sheet →

Richard and the Warriors

0.0%scored first in 0 of 21 starts
200th of 209 starters1st percentiletook his team's first shot 4 of 21
When the Warriors scored first, who scored40 of 82 games
  • Draymond Green8 · 20.0%
  • Moses Moody6 · 15.0%
  • Quinten Post6 · 15.0%
  • Brandin Podziemski5 · 12.5%
  • Stephen Curry5 · 12.5%
  • Everyone else12 · 30.0%
The Warriors scored first40 of 82 games · 12th fewest of 30
mostfewest
Warriors 48.8%middle 50.0%: every game has one team that scores first

Won the opening tip 37 of 82 (45.1%).

The Heat's defense

4.9%an SF scored first against them in 4 of 82 games
3rd fewest of 307th percentileleague middle 11.0%
Who scores first against the Heat, by position
Expected GSW PG · Stephen Curry · 11.6% first baskets in 2025-26 (5 of 43 starts)Expected GSW SG · Brandin Podziemski · 11.1% first baskets in 2025-26 (5 of 45 starts)Expected GSW SF · Yaxel Lendeborg · no start on file in 2025-26Expected GSW SF · Will Richard · 0.0% first baskets in 2025-26 (0 of 21 starts)Expected GSW C · Draymond Green · 11.4% first baskets in 2025-26 (8 of 70 starts)

PG: 5 of 82 games (6.1%) · 2nd fewest of 30 · 3rd percentile

mostfewest
Heat 6.1%league middle 9.8%, the median club for a PG

SG: 7 of 82 games (8.5%) · 10th most of 30 · 48th percentile

mostfewest
Heat 8.5%league middle 8.5%, the median club for an SG

SF: 4 of 82 games (4.9%) · 3rd fewest of 30 · 7th percentile

mostfewest
Heat 4.9%league middle 11.0%, the median club for an SF

PF: 8 of 82 games (9.8%) · 11th most of 30 · 45th percentile

mostfewest
Heat 9.8%league middle 9.8%, the median club for a PF

C: 8 of 82 games (9.8%) · 10th fewest of 30 · 31st percentile

mostfewest
Heat 9.8%league middle 11.0%, the median club for a C
Opponents scored first against the Heat32 of 82 games · 3rd fewest of 30
mostfewest
Heat 39.0%middle 50.0%

Won the opening tip 51 of 82 (62.2%).

Heat at Warriors matchup cheat sheet →

ESPN play-by-play, regular season, measured games only. Positions are this season's rosters; a scorer who has left the league is not counted at any position.

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Other markets

Will Richard, every other prop for this game

Rebounds2.5
last 10 4 of 10 (40%) · last 20 6 of 20 (30%)
O +125 · U +115
show
Threes1.5
last 10 2 of 10 (20%) · last 20 4 of 20 (20%)
O +210 · U −215
show
Pts+Reb8.5
last 10 4 of 10 (40%) · last 20 9 of 20 (45%)
O −105 · U +130
show
First Basket
last 10 0 of 10 (0%) · last 20 0 of 20 (0%)
Yes +1500
show
O 5.5 −115 NoVig · U 5.5 +130 Bovadaprices from