Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 0.5 Anytime TD
Next best +125 at bet365Same 0.5 line
NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, October 25
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 31 NFL anytime touchdown props across 12 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 0.5 Anytime TD | +125 | FanDuel | over in 60% of his last ten; Jaxon Smith-Njigba averages 0.59 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.34 for WRs (83rd percentile) |
| AJ Barner Over 0.5 Anytime TD | +290 | BetMGM | over in 20% of his last ten; AJ Barner averages 0.76 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.35 for TEs (87th percentile) |
| Kenny Gainwell Over 0.5 Anytime TD | +400 | DraftKings | over in 30% of his last ten; Kenny Gainwell averages 1.00 red zone targets a game over 17 games, against 0.33 for RBs (98th percentile) |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best +125 at bet365Same 0.5 line
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 50% of 20 games last season and 60% across the last ten.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba averages 0.59 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.34 for WRs (83rd percentile).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba averages 1.00 red zone targets a game over 17 games, against 0.60 for WRs (85th percentile).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba averages 7.00 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.75 for WRs (98th percentile).
Next best +275 at Hard Rock BetSame 0.5 line
AJ Barner has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 35% of 20 games last season and 20% across the last ten.
AJ Barner averages 0.76 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.35 for TEs (87th percentile).
AJ Barner averages 0.76 red zone targets a game over 17 games, against 0.52 for TEs (75th percentile).
AJ Barner averages 3.06 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.20 for TEs (72nd percentile).
Next best +400 at FanDuelSame 0.5 line
Kenny Gainwell has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 33% of 18 games last season and 30% across the last ten.
Kenny Gainwell averages 1.00 red zone targets a game over 17 games, against 0.33 for RBs (98th percentile).
Carolina Panthers rank 9th of 32 for TDs allowed to RBs, at 1.1 a game over 17 games.
Carolina Panthers rank 9th of 32 for red zone carries allowed to RBs, at 4.3 a game over 17 games.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NFL receiving yards props for Sunday.
Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, October 25. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 24, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.
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