NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, October 25
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 56 NFL receiving yards props across 12 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Wilson Under 7.5 Receiving Yards | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | under in 70% of his last ten; Emanuel Wilson averages 0.88 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.00 for RBs (15th percentile) |
| AJ Barner Under 24.5 Receiving Yards | -108 | DraftKings | under in 80% of his last ten; Kansas City Chiefs rank 21st of 32 for receiving yards allowed to TEs, at 47.6 a game over 17 games |
| Tez Johnson Under 28.5 Receiving Yards | -113 | betPARX | under in 80% of his last ten; Tez Johnson averages 1.75 receptions a game over 16 games, against 2.75 for WRs (34th percentile) |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best −114 at FanDuelSame 7.5 line
Emanuel Wilson has gone under 7.5 receiving yards in 72% of 18 games last season and 70% across the last ten.
Emanuel Wilson averages 0.88 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.00 for RBs (15th percentile).
Emanuel Wilson averages 1.00 targets a game over 17 games, against 2.53 for RBs (15th percentile).
Emanuel Wilson's target share is 3.7% over 17 games, against 8.2% for RBs (15th percentile).
Next best −110 at BovadaSame 24.5 line
AJ Barner has gone under 24.5 receiving yards in 45% of 20 games last season and 80% across the last ten.
Kansas City Chiefs rank 21st of 32 for receiving yards allowed to TEs, at 47.6 a game over 17 games.
Kansas City Chiefs rank 25th of 32 for receptions allowed to TEs, at 4.8 a game over 17 games.
Kansas City Chiefs rank 25th of 32 for receiving yards allowed, at 205.1 a game over 17 games.
Next best −114 at FanDuelSame 28.5 line
Tez Johnson has gone under 28.5 receiving yards in 69% of 16 games last season and 80% across the last ten.
Tez Johnson averages 1.75 receptions a game over 16 games, against 2.75 for WRs (34th percentile).
Tez Johnson averages 2.75 targets a game over 16 games, against 4.42 for WRs (31st percentile).
Tez Johnson's target share is 8.5% over 16 games, against 14.3% for WRs (28th percentile).
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NFL anytime touchdown props for Sunday.
Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, October 25. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 24, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.
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