Best NFL Receptions Props, Sunday October 11

3 selections from 41 NFL receptions props across 13 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

Pick	Price	Book	Why
Will Shipley Under 2.5 Receptions	-110	betPARX	under in 100% of his last ten; Will Shipley averages 1.00 receptions a game over 4 games, against 2.07 for RBs (26th percentile)
Bhayshul Tuten Under 1.5 Receptions	-112	BetOnline.ag	under in 70% of his last ten; Bhayshul Tuten averages 1.75 targets a game over 4 games, against 2.62 for RBs (39th percentile)
Skyy Moore Under 1.5 Receptions	-127	DraftKings	under in 80% of his last ten; Skyy Moore averages 1.50 receptions a game over 4 games, against 2.97 for WRs (27th percentile)

The reads behind them

Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.

Angle 1

Will Shipley Under 2.5 Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars · kickoff 9:30 AM ET

-110at betPARX

Will Shipley has gone under 2.5 receptions in 100% of 16 games last season and 100% across the last ten.

Will Shipley averages 1.00 receptions a game over 4 games, against 2.07 for RBs (26th percentile).
Will Shipley averages 1.50 targets a game over 4 games, against 2.62 for RBs (30th percentile).
Will Shipley's target share is 5.6% over 4 games, against 8.3% for RBs (35th percentile).

The case against

The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at -110.

Jacksonville Jaguars rank 8th of 32 for receptions allowed to RBs, at 4.8 a game over 17 games.

Jacksonville Jaguars rank 5th of 32 for targets allowed to RBs, at 6.2 a game over 17 games.

Full game log and every book on Will Shipley

Angle 2

Bhayshul Tuten Under 1.5 Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars · kickoff 9:30 AM ET

-112at BetOnline.ag

Bhayshul Tuten has gone under 1.5 receptions in 88% of 16 games last season and 70% across the last ten.

Bhayshul Tuten averages 1.75 targets a game over 4 games, against 2.62 for RBs (39th percentile).
Philadelphia Eagles rank 24th of 32 for receptions allowed to RBs, at 3.7 a game over 17 games.
Philadelphia Eagles rank 23rd of 32 for targets allowed to RBs, at 5.1 a game over 17 games.

The case against

At -112 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.

Full game log and every book on Bhayshul Tuten

Angle 3

Skyy Moore Under 1.5 Receptions

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers · kickoff 1:00 PM ET

-127at DraftKings

Skyy Moore has gone under 1.5 receptions in 100% of 16 games last season and 80% across the last ten.

Skyy Moore averages 1.50 receptions a game over 4 games, against 2.97 for WRs (27th percentile).
Skyy Moore averages 3.25 targets a game over 4 games, against 4.73 for WRs (33rd percentile).
Skyy Moore's target share is 8.3% over 4 games, against 15.1% for WRs (24th percentile).

The case against

Nothing about -127 helps here. The form read has to be right for this one to pay.

The last ten (80%) sits a long way from last season's rate (100%), so this leans on a streak continuing rather than on a settled level.

Full game log and every book on Skyy Moore

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: 49ers vs Seahawks player props.

Open the live board The record

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, October 11. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 10, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.