Best NFL Rushing Yards Props, Sunday October 11

3 selections from 21 NFL rushing yards props across 13 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

Pick	Price	Book	Why
Will Shipley Under 34.5 Rushing Yards	-115	theScore Bet	under in 100% of his last ten; Will Shipley averages 3.75 carries a game over 4 games, against 10.20 for RBs (20th percentile)
Trevor Lawrence Over 14.5 Rushing Yards	-113	FanDuel	over in 60% of his last ten; Philadelphia Eagles rank 2nd of 32 for rushing yards allowed to QBs, at 23.5 a game over 17 games
Kyler Murray Over 17.5 Rushing Yards	-113	DraftKings	over in 70% of his last ten; Kyler Murray has 5.22 yards per carry over 3 games, against 4.50 for QBs (65th percentile)

The reads behind them

Form here is a player's last ten games where he has no season baseline on record, and otherwise 60% of the last ten and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.

Angle 1

Will Shipley Under 34.5 Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars · kickoff 9:30 AM ET

-115at theScore Bet

Will Shipley has gone under 34.5 rushing yards in 100% of 16 games last season and 100% across the last ten.

Will Shipley averages 3.75 carries a game over 4 games, against 10.20 for RBs (20th percentile).
Will Shipley has 3.09 yards per carry over 3 games, against 3.97 for RBs (22nd percentile).
Jacksonville Jaguars rank 32nd of 32 for rushing yards allowed to RBs, at 68.0 a game over 17 games.

The case against

The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at -115.

Full game log and every book on Will Shipley

Angle 2

Trevor Lawrence Over 14.5 Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars · kickoff 9:30 AM ET

-113at FanDuel

Trevor Lawrence has gone over 14.5 rushing yards in 61% of 18 games last season and 60% across the last ten.

Philadelphia Eagles rank 2nd of 32 for rushing yards allowed to QBs, at 23.5 a game over 17 games.
Philadelphia Eagles rank 7th of 32 for carries allowed to QBs, at 4.8 a game over 17 games.
Philadelphia Eagles rank 7th of 32 for most run against runs faced, at 25.8 a game over 17 games.

The case against

At -113 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.

Trevor Lawrence averages 2.75 carries a game over 4 games, against 3.54 for QBs (35th percentile).

Trevor Lawrence has 2.69 yards per carry over 4 games, against 4.50 for QBs (26th percentile).

Full game log and every book on Trevor Lawrence

Angle 3

Kyler Murray Over 17.5 Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints · kickoff 1:00 PM ET

-113at DraftKings

Kyler Murray has gone over 17.5 rushing yards in 70% of his last ten games.

Kyler Murray has 5.22 yards per carry over 3 games, against 4.50 for QBs (65th percentile).
New Orleans Saints rank 3rd of 32 for most run against runs faced, at 27.3 a game over 17 games.

The case against

Nothing about -113 helps here. The form read has to be right for this one to pay.

Full game log and every book on Kyler Murray

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: 49ers vs Seahawks player props.

Open the live board The record

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, October 11. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 10, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.